COVID-19 Peak and containment dates forecasted

A sine wave is used to approximate an anticipated normal distribution of the total confirmed US cases. According to this forecast, the cases will peak around May 5th and the virus will be contained around June 24th. ATR 1 is used as a derivative of total cases and shows that growth has peaked and is now decreasing. Growth was also forecasted using a sine wave which shows negative growth after May 5th. This confirmed cases forecast is a best approximation by someone who isn't qualified.

Edit: the latest data point is not complete at the time of this posting and throws off the chart somewhat, especially the ATR.

주문취소됨:

Yea, I was a off in my understanding of the data. I thought this was an active total, not a cumulative total. I was wrong. Oh well, I told you I wasn't qualified.