10th Oct ’23 - Leader in trend changes - BankNifty PostMortem
BankNifty Analysis
The real reason for the rally on Nifty was BankNifty. Remember yesterday we discussed how it fell below the support of 44068 and then had an intraday rejection. We also went with a bearish view for today.
The first thing the gap-up and the swing of 1st candle did was to breach the resistance. A +268pts ~ 0.61% open was more than adequate. Then till 11.55 - BankNifty was spiceless - no intent to move in either way. Then from 12.00 to 13.40 - we had pure magic. A rally of 407pts ~ 0.92% to break away from the support in style.
We also came pretty close to taking out the swing high of 6th October - but the last 2 hours saw some profit-taking. BankNifty at its best - the options premium also started swinging in a wider range expecting more firepower.
On the 1hr candle, we are out of bearishness but I am not bullish yet. Yes, today’s price action gives it a lot of momentum - but we need to retest the 44628 to 44731 levels and break it for bullish momentum to spike. I wish to change my stance from bearish to neutral till we get more clarity. Since we have the weekly expiry tomorrow - I hope the options premium will jump just like we did today, otherwise the options selling will not bring good bang for the buck.
The real reason for the rally on Nifty was BankNifty. Remember yesterday we discussed how it fell below the support of 44068 and then had an intraday rejection. We also went with a bearish view for today.
The first thing the gap-up and the swing of 1st candle did was to breach the resistance. A +268pts ~ 0.61% open was more than adequate. Then till 11.55 - BankNifty was spiceless - no intent to move in either way. Then from 12.00 to 13.40 - we had pure magic. A rally of 407pts ~ 0.92% to break away from the support in style.
We also came pretty close to taking out the swing high of 6th October - but the last 2 hours saw some profit-taking. BankNifty at its best - the options premium also started swinging in a wider range expecting more firepower.
On the 1hr candle, we are out of bearishness but I am not bullish yet. Yes, today’s price action gives it a lot of momentum - but we need to retest the 44628 to 44731 levels and break it for bullish momentum to spike. I wish to change my stance from bearish to neutral till we get more clarity. Since we have the weekly expiry tomorrow - I hope the options premium will jump just like we did today, otherwise the options selling will not bring good bang for the buck.
