The last 3 major drops have some major similarities in their testing of major levels and % of drops
I've just added to my short.
I will start to second-guess myself at 7800 and admit defeat at 8000
I've just added to my short.
I will start to second-guess myself at 7800 and admit defeat at 8000
코멘트:
A picture so you can take a look at it more easily:
코멘트:
H&S a possibility if BTC loses momentum here
H&S a possibility if BTC loses momentum here
코멘트:
It looks like I have misplaced the rightmost retest #2 area. It should be a little higher:
Will close my short if BTC closes above 8100
Will close my short if BTC closes above 8100
코멘트:
Added some short at 7745
I'm hoping this stays below 7800 because above 7800 / 7900, I would start to doubt myself.
I'm only trading a small amount on Bitmex, so trade at your own risk :(
I'm hoping this stays below 7800 because above 7800 / 7900, I would start to doubt myself.
I'm only trading a small amount on Bitmex, so trade at your own risk :(
코멘트:
Here's what I'm looking at:
Although price has increased from 7600 to 7700, the net volume is down 500 BTC. This is an evidence of distribution, IMO..
Although price has increased from 7600 to 7700, the net volume is down 500 BTC. This is an evidence of distribution, IMO..
코멘트:
Another view:
When the price is in a range but OBV is making lower highs, it indicates weakness
When the price is in a range but OBV is making lower highs, it indicates weakness
코멘트:
I expect BTC to start dropping today or tomorrow.
I would be very surprised if BTC goes over 7900
Overall structure matching up. Daily RSI Double top at 45 matching up..
I expect BTC to start dropping today or tomorrow.
I would be very surprised if BTC goes over 7900
코멘트:
An exhausting price movement..
My theory is that whale buying just the necessary amount to get up to the distribution range.
My theory is that whale buying just the necessary amount to get up to the distribution range.
코멘트:
Planning to add more short at 7310~7320 here:
I might not get that entry because this may fall hard without much retracement, like that time we dropped from 8600 to 7300. My rationale is that a bear flag might form, going up to 0.382 retracement at least.
I might not get that entry because this may fall hard without much retracement, like that time we dropped from 8600 to 7300. My rationale is that a bear flag might form, going up to 0.382 retracement at least.
코멘트:
I'm just going to hold my short through this one..
I'm quite sure we were seeing distribution, and I really don't think this is the bottom.
I'm quite sure we were seeing distribution, and I really don't think this is the bottom.
코멘트:
I closed my short at 6550. It got covered during my sleep.
Scared that it might make a strong bounce at low ~mid 6k's
Scared that it might make a strong bounce at low ~mid 6k's
코멘트:
Just went long here.. Super risky but
expecting a short-term bounce
expecting a short-term bounce