DM Support / Resistance (USA Session)This indicator is specifically designed for use on the 4-hour time frame and helps traders identify key support and resistance levels during the USA trading session (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time). The indicator calculates important price levels to assist in making well-informed entry and exit decisions, particularly for those focusing on swing trades or longer-term intraday strategies. It also includes a feature to skip setups when relevant fundamental news is scheduled, ensuring you avoid trading during periods of high volatility.
Key Features:
Support and Resistance Levels (S1 & R1):
The indicator calculates and displays Support 1 (S1) and Resistance 1 (R1) levels, which act as key barriers for price action and help traders spot potential reversal or breakout zones on the chart.
Pivot Point (PP):
The Pivot Point (PP) is calculated as the average of the previous period's high, low, and close. It serves as a central reference point for market direction, allowing traders to evaluate whether the market is in a bullish or bearish trend.
Market Bias:
The Bias is shown as a histogram that helps traders assess the strength of the market trend. A positive bias suggests bullish sentiment, while a negative bias signals bearish conditions. This can be used to confirm the overall trend direction.
4-Hour Time Frame:
The indicator is optimized for the 4-hour time frame, making it suitable for traders looking for swing trades or those who wish to capture longer-term trends within the USA session. The key support, resistance, and pivot levels are recalculated dynamically to reflect price action over 4-hour periods.
Dynamic Plotting and Alerts:
Support and resistance levels are drawn as dashed horizontal lines, updating in real-time to reflect the most current market data during the USA session. Alerts can be set for significant price movements crossing these levels.
Stop-Loss Strategy Based on 15-Minute Time Frame:
A unique feature of this indicator is its stop-loss strategy, which uses 15-minute time frame support and resistance levels. When a long or short entry is triggered on the 4-hour chart, traders should place their stop-loss according to the relevant 15-minute support or resistance level.
If the price closes above the 15-minute support for a long entry, or closes below the 15-minute resistance for a short entry, it signals the need to exit or adjust your position based on these levels.
Fundamental News Filter:
To avoid unnecessary risk, the indicator incorporates a fundamental news filter. If there is relevant news scheduled during the USA session, such as high-impact economic data or central bank announcements, the indicator will skip the setup for that period. This prevents traders from entering positions during times of elevated volatility caused by news events, which could result in unpredictable price movements.
How to Use:
Long Entry: When the Bias is positive and the price breaks above Support 1 (S1), this signals a potential bullish move. Consider entering a long position at this point.
Stop-Loss Strategy: Set your stop-loss at the respective 15-minute support level. If the price closes below this level, it could signal a reversal, prompting you to exit the trade.
Short Entry: When the Bias is negative and the price breaks below Resistance 1 (R1), this signals a potential bearish move. Enter a short position at this point.
Stop-Loss Strategy: Set your stop-loss at the respective 15-minute resistance level. If the price closes above this level, exit the short trade as it could indicate a bullish reversal.
Pivot Point (PP): The Pivot Point serves as a reference level to gauge potential price reversals. A move above the PP suggests a bullish bias, while trading below the PP suggests a bearish outlook.
Bias Histogram: The Bias Histogram helps confirm trend direction. A positive bias confirms long positions, while a negative bias reinforces short trades.
Avoid Trading During High-Impact News: If there is significant economic news or fundamental events scheduled during the USA session, the indicator will automatically skip any potential setup. This feature ensures you avoid entering trades that might be affected by unexpected news-driven volatility, keeping your trading strategy safer and more reliable.
Why Use This Indicator:
The 4-hour time frame is ideal for traders who prefer swing trading or those looking to capture longer-term trends in a structured manner. This indicator provides crucial insights into market direction, support/resistance levels, and potential entry/exit points.
The stop-loss management based on the 15-minute support and resistance levels helps traders protect their positions from sudden price reversals, ensuring more precise risk management.
The fundamental news filter is particularly useful for avoidance of high-risk periods. By skipping setups during high-impact news events, traders can avoid entering trades when price volatility could be unpredictable.
Overall, this indicator is a powerful tool for traders who want to make data-driven decisions based on technical analysis while ensuring that their positions are managed responsibly and avoiding news-driven risk.
스크립트에서 "bias"에 대해 찾기
Neural Pulse System [Alpha Extract]Neural Pulse System (NPS)
The Neural Pulse System (NPS) is a custom technical indicator that analyzes price action through a probabilistic lens, offering a dynamic view of bullish and bearish tendencies.
Unlike traditional binary classification models, NPS employs Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression with dynamically computed coefficients to produce a smooth probability output ranging from -1 to 1.
Paired with ATR-based bands, this indicator provides an intuitive and volatility-aware approach to trend analysis.
🔶 CALCULATION
The Neural Pulse System utilizes OLS regression to compute probabilities of bullish or bearish price action while incorporating ATR-based bands for volatility context:
Dynamic Coefficients: Coefficients are recalculated in real-time and scaled up to ensure the regression adapts to evolving market conditions.
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS): Uses OLS regression instead of gradient descent for more precise and efficient coefficient estimation.
ATR Bands: Smoothed Average True Range (ATR) bands serve as dynamic boundaries, framing the regression within market volatility.
Probability Output: Instead of a binary result, the output is a continuous probability curve (-1 to 1), helping traders gauge the strength of bullish or bearish momentum.
Formula:
OLS Regression = Line of best fit minimizing squared errors
Probability Signal = Transformed regression output scaled to -1 (bearish) to 1 (bullish)
ATR Bands = Smoothed Average True Range (ATR) to frame price movements within market volatility
🔶 DETAILS
📊 Visual Features:
Probability Curve: Smooth probability signal ranging from -1 (bearish) to 1 (bullish)
ATR Bands: Price action is constrained within volatility bands, preventing extreme deviations
Color-Coded Signals:
Blue to Green: Increasing probability of bullish momentum
Orange to Red: Increasing probability of bearish momentum
Interpretation:
Bullish Bias: Probability output consistently above 0 suggests a bullish trend.
Bearish Bias: Probability output consistently below 0 indicates bearish pressure.
Reversals: Extreme values near -1 or 1, followed by a move toward 0, may signal potential trend reversals.
🔶 EXAMPLES
📌 Trend Identification: Use the probability output to gauge trend direction.
📌Example: On a 1-hour chart, NPS moves from -0.5 to 0.8 as price breaks resistance, signaling a bullish trend.
Reversal Signals: Watch for probability extremes near -1 or 1 followed by a reversal toward 0.
Example: NPS hits 0.9, price touches the upper ATR band, then both retreat—indicating a potential pullback.
📌 Example snapshots:
Volatility Context: ATR bands help assess whether price action aligns with typical market conditions.
Example: During low volatility, the probability signal hovers near 0, and ATR bands tighten, suggesting a potential breakout.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
ATR Period – Defines lookback length for ATR calculation (shorter = more responsive, longer = smoother).
ATR Multiplier – Adjusts band width for better volatility capture.
Regression Length – Controls how many bars feed into the coefficient calculation (longer = smoother, shorter = more reactive).
Scaling Factor – Adjusts the strength of regression coefficients.
Output Smoothing – Option to apply a moving average for a cleaner probability curve
End-of-Session ProbabilityThis indicator estimates the probability that the market will finish the session above a specified target price. It blends a statistical probability model with directional bias and optional morning momentum weighting to help traders gauge end-of-day market expectations.
Key Features:
• Statistical Probability Model:
Uses a normal distribution (with a custom normal CDF approximation) scaled by the square-root-of-time rule. The indicator dynamically adjusts the standard deviation for the remaining session time to compute a z‑score and ultimately the probability that the session close exceeds the target.
• Directional Bias via Daily HullMA (Exponential):
A daily Hull Moving Average (calculated using an exponential method) is used as a big-picture trend indicator. The model allows you to select your bias method—either by comparing the current price to the daily HullMA (Price method) or by using the HullMA’s slope (Slope method). A drift multiplier scales this bias, which then shifts the mean used in the probability calculations.
• Optional Morning Momentum Weight:
For traders who believe that early session moves provide useful clues about the day’s momentum, you can enable an optional weighting. The indicator captures the percentage change from the morning open (within a user-defined time window) and adjusts the expected move accordingly. A multiplier lets you control the strength of this adjustment.
• Visual Outputs:
The indicator plots quantile lines (approximately the 25%, 50%, and 75% levels) for the expected price distribution at session end. An abbreviated on-chart label displays key information:
• Target: The target price (current price plus a user-defined offset)
• Prob Above: The probability (in percentage) that the session close will exceed the target price
• Time: The time remaining in the session (in minutes)
How to Use:
1. Set Your Parameters:
• Expected Session Move: Input your estimated standard deviation for the full-session move in price units.
• Daily Hull MA Settings: Adjust the period for the daily HullMA and choose the bias method (Price or Slope). Modify the drift multiplier to tune the strength of the directional bias.
• Target Offset: Specify an offset from the current price to set your target level.
• Morning Momentum (Optional): Enable the morning momentum weight if you want the indicator to adjust the expected move based on early session price changes. Define the morning session window and set the momentum multiplier.
2. Interpret the Output:
• Quantile Lines: These represent the range of possible end-of-session prices based on your model.
• Abbreviated Label: Provides a quick snapshot of the target price, probability of finishing above that target, and time remaining in the session.
3. Trading Application:
Use the probability output as a guide to assess if the market is likely to continue in the current direction or reverse by session close. The indicator can help you decide on trade entries, exits, or adjustments based on your overall strategy and risk management approach.
This tool is designed to offer a dynamic, statistically driven snapshot of the market’s expected end-of-day behavior, combining both longer-term trend bias and short-term momentum cues.
Volatility-Adjusted Trend Deviation Statistics (C-Ratios)The Pine Script logic provided generates and displays a table with key information derived from VWMA, EMA, and ATR-based "C Ratios," alongside stochastic oscillators, correlation coefficients, Z-scores, and bias indicators. Here’s an explanation of the logic and what the output in the table informs:
Key Calculations and Their Purpose
VWMA and EMA (Smoothing Lengths):
Multiple EMAs are calculated using VWMA as the source, with lengths spanning short-term (13) to long-term (233).
