Market Outlook for Week 5 (US):

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The upcoming week features several key economic events and data releases that could significantly influence market sentiment and asset prices. Below are the highlights and their potential market implications:

Key Economic Events & Data Releases

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday, January 31, 2025)

Time: 2:00 PM EST

The Federal Reserve is expected to halt its rate cuts after 100 basis points of cuts last year, with investors keen to understand future monetary policy. 

European Central Bank Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, February 1, 2025)

Time: 7:45 AM EST

The European Central Bank is anticipated to cut rates by another 25 basis points due to economic sluggishness and tariff threats from the U.S. 

Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, February 1, 2025)

Time: 10:00 AM EST

The Bank of Canada is expected to maintain its current interest rate, with market participants closely monitoring any indications of future monetary policy adjustments.

Advance Economic Indicators Report (Tuesday, February 5, 2025)

Time: 8:30 AM EST

This report will provide insights into international trade, retail, and wholesale activities, offering a snapshot of the U.S. economy’s performance. 

Major Corporate Earnings Reports

Several major companies, predominantly in the technology sector, are set to report earnings, including Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Apple. 

Market Implications

Equity markets will likely remain sensitive to any data hinting at changes in economic growth, inflation, or labor market conditions. Positive surprises in growth or inflation cooling could drive risk-on sentiment, while signs of a slowing economy or stubborn inflation might increase market volatility. Bond markets may see notable movement depending on the GDP and Core PCE figures, while the U.S. dollar’s trajectory will largely depend on labor market and inflation data.

Investors should prepare for potential volatility across sectors, particularly in interest rate-sensitive areas like technology and real estate.

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