I thought I would chart up a potential long term Elliot Wave pattern for Bitcoin.
We are nearing a top for primary wave 3 (within cycle wave 3) in my opinion. The bitcoin futures will be traded soon. I believe this will cause a wave 3 top before the end of 2017. My bet is somewhere around 25k, but it is obviously insanely difficult to call a top/bottom.
EW Degree info: en.wikipedia.org/wik...liott_wave_principle
Here is a look at the subwaves within this primary wave 3 (the screenshot shows the orange waves as intermediate but im pretty sure they are actually primary, green should be intermediate):
Here is a look at the subwaves within intermediate wave 5 (blue is minor):
Anyone buying here is probably going to get dumped on within a month. Buy the fucking dip and HODL. Long term its going to $1 million, no doubt about it.
We are nearing a top for primary wave 3 (within cycle wave 3) in my opinion. The bitcoin futures will be traded soon. I believe this will cause a wave 3 top before the end of 2017. My bet is somewhere around 25k, but it is obviously insanely difficult to call a top/bottom.
EW Degree info: en.wikipedia.org/wik...liott_wave_principle
Here is a look at the subwaves within this primary wave 3 (the screenshot shows the orange waves as intermediate but im pretty sure they are actually primary, green should be intermediate):
Here is a look at the subwaves within intermediate wave 5 (blue is minor):
Anyone buying here is probably going to get dumped on within a month. Buy the fucking dip and HODL. Long term its going to $1 million, no doubt about it.
코멘트:
What a crazy night. Past couple days has been total dumpage for BTC, right after CME futures launch. So this is either top of this huge 3rd wave (top of blue 5th within green 5th), or the wave count can be adjusted to this for the green 5th wave:
If thats the real wave count, this could end up going to 30k-35k before wave 3 top. Then again who knows?
코멘트:
Just wanted to give some perspective on the dump
Also, the original curve I drew was broken, but it can be readjusted to something like this:
But I am watching for a bad bounce which would confirm an ABC, and I'd look to buy around 8-9k if we break 11k near the 50 day MA:
Also, the original curve I drew was broken, but it can be readjusted to something like this:
But I am watching for a bad bounce which would confirm an ABC, and I'd look to buy around 8-9k if we break 11k near the 50 day MA:
코멘트:
Alright more dump. Lets see if 11k can hold, if not, buys at 8-9k.
코멘트:
Looks like a bounce off the bottom of the daily bollinger bands. Looking at the 4h I drew a green circle where price may run through, as the ichi cloud is thin there. That would be the best route to keep this bullish. On the daily I drew a red circle where price could fall through. That would break this bull run for sure so I would say this has to stay above 12k for sure, and get above 16k by end of year. Watch out for a head and shoulders (even though it never works) and an inverse cup and handle.
Looks like a bounce off the bottom of the daily bollinger bands. Looking at the 4h I drew a green circle where price may run through, as the ichi cloud is thin there. That would be the best route to keep this bullish. On the daily I drew a red circle where price could fall through. That would break this bull run for sure so I would say this has to stay above 12k for sure, and get above 16k by end of year. Watch out for a head and shoulders (even though it never works) and an inverse cup and handle.
코멘트:
Looking back at the daily, it kinda looks like this will be a sideways range (maybe to make a flag). Could chop around here I'd say to mid Jan if that. Bollinger bands could compress, then a bounce off that cloud support could send this to 25k+
코멘트:
Watch out for the Christmas day dump. Possible wedge forming. This could be the ABC retrace.
코멘트:
Weekly godmode screaming "come down."
코멘트:
The main curve was wicked. Break this and it goes south. This lines up with that thin ichi cloud around 10.5-11k I posted above.
코멘트:
코멘트:
Bitstamp makes me even more bullish going into the new year if something like this were to happen, as long as a rising wedge doesn't play out. Bitcoin likes to break up out of them so who knows. These are just ideas im throwing out there as possibilities for now.. sooner or later these patterns can be invalidated so don't count on them obviously.
코멘트:
코멘트:
코멘트:
retest of breakout
코멘트:
Watching for this. Possible triangle that could form. Could hit a curve near the end of the triangle and send BTC up for more moon.
코멘트:
Been busy lately.. hit play :D
코멘트:
Please ignore this idea. I am redoing my long term elliott wave count. I'll post one more update on this idea that links to the new idea when I am done. Thank you!