double doji trend reversal to the upside.

double doji trend reversal to the upside.

코멘트:

Failed Miserably - Double doji reversal to the downside

코멘트:

nope it didn't fail - just took a minute . Patience

코멘트:

Using the 4 hour candle it looks like BTC will be visiting friends at 10450 today but expect turbulence along the way .
The 4 hour candle also has a showdown in 40 minutes with its next dumping candle so expect some volatility .

코멘트:

Note: the 1 hour the 4 hour, the 6 hour and the 12 hour candles will hit simultaneously in 30 minutes.
These are problematic candles with big punch and may take BTC one leg lower - but I expect BTC will recover.

코멘트:

They look to be warming up now

코멘트:

I would set a stop loss at 9500 as these candles can trigger a drop to 8900.
They probably will not as BTC still shows a climb to 10450 later but a stop loss at 9500 is a good idea for this upcoming dump .

1

코멘트:

time is up let see what happens

코멘트:

9580 looks to be the end target

코멘트:

This should be it for a few hours and BTC should go back up . The 12 candle hour will back in 10 hours and the 4 candle hour in 3 hours to cause more havoc .

코멘트:

First profit target is 9920

코멘트:

10472 is still a target but the Journey there is volatile and it will take a good few hours to get there.

코멘트:

correction first target is 9815 second is 9920

코멘트:

10494

코멘트:

This is the hour candle dumping it should stop at 9640

코멘트:

4 hour and 1 hour will dump again in 45 mins . Can get to 9580 then move back upwards.
BTC is still signalling 104xx as the end move - but will l take a while

코멘트:

next tagret 10656

코멘트:

Incoming Trend reversal - dual doji after long upward climb

코멘트:

BTC has to remain above 10219 or face the wrath of Khan.

코멘트:

Triple top on the 15 minutes - A triple top usually indicate a reversal

whats a triple top
-----------------------------
The Triple Top Reversal is a bearish reversal pattern typically found on bar charts, line charts and candlestick charts. There are three equal highs followed by a break below support.

stockcharts.com...school/doku.php?id=chart_s...

코멘트:

we can determine if its a break up or down move if BTC moves downwards past 10190. BTC has no current business in this 1019xx area

코멘트:

Triple top - BTC needs to stay above 10190

코멘트:

Breaking past 10410 escapes the triple top dilemma .

코멘트:

Have to be careful here as this can also be a drop to 8900

코멘트:

BTC has to break past 103xx or out the top of the triangle

코멘트:

we could see BTC 99x at the minimum as the 1 hour candle is currently counting down . The bottom of the triangle looks like it can be hit also which is 96xx.

BTC has no business today in areas lower than 10190 today . So i think BTC will drop lower unless it moves back above 1019x . BTC also has no business today at 99xx. Going past this means much lower drops.

note: that the 3 dojis also have not been used yet so BTC can still break up or break down.

코멘트:

Three black crows on the 10 minute candle indicating we will drop to 99xx

What does 'Three Black Crows' mean
Three black crows is a bearish candlestick pattern that is used to predict the reversal of the current uptrend. This pattern consists of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that have opened within the real body of the previous candle and closed lower than the previous candle. Often times, traders use the indicator in conjunction with other technical indicators or chart patterns as confirmation of a reversal.

Read more: Three Black Crows www.investopedia.com...hree_black_crows.asp

코멘트:

!2 hour candle has joined in and will take BTC down to 96xx , but this can take up to 6 hours,

코멘트:

more possibilites

코멘트:

Aha moment - There was a hidden support at 10016 which explains why BTC is going up and skipped the 99xx area . Can this bounce do the trick ? BTC needs to get above 10400 continue upwards.Above 103xx is a good sign also

코멘트:

There's that unfriendly resistance at 10214 which needs to be crossed .

코멘트:

BTC is testing 10215 a few more times , BTC the bull will usually head butt the opponent multiple time in an attempt to disable it.

코멘트:

interesting observation . The lengths of ABC and D are approx the same - will E be 91xx ?

코멘트:

The 4 hour drop distance for this move is 99xx so this may be it for a few more hours

코멘트:

BTC just needs to get over 9912

코멘트:

if BTC is unable to hold 88xx then the next stop will be 96xx .

코멘트:

I : if BTC is unable to hold 98xx then the next stop will be 96xx . But i think BTC can hold 98xx for a few hours

코멘트:

The big drop will be in 3 hours and 30 mins when the 12hour the 6 hour the 8 hour and 4 hour candles drop dumping candles simultaneously .

