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GBPUSD Analysis - Bearish - Trade 03

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1. Seasonality

The GBP is range-bound during the first week of December, while the USD exhibits bearish momentum. This suggests a neutral to slightly bullish outlook for GBPUSD based on seasonality.

2. COT Report

The GBP's COT RSI is also range-bound, indicating no strong directional bias.

3. Fundamental Analysis

LEI
The GBP Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) is decreasing, while the USD LEI is increasing. Global LEI is also rising, favoring USD strength and suggesting bearish pressure on GBPUSD.

Endogenous Factors
GBP endogenous factors are signaling a sell, adding to the bearish sentiment for GBPUSD.

Exogenous Factors
Exogenous indicators for GBPUSD are also showing a decrease, further supporting a bearish outlook.

4. Technical Analysis

GBPUSD is forming an ABCD pattern and is currently moving toward point D. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at point C is also coinciding with a 4-hour resistance, suggesting a potential reversal or slowdown at that level.

Bias

The combined analysis suggests a bearish bias for GBPUSD, with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and 4-hour resistance offering a critical point to consider for potential short entry.

Trade Plan: