holeyprofit

ETH into Classic Bull Trap Zone

holeyprofit 업데이트됨   
INDEX:ETHUSD   이더리움
This trade didn't go too well for me in BTC but today's another day and I'm a gluten for punishment.

Still have BTC shorts on. Largely because I'm noting the indices moves and think BTC may correlate to risk and if the indices are making local breaks BTC may be a catchup trade. Not as comfortable with it as I was a few days ago, but I still think the BTC rejection is viable. At this point I am stopping out on any new highs though in case something I'd not like happens.

Inside the context of me thinking BTC is still a good, albeit nervy, short - I'm very interested in shorting the ETH 76. Like the idea more than shorting BTC.

코멘트:
I've posted the system stop in the OP but I usually look to take a few stops/limit in higher if the simple 76 level doesn't work.

In times it works it improves the net return and when all trades lose you lose a bit less than you were going to anyway. Here's original stop.

if this hits I'll try again close to 86 and/or with some sort of harmonic.

코멘트:
Indices have continued to sell and BTC is filling pending head and shoulders. See updates of this idea.
코멘트:
Strong rejection from ETH here I'd consider good chance of a big tell.
코멘트:
Stops to even now. We're at supports.

Holding to see if wee break but if the bear move fails it'd probably be here.
코멘트:
The indices mentioned in the OP were a much cleaner trade. But if and when this comes, it'd probably be a strong yank.

This much confidence does not build into a tame bear move. If its a bear move, it's going to be ruthless.
액티브 트레이드:
Even stops hit. As mentioned in earlier update I've waited for a head fake pattern to try again.

Next attempt now.
액티브 트레이드:
>if this hits I'll try again close to 86 and/or with some sort of harmonic.

86 entry taken.

Biggest try now. Always size biggest closest to failure points.
코멘트:
ETH has broken the 61 fib.

Continues to be very consistent with a bull trap.
코멘트:
ETH is now retesting the 61 fib.

If there's a big rejection of this level we can easily drop to the 50 fib quickly. Over 25% down from the 61 fib.

Would often be a classic tell of a bull trap if there's a big 61 rejection.

Important spot.
코멘트:
ETH under the 61 again.

Not a good look for your bull market.

면책사항

이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.