LupaCapital

EUR GBP - channel - potential to break

FX:EURGBP   유로 / 영국 파운드
Hello traders and analysts,

Here is our take on EUR GBP

COT report:
Long Short Total %Long %Short
GBP 31,267 45,396 76,663 42% 58%
Euro 174,258 86,043 260,301 67% 33%

Technicals:
We have a good opportunity here to break the trendline as the top of the channel was rejected
However - weekly level has not been tested, so we still have an opportunity for a false break and back up.
Rising wedge is forming - where price can reject from the top.

for this trade however we are in short.
Add buy positions if a fakeout of the channel occurs as the channel will create a lower high.

Fundamentals
Coronavirus in the EU and UK - both showing cases in respective countries,
Euro stimulus package has not been agreed so can show signs of strength of GBP if this fails to transpire.
Brexit talks - will send the pound with huge strength once a deal is reached - inverse will send EUR to almost parity if talks end and no deal is reached
Keep a watch for manufacturing orders in Germany and any causes for concern within France, Italy, Germany and Spain which can drag data components down.

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10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
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Thanks,
Team Lupa
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