Bitcoin- Will the "Black Swan" fly this time?

As a seasoned trader, I often approach predictions with caution and realism, relying on technical analysis and common sense to guide my decisions.
However, in the realm of cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, recent price movements have sparked a sense of speculation and wonder.
Could we be on the brink of a "black swan" event, characterized by an unprecedented rise without a significant correction?

Reflecting on recent trends, in my analyses, you may have noticed my reserved demeanor and propensity for realistic predictions.
Yet, the current trajectory of Bitcoin's price prompts me to entertain a notion previously dismissed – the possibility of a remarkable surge without the anticipated correction.

Following the release of the ETF, I, like many others, anticipated a correction from 45 to 36, only to witness the market defy expectations. Since then, I've adopted a cautious approach, engaging in strategic buying with small targets(5-10%) and tight stops.

Contemplating the unthinkable, returning to the heart of the matter, and setting aside technical analysis and conventional wisdom, one question looms large: Could Bitcoin soar directly to 100k without the anticipated correction, as projected by many technical analysts? I'll temporarily set aside the exuberant sentiments of the "Lambo gang"...

Conclusion:
As we navigate the dynamic landscape of cryptocurrency trading, it's essential to remain open to all possibilities, including those that defy conventional wisdom.
While the prospect of a "black swan" event in Bitcoin's price surge may seem improbable, recent market dynamics compel me to entertain the notion with a cautious yet curious mind.

코멘트:

Bitcoin recovered pretty quickly from this minor correction.
Buying power still incredible strong