코멘트:

ahh but BTC can get a run to 10218 while waiting

코멘트:

There are 3 black crows on the 30 minute candle so if in this run take the profit at 10218 or 10200 to be safe

코멘트:

The 1 hour candle will also trigger a dump candle in 15 minutes but the 15 minute and the 30 minute candles have flipped positive and can counter balance it .

The 3 hour candle has also flipped positive and can jump in to help the 15 and 30 if needed .
This is a high risk low yield gamble at $300 profit per BTC

코멘트:

The candles to worry about are the 12 hour t the 8 hour and 4 hour candles but they have wondered off for 3 hours .

코멘트:

BTC IS Moving fast to get to 10218 before the 1 hour candle show up in 3 minutes

코멘트:

30 seconds for the 1 hour candle to show up

코멘트:

Haha that was a sneaky move - its going up .

코멘트:

10214 - may take a while

코멘트:

There is also another target at 10711. But its unknown if BTC will dip before hitting it . This will depend on what the 12 candle hour does in 2 hours

코멘트:

1 hour candle will dump again in 5 minutes - can drop to 9766 but should bounce back to 99xx

코멘트:

times up

코멘트:

worst case the 4 hour candle; will stop it at 96xx and move it back up

코멘트:

1 hour is done dumping and BTC will try for 10010 .

코멘트:

There's not much support in this area and slip will be a problem so BTC laid down a double bottom at 98xx for saftey.

코멘트:

BTC hit 10010 , now it knows the way to 10218

코멘트:

The bears are going to drop BTC to 9914 - But BTC has the double bottom backup at 98xx and will take another shot at 10218 after the dip

코멘트:

10 min candle ; will give BTC a boost in a few seconds

코멘트:

15 min candle has a backup candle coming up in1 minute to help out BTC

코멘트:

30 minute candle is also getting a backup candle ready in 15 minutes to help out BTC

코멘트:

once BTC hits 101218 the 3 black crows are equalized with 3 white soldiers and whats left should be a candle to move BTC upwards to 10327 , The 30 min backup candle will also show up .

코멘트:

Bears are going to try really hard to prevent the move to 10218

코멘트:

This dump is because the 5 min candle laid down a dump candle . BTC should kick it out of the way in a minute or two

코멘트:

The 10 minute candle will seal the deal for 10218 in 2 minutes - it will try .

코멘트:

good idea to take some profit at 10200 area if trading

코멘트:

ahh this is the 3 minute candle trying to help out the bears with a dump candle . BTC should kick it out of the way in a few minutes also 3 minutes really !
- it will try a 12 minute dump

코멘트:

10079 will attempt to catch it

코멘트:

This a challenging spot as in 29 minutes the 12 hour candle shows up . BTC has to cross 10218 before this 12 hour candle shows up .

코멘트:

On Bitfinex its only $48 more buck needed to cross 10218

코멘트:

90 minute candle has a backup candle coming in 3 minutes

코멘트:

here it goes

코멘트:

Im going to get off at this stop here and will rejoin after 10218

코멘트:

that 12 hour candle makes me uncomfortable

코멘트:

If BTC hits 10218 the 12 hour candle will fip positive and give BTC a boost up .

코멘트:

The 4 hour candle has turned positive and the 12 hour looks like it may also . BTC is also contemplating 10326

코멘트:

The 12 hour candle has teamed up with the 3 hour and 2 hour candles to cause havoc - but the 4 hour 8 hour and 9 hour candles will try to counter .

Estimated time of arrival 1 minute.

코멘트:

Yes!! BTC got it !

코멘트:

now onto 10326.

코멘트:

BTC need to make one big candle to move right past 10326 , no stopping here

코멘트:

This move will end at 10381, if you exited you can rejoin after the dip .
Never chase a moving target.

코멘트:

Possible triple top at this location .

코멘트:

3 white soldiers on the 15 min should be able to take BTC to 10353

코멘트:

triple top pullback should stop first at 10211

코멘트:

down to 10200

코멘트:

stop at 99xx and go back up

코멘트:

this should be it for a few more hours -

코멘트:

now we can get back to making $$

코멘트:

The drop distance of the candle drop is only 10021 so it has to bounce back to that value

코멘트:

4 hour candle is always starting something ,never a dull moment when hes around.

코멘트:

Luckily this BTC and BTC always bounces back,

코멘트:

This four hour candle will be forced to move back to 10021 everytime ,

코멘트:

because the dump distance is not correct

코멘트:

The 4 hour candle has another dump in 30 minutes - no matter what it does it will still get pulled back to 10021 as the distance dropped is incorrect.

