AMAZON The Triangle's of +100% rise

This chart is for the long-term investors. Being on the 1M (monthly) time-frame, AMZN has been trading within a Triangle (Ascending) since September 2020. This neutral mega-phase, has had many investors questioning whether the overbought state of early 2020 has made the stock lose its bullish dynamics. This pattern comparison with the previous neutral phase puts things into perspective.

As you see the same Triangle pattern was formed from August 2018 to March 2020. On a monthly basis, every candle closed below the Resistance and only when that broke, Amazon started a parabolic rally. In 2021 Triangle we've have two major monthly break-outs but both retraced below the Resistance within the same month, leaving just a candle wick reminding of the failed attempt.

The stock has a tendency of rising more than +100% when such break-outs take place. If you are a long-term trader/ investor, look for a 1M candle close above the Resistance as confirmation of a +100% rally.


* Useful correlation:


As the chart above shows, the LMACD indicates that Amazon is going trough distinct Cycles. Right now it shows that we are closer to a bottom.




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