These EMAs provide a hierarchy of smoothed price levels to assess trends over various time horizons.
ATR-Based "C Ratios":
The C Ratios measure deviations of smoothed prices (a_1 to a_7) from the source price relative to ATR at corresponding lengths.
These values normalize deviations, giving insight into the price's relative movement strength and direction over various periods.
Stochastic Oscillator for C Ratios:
Calculates normalized stochastic values for each C Ratio to assess overbought/oversold conditions dynamically over a rolling window.
Helps identify short-term momentum trends within the broader context of C Ratios.
Displays the average stochastic value derived from all C Ratios.
Text: Shows overbought/oversold conditions (Overbought, Oversold, or ---).
Color: Green for strong upward momentum, red for downward, and white for neutral.
Weighted and Mean C Ratio:
The script computes both an arithmetic mean (c_mean) and a weighted mean (c_mean_w) for all C Ratios.
Weighted mean emphasizes short-term values using predefined weights.
Trend Bias and Reversal Detection:
The script calculates Z-scores for c_mean to identify statistically significant deviations.
It combines Z-scores and weighted C Ratio values to determine:
Bias (Bullish/Bearish based on Z-score thresholds and mean values).
Reversals (Based on relative positioning and how the weighted c_mean and un-weighted C_mean move. ).
Correlation Coefficient:
Correlation of mean C Ratios (c_mean) with bar indices over the short-term length (sl) assesses the strength and direction of trend consistency.
Table Output and Its Meaning
Stochastic Strength:
Long-term Correlation:
List of Lengths: Define the list of lengths for EMA and ATR explicitly (e.g., ).
Calculate Mean C Ratios: For each length in the list, calculate the mean C Ratio
Average these values over the entire dataset.
Store Lengths and Mean C Ratios: Maintain arrays for lengths and their corresponding mean C Ratios.
Correlation: compute the Pearson correlation between the list of lengths and the mean C Ratios.
Text: Indicates Uptrend, Downtrend, or neutral (---).
Color: Green for positive (uptrend), red for negative (downtrend), and white for neutral.
Z-Score Bias:
Assesses the statistical deviation of C Ratios from their historical mean.
Text: Bullish Bias, Bearish Bias, or --- (neutral).
Color: Green or red based on the direction and significance of the Z-score.
C-Ratio Mean:
Displays the weighted average C Ratio (c_mean_w) or a reversal condition.
Text: If no reversal is detected, shows c_mean_w; otherwise, a reversal condition (Bullish Reversal, Bearish Reversal).
Color: Indicates the strength and direction of the bias or reversal.
Practical Insights
Trend Identification: Correlation coefficients, Z-scores, and stochastic values collectively highlight whether the market is trending and the trend's direction.
Momentum and Volatility: Stochastic and ATR-normalized C Ratios provide insights into the momentum and price movement consistency across different timeframes.
Bias and Reversal Detection: The script highlights potential shifts in market sentiment or direction (bias or reversal) using statistical measures.
Customization: Users can toggle plots and analyze specific EMA lengths or focus on combined metrics like the weighted C Ratio.
CCI Threshold StrategyThe CCI Threshold Strategy is a trading approach that utilizes the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) as a momentum indicator to identify potential buy and sell signals in financial markets. The CCI is particularly effective in detecting overbought and oversold conditions, providing traders with insights into possible price reversals. This strategy is designed for use in various financial instruments, including stocks, commodities, and forex, and aims to capitalize on price movements driven by market sentiment.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI was developed by Donald Lambert in the 1980s and is primarily used to measure the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specified period.
The formula for CCI is as follows:
CCI=(TypicalPrice−SMA)×0.015MeanDeviation
CCI=MeanDeviation(TypicalPrice−SMA)×0.015
where:
Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
SMA = Simple Moving Average of the Typical Price
Mean Deviation = Average of the absolute deviations from the SMA
The CCI oscillates around a zero line, with values above +100 indicating overbought conditions and values below -100 indicating oversold conditions (Lambert, 1980).
Strategy Logic
The CCI Threshold Strategy operates on the following principles:
Input Parameters:
Lookback Period: The number of periods used to calculate the CCI. A common choice is 9, as it balances responsiveness and noise.
Buy Threshold: Typically set at -90, indicating a potential oversold condition where a price reversal is likely.
Stop Loss and Take Profit: The strategy allows for risk management through customizable stop loss and take profit points.
Entry Conditions:
A long position is initiated when the CCI falls below the buy threshold of -90, indicating potential oversold levels. This condition suggests that the asset may be undervalued and due for a price increase.
Exit Conditions:
The long position is closed when the closing price exceeds the highest price of the previous day, indicating a bullish reversal. Additionally, if the stop loss or take profit thresholds are hit, the position will be exited accordingly.
Risk Management:
The strategy incorporates optional stop loss and take profit mechanisms, which can be toggled on or off based on trader preference. This allows for flexibility in risk management, aligning with individual risk tolerances and trading styles.
Benefits of the CCI Threshold Strategy
Flexibility: The CCI Threshold Strategy can be applied across different asset classes, making it versatile for various market conditions.
Objective Signals: The use of quantitative thresholds for entry and exit reduces emotional bias in trading decisions (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974).
Enhanced Risk Management: By allowing traders to set stop loss and take profit levels, the strategy aids in preserving capital and managing risk effectively.
Limitations
Market Noise: The CCI can produce false signals, especially in highly volatile markets, leading to potential losses (Bollinger, 2001).
Lagging Indicator: As a lagging indicator, the CCI may not always capture rapid market movements, resulting in missed opportunities (Pring, 2002).
Conclusion
The CCI Threshold Strategy offers a systematic approach to trading based on well-established momentum principles. By focusing on overbought and oversold conditions, traders can make informed decisions while managing risk effectively. As with any trading strategy, it is crucial to backtest the approach and adapt it to individual trading styles and market conditions.
References
Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Lambert, D. (1980). Commodity Channel Index. Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, 2, 3-5.
Pring, M. J. (2002). Technical Analysis Explained. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131.
Opening Range with Breakouts & Targets [LuxAlgo]Opening Range with Breakouts & Targets is based on the long-standing Opening Range Breakout strategy popularized by traders such as Toby Crabel and Mark Fisher.
This indicator measures and displays the price range created from the first period within a new trading session, along with price breakouts from that range and targets associated with the range width.
🔶 USAGE
The Opening Range (OR) can be a powerful tool for making a clear distinction between ranging and trending trading days. Using a rigid structure for drawing a range, provides a consistent basis to make judgments and comparisons that will better assist the user in determining a hypothesis for the day's price action.
NOTE: During a suspected "Range Day", the Opening Range can be used for reversion strategies, typically targeting the opposite extreme of the range or the mean of the range. However, more commonly the Opening Range is used for breakouts on suspected "Trend Days", targeting further upward or downward market movement.
The common Opening Range Breakout Strategy (ORB) outlines a structure to enter and exit positions based on rigid points determined by the Opening Range. This methodology can be adjusted based on markets or trading styles.
Determine Opening Range High & Low: These are the high and low price within a chosen period of time after the market opens. This can be customized to the user's trading style and preference. Common Ranges are from 5-60 mins.
Watch for a Breakout with Volume: A Breakout occurs when price crosses the OR High (ORH) or OR Low (ORL), an increase in volume is typically desired when witnessing these breakouts to confirm a stronger movement.
Manage Risk: Based on user preference and the appropriately determined amount of risk, multiple ways can be determined to manage risk by using Opening Range.
For Example: A stop-loss could be set at OR Mean (ORM) or the opposite side of the range, while a profit target could optionally be set at the first price target generated by the script.
Alternatively, a user might want to use a Moving Average (MA) as an adaptive stop-loss and use price targets to scale out. These are just 2 examples of the possible options, both capable with this tool.
🔹 Signals
Signals will fire based on the break of the opening range, this is indicated by arrows above and below the range boundaries.
Optionally, a bias can be added to these signals to aid in mitigating false signals by using a directional filter based on the current day's OR relative to the previous day's OR.
Regardless of the signal bias being enabled, the Opening Range Zone will always be colored directionally according to this.
If the current day's OR is above the previous day's OR, the Zone will be Green.
If the current day's OR is below the previous day's OR, the Zone will be Red.
By enabling the signal bias, signals in the opposite direction of the daily bias will fire on the cross of the first target in that direction.
🔹 Targets
In this indicator, targets are not limited and will generate infinitely based on a % width of the Opening Range.
Additionally, there are 2 display methods for these targets.
Extended: Extends the targets to the current bar and displays all targets that have been crossed so far within the session.
Adaptive: Extends only the 2 closest targets surrounding price, allowing for a display consisting of fewer lines at one time.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Historical Display
This indicator can be utilized in multiple ways, for use in real-time, and for historical analysis to form methods. Because of this, the indicator has an option to display only the current day's data or the entire historical data. This can also help clean up the chart when it is in use.
🔹 Time Period
The specific time period to create the opening range is entirely up to each user's preference, by default it is set to 30 mins; however, this time period can be edited with full control if desired.
Simply toggle on the "Custom Range" and input a range of time to create the range.
🔹 Session Moving Average
The Session Moving Average is a common Moving Average, which resets at the beginning of a new session. This allows for an unbiased MA that was created entirely from the current session's price action.
Note: The start of the session is determined by the start of the Opening Range if using a custom range of time.
🔶 SETTINGS
Show Historical Data: Choose to display only the current session's data or the full history of data.
Opening Range Time Period: Select the time period to form the opening range from. This operates on Session Start, so it will change with the chart.
Custom Range: Opt for a custom Range by enabling this and inputting your range times as well as your needed timezone.
Breakout Signal Bias: Select if the Breakout Signals will use a Daily Directional Bias for firing.
Target % of Range: Sets the % of the Range width that will be used as an increment for the Targets to display in.
Target Cross Source: Choose to use the Close price or High/Low price as the crossing level for Target displays. When this source crosses a target it will generate more targets.
Target Display: Choose which style of display to use for targets.
Session Moving Average: Optionally enable a Moving average of your choice that resets at the beginning of each session (start of opening range).
