Buy Idea Deutsche Bank

2021년 7월 13일

Deutsche Bank saw a rather weak performance since June and was not able to maintain the positive trend of the first half of the year. I expect financials to perform well this week, after the sector also put in a positive performance yesterday. The US banking giants start the fiscal Q2 2021 earnings season today. The first are JPMorgan and investment banking giant Goldman Sachs. Deutsche Bank itself publishes the results only on July 28, but would benefit from upbeat earnings, especially from Goldman Sachs. We can find a good entry point at Deutsche Banks current stock price (€10.35 - €10.45). Goldman Sachs published strong results in the last four quarters and showed particularly strong results in Q1 2021. It was mainly driven by a significant jump in investment banking and sales & trading revenues on a Y-o-Y basis (also boosted by weak 2020 figures), followed by positive growth in the asset management business. While I don't expect this trend to have continued in the same pace, I believe that GS was able to perform strongly in Q2 2021 as well. Goldman Sachs reports before today's NYSE opening. For Deutsche Bank, the figures from investment banking are particularly important, as in 2020 Germany's largest bank also generated the majority of its profit through investment banking.