ElliottWaveBelgium

AUDUSD ready to go up

ElliottWaveBelgium 업데이트됨   
FX:AUDUSD   호주 달러 / 미국 달러
Impulsive wave is now ending (if it did not already end).
This rally would be a corrective wave 2 or b.

Anyway, expect price to go up to .382 or .618 Fibonacci levels (0.76 to 0.78 cents).
코멘트:
It's possible the wave count is off by one wave and price might fall to 0.71 with a terminal wave before finishing this bearish impulse wav.
So, be patient :)
코멘트:
NZDUSD is playing out the same, so you can trade both pairs but due to correlation (except on surprise rate hike by one and not the other) I will trade both as one.
i.e, the lot size shall be divided equally between the two trades so that you don't risk twice as much if both fail.
코멘트:
코멘트:
코멘트:
코멘트:

My alternative count seems to be right as price is trying to push one last time lower.
But don't short just yet, wait for a pullback, even testing the (B)-(D) TL.
That would be a great entry, giving a nice Risk-Reward Ratio.

Beware, price needs to hold below 0.7459 to be a valid count.
Target(s) : 0.714 to 0.694
코멘트:
액티브 트레이드:
Price reversed as expected
Entry made at 0.7243 after price went past wave 1 high.
Added to position at 0.726.
SL moved to break-even at 7243
Half profit taken now at 7366.

Price might fall a little, so,re-enter en reversal.

USD is poised for a few months weakness now against EURO and commodities.
코멘트:
코멘트:
Retracement slighly misplaced in previous chart.
코멘트:
SMALL short trade launched as R/R is good enough
Entry : 7366
SL : 7390
Target : 7313 to 7292
(because corrective moves often stop around previous wave 4)
R/R : 1/2

코멘트:
Can do same short trade for EURUSD and GBPUSD but they are correlated, so if one goes wrong, there is a high probability the others will also.
액티브 트레이드:
Half profit taken at 0.7336, SL moved to break-even.

Wave B formed (finished i hope) and stopped 1pip before reaching my SL luckly.
added to the position again now, SL still at break-even.
Target 1 : 7336 (Use trailing SL once this target is hit)
Target 2 : 7318 to 7288 (let trailing stop getting you out, or close all at 7288)

코멘트:
(modified stop)

거래청산: 스탑 닿음:
SL reached.
Nothing lost as we were on break even.
Overall : +30pips win.
액티브 트레이드:
Alternative count suggesting a continuation of bullish move.
Entry : 0.7350
SL : 0.7330
Target : 0.7400
R/R : 2.5

주문취소됨:
F*ck it, it's late and I'm exhausted. Pass this one.
코멘트:
Well, it's a shame price hit the short trade SL.
Would had been a nice win.

Anyway, now we continue the long positions as long as price stays above 7202.
As said, august 21, add to position on reversal.

Wait for MA break before buying again.
SL last low.
코멘트:
This got to long, it continues here.

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