Tadej

BTC getting ready to make a move

Tadej 업데이트됨   
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   비트코인
Consolidation triangle (reflecting price peaks and valleys) is getting narrower and volume is getting lower, so we should expect a breakout soon.

After long bear and bouncing from $6000ish a few times, I think BTC is getting ready to make it's move. The question is just, which way?

I wouldn't be surprised if (before ending this bear trend) we re-test support or drop lower and create a long wick on higher timeframes. I think that, if prices are able to back to current levels, would make a great case for next bull cycle.
코멘트:
According to historical data yellow MA line seems significant. Notice that since we broke it down on February 1st 2018 we have problems getting and staying above, so doing that could mean a bullish signal.

Until then it will act as resistance (for the past few days it seems like its keeping/pushing BTC down).
코멘트:
2 trend lines broken...lets see how many bulls there are to push the price back above.

Next supports are at 6000 and 5800.
코멘트:
Falling wedge resistance seem to have been broken with large volume (23% spike on daily chart). Staying and closing above could be bullish for crpyto.
코멘트:
We failed to close above. Guess it wasn't real breakout but just FUD because of USDT. It may also be a good trap for people waiting for entry if we go back down.
코멘트:
Moving average held price for 3 days (3 closes above it), but looks like it could be broken with this down move. Let's see today's close price...
코멘트:
Up or down? Tighten your seat-belts! :)
코멘트:
BTC seemed quite stable for 9 days since last comment, today it finally broke down.
If 6k-ish doesn't hold, I think next support is around 5,5k.
코멘트:
5.5k$ has just been broken and I think there are some chances we bounce here.

If not I see 4,3k as next support.
코멘트:
BTC is holding quite well at these levels for now. I think if daily candle closes above $5,5k this would mean higher chances for bounce back up to $6k area:

코멘트:
I've noticed RSI is also quite low and may slowly start to signal a reversal - at least short term.

Beside that notice that it hasn't been in this area exactly since start of previous bull run around 17th of August 2015 when price was 220$ (although as you can see RSI reached these levels before reversal).

코멘트:
Last triangle has been broken down...if daily candle closes bellow the triangle, BTC bear times may get extend (supports at 4,8k and 4,3k).
코멘트:
RSI got even lower and is now lower than in 2015. I would expect a strong bounce back because of that.
코멘트:
We didn't reach 4,3k but got close, and we are back to around 4,8k.

Since we broke triangle, here is an updated analysis:

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