When you take the long-term trend lines into consideration, the bulls still have a chance here.
Back in late 2015 the Average Directional Index (ADX), which measure the strength of trend momentum, was turning to the upside as the green positive directional index line also increased.. a sign for the bulls to take control.
The trend line was being tested in early 2017 and the ADX was staying elevated for trend strength. The positive directional index was dropping, but failed to cross down through the red negative directional index line to switch trend, so this was a signal for the bulls to continue control.
The next trend line break was in early 2018 where price started to drop, but instead of turning strongly bearish it was a more sideways trading look. The ADX was dropping low to show a weak trend as the bears took over. This created the range-bound wedge moving forward.
To current day, the ADX is still low, but it is still a picture of who is going to take over. If the wedge holds true we should continue higher and resume the bull trend from before. If we break and I am placing a stop, the bears will likely gain momentum and drop the market hard and create the top of the wedge as a continue bear trend.
Buy here, but place a stop of protection.
Still a tough call.
Back in late 2015 the Average Directional Index (ADX), which measure the strength of trend momentum, was turning to the upside as the green positive directional index line also increased.. a sign for the bulls to take control.
The trend line was being tested in early 2017 and the ADX was staying elevated for trend strength. The positive directional index was dropping, but failed to cross down through the red negative directional index line to switch trend, so this was a signal for the bulls to continue control.
The next trend line break was in early 2018 where price started to drop, but instead of turning strongly bearish it was a more sideways trading look. The ADX was dropping low to show a weak trend as the bears took over. This created the range-bound wedge moving forward.
To current day, the ADX is still low, but it is still a picture of who is going to take over. If the wedge holds true we should continue higher and resume the bull trend from before. If we break and I am placing a stop, the bears will likely gain momentum and drop the market hard and create the top of the wedge as a continue bear trend.
Buy here, but place a stop of protection.
Still a tough call.