EuroMotif

BTCUSD with a nice Pop, what's NEXT? Bitcoin retrace watch

EuroMotif Mod 업데이트됨   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   비트코인
Nice pop in Bitcoin Price.

What's Next?
Bear Market over?
Bulls back in control?
I don't know. But I do know what I am looking for.

I have drawn fibs (extensions) to measure the current move.
I found two impulses (initial push) that made ripples of perfect multiples.
So where those ripples overlap will be the mostly like turning points.

The current top around 7600 was an exact confluence of Fib extensions from both impulses.
ALSO the Monthly Central Pivot was these, causing may bulls to take profit (including me).
So a retrace is pretty much assured at this point. Question is retrace how deep?

I will be watching the areas marked with Green boxes in main chart.
Those green zones are areas of Fib overlaps, each being a possible bounce point.
So I have 3 good buy zones to watch. Might have just missed a scalp entry, but I think it will offer better buying price.

So now I wait, watch, measure.
Will update as things develop.

Disclaimer: I currently own some Bitcoin, have sold a bunch just now, hoping to buy it back lower.
코멘트:
The first possibility I am watching for:
will be observing the EW micro wave structures for clues.
코멘트:
Short term Price moves matching expectations thus far
코멘트:
BTC still in perfect sync with longer term fibs (grey) as seen by the tiny moves just now (blue) fib on 1min chart All of those Grey Zones were posted on June 30th
코멘트:
코멘트:
Follow up to path shown three pictures above.
Looks like ABC shaping up about as expected
코멘트:
I forgot to note the Monthly R1 and Central pivots.
The Monthly central would be added support for my ''Ideal'' entry
코멘트:
Close up again.
Am about to minor adjustments to the wave count, but wanted to post my original pot one last time.
코멘트:
Minor adjustment to the wave count.
But target still looks viable.
코멘트:
Hmm, currently stuck within the Pink fib lines in pic I am still thinking at least a 7k retest before trying to break thru the clear resistance above, But it will require a strong
wave 3 down, which perhaps EU/UK will bring about in n the next 1-2 hours...
코멘트:
Argh! BTC whales not giving us plebs entry ops, just keep pushing higher...
코멘트:
well, this count was obviously WRONG :(
Observing and re-calculating now.
코멘트:
Price continues to evade my EW paths.
But it can not avoid the Fibs.
Am rethinking the EW counts now
코멘트:
Have been wrong with my EW counts, so re-evaluated.
The more valid count looks to be in this pic:
I thought wave 5 had ended already, but now it seems that wave 5 as an abcde ending diagonal maybe? Regardless, my target entry points are still the same, as not much else has changed in terms of fibs.
코멘트:
OK, new fib to gauge possible retrace now.
The new Fib's 1.618 and 2.618 extensions land exactly with previous zones.
So a) confirms new fib is in same rhythm and b) reinforces the two circled zones.
코멘트:
Wow, gotta love whale manipulation.
But they can't escape the laws of Fibsycs.

Closeup of the small tf Purple fib, with extensions on both sides.
코멘트:
Here we are, at my first possible buy zone.
I did have a small limit buy in that zone (scalp size). not very confident it will fly, but had to take the shot.
코멘트:
Pleasantly surprised by the bounce thus far. Not a huge bounce but bears stopped selling and bulls bought some (including yours truly)
코멘트:
Scalp well in profit.
It bounced exactly where I had hoped, broke through first resistance above, not up against the next resistance band. I might take some profit here soon.
코멘트:
Possible next targets.
If buying power persists, price should break 7500 walls and go a little higher.
코멘트:
Another support established at 7350?
코멘트:
Well here we are at those ''Several Strong Fibs''

Zoomed out, that zone is quite familiar.
There is a lot of resistance here.
BUT the fact that bulls are tapping the ceiling repeatedly increases the chances of breaking it.

If price does break higher, it might be headed for 7800, the next fib confluence.
코멘트:
OOPS, typo above, meant to type:
7600 next as in ''might be headed for 7600.
코멘트:
Spiked above zone to take out Bear Stops, then dove again to take out longs.
코멘트:
Hmm, maybe this?
코멘트:
There were two distinct impulses up (blue and green).
Those two dropped ''stones'' caused ripples upwards in price.
Notice the precise touches of the various Fib ratios of each impulse. The next important confluence is 8370 - 8415 zone (rounded)
코멘트:
A tale of three fibs

the Golden Ratio is my Religion
the Trading View is my Nation
the Moderator Tag is my Flag
면책사항

이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.