코멘트:

The real dump will be when the daily MACD crosses over

코멘트:

Because the sum of the candles are unequal due to the dump . The current 4 hour candle will be pulled back to 10021 minimum every time it strays . This can only change when the next 4 hour candle comes along

코멘트:

The next 4 hour dump candle will be along in 7 minutes - but BTC is already hinting at 10608.

코멘트:

this new 4hr candle can hit 97xx but it will come back up and move higher

코멘트:

10300 incoming

코멘트:

One hour is about to dump in 2 mins

코멘트:

BTC eyeing the 97xx area with every dump

코멘트:

The Daily MACD has crossed , pack the kids and the dog and some neighbors you like and leave town .

코멘트:

45 , 90 and 15 min candles dumping in 1 minute

코멘트:

12 hour, 4hour, 1 hour ,2hour , 3 hour and 90 min , 45 and 30 min candles all dumping in the next hour .

This will be a challenging hour for BTC

코멘트:

Theres something not right with this dump

코멘트:

I think its a trick to get us to part with BTC - HODL the BTC dont sell it yet . I juts sold two BTC and it sold too easily . BTC never sells easily when its not a trick so something is off here ..BUY the DIP.

코멘트:

The big money players are playing misdirection

코멘트:

now when i go to buy my two BTC back its a much slower process - something is fishy here. HODL you BTC

코멘트:

Doesn't make sense - BTC sells too easily a buy buys too slow - This should be the other way round . Someone is playing tricks

코멘트:

Hang in there for this next hour . This dump next hours dump may be it for a while .

코멘트:

The 15 and 30 are coming first in 6 minutes

Then 30 minutes later the 12 hour, 4hour, 1 hour ,2hour , 3 hour and 90 min , 45 will join in .

Lets see what they got

코멘트:

maybe nothing will happen

코멘트:

The 15 and 30 are here ...what will they do ?

코멘트:

looks to be upward movement

코멘트:

Look like BTC is becoming bullish ...glad I held my BTC

코멘트:

here they come .

12 hour, 4hour, 1 hour ,2hour , 3 hour and 90 min , 45

lets see what they will do

코멘트:

We may be done dumping for today , These fellas mean no harm

코멘트:

Triple spinning tops on the 5 minute could be signaling an impulsive movement up or down .

코멘트:

Crap that was it ! BTC is sinking hard to 95xx

코멘트:

Thats it for the 1 hour candle it turns positive in an hour and should stay that way for up to 8 hours . He will be missed .

코멘트:

Believe it or not BTC will be hit 64k and 100k in 2018 - Incredible and yet it will happen .

코멘트:

The important values are 53, 64 and 100k they must be targets I assume .

코멘트:

BTC will accelerate rapidly the last week of March ( around march 22nd ) and there's no looking back.

코멘트:

With the orders observed below by @RodrigoGarreton we can come to terms with the fact that BTC can go as low as 8500 or even lower. The question is when and whether to exit and buy back lower or brave the stormy seas and HODL.! -

- Guys / Gals your Feedback on this matter is appreciated- Please post your thoughts below so we can devise a plan and maximize profits.
- No answer is too trivial - it can be as simple as one word "HODL" or "sell" !!!


138 9,600 277 277
633 9,500 928 1,206
384 9,400 284 1,491
475 9,300 604 2,095
582 9,200 622 2,718
547 9,100 461 3,180
730 9,000 787 3,967
426 8,900 220 4,187
306 8,800 564 4,751
207 8,700 125 4,877
207 8,600 179 5,056
233 8,500 267 5,324

코멘트:

Todays target has two options -
either 94xx or a 1045x . Im not sure which one as BTC can break either way.
I'd take the 1045x profit or even close to 103xx if hit as BTC shows a possible downturn later.

코멘트:

looking at the sideways Head and shoulders 94xx , appears to be in line with the neck which is around 94xx . The value 104xx is the shoulder but this appears to be already completed if compared to the left shoulder.

-so BTC may be visiting 94xx

코멘트:

The completed drop of the Head and shoulders is around 85xx .

코멘트:

but as its leaning to the right side, the completed right side drop will be much lower .

코멘트:

BTC is testing the resistance at 9778

코멘트:

Checkout BTC its going to try 9836 now .BTC is just unstoppable

코멘트:

BTC is not looking good its testing the same resistance over and over again, usually when BTC does this it will dump . It can drop to 93xx -
I dislike selling but ill dump BTC if it does not get over 9800 in the next hour or so.

First ill do some graphs to see of theres any hope for today or sunday .

코멘트:

BTC has made a triple top at 9744 and theres only so much testing you can do before the money runs out.
if BTC cant cross the low 9744 number . what hope is there for the HODLers this Saturday ?