Bar metrics / quantifytools— Overview
Rather than eyeball evaluating bullishness/bearishness in any given bar, bar metrics allow a quantified approach using three basic fundamental data points: relative close, relative volatility and relative volume. These data points are visualized in a discreet data dashboard form, next to all real-time bars. Each value also has a dot in front, representing color coded extremes in the values.
Relative close represents position of bar's close relative to high and low, high of bar being 100% and low of bar being 0%. Relative close indicates strength of bulls/bears in a given bar, the higher the better for bulls, the lower the better for bears. Relative volatility (bar range, high - low) and relative volume are presented in a form of a multiplier, relative to their respective moving averages (SMA 20). A value of 1x indicates volume/volatility being on par with moving average, 2x indicates volume/volatility being twice as much as moving average and so on. Relative volume and volatility can be used for measuring general market participant interest, the "weight of the bar" as it were.
— Features
Users can gauge past bar metrics using lookback via input menu. Past bars, especially recent ones, are helpful for giving context for current bar metrics. Lookback bars are highlighted on the chart using a yellow box and metrics presented on the data dashboard with lookback symbols:
To inspect bar metric data and its implications, users can highlight bars with specified bracket values for each metric:
When bar highlighter is toggled on and desired bar metric values set, alert for the specified combination can be toggled on via alert menu. Note that bar highlighter must be enabled in order for alerts to function.
— Visuals
Bar metric dots are gradient colored the following way:
Relative volatility & volume
0x -> 1x / Neutral (white) -> Light (yellow)
1x -> 1.7x / Light (yellow) -> Medium (orange)
1.7x -> 2.4x / Medium (orange) -> Heavy (red)
Relative close
0% -> 25% / Heavy bearish (red) -> Light bearish (dark red)
25% -> 45% / Light bearish (dark red) -> Neutral (white)
45% - 55% / Neutral (white)
55% -> 75% / Neutral (white) -> Light bullish (dark green)
75% -> 100% / Light bullish (dark green) -> Heavy bullish (green)
All colors can be adjusted via input menu. Label size, label distance from bar (offset) and text format (regular/stealth) can be adjusted via input menu as well:
— Practical guide
As interpretation of bar metrics is highly contextual, it is especially important to use other means in conjunction with the metrics. Levels, oscillators, moving averages, whatever you have found useful for your process. In short, relative close indicates directional bias and relative volume/volatility indicates "weight" of directional bias.
General interpretation
High relative close, low relative volume/volatility = mildly bullish, bias up/consolidation
High relative close, medium relative volume/volatility = bullish, bias up
High relative close, high relative volume/volatility = exuberantly bullish, bias up/down depending on context
Medium relative close, low relative volume/volatility = noise, no bias
Medium relative close, medium to high relative volume/volatility = indecision, further evidence needed to evaluate bias
Low relative close, low relative volume/volatility = mildly bearish, bias down/consolidation
Low relative close, medium relative volume/volatility = bearish, bias down
Low relative close, high relative volume/volatility = exuberantly bearish, bias down/up depending on context
Nuances & considerations
As to relative close, it's important to note that each bar is a trading range when viewed on a lower timeframe, ES 1W vs. ES 4H:
When relative close is high, bulls were able to push price to range high by the time of close. When relative close is low, bears were able to push price to range low by the time of close. In other words, bulls/bears were able to gain the upper hand over a given trading range, hinting strength for the side that made the final push. When relative close is around middle range (40-60%), it can be said neither side is clearly dominating the range, hinting neutral/indecision bias from a relative close perspective.
As to relative volume/volatility, low values (less than ~0.7x) imply bar has low market participant interest and therefore is likely insignificant, as it is "lacking weight". Values close to or above 1x imply meaningful market participant interest, whereas values well above 1x (greater than ~1.3x) imply exuberance. This exuberance can manifest as initiation (beginning of a trend) or as exhaustion (end of a trend):
BTC Leading SOPR: OnchainUse This indicator in Weekly Timeframe:
This Onchain Metric is based on SOPR Moving Average.
This metric is very efficient for finding the tops and bottoms of the market as well as the ascending or descending biases in the market.
You can use it alongside RSI to filter out incorrect rsi signals
overhigh areas signal a top, overlow areas signal a low, zero line cross-up indicates an uptrend bias and its cross-down indicates a downtrend bias in the market
CryptoFlux Dynamo [JOAT]CryptoFlux Dynamo: Velocity Scalping Strategy
This Pine Script v6 strategy is designed for cryptocurrency markets operating on 5-minute and faster timeframes. It combines volatility regime detection, multi-path signal confirmation, and adaptive risk management to identify momentum-based trading opportunities in perpetual futures markets.
Core Design Principles
The strategy addresses three challenges specific to cryptocurrency trading:
24/7 market operation without session boundaries requires continuous monitoring and execution logic
Volatility regimes shift rapidly, demanding adaptive stop and target calculations
Tick-level responsiveness is critical for capturing momentum moves before they complete
Strategy Architecture
1. Signal Generation Stack
The strategy uses multiple technical indicators calibrated for cryptocurrency momentum:
MACD with parameters 8/21/5 (fast/slow/signal) optimized for crypto acceleration phases
EMA ribbon using 8/21/34 periods with slope analysis to assess trend structure
Volume impulse detection combining SMA baseline, standard deviation, and z-score filtering
RSI (21 period) and MFI (21 period) for momentum confirmation
Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels for squeeze detection
2. Volatility Regime Classification
The strategy normalizes ATR as a percentage of price and classifies market conditions into three regimes:
Compression (< 0.8% ATR): Reduced position sizing, tighter stops (1.05x ATR), lower profit targets (1.6x ATR)
Expansion (0.8% - 1.6% ATR): Standard risk parameters, balanced risk-reward (1.55x stop, 2.05x target)
Velocity (> 1.6% ATR): Wider stops (2.1x ATR), amplified targets (2.8x ATR), tighter trailing offsets
ATR is calculated over 21 periods and smoothed with a 13-period EMA to reduce noise from wicks.
3. Multi-Path Entry System
Four independent signal pathways contribute to a composite strength score (0-100):
Trend Break (30 points): Requires EMA ribbon alignment, positive slope, and structure breakout above/below recent highs/lows
Momentum Surge (30 points): MACD histogram exceeds adaptive baseline, MACD line crosses signal, RSI/MFI above/below thresholds, with volume impulse confirmation
Squeeze Release (25 points): Bollinger Bands compress inside Keltner Channels, then release with momentum bias
Micro Pullback (15 points): Shallow retracements within trend structure that reset without breaking support/resistance
Additional scoring modifiers:
Volume impulse: +5 points when present, -5 when absent
Regime bonus: +5 in velocity, -2 in compression
Cycle bias: +5 when aligned, -5 when counter-trend
Trades only execute when the composite score reaches the minimum threshold (default: 55) and all filters agree.
4. Risk Management Framework
Position sizing is calculated from:
RiskCapital = Equity × (riskPerTradePct / 100)
StopDistance = ATR × StopMultiplier(regime)
Quantity = min(RiskCapital / StopDistance, MaxExposure / Price)
The strategy includes:
Risk per trade: 0.65% of equity (configurable)
Maximum exposure: 12% of equity (configurable)
Regime-adaptive stop and target multipliers
Adaptive trailing stops based on ATR and regime
Kill switch that disables new entries after 6.5% drawdown
Momentum fail-safe exits when MACD polarity flips or ribbon structure breaks
5. Additional Filters
Cycle Oscillator : Measures price deviation from 55-period EMA. Requires cycle bias alignment (default: ±0.15%) before entry
BTC Dominance Filter : Optional filter using CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to reduce long entries during risk-off periods (rising dominance) and short entries during risk-on periods
Session Filter : Optional time-based restriction (disabled by default for 24/7 operation)
Strategy Parameters
All default values used in backtesting:
Core Controls
Enable Short Structure: true
Restrict to Session Window: false
Execution Session: 0000-2359:1234567 (24/7)
Allow Same-Bar Re-Entry: true
Optimization Constants
MACD Fast Length: 8
MACD Slow Length: 21
MACD Signal Length: 5
EMA Fast: 8
EMA Mid: 21
EMA Slow: 34
EMA Slope Lookback: 8
Structure Break Window: 9
Regime Intelligence
ATR Length: 21
Volatility Soothing: 13
Low Vol Regime Threshold: 0.8% ATR
High Vol Regime Threshold: 1.6% ATR
Cycle Bias Length: 55
Cycle Bias Threshold: 0.15%
BTC Dominance Feed: CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
BTC Dominance Confirmation: true
Signal Pathways
Volume Baseline Length: 34
Volume Impulse Multiplier: 1.15
Volume Z-Score Threshold: 0.5
MACD Histogram Smoothing: 5
MACD Histogram Sensitivity: 1.15
RSI Length: 21
RSI Momentum Trigger: 55
MFI Length: 21
MFI Momentum Trigger: 55
Squeeze Length: 20
Bollinger Multiplier: 1.5
Keltner Multiplier: 1.8
Squeeze Release Momentum Gate: 1.0
Micro Pullback Depth: 7
Minimum Composite Signal Strength: 55
Risk Architecture
Risk Allocation per Trade: 0.65%
Max Exposure: 12% of Equity
Base Risk/Reward Anchor: 1.8
Stop Multiplier • Low Regime: 1.05
Stop Multiplier • Medium Regime: 1.55
Stop Multiplier • High Regime: 2.1
Take Profit Multiplier • Low Regime: 1.6
Take Profit Multiplier • Medium Regime: 2.05
Take Profit Multiplier • High Regime: 2.8
Adaptive Trailing Engine: true
Trailing Offset Multiplier: 0.9
Quantity Granularity: 0.001
Kill Switch Drawdown: 6.5%
Strategy Settings
Initial Capital: $100,000
Commission: 0.04% (0.04 commission_value)
Slippage: 1 tick
Pyramiding: 1 (no position stacking)
calc_on_every_tick: true
calc_on_order_fills: true
Visualization Features
The strategy includes:
EMA ribbon overlay (8/21/34) with customizable colors
Regime-tinted background (compression: indigo, expansion: purple, velocity: magenta)
Dynamic bar coloring based on signal strength divergence
Signal labels for entry points
On-chart dashboard displaying regime, ATR%, signal strength, position status, stops, targets, and risk metrics
Recommended Usage
Timeframes
The strategy is optimized for 5-minute charts. It can operate on 3-minute and 1-minute timeframes for faster scalping, or 15-minute for swing confirmation. When using higher timeframes, consider:
Increasing structure lookback windows
Raising RSI trigger thresholds above 58 to filter noise
Extending volume baseline length
Markets
Designed for high-liquidity cryptocurrency perpetual futures:
BTC/USDT, BTC/USD perpetuals
ETH perpetuals
Major L1 tokens with sufficient volume
For thinner order books, increase volume impulse multiplier and adjust quantity granularity to match exchange minimums.
