BTC logarithmic analysis , where we are heading? buy or sell

My 3 scenarios for BTC long term (3-4 YEARS)

1) S & P crash 10-25% will trigger crypto winter as shown above (2-3,4 years to new ATH)

2) BTC retest 37K support and rerun 52k, 64k test than hit 250-300k (1-1.5 YEARS TO ATH) repeats 2013 run.

3) quantum computers and AI sh1t on crypto world/Trading or ETH /dot,ada,sol network will be new leader which drain BTC dominance (unlikely)

These are my predictions which may or may not happen [NFA]

please suggest more scenarios and how to play black swan events