19/02/24 Weekly outlook

Last weeks high: $42846.80
Last weeks low: $50286.30
Midpoint: $47725.79

BITCOIN has finally done it! BTC has flipped the all important 49K S/R level and has had a week of confirmation meaning 49K is now major support and a new trading zone has been entered.

Last week we saw BTC continue the rally that started the week previously with a near linear move up towards the resistance level, now the chart shows at the 0.25 level price broke through that level and had a successful retest followed by a further push up towards just shy of 53K. This price action initially took capital and interest away from the altcoin market, however now that we have some sideways chop as BTC establishes a base for which it can push towards the halving and ATH, some of those profits have now cycled through to ETH and the altcoin market with some double digit returns across the board.

All this price action is very bullish from a TA standpoint along with the FA side of things with BlackRock now owning MUN:10B+ in BTC for their ETF the sell pressure has definitely dropped and with the halving fast approaching the supply will drop even more.

For this week I would not be surprised if we see a revisit of the midpoint ~50K area and continue ranging for a little bit while altcoins rally and play catch up. In particular the AI coins have shown particular strength and I do think this category of altcoins will outperform a large portion of the market. I would begin to get worried if we see BTC fall back below the 49k range although the longer we stay at the current level I think the less likely that is to happen.
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