EuroMotif

ETHUSD short term bear scenario: Ethereum retrace not done yet?

EuroMotif Mod 업데이트됨   
COINBASE:ETHUSD   이더리움
Quick plot to lay out the possible path for one more dip that might be about to start
I am actually BULLISH on Ether but trying to keep neutral in analysis.
Bulls need to get above 154 quickly to invalidate this scenario.

The leg down was a 5 wave impulse, which is what a wave (A) should be.
We might now be in a wave (B) which should be a 3-wave structure.
If we do drop here, then 140 comes into sight for end of wave (C).

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Background:
My ETH journey started a Fib observation from the bottom
Once that played out, I was looking for the retrace zones to enter long again
Above zones played out and as bounce progressed I saw 152 and 156 as possible targets
Then I saw the top coming, sold, and was looking for re-entry zones:
Got some long scalps in per above plan. But now I am wondering if we go down for another leg
코멘트:
Of note, in the live chart on top, there is a very faint zone. I have made it more visible here clearly we are stuck between these energy bands. Breakout to either side could be powerful, especially if it bounces around in there for a long time (several hours)
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코멘트:
Bulls are strong, broke up through the first resistance zone with some gusto. Now comes the blue fib of this entire leg up from 144.46
코멘트:
It definitely noticed that 4.618 but bulls still look strong
코멘트:
Interesting, so it may be this green fib that is working the price right now looks like a perfect impulse within, perhaps making a bigger wave 3 for now.
코멘트:
Odds of the planned ABC have decreased dramatically. and ofc if we get a new local high then maybe I was being overly pessimistic. not out of the woods quite yet, and we EU/UK waking up soon. That part of the world often sells in their morning. So the price AND time are at a critical point here.
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코멘트:
Bulls looking to flip previous resistance into support
코멘트:
Here are the EU/UK morning bears. Lets see if bottom of this zone turns into resistance again
코멘트:
here we are, last support before 145 imo
코멘트:
This leg pierced the 1.618 on micro TF, so I am suspicous of this little bounce
코멘트:
1.6198 confirmed as relevant. But was pierced previously, so still suspicious.
코멘트:
sure enough, the 1.618 gave up. Now to watch the 2.618

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