The key fundamental driver now is Amazon’s expansion into same-day grocery delivery. That’s a strong negative for Instacart and should keep pressure on the stock.
The business model is also less sophisticated compared to peers. In Germany, for example, Knusper runs its own warehouses with automated, AI-driven logistics and in-house software. Instacart by contrast still relies on sending gig workers into partner stores to shop and deliver. That setup looks weaker when Amazon is scaling with its own logistics backbone.
With that backdrop, I expect a drift down into the $39–40 zone, where a rebound attempt might show up. Until then, the smoother path is lower.
Institutional stance: funds are mainly in hold/sell mode, not buyers. Motivations can differ across players, but broadly the expectation is that institutions either hold or sell here. So when the price moves up in the short term, it can often be explained by shorts covering or other technical flows, not by new buying. Nobody expects them to accumulate more shares right now. That makes any short-term pop more likely a short opportunity than a bullish sign.
Near-term fundamentals are quiet. The only item ahead is a Goldman Sachs fireside chat on Sep 10, which historically hasn’t moved the stock much unless management says something unexpected.
Trade idea: buy puts expiring Sep 19 or Sep 26. Strike around current stock price or slightly higher. Willing to pay about $1 premium. Targeting downside into 39–40, then reassessing for rebound.
The business model is also less sophisticated compared to peers. In Germany, for example, Knusper runs its own warehouses with automated, AI-driven logistics and in-house software. Instacart by contrast still relies on sending gig workers into partner stores to shop and deliver. That setup looks weaker when Amazon is scaling with its own logistics backbone.
With that backdrop, I expect a drift down into the $39–40 zone, where a rebound attempt might show up. Until then, the smoother path is lower.
Institutional stance: funds are mainly in hold/sell mode, not buyers. Motivations can differ across players, but broadly the expectation is that institutions either hold or sell here. So when the price moves up in the short term, it can often be explained by shorts covering or other technical flows, not by new buying. Nobody expects them to accumulate more shares right now. That makes any short-term pop more likely a short opportunity than a bullish sign.
Near-term fundamentals are quiet. The only item ahead is a Goldman Sachs fireside chat on Sep 10, which historically hasn’t moved the stock much unless management says something unexpected.
Trade idea: buy puts expiring Sep 19 or Sep 26. Strike around current stock price or slightly higher. Willing to pay about $1 premium. Targeting downside into 39–40, then reassessing for rebound.
액티브 트레이드
I got filled on CART Sep26'25 45.5 Put Limit 1.20, DayTrade is active
노트
On September 5, 2025, Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski maintained an “Equal-Weight” (Hold) rating on Maplebear (CART) and raised the price target from $55 to $57/share 👀I have not read the full report, but it suprised me a bit. I go with the update from Wedbush on August 21, 2025. They downgraded Instacart from Neutral to Underperform and cut its price target from $55 to $42. The firm cited intensified competition from Amazon.
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이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.