Limitations and Compromises
Backtesting Considerations
TradingView strategy backtesting does not replicate broker execution. Actual fills, slippage, and commissions may differ
The strategy uses calc_on_every_tick=true and calc_on_order_fills=true to reduce bar-close distortions, but real execution still depends on broker infrastructure
At least 200 historical bars are required to stabilize regime classification, volume baselines, and cycle context
Market Structure Dependencies
BTC dominance feed ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) may lag during low-liquidity periods or weekends. Consider disabling the filter if data quality degrades
Volume impulse detection assumes consistent order book depth. During extreme volatility or exchange issues, volume signatures may be unreliable
Regime classification based on ATR percentage assumes normal volatility distributions. During black swan events, regime thresholds may not adapt quickly enough
Parameter Sensitivity
Default parameters are tuned for BTC/ETH perpetuals on 5-minute charts. Different assets or timeframes require recalibration
The composite signal strength threshold (55) balances selectivity vs. opportunity. Higher values reduce false signals but may miss valid setups
Risk per trade (0.65%) and max exposure (12%) are conservative defaults. Aggressive scaling increases drawdown risk
Execution Constraints
Same-bar re-entry requires broker support for rapid order placement
Quantity granularity must match exchange contract minimums
Kill switch drawdown (6.5%) may trigger during normal volatility cycles, requiring manual reset
Performance Expectations
This strategy is a framework for momentum-based cryptocurrency trading. Performance depends on:
Market conditions (trending vs. ranging)
Exchange execution quality
Parameter calibration for specific assets
Risk management discipline
Backtest results shown in publications reflect specific market conditions and parameter sets. Past performance does not indicate future results. Always forward test with paper trading or broker simulation before deploying live capital.
Code Structure
The strategy is organized into functional sections:
Configuration groups for parameter organization
Helper functions for position sizing and normalization
Core indicator calculations (MACD, EMA, ATR, RSI, MFI, volume analytics)
Regime classification logic
Multi-path signal generation and composite scoring
Entry/exit orchestration with risk management
Visualization layer with dashboard and chart elements
The source code is open and can be modified to suit your trading requirements. Everyone is encouraged to understand the logic before deploying and to test thoroughly in their target markets.
Modification Guidelines
When adapting this strategy:
Document any parameter changes in your publication
Test modifications across different market regimes
Validate position sizing logic for your exchange's contract specifications
Consider exchange-specific limitations (funding rates, liquidation mechanics, order types)
Conclusion
This strategy provides a structured approach to cryptocurrency momentum trading with regime awareness and adaptive risk controls. It is not a guaranteed profit system, but rather a framework that requires understanding, testing, and ongoing calibration to market conditions.
You should thoroughly understand the logic, test extensively in their target markets, and manage risk appropriately. The strategy's effectiveness depends on proper parameter tuning, reliable execution infrastructure, and disciplined risk management.
Disclaimer
This script and its documentation are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading advice of any kind. Trading cryptocurrencies and derivatives involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance, whether real or indicated by backtesting, does not guarantee future results.
This strategy is provided "as is" without any warranties or guarantees of profitability
You should not rely solely on this strategy for making trading decisions
Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any financial decisions
Consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before engaging in trading activities
The authors and contributors are not responsible for any losses incurred from using this strategy
Cryptocurrency trading can result in the loss of your entire investment
Only trade with capital you can afford to lose
Use this strategy at your own risk. The responsibility for any trading decisions and their consequences lies entirely with you.
Witch-Fire ALMA signals: Dynamic Liquidity & Trend GlowThe Witch-Fire ALMA is a high-precision trend bias and liquidity mapping tool designed for price action traders and Smart Money practitioners. Unlike traditional indicators that clutter your chart with lagging signals, this script provides a "clean-yet-powerful" visual anchor to help you stay on the right side of the market while identifying key Points of Interest (POIs).
At its core, the script utilizes an optimized Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA). Known for its superior ability to balance smoothness and responsiveness, the ALMA effectively filters out market noise and "whipsaws" that often plague standard EMAs.
Key Features:
The Witch-Fire Glow: A neon-styled ALMA line that shifts between Bullish Green and Bearish Red. The white core provides surgical precision for price intersection, while the outer glow visualizes the strength and dominance of the current trend.
Scaled Liquidity Levels: Automatically maps Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and Sell Side Liquidity (SSL). These levels are dynamic—they scale proportionally with your ALMA settings. This ensures that the liquidity zones you see are always relevant to the trend cycle you are analyzing.
Strategic Bias Background: A subtle background tint provides an instant psychological filter. Only look for Longs in the green zone and Shorts in the red zone to maintain a high-probability strike rate.
How to Trade with Witch-Fire:
Identify the Bias: Look at the Fire ALMA. If the "fire" is red and the price is below the line, your bias is strictly bearish.
Watch the Sweeps: Wait for the price to "sweep" (pierce with a wick) the horizontal SSL (Green) or BSL (Red) lines.
Execution: Look for a strong rejection candle (long wick, small body) at these levels that closes back towards the ALMA line.
Best Used On: 15m, 1H, and 4H timeframes. Works exceptionally well for Crypto, Forex, and Indices.
Latent Energy Reactor [The_lurker]Latent Energy Reactor | مفاعل الطاقة الكامنة
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🔬 THE PHILOSOPHY
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Markets operate in cycles of compression and expansion. Before every significant price movement, there exists a period where buyers and sellers reach a temporary equilibrium — a consolidation zone where energy accumulates like pressure building in a reactor.
The Latent Energy Reactor was designed to identify these critical zones, measure the energy building within them, and predict the direction of the inevitable breakout.
This indicator transforms the abstract concept of "market energy" into a quantifiable, visual system that traders can use to anticipate high-probability breakout opportunities.
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🎯 THE THREE BOX STATES
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Understanding the three box states is crucial for proper interpretation:
📦 STATE 1: ACTIVE ZONE (GRAY BOX)
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Visual Characteristics:
• Color: Gray/Neutral with 3D depth effect
• Extends to the right edge of the chart (future projection)
• Contains pressure lines (dotted horizontal lines inside)
• Displays gravity center line (dashed line showing volume-weighted center)
• Energy progress bar beneath the box
• Real-time information panel appears on screen
What It Means:
The gray box represents a LIVE consolidation zone currently forming. Price is contained within the boundaries, and energy is actively accumulating. This is the "waiting phase" where the reactor is charging.
What to Watch:
• Energy percentage climbing toward critical levels (80%+)
• Gravity center position (upper half = bullish bias, lower half = bearish bias)
• Top and bottom rejection counts in the information panel
• Phase progression (Forming → Growth → Mature → Exhaustion)
Trading Approach:
Do NOT trade inside the gray box. This is the preparation phase. Monitor the energy levels and predicted direction, but wait for confirmation.
📦 STATE 2: BULLISH BREAKOUT BOX (GREEN BOX)
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Visual Characteristics:
• Color: Green with 3D depth effect
• Box boundaries are now fixed (no longer extending right)
• Displays "BUY" text centered inside the box
• Stop Loss line appears below the box (orange)
• Three Take Profit lines appear above (teal/cyan)
• Entry line at the box's upper boundary (white dashed)
What It Means:
The green box indicates a CONFIRMED bullish breakout. Price has broken above the consolidation zone's upper boundary, releasing the accumulated energy upward.
Automatic Calculations Displayed:
• Entry Price: Upper boundary of the box
• Stop Loss: Lower boundary minus ATR buffer
• TP1: Entry + (Risk × 1.0) — 1:1 reward ratio
• TP2: Entry + (Risk × 1.5) — 1.5:1 reward ratio
• TP3: Entry + (Risk × 2.0) — 2:1 reward ratio
Trading Approach:
Consider long positions with the displayed SL/TP levels as guidelines. The higher the energy level and breakout quality score were before the breakout, the more reliable the signal.
📦 STATE 3: BEARISH BREAKOUT BOX (RED BOX)
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Visual Characteristics:
• Color: Red with 3D depth effect
• Box boundaries are now fixed
• Displays "SELL" text centered inside the box
• Stop Loss line appears above the box (orange)
• Three Take Profit lines appear below (teal/cyan)
• Entry line at the box's lower boundary (white dashed)
What It Means:
The red box indicates a CONFIRMED bearish breakout. Price has broken below the consolidation zone's lower boundary, releasing the accumulated energy downward.
Automatic Calculations Displayed:
• Entry Price: Lower boundary of the box
• Stop Loss: Upper boundary plus ATR buffer
• TP1: Entry - (Risk × 1.0) — 1:1 reward ratio
• TP2: Entry - (Risk × 1.5) — 1.5:1 reward ratio
• TP3: Entry - (Risk × 2.0) — 2:1 reward ratio
Trading Approach:
Consider short positions with the displayed SL/TP levels as guidelines. Stronger setups have higher pre-breakout energy and quality scores.
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⚛️ THE ENERGY CALCULATION SYSTEM
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The energy percentage (0-100%) is calculated using four factors:
Compression Score (up to 40 points)
Measures how tight the range is relative to normal volatility (ATR). Tighter compression = higher energy storage.
Time Score (up to 35 points)
Longer consolidation periods accumulate more energy. Each bar adds to the score up to the maximum.
Maturity Bonus (up to 15 points)
Zones that reach mature phases receive bonus energy points, recognizing that extended consolidations often produce more powerful breakouts.
Tightness Bonus (up to 10 points)
Extra points awarded when the range height is exceptionally small relative to ATR.
