Hello everyone,
AMD has been an outperformer since it tested the 73 support multiple time earlier this year. It broke out of a 6 months long downtrend line in 2020 November and is currently backtesting it (thick yellow line). This may indicate the strong hyper momentum semiconductor stock is ready for another powerful rally.
Disclaimer: I personally hold AMD shares so this analysis is biased toward the bull side.
Pros:
- Downtrend line broken and currently holding the ratest
- Lightning bolts price action, a classic bull flag that points toward 89-91 areas.
- Tech and growth being in favor again with the easing of inflation fear.
- Trading lower than my valuation of 96 - 110, note that this valuation is subjective and priced in with a high PE ratio.
Cons:
- R/R ratio for the trade right now is not favorable to the bull until it clears 89 - 94 resistance
- Slight bearish divergence on the RSI
- Change in monetary policy could have a negative impact on tech stocks again.
- Market breadth across shows bearish signs as not most stocks are above 50EMA
Summary: Technicals of AMD are favoring the bulls and stock outperformance has not changed for the short term.
For holders: Monitor price action around 89 - 94 resistance, you should up your expectation with recent technicals
For non-holders: Buy around 81 - 83 as the previous resistance areas are likely becoming support.
AMD has been an outperformer since it tested the 73 support multiple time earlier this year. It broke out of a 6 months long downtrend line in 2020 November and is currently backtesting it (thick yellow line). This may indicate the strong hyper momentum semiconductor stock is ready for another powerful rally.
Disclaimer: I personally hold AMD shares so this analysis is biased toward the bull side.
Pros:
- Downtrend line broken and currently holding the ratest
- Lightning bolts price action, a classic bull flag that points toward 89-91 areas.
- Tech and growth being in favor again with the easing of inflation fear.
- Trading lower than my valuation of 96 - 110, note that this valuation is subjective and priced in with a high PE ratio.
Cons:
- R/R ratio for the trade right now is not favorable to the bull until it clears 89 - 94 resistance
- Slight bearish divergence on the RSI
- Change in monetary policy could have a negative impact on tech stocks again.
- Market breadth across shows bearish signs as not most stocks are above 50EMA
Summary: Technicals of AMD are favoring the bulls and stock outperformance has not changed for the short term.
For holders: Monitor price action around 89 - 94 resistance, you should up your expectation with recent technicals
For non-holders: Buy around 81 - 83 as the previous resistance areas are likely becoming support.