SwissView 의 TVC:EUBUND 용 ECB October Meeting Could Start Tapering

Trend Analysis Beyond Technical Analysis

Quote:

"A hawkish ECB has placed German bund yields squarely in the spotlight

Once described as the “short of a lifetime” by the likes of bond gurus Jeffrey Gundlach and Bill Gross, bets on German government bond yields, or bunds, heading higher have preoccupied the minds of investors who highlight the divergence between German and U.S. bonds.

Yet, talk of investors wagering for the gap to narrow have gathered momentum recently.

What’s the catalyst?

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi has hinted that a more substantial discussion of the tapering of the ECB’s €60 billion ($71.7 billion) monthly asset purchases at its October meeting. Many investors have bet on that yield differential to narrow, with many wagering for the value of bunds to fall, pushing yields higher."
Source:

Opinion: The multi year support of financial markets with QE's and QQE's could come to an end. Usually stockmarkets react to steps like this with short term or medium term falling prices.

코멘트:

In shedding bonds, Fed aims for boring end to crisis-era measures

코멘트:

Borrowing bonds may get harder as Fed pares holdings

코멘트:

FUNDAMENTAL VIEW, EUROPEAN PMI

Eurozone growth seen picking up in September — Markit PMI

코멘트:

Fed's Harker sees three rate hikes next year, after one more in 2017

코멘트:

FUNDAMENTAL VIEW: US TAX REFORM

Remark: US TAX cuts likel to cut tax revenues as well. US T-Bonds should face more headwinds and pressure long term.

Quote: "If Senate can pass budget resolution, tax cuts have strong chance: Zoellick
Source:

코멘트:

Germany's Greens warn against blind adherence to balanced budget

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