ChrisD_Macro

BTCUSD - Demark 9 count signals short term top but...

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   비트코인
The 12 hour chart on BTCUSD is showing a 9 count with reversal today as these factors come into play:
  • Just closed above overhead trend line resistance yesterday
    The Twitter Famous (fwiw) "Inverted Head and Shoulders" pattern has played out signaling moves to the 17k levels
    Bullish territory above the pivot, thought admittedly this is a weak bullish indicator
    Bottoming price action on high volume from the 6k lows
    All5 of my algo's have BTC in a long
    BTC stayed above the 200 day moving average
    BTC closed above the 50 day moving average last week

Currently 50% of full long exposure.

Next levels that I'm looking for is a close above the midpoint of R1 and R2 at about the $12,200 levels. From here I'd look to buy the first pullback and up my BTC long exposure.

If that happens, it would signal a bullish breakout and open the door to confirming the bullish breakout by holding above the 12,900 level for over 6 hours. Again from here I'd look to buy the first pullback and that would again increase my BTC long exposure.

Finally from there the 17k level would be in sight.

I'm coming at this from a traders perspective, more of a swing trader than day trader. Moves to 23/26k, 50k, 64k, 100k are on the table but they aren't near enough to be within the analysis...and to be fair a sub $2,000 price is also on the table in some of the analysis.

I write a newsletter about edges in financial markets…and life. Traders responsible for 9+ figures in daily transactions read it and you should too. Former USMC. www.pollinatetrading.com
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