When Will We See a New Global MARKET CRASH? The Answer Is...
KEY TAKE AWAY'S: - DOW JONES (DJI)
1. If we drop -16 % from our HIGH, we will go into a Bear Market (red dotted line)
2. 80 % of the time we will also drop to -24 % according to historical data
3. 73 % of the time, if we go into a Bear Market, we will also go into a recession.
4. AND an average bear market last 1.5 years with a -34 % percent decline in price!
METHOD:
- I have superimposed the 2007-2008 Crash on top of the new already in process ABC-correction. It matches with waves and divergences on e.g. RSI.
- I have taking FA into consideration:
a. Real Estate Crisis in the bigger cities - US Real Estate Bubble about to implode also
b. Expectations to when and how much FED and chairman Powell's will raise interest rates
c. Looked at the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and compared it to other Market Crashes
RESULT:
We will go into a Bear Market 30.9.2019
D4 - Please Leave a LIKE if you appreciated the content!
1. If we drop -16 % from our HIGH, we will go into a Bear Market (red dotted line)
2. 80 % of the time we will also drop to -24 % according to historical data
3. 73 % of the time, if we go into a Bear Market, we will also go into a recession.
4. AND an average bear market last 1.5 years with a -34 % percent decline in price!
METHOD:
- I have superimposed the 2007-2008 Crash on top of the new already in process ABC-correction. It matches with waves and divergences on e.g. RSI.
- I have taking FA into consideration:
a. Real Estate Crisis in the bigger cities - US Real Estate Bubble about to implode also
b. Expectations to when and how much FED and chairman Powell's will raise interest rates
c. Looked at the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and compared it to other Market Crashes
RESULT:
We will go into a Bear Market 30.9.2019
D4 - Please Leave a LIKE if you appreciated the content!
코멘트:
MUST SEE: I told you about how we had real estate crisis in the bigger cities around the world.
Now take a look at US also - the bubble is about to implode.
XHB index, the Homebuilder Index, is where we want to look if we want to get an idea about the real estate market in US. It's a really good leading indicator, and are composed of sectors like: homebuilding, construction supply, home improvement, electrical components and home furnishing etc.
It predicted the market crash in 2007-2008 - notice how the index already crashed in 2006 before the real crash happened. Also notice how 2018 has been a huge bloodbath. This could very well be a sign of an coming crash, IF we continue down.
Now take a look at US also - the bubble is about to implode.
XHB index, the Homebuilder Index, is where we want to look if we want to get an idea about the real estate market in US. It's a really good leading indicator, and are composed of sectors like: homebuilding, construction supply, home improvement, electrical components and home furnishing etc.
It predicted the market crash in 2007-2008 - notice how the index already crashed in 2006 before the real crash happened. Also notice how 2018 has been a huge bloodbath. This could very well be a sign of an coming crash, IF we continue down.
코멘트:
First the Tariff Crisis between Trump and China - Then the Huawei case, where US got Huawei’s CFO Meng Wanzhou arrested in Canada - later she granted bailed out after 1 week in detention after protests from China.
All this has let to disbelief in the upcoming US-China Trade Deal.
But both Chinese officials and the Trump administration have now made a concerted effort to convince market participants that negotiations will soon bear fruit.
Since then optimism over trade negotiations between the U.S. and China helped drive gains for stocks overall .
This will keep US Stocks increasing in price the next months - also the fact that next week at the Federal Reserve (FED) Meeting - We might see interest rates rise.
But experts believe that FED Chairman Powell will be able to calm the market, so we can see further growth and postpone the Market Crash for now.
All this has let to disbelief in the upcoming US-China Trade Deal.
But both Chinese officials and the Trump administration have now made a concerted effort to convince market participants that negotiations will soon bear fruit.
Since then optimism over trade negotiations between the U.S. and China helped drive gains for stocks overall .
This will keep US Stocks increasing in price the next months - also the fact that next week at the Federal Reserve (FED) Meeting - We might see interest rates rise.
But experts believe that FED Chairman Powell will be able to calm the market, so we can see further growth and postpone the Market Crash for now.
At this time we are already above before 2007-2008 Crash Level.
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