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BTC -- pattern within pattern

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COINBASE:BTCUSD   비트코인
Here is quick update to BTC price action. As You see on chart we have Broadening Wedge - Descending which is a part of handle in C&H (inverted).
Price behaves correctly - at least 2 touches on top trendline and 2 touches on bottom trendline. This pattern most of times finishing with upward breakout but that happening during bull market - and we are certainly not there. For bear market - our position - breakout downwards resulting with 25% decline on average, which would be correct as that is 5800 support.
If price recover and start climbing to top line the last hope is fib retrace level of 62% and that is placed at 8500 region. If that is crossed then it means that BTC might break upwards.
Please remember that BW is a part of bigger formation C&H and because of that there are more chances for downwards breakout.

Broadening wedge (descending )

–– Price trend – it can be up or down leading to formation
–– Shape – Megaphone tilted down. Both trend lines sloping down.
–– Touches – for full valid pattern there has to be at least 2 touches at the top line and 2 touches at the bottom line
–– Volume – usually trends upwards.
–– Average prise rise/decline – 24% / 25%

Percentage meeting price target for the bear market is 34% – which means that 1 in 3 patterns will decline 25%. It's not optimistic but gives us idea that price might not reach our target and can revers direction quicker.


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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
코멘트:
price touching wegde - looks like going down
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