DemKos

Short BTC

DemKos 업데이트됨   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   비트코인
First bullish case was looking really good, but with recent price action its getting more and more likely we break down.
코멘트:
Support, ascending triangle and 100MA.
We are making higher lows but I think this is a trap. Majority of market is long which is in its own not a good sign in a downtrend/range.

Liquidity up to 7800 has already been run, market makers would make a lot more if they long squeeze it to the downside. Conclusion all the liquidity is down.
We also have seen a lot of limit selling at the 75-76 levels indicating whales are selling instead of buying.
코멘트:
imgur.com/a/9pScjBG

Look at the orderblock put after the recent push up. They are not playing, some of them are already filled.
코멘트:
also take a look at funding.

www.deribit.com...ding_chart.html?instrument...

Huge possitive spike on Deribit after that pump/fakeout. This indicates majority of market is long and that a long position would be unsustainable.
코멘트:
imgur.com/a/XrReW4O

Some recent fillings of orders on GDAX/coinbase pro. Limit orders of +100k
코멘트:
코멘트:
Lowest risk short opportunity is retest of the MA/trendline
코멘트:
액티브 트레이드:
Opened a short on that retest, target 7000
코멘트:

Another short opportunity was retest of the 21EMA H and 100MA 4H.
코멘트:
If the daily closes below the 350ma, thats in my opinion confirmation of another downtrend.


Right now we are slowly grinding lower. After every dump there are buy walls pulled up. Its still unclear if this are real buyers stepping in or just the sellers letting it slow dump to later let it cascade into a major dump below our previous low. Just as we have seen on our last dump from 9000.
On this way down we have not seen any orders filled of big market makers, which concludes this is not the bottom.
코멘트:
imgur.com/a/ETyqfhI

this is what im talking about, everytime we drop they put a buy wall below but these orders never get filled once price reaces the level they pull it.

imgur.com/a/AS4DvZw
As you can see only one size buy in the downtrend, if they were really buying at this level you would see 10-20 of those orders.
코멘트:
Alright giving another short entry on bitcoin. Im looking to add a small position at 7300.


confluence of 21ema and s/r flip.

Break of 7000 is getting more likely because we have not seen a real sell of yet.
Also open interest is still rising, OI rise - downtrend = bearish.
코멘트:
imgur.com/a/HnN906Y

Open interest
코멘트:

Possible we could first see a short squeeze, either up to 7250 or 7400
코멘트:

Aaand there is your short squeeze.

added to my short at 7280.
코멘트:
imgur.com/a/PYu7trW

market makers are limit selling.

imgur.com/a/esztnyT

all red bloks all ready got filled, they are pushing price up on lev exchange
and keep putting 100btc sells.

prepare for a breakdown.
면책사항

이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.