Trading Plan EURUSD

The main plan: to sell EURUSD from the level of 1.1450 with the target of 1.1400.
The reasons:
Bear trend in force.
Flat with borders: 1,5000 - 1,1300.
Probability: 60% (average)

Reserve plan: buy EURUSD in the zone: 1.1475 - 1.1485.
The reasons:
Possible breakthrough flat up.
Probability: 20% (low)