코멘트:

Switching to the 5 minute view shows BTC is sitting on an inverted head and shoulders and BTC is trying to break the wrong way an move down from the right shoulder to 93xx.

코멘트:

Hidden bullish divergence ..looks to be up

코멘트:

45 min view

코멘트:

looks like a hidden bullish divergence and its going to go up .

코멘트:

Sold - Not much support after 9500 - playing it safe .

코멘트:

I still think it was not the right move as BTC sold dammed fast - its as if I was led like sheep to the exchange to part with my BTC for FIAT.

I've never seen BTC sell fast, it always sells slowly and this has been my biggest complaint why does it sell so slow - But today "poof" sold in 1 second....something just doesn't feel right about this .

A dark cloud has set it - I'm off to wander the land for 40 days and 40 nights and ponder the meaning of life.

코멘트:

Incoming trend reversal double doji, triple doji showdown. 45 min candle also flips positive in 130 min and will climb.

Great catch to @ant187 for spotting the dojis-

코멘트:

First stop is 9742

코멘트:

9857 then 9916

코멘트:

lets give it while to make sure its not a break down , although in sure its a break up as the trend reversal reverses the current direction . So in this case it will have to be up

코멘트:

guess ill get back in ....grrr i knew it felt like a forced sell

코멘트:

45 min candle is leading the pack and moving up .

코멘트:

This is how it should be ...now I buy back my BTC I have to wait ages. Thats when i know its the right move

코멘트:

The 15 min the 30 the 45 and the 90 are moving their MACD towards the positive side. The 4 hour will be done in 8 hours and the 12 hour will be done in 24 hours.

- The 4 hour and 12 hour candles will dump in 90 mins time but I expect this to be minimal as the other candles are turning positive.

코멘트:

BTC is signaling 108xx but thats almost $1100 - ill confirm this , and be conservative and use 10700 . Notice how this is also a continuation of yesterdays move from 105xx which is interesting.

코멘트:

First target is 9747 then 9915 and 10214, . There is almost $300 difference between 9915 and 10214 and 9915 is the closest support from 10214, so usually ill sell at 10214 and wait for BTC to come back down and buy it back at 9915 and pick up the extra $300. Things move slow in a bear market so you can pick up a extra cash on the climb up - you just have to be patient.

- These stop and grab moves are risky as BTC will often skip them so it may be best to go long and play safe

코멘트:

10508 is also a double top and maybe the short term end-move for today, but if BTC has sufficient momentum it can move to 108xx . This spot will be a double -top also and could also be the end move.

코멘트:

Sold all my BTC - it should come back down tp 95xx then ill pick it back up

코멘트:

that was a quick trade

코멘트:

What exactly is BTC doing ? it putting candles backwards - acting very strange

코멘트:

- Inverted head and shoulders with 2 choices 89xx or 10003

코멘트:

BTC has been trying to break the neckline the entire day .at 9785 , if it does not break it . it can drop .

코멘트:

shorterm may be down - but the real target is 13k .
Next graph we will look inside the channel and see whats happening inside.

코멘트:

inside the channel - can move to 93xx

코멘트:

this drop can also complete the right shoulder move
if this is correct it should not pass 9500 . I
******************************************************************************
BTC DROPS PAST 9500 - DUMP IT AND BUY BACK AT 8900
******************************************************************************

코멘트:

Moving past 9500 confirms this is not an inverse head and shoulders and BTC will be moving to 8900 in the coming days . in case BTC is playing tricks wait for 9400 before exiting . BTC will make two choices and both are win win situations.

BTC Choices
----------------
A) if BTC reverses at 9400 it will move to 10k .
B) if BTC drops lower than 9400 it will move to 8900 , So Exit and wait for 8900 in the next few days/ hours .
- both are win win scenarios

코멘트:

If BTC misbehaves and drops we gain an extra $500 per BTC by selling and buying back at 8900.

If BTC behaves and goes up then we can move to1 0k and above and can make more profit.
- Either way we make a profit.

코멘트:

I think BTC can go back up in 7 minutes

코멘트:

BTC should either breakdown fast or break up fast in 3 minutes .

코멘트:

60 seconds

코멘트:

Cup and handle with cookies and milk indicating a move to 10212.
if this is correct , BTC should drop to the low 9500 area and move upwards
really fast for a mini BTC break out.

IF BTC -drops past 9400 dump it as its going to 8900 ,

코멘트:

Wait for the breakout- i think there should be one ...mmmh

코멘트:

usually in these cases a sudden break upwards is observed with a big candle which breaks the resistance at 97xx ...mmh

코멘트:

BTC has laid down 3 hammers ,its not accepting this downtrend business,

코멘트:

BTC would need to move past 9747 for further upward movement

코멘트:

we need to see a big candle confirming upward moment - so far none in sight,

코멘트:

BTC will touch 9747 and probably fail , but BTC may pull back to 9612 and make another cup and saucer and come back and hit 9747 a few times with this cup and saucer.