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📊 THE GRAVITY CENTER SYSTEM
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How It Works:
The gravity center is the volume-weighted average price within the consolidation zone. It reveals where the majority of trading activity (and thus institutional interest) is concentrated.
Interpretation:
• Gravity center in UPPER half → Institutions accumulating → Bullish bias
• Gravity center in LOWER half → Institutions distributing → Bearish bias
• Gravity center at MIDDLE → Neutral/Uncertain
Visual Display:
A dashed line with a ⚖️ symbol marks the gravity center inside active zones. The line color matches the directional bias.
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🏦 INSTITUTIONAL FOOTPRINT DETECTION
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What It Measures:
The indicator scans for volume anomalies — bars where volume significantly exceeds the average while price remains contained within the zone.
Why It Matters:
Large volume without price movement often indicates institutional players building positions. They cannot accumulate or distribute large quantities without leaving a "footprint" in the volume data.
Score Interpretation:
• Below 30%: Normal retail activity
• 30-50%: Some institutional interest detected
• Above 50%: Significant institutional footprint (marked with 🏦 icon)
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📈 MATURITY PHASES
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⚒ Forming Phase
The zone has just been identified. Energy is low, and the pattern needs more time to develop. Premature breakouts during this phase have higher failure rates.
📈 Growth Phase
The zone is developing nicely. Energy is building, and the consolidation pattern is becoming more defined. Watch for increasing rejection counts at boundaries.
✅ Mature Phase
Optimal trading phase. The zone has accumulated significant energy, institutional footprints are often visible, and breakout quality scores are typically highest.
⚠ Exhaustion Phase
The zone has persisted beyond typical duration. While energy remains high, the pattern may be losing its predictive power.
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🎨 VISUAL ELEMENTS GUIDE
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3D Box Effect
The 3D rendering creates visual depth with a top face and side face, making boxes stand out clearly. Adjustable via "3D Depth" and "3D Height %" settings.
Pressure Lines
Dotted horizontal lines inside active zones visualize internal pressure distribution. Lines closer to the gravity center are more opaque.
Energy Progress Bar
A horizontal bar beneath each zone shows energy level visually. Color progresses: green (low) → yellow (moderate) → orange (high) → red (critical).
Imminent Breakout Warning
When energy reaches critical threshold (default 80%), a warning label "⚠ IMMINENT!" appears above the active zone.
Information Panel
Real-time table displaying: Energy Level, Phase, Prediction, Breakout Quality, Institutional Footprint, Top/Bottom Rejections.
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📊 READING THE SIGNALS
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Energy Levels:
• Below 40%: Low energy — breakout unlikely soon
• 40-60%: Moderate energy — zone developing
• 60-80%: High energy — prepare for potential breakout
• Above 80%: Critical energy — breakout imminent
Breakout Quality Score:
• Below 50%: Weak setup — higher false breakout risk
• 50-70%: Moderate setup — proceed with caution
• Above 70%: Strong setup — high probability trade
Direction Confidence:
• Below 55%: Neutral — wait for clearer signals
• 55-70%: Moderate confidence
• Above 70%: High confidence prediction
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⚙️ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS
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For Scalping (1-15 min):
Min Bars in Range: 10-15 | ATR Period: 10 | Range ATR Multiplier: 2.0
For Day Trading (15min-1H):
Min Bars in Range: 15-20 | ATR Period: 14 | Range ATR Multiplier: 2.5
For Swing Trading (4H-Daily):
Min Bars in Range: 20-30 | ATR Period: 20 | Range ATR Multiplier: 3.0
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🔔 ALERTS
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• New Zone Alert: Triggers when a new consolidation zone is identified
• Imminent Breakout Alert: Triggers when energy reaches critical levels
• Bullish Breakout Alert: Triggers on confirmed bullish breakout
• Bearish Breakout Alert: Triggers on confirmed bearish breakout
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER
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This indicator is designed as a technical analysis tool to identify consolidation patterns and anticipate potential breakout directions. No indicator can predict the future with certainty. The displayed SL/TP levels are suggestions based on mathematical calculations, not guarantees.
This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Use it in conjunction with your own strategy and risk management. Neither TradingView nor the developer is liable for any financial decisions or losses.
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مفاعل الطاقة الكامنة | Latent Energy Reactor
🔬 الفلسفة
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تعمل الأسواق في دورات من الضغط والتمدد. قبل كل حركة سعرية كبيرة، توجد فترة يصل فيها المشترون والبائعون إلى توازن مؤقت — منطقة تجميع حيث تتراكم الطاقة مثل الضغط المتراكم في مفاعل.
صُمم مفاعل الطاقة الكامنة لتحديد هذه المناطق الحرجة، وقياس الطاقة المتراكمة داخلها، والتنبؤ باتجاه الاختراق الحتمي.
يحوّل هذا المؤشر المفهوم المجرد لـ "طاقة السوق" إلى نظام قابل للقياس والعرض البصري يمكن للمتداولين استخدامه لتوقع فرص الاختراق عالية الاحتمالية.
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🎯 حالات الصندوق الثلاث
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فهم حالات الصندوق الثلاث ضروري للتفسير الصحيح:
📦 الحالة الأولى: المنطقة النشطة (الصندوق الرمادي)
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الخصائص البصرية:
• اللون: رمادي/محايد مع تأثير عمق ثلاثي الأبعاد
• يمتد إلى الحافة اليمنى للرسم البياني (إسقاط مستقبلي)
• يحتوي على خطوط الضغط (خطوط أفقية منقطة بالداخل)
• يعرض خط مركز الثقل (خط متقطع يُظهر المركز المرجح بالحجم)
• شريط تقدم الطاقة أسفل الصندوق
• تظهر لوحة المعلومات الفورية على الشاشة
ماذا يعني:
الصندوق الرمادي يمثل منطقة تجميع حَيّة تتشكل حالياً. السعر محتوى داخل الحدود، والطاقة تتراكم بنشاط. هذه هي "مرحلة الانتظار" حيث المفاعل يشحن.
ما يجب مراقبته:
• نسبة الطاقة تصعد نحو المستويات الحرجة (80%+)
• موقع مركز الثقل (النصف العلوي = ميل صعودي، النصف السفلي = ميل هبوطي)
• عدد الرفض العلوي والسفلي في لوحة المعلومات
• تقدم المرحلة (تشكّل ← نمو ← نضج ← إرهاق)
نهج التداول:
لا تتداول داخل الصندوق الرمادي. هذه مرحلة الإعداد. راقب مستويات الطاقة والاتجاه المتوقع، لكن انتظر التأكيد.
📦 الحالة الثانية: صندوق الاختراق الصعودي (الصندوق الأخضر)
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الخصائص البصرية:
• اللون: أخضر مع تأثير عمق ثلاثي الأبعاد
• حدود الصندوق ثابتة الآن (لم تعد تمتد لليمين)
• يعرض نص "شراء" أو "BUY" في منتصف الصندوق
• يظهر خط وقف الخسارة أسفل الصندوق (برتقالي)
• تظهر ثلاثة خطوط أهداف فوق الصندوق (فيروزي)
• خط الدخول عند الحد العلوي للصندوق (أبيض متقطع)
ماذا يعني:
الصندوق الأخضر يشير إلى اختراق صعودي مُؤَكَّد. كسر السعر فوق الحد العلوي لمنطقة التجميع، محرراً الطاقة المتراكمة للأعلى.
الحسابات التلقائية المعروضة:
• سعر الدخول: الحد العلوي للصندوق
• وقف الخسارة: الحد السفلي ناقص حاجز ATR
• الهدف 1: الدخول + (المخاطرة × 1.0) — نسبة مكافأة 1:1
• الهدف 2: الدخول + (المخاطرة × 1.5) — نسبة مكافأة 1.5:1
• الهدف 3: الدخول + (المخاطرة × 2.0) — نسبة مكافأة 2:1
نهج التداول:
فكر في صفقات شراء مع مستويات وقف الخسارة والأهداف المعروضة كإرشادات. كلما ارتفع مستوى الطاقة ودرجة جودة الاختراق قبل الكسر، كانت الإشارة أكثر موثوقية.
📦 الحالة الثالثة: صندوق الاختراق الهبوطي (الصندوق الأحمر)
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الخصائص البصرية:
• اللون: أحمر مع تأثير عمق ثلاثي الأبعاد
• حدود الصندوق ثابتة الآن
• يعرض نص "بيع" أو "SELL" في منتصف الصندوق
• يظهر خط وقف الخسارة فوق الصندوق (برتقالي)
• تظهر ثلاثة خطوط أهداف أسفل الصندوق (فيروزي)
• خط الدخول عند الحد السفلي للصندوق (أبيض متقطع)
ماذا يعني:
الصندوق الأحمر يشير إلى اختراق هبوطي مُؤَكَّد. كسر السعر تحت الحد السفلي لمنطقة التجميع، محرراً الطاقة المتراكمة للأسفل.
الحسابات التلقائية المعروضة:
• سعر الدخول: الحد السفلي للصندوق
• وقف الخسارة: الحد العلوي زائد حاجز ATR
• الهدف 1: الدخول - (المخاطرة × 1.0) — نسبة مكافأة 1:1
• الهدف 2: الدخول - (المخاطرة × 1.5) — نسبة مكافأة 1.5:1
• الهدف 3: الدخول - (المخاطرة × 2.0) — نسبة مكافأة 2:1
نهج التداول:
فكر في صفقات بيع مع مستويات وقف الخسارة والأهداف المعروضة كإرشادات. الإعدادات الأقوى لديها طاقة ودرجات جودة أعلى قبل الاختراق.
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⚛️ نظام حساب الطاقة
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تُحسب نسبة الطاقة (0-100%) باستخدام أربعة عوامل:
درجة الضغط (حتى 40 نقطة)
تقيس مدى ضيق النطاق نسبة للتقلب الطبيعي (ATR). ضغط أشد = تخزين طاقة أعلى.
درجة الوقت (حتى 35 نقطة)
فترات التجميع الأطول تراكم طاقة أكثر. كل شمعة تضيف للدرجة حتى الحد الأقصى.
مكافأة النضج (حتى 15 نقطة)
المناطق التي تصل لمراحل النضج تحصل على نقاط طاقة إضافية، اعترافاً بأن التجميعات الممتدة غالباً تنتج اختراقات أقوى.
