CADUSD: Is this a bottom for the Canadian dollar?

2017년 4월 25일

This level might be the bottom in this pair. Trump's tariff announcement might have created a negative enough sentiment to form a bottom here.

From Zerohedge: "Canadians have had a tough time of it recently: they are getting inundated with illegal immigrants (thanks to Trudeau's welcome) and not benefitting from the wholesale emigration north that so many liberals promised if Trump was elected; housing has become unaffordable due to Chinese hot money flows encouraged by the government; the Canadian energy industry is hosed because of US shale production-driven low prices; and now the US imposes trade tariffs on another of their biggest exports."
"The determination that Canada improperly subsidizes its exports is preliminary, and the Commerce Department will need to make a final decision. In addition, the U.S. International Trade Commission will need to find that the U.S. industry has suffered injury. But even a preliminary decision has immediate real-world consequences, by discouraging importers from buying lumber from Canada."
zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-24/trump-announces-20-tariff-canadian-softwood-lumber-imports
To me, as a contrarian, it sounds like a good opportunity, although the odds of the trade working are low, the payoff would be significant.

Good luck,

Ivan Labrie.

2017년 5월 10일

액티브 트레이드

We can get back in on this one.

2017년 7월 14일

노트

Terrible to see it hit the stop, but well, at least we correctly figured out it was the bottom and a huge surge would occur.

2017년 7월 27일

노트