GBPJPY has been in an up trend channel for a while and all the while the indicators have not confirmed the move. As you will notice the MACD and the RSI have been making lower highs while the price action has been rising. This is the definition of divergence or non-confirmation which suggests that the rally will soon come to an end. A lot of times knowing when the actual high is upon us is the hard part thus making it difficult to execute a trade with confidence. That is where the rising channel comes into play. Price has made its way to the upper part of the rising channel and is finding resistance which if these levels hold will provide a ceiling from which price can move lower. At this point the risk to reward appears to be favorable for a short trade given the price action that we saw on friday. So long as price can stay below the recent high then I will be targeting the lower trend line.
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