مكافأة الضيق (حتى 10 نقاط)
نقاط إضافية تُمنح عندما يكون ارتفاع النطاق صغيراً استثنائياً نسبة لـ ATR.
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📊 نظام مركز الثقل
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كيف يعمل:
مركز الثقل هو متوسط السعر المرجح بالحجم داخل منطقة التجميع. يكشف أين يتركز معظم النشاط التداولي (وبالتالي الاهتمام المؤسسي).
التفسير:
• مركز الثقل في النصف العلوي ← المؤسسات تجمّع ← ميل صعودي
• مركز الثقل في النصف السفلي ← المؤسسات توزّع ← ميل هبوطي
• مركز الثقل في المنتصف ← محايد/غير مؤكد
العرض البصري:
خط متقطع مع رمز ⚖️ يحدد مركز الثقل داخل المناطق النشطة. لون الخط يطابق الميل الاتجاهي.
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🏦 كشف البصمة المؤسسية
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ما يقيسه:
يفحص المؤشر الشذوذات الحجمية — شموع حجمها يتجاوز المتوسط بشكل كبير بينما يبقى السعر محتوى داخل المنطقة.
لماذا هذا مهم:
الحجم الكبير بدون حركة سعرية غالباً يشير إلى لاعبين مؤسسيين يبنون مراكز. لا يمكنهم تجميع أو توزيع كميات كبيرة بدون ترك "بصمة" في بيانات الحجم.
تفسير الدرجة:
• أقل من 30%: نشاط تجزئة عادي
• 30-50%: بعض الاهتمام المؤسسي مكتشف
• فوق 50%: بصمة مؤسسية كبيرة (تُحدد بأيقونة 🏦)
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📈 مراحل النضج
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⚒ مرحلة التشكّل
المنطقة تم تحديدها للتو. الطاقة منخفضة، والنمط يحتاج وقتاً أكثر للتطور. الاختراقات المبكرة خلال هذه المرحلة لديها معدلات فشل أعلى.
📈 مرحلة النمو
المنطقة تتطور بشكل جيد. الطاقة تتراكم، ونمط التجميع يصبح أكثر تحديداً. راقب زيادة عدد الرفض عند الحدود.
✅ مرحلة النضج
مرحلة التداول المثلى. المنطقة راكمت طاقة كبيرة، البصمات المؤسسية غالباً مرئية، ودرجات جودة الاختراق عادة في أعلى مستوياتها.
⚠ مرحلة الإرهاق
المنطقة استمرت أطول من المدة النموذجية. بينما تبقى الطاقة مرتفعة، قد يفقد النمط قوته التنبؤية.
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🎨 دليل العناصر البصرية
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تأثير الصندوق ثلاثي الأبعاد
العرض ثلاثي الأبعاد يخلق عمقاً بصرياً مع وجه علوي ووجه جانبي، مما يجعل الصناديق بارزة بوضوح. قابل للتعديل عبر إعدادات "عمق 3D" و"ارتفاع 3D %".
خطوط الضغط
خطوط أفقية منقطة داخل المناطق النشطة تصور توزيع الضغط الداخلي. الخطوط الأقرب لمركز الثقل أكثر وضوحاً.
شريط تقدم الطاقة
شريط أفقي أسفل كل منطقة يُظهر مستوى الطاقة بصرياً. اللون يتدرج: أخضر (منخفض) ← أصفر (متوسط) ← برتقالي (مرتفع) ← أحمر (حرج).
تحذير الاختراق الوشيك
عندما تصل الطاقة للعتبة الحرجة (افتراضياً 80%)، يظهر تحذير "⚠ كسر وشيك!" فوق المنطقة النشطة.
لوحة المعلومات
جدول فوري يعرض: مستوى الطاقة، المرحلة، التوقع، جودة الاختراق، البصمة المؤسسية، الرفض العلوي/السفلي.
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📊 قراءة الإشارات
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مستويات الطاقة:
• أقل من 40%: طاقة منخفضة — الاختراق غير مرجح قريباً
• 40-60%: طاقة متوسطة — المنطقة في طور التطور
• 60-80%: طاقة مرتفعة — استعد لاختراق محتمل
• فوق 80%: طاقة حرجة — الاختراق وشيك
درجة جودة الاختراق:
• أقل من 50%: إعداد ضعيف — خطر اختراق كاذب أعلى
• 50-70%: إعداد متوسط — تقدم بحذر
• فوق 70%: إعداد قوي — صفقة عالية الاحتمالية
ثقة الاتجاه:
• أقل من 55%: محايد — انتظر إشارات أوضح
• 55-70%: ثقة متوسطة
• فوق 70%: توقع عالي الثقة
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⚙️ الإعدادات الموصى بها
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للمضاربة السريعة (1-15 دقيقة):
الحد الأدنى للشموع: 10-15 | فترة ATR: 10 | مضاعف ATR: 2.0
للتداول اليومي (15 دقيقة - ساعة):
الحد الأدنى للشموع: 15-20 | فترة ATR: 14 | مضاعف ATR: 2.5
للتداول المتأرجح (4 ساعات - يومي):
الحد الأدنى للشموع: 20-30 | فترة ATR: 20 | مضاعف ATR: 3.0
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🔔 التنبيهات
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• تنبيه منطقة جديدة: يُفعّل عند تشكّل منطقة تجميع جديدة
• تنبيه اختراق وشيك: يُفعّل عند وصول الطاقة لمستويات حرجة
• تنبيه اختراق صعودي: يُفعّل عند تأكيد كسر صعودي
• تنبيه اختراق هبوطي: يُفعّل عند تأكيد كسر هبوطي
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⚠️ إخلاء المسؤولية
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هذا المؤشر مصمم كأداة تحليل فني لتحديد أنماط التجميع وتوقع اتجاهات الاختراق المحتملة. لا يمكن لأي مؤشر التنبؤ بالمستقبل بيقين. مستويات وقف الخسارة والأهداف المعروضة هي اقتراحات مبنية على حسابات رياضية، وليست ضمانات.
هذا المؤشر لأغراض تعليمية وتحليلية فقط. لا يُمثل نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تداولية. استخدمه بالتزامن مع استراتيجيتك الخاصة وإدارة المخاطر. لا يتحمل TradingView ولا المطور مسؤولية أي قرارات مالية أو خسائر.
RSI Swing Indicator (Win-Rate + Forecast Line + Range Row)What the script does:
It’s essentially an enhanced RSI tool that doesn’t just show the raw RSI line. Instead, it adds forecasting, trade statistics, and range detection so you can see how reliable RSI signals have been historically and what they might mean going forward.
The main components
RSI Calculation
- Uses your chosen source (close, hl2, etc.) and length (default 7).
- Plots the RSI line (orange).
Forecasting
- Projects RSI into the future using slope extrapolation.
- Plots a forecast line (blue) and shows whether RSI is likely to become overbought, oversold, or stay neutral.
Trade Statistics
- Tracks how many long and short trades would have been profitable based on RSI bias.
- Calculates Win‑Rate (percentage of profitable trades) and Average Return (average gain/loss per trade).
- This gives you a statistical edge: are longs or shorts historically working better?
Bias & Conflict Detection
- Defines current bias (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral).
- Flags Conflict when the forecast disagrees with the current bias (e.g., RSI bullish now but forecast bearish).
- Helps you avoid trading against weakening momentum.
Range Detection
- Checks if RSI slope is flat and values are between mid‑bounds (40–60).
- Calculates Range Probability (how often range conditions occur).
- Adds a Range row to the table so you know when the market is likely sideways instead of trending.
Table Display
- Summarizes everything in a neat table: Forecast, Win‑Rates, Avg Returns, Prob Bias, Conflict, Range Prob, and Range status.
- Color‑coded so you can instantly see what’s favorable (green), risky (red), or neutral (yellow/orange).
How to use it
- Trend trading: Look for Profitable Bias with forecast alignment.
- Range trading: When both win‑rates are weak and Range row says Range Likely, fade extremes (buy low RSI, sell high RSI).
- Risk management: Avoid trades when Conflict is flagged.
- Forecasting: Use the projected RSI to anticipate overbought/oversold zones before they happen.
In short:
The script is like a “smart RSI dashboard”. It takes the basic RSI, adds forecasting, tracks how well past trades worked, and tells you whether the market is trending or ranging. This way, you’re not just reacting to RSI — you’re trading with context, probabilities, and forward‑looking signals.
Relative Strength Heatmap [BackQuant]Relative Strength Heatmap
A multi-horizon RSI matrix that compresses 20 different lookbacks into a single panel, turning raw momentum into a visual “pressure gauge” for overbought and oversold clustering, trend exhaustion, and breadth of participation across time horizons.
What this is
This indicator builds a strip-style heatmap of 20 RSIs, each with a different length, and stacks them vertically as colored tiles in a single pane. Every tile is colored by its RSI value using your chosen palette, so you can see at a glance:
How many “fast” versus “slow” RSIs are overbought or oversold.
Whether momentum is concentrated in the short lookbacks or spread across the whole curve.
When momentum extremes cluster, signalling strong market pressure or exhaustion.
On top of the tiles, the script plots two simple breadth lines:
A white line that counts how many RSIs are above 70 (overbought cluster).
A black line that counts how many RSIs are below 30 (oversold cluster).
This turns a single symbol’s RSI ladder into a compact “market pressure gauge” that shows not only whether RSI is overbought or oversold, but how many different horizons agree at the same time.
Core idea
A single RSI looks at one length and one timescale. Markets, however, are driven by flows that operate on multiple horizons at once. By computing RSI over a ladder of lengths, you approximate a “term structure” of strength:
Short lengths react to immediate swings and very recent impulses.
Medium lengths reflect swing behaviour and local trends.
Long lengths reflect structural bias and higher timeframe regime.
When many lengths agree, for example 10 or more RSIs all above 70, it suggests broad participation and strong directional pressure. When only a few fast lengths stretch to extremes while longer ones stay neutral, the move is more fragile and more likely to mean-revert.
This script makes that structure visible as a heatmap instead of forcing you to run many separate RSI panes.
