PierreVeyret

EUR/GBP : BULLISH BREAK-OUT TO COME ?

PierreVeyret 업데이트됨   
FX_IDC:EURGBP   유로 / 영국 파운드
ENGLISH
- The market has been trading inside a bearish flag, correcting the mid-term bullish trend, since the 10th of September. The short-term trend is then bearish.

- More recently, the market has found a strong support level, already tested twice, over the 0.9060/0.9024 zone. Prices are now trading close to the upper band of their bearish flag, eyeing the 0.9158 resistance, in a strong bullish acceleration. The Relative Strength Indicator has already registered a break-out of its bearish resistance (dotted trendline) and is now evolving inside a short-term bullish channel, in its buying zone (58%).

- Even if the market still trades in a corrective flag pattern, this is seen as a bullish situation. The fact prices couldn’t register a new bottom after the first impact over the 0.9060/0.9024 zone combined with the anticipated break-out on the RSI are strong signs of a bullish signal to come soon. Such a bearish flag validation would unlock a new bullish potential towards 0.9205, 0.9285 and 0.9357 by extension, even if a pullback over 0.9158 would still be possible following the break-out.

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FRENCH
- Le marché se traite à l’intérieur d’une figure en drapeau baissier, corrigeant la tendance haussière de moyen-terme, depuis le 10 Septembre. La tendance court terme est donc baissière.

- Plus récemment, le marché s’est trouvé un support relativement fort, déjà testé deux fois, au-dessus de la zone des 0.9060/0.9024. Les prix se traitent maintenant proche de la borne haute du drapeau baissier, avec la résistance des 0.9158 en vue, au sein d’un fort mouvement d’accélération à la hausse. L’indicateur RSI a déjà affiché la rupture de sa ligne de tendance baissière (pointillés) et évolue désormais au sein d’un canal haussier, de retour en zone d’achat (58%).

- Même si le marché reste à l’intérieur d’une figure corrective baissière en drapeau, cela est perçu comme une situation haussière. Le fait que les prix ne soient parvenus à enregistrer un nouveau plus bas après le premier impact au-dessus de 0.9060/0.9024 combiné à la rupture haussière anticipée sur le RSI sont des signes forts d’un signal haussier en approche. Une telle validation du drapeau baissier débloquerai un nouveau potentiel à la hausse vers 0.9205, 0.9285 puis 0.9357 par extension, même si un pull-back au-dessus de 0.9158 serait une possibilité suivant son franchissement.
코멘트:
Alright so the EU took legal actions towards the UK regarding its internal market bill minutes after I've posted this...

Even if these analysis are meant to be purely technical, some specific assets will always need to be considered with their fundamental side too. This is the case with EUR/GBP and BREXIT

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