Top-Down Analysis of AUDUSD
Understanding the Chart:
The provided chart displays the AUDUSD pair on a 4-hour timeframe. We can observe price action, support and resistance levels, and potential trend directions.
Overall Trend:
* Short-term: The market appears to be in a downtrend based on recent price action.
* Long-term: A broader perspective (not visible on this chart) is needed to determine the long-term trend.
Key Levels:
* Resistance: The price has been facing resistance around the 0.67000 level.
* Support: The 0.65500 level appears to be a potential support area.
Entry Strategies
Using Fibonacci Retracements (Below Discount)
* Identify a recent swing high and swing low: Determine the highest and lowest points of the recent price movement.
* Draw Fibonacci retracement levels: Create Fibonacci retracement levels between the swing high and low.
* Look for potential entry points: Consider buying near the 38.2% or 50% retracement levels if the price shows signs of bullish reversal.
Caution: Using Fibonacci retracements alone can be risky. It's essential to combine them with other technical indicators for confirmation.
Break of Structure and Retest
* Identify a clear structure: Determine the recent price action's higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) or lower highs and lower lows (downtrend).
* Wait for a break of structure: Observe if the price breaks above a resistance level (uptrend) or below a support level (downtrend).
* Look for a retest: After the break, wait for a pullback to the broken level (now acting as support or resistance) for a potential entry.
Example: If the price breaks below the 0.65500 support level and then retraces back to this level, it could be a potential entry point for a short position.
Additional Considerations
* Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
* Timeframes: Analyze multiple timeframes to confirm trends and potential entry points.
* Other Indicators: Consider using additional indicators like RSI, MACD, or Bollinger Bands to support your analysis.
Remember: Trading involves risks. It's crucial to develop your trading strategy and manage your risk effectively.
Would you like to delve deeper into any specific aspect of this analysis or explore other potential entry points based on different indicators?
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