How it works
1) Generating RSI lengths
You control three parameters in the calculation settings:
RS Period – the base RSI length used for the shortest strip.
RSI Step – the amount added to each successive RSI length.
RSI Multiplier – a global scaling factor applied after the step.
Each of the 20 RSIs uses:
RSI length = round((base_length + step × index) × multiplier) , where the index goes from 0 to 19.
That means:
RSI 1 uses (len + step × 0) × mult.
RSI 2 uses (len + step × 1) × mult.
…
RSI 20 uses (len + step × 19) × mult.
You can keep the ladder dense (small step and multiplier) or stretch it across much longer horizons.
2) Heatmap layout and grouping
Each RSI is plotted as an “area” strip at a fixed vertical level using histbase to stack them:
RSI 1–5 form Group 1.
RSI 6–10 form Group 2.
RSI 11–15 form Group 3.
RSI 16–20 form Group 4.
Each group has a toggle:
Show only Group 1 and 2 if you care mainly about fast and medium horizons.
Show all groups for a full spectrum from very short to very long.
Hide any group that feels redundant for your workflow.
The actual numeric RSI values are not plotted as lines. Instead, each strip is drawn as a horizontal band whose fill color represents the current RSI regime.
3) Palette-based coloring
Each tile’s color is driven by the RSI value and your chosen palette. The script includes several palettes:
Viridis – smooth green to yellow, good for subtle reading.
Jet – strong blue to red sequence with high contrast.
Plasma – purple through orange to yellow.
Custom Heat – cool blues to neutral grey to hot reds.
Gray – grayscale from white to black for minimalistic layouts.
Cividis, Inferno, Magma, Turbo, Rainbow – additional scientific and rainbow-style maps.
Internally, RSI values are bucketed into ranges (for example, below 10, 10–20, …, 90–100). Each bucket maps to a unique colour for that palette. In all schemes, low RSI values are mapped to the “cold” or darker side and high RSI values to the “hot” or brighter side.
The result is a true momentum heatmap:
Cold or dark tiles show low RSI and oversold or compressed conditions.
Mid tones show neutral or mid-range RSI.
Warm or bright tiles show high RSI and overbought or stretched conditions.
4) Bull and bear breadth counts
All 20 RSI values are collected into an array each bar. Two counters are then calculated:
Bull count – how many RSIs are above 70.
Bear count – how many RSIs are below 30.
These are plotted as:
A white line (“RSI > 70 Count”) for the overbought cluster.
A black line (“RSI < 30 Count”) for the oversold cluster.
If you enable the “Show Bull and Bear Count” option, you get an immediate reading of how many of the 20 horizons are stretched at any moment.
5) Cluster alerts and background tagging
Two alert conditions monitor “strong cluster” regimes:
RSI Heatmap Strong Bull – triggers when at least 10 RSIs are above 70.
RSI Heatmap Strong Bear – triggers when at least 10 RSIs are below 30.
When one of these conditions is true, the indicator can tint the background of the chart using a soft version of the current palette. This visually marks stretches where momentum is extreme across many lengths at once, not just on a single RSI.
What it plots
In one oscillator window, the indicator provides:
Up to 20 horizontal RSI strips, each representing a different RSI length.
Color-coded tiles reflecting the current RSI value for each length.
Group toggles to show or hide each block of five RSIs.
An optional white line that counts how many RSIs are above 70.
An optional black line that counts how many RSIs are below 30.
Optional background highlights when the number of overbought or oversold RSIs passes the strong-cluster threshold.
How it measures breadth and pressure
Single-symbol breadth
Breadth is usually defined across a basket of symbols, such as how many stocks advance versus decline. This indicator uses the same concept across time horizons for a single symbol. The question becomes:
“How many different RSI lengths are stretched in the same direction at once?”
Examples:
If only 2 or 3 of the shortest RSIs are above 70, bull count stays low. The move is fast and local, but not yet broadly supported.
If 12 or more RSIs across short, medium and long lengths are above 70, the bull count spikes. The move has broad momentum and strong upside pressure.
If 10 or more RSIs are below 30, bear count spikes and you are in a broad oversold regime.
This is breadth of momentum within one market.
Market pressure gauge
The combination of heatmap tiles and breadth lines acts as a pressure gauge:
High bull count with warm colors across most strips indicates strong upside pressure and crowded long positioning.
High bear count with cold colors across most strips indicates strong downside pressure and capitulation or forced selling.
Low counts with a mixed heatmap indicate neutral pressure, fragmented flows, or range-bound conditions.
You can treat the strong-cluster alerts as “extreme pressure” signals. When they fire, the market is heavily skewed in one direction across many horizons.
How to read the heatmap
Horizontal patterns (through time)
Look along the time axis and watch how the colors evolve:
Persistent hot tiles across many strips show sustained bullish pressure and trend strength.
Persistent cold tiles across many strips show sustained bearish pressure and weak demand.
Frequent flipping between hot and cold colours indicates a choppy or mean-reverting environment.
Vertical structure (across lengths at one bar)
Focus on a single bar and read the column of tiles from top to bottom:
Short RSIs hot, long RSIs neutral or cool: early trend or short-term fomo. Price has moved fast, longer horizons have not caught up.
Short and long RSIs all hot: mature, entrenched uptrend. Broad participation, high pressure, greater risk of blow-off or late-entry vulnerability.
Short RSIs cold but long RSIs mid to high: pullback in a higher timeframe uptrend. Dip-buy and continuation setups are often found here.
Short RSIs high but long RSIs low: countertrend rallies within a broader downtrend. Good hunting ground for fades and short entries after a bounce.
Bull and bear breadth lines
Use the two lines as simple, numeric breadth indicators:
A rising white line shows more RSIs pushing above 70, so bullish pressure is expanding in breadth.
A rising black line shows more RSIs pushing below 30, so bearish pressure is expanding in breadth.
When both lines are low and flat, few horizons are extreme and the market is in mid-range territory.
Cluster zones
When either count crosses the strong threshold (for example 10 out of 20 RSIs in extreme territory):
A strong bull cluster marks a broadly overbought regime. Trend followers may see this as confirmation. Mean-reversion traders may see it as a late-stage or blow-off context.
A strong bear cluster marks a broadly oversold regime. Downtrend traders see strong pressure, but the risk of sharp short-covering bounces also increases.
Trading applications
Trend confirmation
Use the heatmap and breadth lines as a trend filter:
Prefer long setups when the heatmap shows mostly mid to high RSIs and the bull count is rising.
Avoid fresh shorts when there is a strong bull cluster, unless you are specifically trading exhaustion.
Prefer short setups when the heatmap is mostly low RSIs and the bear count is rising.
Avoid aggressive longs when a strong bear cluster is active, unless you are trading reflexive bounces.
Mean-reversion timing
Treat cluster extremes as exhaustion zones:
Look for reversal patterns, failed breakouts, or order flow shifts when bull count is very high and price starts to stall or diverge.
Look for reflexive bounce potential when bear count is very high and price stops making new lows or shows absorption at the lows.
Use the palette and counts together: hot tiles plus a peaking white line can mark blow-off conditions, cold tiles plus a peaking black line can mark capitulation.
Regime detection and risk toggling
Use the overall shape of the ladder over time:
If upper strips stay warm and lower strips stay neutral or warm for extended periods, the market is in an uptrend regime. You can justify higher risk for long-biased strategies.
If upper strips stay cold and lower strips stay neutral or cold, the market is in a downtrend regime. You can justify higher risk for short-biased strategies or defensive positioning.
If colours and counts flip frequently, you are likely in a range or choppy regime. Consider reducing size or using more tactical, short-term strategies.
Multi-horizon synchronization
You can think of each RSI length as a proxy for a different “speed” of the same market:
When only fast RSIs are stretched, the move is local and less robust.
When fast, medium and slow RSIs align, the move has multi-horizon confirmation.
You can require a minimum bull or bear count before allowing your main strategy to engage.
Spotting hidden shifts
Sometimes price appears flat or drifting, but the heatmap quietly cools or warms:
If price is sideways while many hot tiles fade toward neutral, momentum is decaying under the surface and trend risk is increasing.
If price is sideways while many cold tiles climb back toward neutral, selling pressure is decaying and the tape is repairing itself.
Settings overview
Calculation Settings
RS Period – base RSI length for the shortest strip.
RSI Step – the increment added to each successive RSI length.
RSI Multiplier – scales all generated RSI lengths.
Calculation Source – the input series, such as close, hlc3 or others.
Plotting and Coloring Settings
Heatmap Color Palette – choose between Viridis, Jet, Plasma, Custom Heat, Gray, Cividis, Inferno, Magma, Turbo or Rainbow.
Show Group 1 – toggles RSI 1–5.
Show Group 2 – toggles RSI 6–10.
Show Group 3 – toggles RSI 11–15.
Show Group 4 – toggles RSI 16–20.
Show Bull and Bear Count – enables or disables the two breadth lines.
Alerts
RSI Heatmap Strong Bull – fires when the number of RSIs above 70 reaches or exceeds the configured threshold (default 10).
RSI Heatmap Strong Bear – fires when the number of RSIs below 30 reaches or exceeds the configured threshold (default 10).
Tuning guidance
Fast, tactical configurations
Use a small base RS Period, for example 2 to 5.
Use a small RSI Step, for tight clustering around the fast horizon.
Keep the multiplier near 1.0 to avoid extreme long lengths.
Focus on Group 1 and Group 2 for intraday and short-term trading.
Swing and position configurations
Use a mid-range RS Period, for example 7 to 14.
Use a moderate RSI Step to fan out into slower horizons.
Optionally use a multiplier slightly above 1.0.
Keep all four groups enabled for a full view from fast to slow.
Macro or higher timeframe configurations
Use a larger base RS Period.
Use a larger RSI Step so the top of the ladder reaches very slow lengths.
Focus on Group 3 and Group 4 to see structural momentum.
Treat clusters as regime markers rather than frequent trading signals.
Notes
This indicator is a contextual tool, not a standalone trading system. It does not model execution, spreads, slippage or fundamental drivers. Use it to:
Understand whether momentum is narrow or broad across horizons.
Confirm or filter existing signals from your primary strategy.
