DrJLT

BTC possible inverted H&S, to watch for 8.5k 9.5k 7.8k 10k

DrJLT 업데이트됨   
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   비트코인
Very straightforward: we go up the same way we came down.

The chart is illustrative. I think we'll slow down & take some time in each accumulation zone. Chinese NY is the 16th.

BTC is like an index. In the short-term, its dominance level is likely to stay; perhaps it could even go a little higher around / after the breakout. Coins that significantly & consistently outperform BTC are the ones to hold. Those that underperform BTC are speculation-only IMHO.
코멘트:
Appears to be rather stable in the "accumulation zone".

Perhaps when RSI goes to 50 & UO under 40 on 4h scale we could be ready for the push.
코멘트:
As I mentioned in my reply to @monitorr below, it seems that the lower boundary for the zone is 7.6k not 7.8k.

I think we're not ready for breakout today; a revisit later to 7.8k & hard bounce w/ volume combined with the oscillators as I mentioned in my last update should be the signal.
코멘트:
Btw, I see people are suggesting a retest of 6k on TV, including someone that at 10k, 9k, & 8k said bull who now says it's downward channel. I see this as a sign of reversal.

After capitulation, many people are in despair. A small fall after the bounce has scared them. Surely we couldn't go straight up even in the most bullish markets?!

I'd say the chance of a 6k retest is minimal, but a retest of 7k is possible.
코멘트:
need to note that while the price seems to be close to "wave 5" on the chart; the chart is illustrative. I think we'll touch the bottom of the channel again (at least once more) before breakout
코멘트:
On second thought, perhaps suggesting "waves" here at this very small time scale isn't the most appropriate.

I'd like to see that we accumulate for a while & build a strong base.
코멘트:
If this evening / night we see a slow drop towards the bottom of the channel, it'll be very bullish.

We need to accumulate, and within the range it's likely to come down. If there's no rush sell-off during this, the market sentiment can be confirmed to be warming up.

Also, like I mentioned yesterday in the comment section that I think the ones that are likely to perform well are those with solid fundamentals & great progress: I believe in the beginning of a market cycle people are more cautious; it's towards the end, when the market is euphoric, that people buy into undelivered promises.

It's one of my investment principles. I can't post the link here because I'm not a "premium member" & not allowed to promote myself. I may subscribe if I get to make a little this year. Cash flow is tight.
코멘트:
Another strong push. This to me again confirms that the bulls are starting to gain momentum

Nevertheless, IMHO we're not going to break out just yet. Perhaps this evening or tomorrow. Again, this breakout will likely be followed by a retest (as this post original suggests).
코멘트:
Probably should've bought some LTC when BTC was at 7.8k this morning. Still thinking it should have a "spring" before breakout. --- of course nothing is certain unless you certainly know (in which case I wouldn't be posting here :D).
코멘트:
Binance back online & everything is safe --- this is a bull push that may bring us to 9.5k. I think it's quite likely to have a breakout tonight / tomorrow.
코멘트:
We have crept out of the accumulation zone. I expect around 9.5k in 24h but a drop afterwards (that is if the chart was right)
코멘트:
oho, seems to have failed 9k & heading towards 8.5k
코멘트:
We have a falling wedge now. Quite likely to see a bounce back to 9k, but going under 8k would be bad.
코멘트:
Need to watch closely. I'd say if we go above 8.5k we have a breakout above the falling wedge. This'll take us to retest 9k.

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