코멘트:

A few slaps to the head with the saucer should normally be sufficient . Lets hope the saucer holds.

코멘트:

BTC put a hint n the 10 minute candle letting us know its going to 9764 by any means necessary -

코멘트:

A few more slaps with the saucer should do it . The 90 minute candle confirms it wants to head to 9817.

코멘트:

Failure for BTC to get through 9747 will result in a fall to 89xx .

코멘트:

I suspect this attempt will fail - and BTC will pull back to 9623 or or 9512 and make return with a battering ram to be used against 9747.
This will be the last shot at 9747

코멘트:

For this play targets are 10116 and 10500
- sequcence of steps - BTC will move from

a) move from 9747 to 10116
b) move from 10116 to 10212
c) Fall from 10212 to 9747
d) Move from 9747 to 10500
e) fall from 10500 to 8900

코멘트:

should bounce at 9445 or abandon ship

코멘트:

more like 9432 it should bounce

코멘트:

Bounced and now its time for BTC to deal with that 9747 and get it out of the way - Pesky resistance causing problems as usual . enough already .

코멘트:

We still need to see that big candle with momentum for confirmation of upward movement.

코멘트:

Look carefully these are the long term options- It will depend which way BTC Exits this flag

코멘트:

Which also coincides with this graph i drew on Feb 2nd

코멘트:

BTC has to avoid 8900 at costs .

코멘트:

The current situation

With 4k BTC in sight I figured I stick this one out out of interest at least till 9200

코멘트:

now here is the kicker

코멘트:

The targets for BTC are still 53000 , 64000 and 100,000 in 2018 .

코멘트:

if you find this hard to believe - remember this saying ,

"its never about how much will be put in . Its about how much will be taken out"

코멘트:

BTC take off time is still scheduled for march 22nd the last week of march

코멘트:

This means that in the next 3 weeks there is going to be a lot of volatility as the big money set up their game play to accumulate as much BTC as possible

코멘트:

we may stop at 9300 for a few hours or minutes . (never know with BTC ) before moving onto 8900

코멘트:

There will be upward climbs in this 3 weeks also just no new ATH records yet

코멘트:

Ive noticed that the graphs tell the truth , they just take a few days hours or even a week or two to hit the targets.

코멘트:

This is a BTC thread i know ..but this graph i drew on Jan 16th showed XRP will hit 49 cents and im very sure it will - i like my XRP

코멘트:

I think the XRP dip will be when BTC hits 4k as this will be a 50% hit

코멘트:

The reason BTC will hit 100k is if you graph it the drop from 100k is back to 30k

코멘트:

is this the missing candle coming up

코멘트:

it would have to be a big candle that moves fast and high

코멘트:

Is BTC trying complete the move above > mmh
where is that candle ?

코멘트:

Also BTC will need to pass 9550 for confirmation and pass it with confidence and momentum

코멘트:

if not it will hit 9515 and drop a leg lower

코멘트:

This looks a bit too close for comfort

코멘트:

Wow BTC got it . 9552 - give us the candle for confirmation

코멘트:

The target is 9745

코멘트:

look like BTC is eyeing 9745 then probably down again .

코멘트:

The 1 hour candle has flipped positive which gives BTC 4 hours of Up-time .
The 12 candle will flip to positive in 3 hours.
Will have to keep a close eye on BTC as the next dip looks like it will be around 8900

코멘트:

Good idea to take the profit at 9745

코멘트:

BTC will hit 9745 in about 3 hours , that very close to the 1 hour candles 4 hours of up time - so proceed with caution at that time . One the plus side the 12 hour candle will flip to positive in 2 hours

코멘트:

Id set a 3 hour alarm and check-in with BTC at that time,

코멘트:

Reaching 9745 gives BTC two inverse head and shoulders . im not sure if that means anything

BTC getting past 9745 opens up the way to 10450.
failing to cross over will open up the way to 8900.

코멘트:

45 and 30 min candles are giving sell signals now

코멘트:

seems a bit early for a sell signal as 9745 has not been hit but I see there is a double top at the current location

코멘트:

This dip should be small as the real target is 9745

코멘트:

down target should be around 9509

코멘트:

in 24 mins the 45 min candle will turn bearish

매매 수동청산:

closing - this out too long to scroll down
continuing here

코멘트:

Switching to this graph as it has more info

매매 수동청산