Identify environments where the market is crowded into one side.
Distinguish between isolated spikes and truly broad pressure moves.
The Relative Strength Heatmap is designed to answer a simple but powerful question:
“How many versions of RSI agree with what I am seeing on the chart?”
By compressing those answers into a single panel with clear colour coding and breadth lines, it becomes a practical, visual gauge of momentum breadth and market pressure that you can overlay on any trading framework.
RSI HTF Hardcoded (A/B Presets) + Regimes [CHE]RSI HTF Hardcoded (A/B Presets) + Regimes — Higher-timeframe RSI emulation with acceptance-based regime filter and on-chart diagnostics
Summary
This indicator emulates a higher-timeframe RSI on the current chart by resolving hardcoded “HTF-like” lengths from a time-bucket mapping, avoiding cross-timeframe requests. It computes RSI on a resolved length, smooths it with a resolved moving average, and derives a histogram-style difference (RSI minus its smoother). A four-state regime classifier is gated by a dead-band and an acceptance filter requiring consecutive bars before a regime is considered valid. An on-chart table reports the active preset, resolved mapping tag, resolved lengths, and the current filtered regime.
Pine version: v6
Overlay: false
Primary outputs: RSI line, SMA(RSI) line, RSI–SMA histogram columns, reference levels (30/50/70), regime-change alert, info table
Motivation
Cross-timeframe RSI implementations often rely on `request.security`, which can introduce repaint pathways and additional update latency. This design uses deterministic, on-series computation: it infers a coarse target bucket (or uses a forced bucket) and resolves lengths accordingly. The dead-band reduces noise at the decision boundaries (around RSI 50 and around the RSI–SMA difference), while the acceptance filter suppresses rapid flip-flops by requiring sustained agreement across bars.
Differences
Baseline: Standard RSI with a user-selected length on the same timeframe, or HTF RSI via cross-timeframe requests.
Key differences:
Hardcoded preset families and a bucket-based mapping to resolve “HTF-like” lengths on the current chart.
No `request.security`; all calculations run on the chart’s own series.
Regime classification uses two independent signals (RSI relative to 50 and RSI–SMA difference), gated by a configurable dead-band and an acceptance counter.
Always-on diagnostics via a persistent table (optional), showing preset, mapping tag, resolved lengths, and filtered regime.
Practical effect: The oscillator behaves like a slower, higher-timeframe variant with more stable regime transitions, at the cost of delayed recognition around sharp turns (by design).
How it works
1. Bucket selection: The script derives a coarse “target bucket” from the chart timeframe (Auto) or uses a user-forced bucket.
2. Length resolution: A chosen preset defines base lengths (RSI length and smoothing length). A bucket/timeframe mapping resolves a multiplier, producing final lengths used for RSI and smoothing.
3. Oscillator construction: RSI is computed on the resolved RSI length. A moving average of RSI is computed on the resolved smoothing length. The difference (RSI minus its smoother) is used as the histogram series.
4. Regime classification: Four regimes are defined from:
RSI relative to 50 (bullish above, bearish below), with a dead-band around 50
Difference relative to 0 (positive/negative), with a dead-band around 0
These two axes produce strong/weak bull and bear states, plus a neutral state when inside the dead-band(s).
5. Acceptance filter: The raw regime must persist for `n` consecutive bars before it becomes the filtered regime. The alert triggers when the filtered regime changes.
6. Diagnostics and visualization: Histogram columns change shade based on sign and whether the difference is rising/falling. The table displays preset, mapping tag, resolved lengths, and the filtered regime description.
Parameter Guide
Source — Input series for RSI — Default: Close — Smoother sources reduce noise but add lag.
Preset — Base lengths family — Default: A(14/14) — Switch presets to change RSI and smoothing responsiveness.
Target Bucket — Auto or forced bucket — Default: Auto — Force a bucket to lock behavior across chart timeframe changes.
Table X / Table Y — Table anchor — Default: right / top — Move to avoid covering content.
Table Size — Table text size — Default: normal — Increase for presentations, decrease for dense layouts.
Dark Mode — Table theme — Default: enabled — Match chart background for readability.
Show Table — Toggle diagnostics table — Default: enabled — Disable for a cleaner pane.
Epsilon (dead-band) — Noise gate for decisions — Default: 1.0 — Raise to reduce flips near boundaries; lower to react faster.
Acceptance bars (n) — Bars required to confirm a regime — Default: 3 — Higher reduces whipsaw; lower increases reactivity.
Reading
Histogram (RSI–SMA):
Above zero indicates RSI is above its smoother (positive momentum bias).
Below zero indicates RSI is below its smoother (negative momentum bias).
Darker/lighter shading indicates whether the difference is increasing or decreasing versus the previous bar.
RSI vs SMA(RSI):
RSI’s position relative to 50 provides broad directional bias.
RSI’s position relative to its smoother provides momentum confirmation/contra-signal.
Regimes:
Strong bull: RSI meaningfully above 50 and difference meaningfully above 0.
Weak bull: RSI above 50 but difference below 0 (pullback/transition).
Strong bear: RSI meaningfully below 50 and difference meaningfully below 0.
Weak bear: RSI below 50 but difference above 0 (pullback/transition).
Neutral: inside the dead-band(s).
Table:
Use it to validate the active preset, the mapping tag, the resolved lengths, and the filtered regime output.
Workflows
Trend confirmation:
Favor long bias when strong bull is active; favor short bias when strong bear is active.
Treat weak regimes as pullback/transition context rather than immediate reversals, especially with higher acceptance.
Structure + oscillator:
Combine regimes with swing structure, breakouts, or a baseline trend filter to avoid trading against dominant structure.
Use regime change alerts as a “state change” notification, not as a standalone entry.
Multi-asset consistency:
The bucket mapping helps keep a consistent “feel” across different chart timeframes without relying on external timeframe series.
Behavior/Constraints
Intrabar behavior:
No cross-timeframe requests are used; values can still evolve on the live bar and settle at close depending on your chart/update timing.
Warm-up requirements:
Large resolved lengths require sufficient history to seed RSI and smoothing. Expect a warm-up period after loading or switching symbols/timeframes.
Latency by design:
Dead-band and acceptance filtering reduce noise but can delay regime changes during sharp reversals.
Chart types:
Intended for standard time-based charts. Non-time-based or synthetic chart types (e.g., Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, Range) can distort oscillator behavior and regime stability.
Tuning
Too many flips near decision boundaries:
Increase Epsilon and/or increase Acceptance bars.
Too sluggish in clean trends:
Reduce Acceptance bars by one, or choose a faster preset (shorter base lengths).
Too sensitive on lower timeframes:
Choose a slower preset (longer base lengths) or force a higher Target Bucket.
Want less clutter:
Disable the table and keep only the alert + plots you need.
What it is/isn’t
This indicator is a regime and visualization layer for RSI using higher-timeframe emulation and stability gates. It is not a complete trading system and does not provide position sizing, risk management, or execution rules. Use it alongside structure, liquidity/volatility context, and protective risk controls.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino.
Kernel Channel [BackQuant]Kernel Channel
A non-parametric, kernel-weighted trend channel that adapts to local structure, smooths noise without lagging like moving averages, and highlights volatility compressions, expansions, and directional bias through a flexible choice of kernels, band types, and squeeze logic.
What this is
This indicator builds a full trend channel using kernel regression rather than classical averaging. Instead of a simple moving average or exponential weighting, the midline is computed as a kernel-weighted expectation of past values. This allows it to adapt to local shape, give more weight to nearby bars, and reduce distortion from outliers.
You can think of it as a sliding local smoother where you define both the “window” of influence (Window Length) and the “locality strength” (Bandwidth). The result is a flexible midline with optional upper and lower bands derived from kernel-weighted ATR or kernel-weighted standard deviation, letting you visualize volatility in a structurally consistent way.
Three plotting modes help demonstrate this difference:
When the midline is shown alone, you get a smooth, adaptive baseline that behaves almost like a regression moving average, as shown in this view:
When full channels are enabled, you see how standard deviation reacts to local structure with dynamically widening and tightening bands, a mode illustrated here:
When ATR mode is chosen instead of StdDev, band width reflects breadth of movement rather than variance, creating a volatility-aware envelope like the example here:
Why kernels
Classical moving averages allocate fixed weights. Kernels let the user define weighting shape:
Epanechnikov — emphasizes bars near the current bar, fades fast, stable and smooth.
Triangular — linear decay, simple and responsive.
Laplacian — exponential decay from the current point, sharper reactivity.
Cosine — gentle periodic decay, balanced smoothness for trend filters.
Using these in combination with a bandwidth parameter gives fine control over smoothness vs responsiveness. Smaller bandwidths give sharper local sensitivity, larger bandwidths give smoother curvature.
How it works (core logic)
The indicator computes three building blocks:
1) Kernel-weighted midline
For every bar, a sliding window looks back Window Length bars. Each bar in this window receives a kernel weight depending on:
its index distance from the present
the chosen kernel shape
the bandwidth parameter (locality)
Weights form the denominator, weighted values form the numerator, and the resulting ratio is the kernel regression mean. This midline is the central trend.
2) Kernel-based width
You choose one of two band types:
Kernel ATR — ATR values are kernel-averaged, producing a smooth, volatility-based width that is not dependent on variance. Ideal for directional trend channels and regime separation.
Kernel StdDev — local variance around the midline is computed through kernel weighting. This produces a true statistical envelope that narrows in quiet periods and widens in noisy areas.
Width is scaled using Band Multiplier , controlling how far the envelope extends.
3) Upper and lower channels
Provided midline and width exist, the channel edges are:
Upper = midline + bandMult × width
Lower = midline − bandMult × width
These create smooth structures around price that adapt continuously.
Plotting modes
The indicator supports multiple visual styles depending on what you want to emphasize.
When only the midline is displayed, you get a pure kernel trend: a smooth regression-like curve that reacts to local structure while filtering noise, demonstrated here: This provides a clean read on direction and slope.
With full channels enabled, the behavior of the bands becomes visible. Standard deviation mode creates elastic boundaries that tighten during compressions and widen during turbulence, which you can see in the band-focused demonstration: This helps identify expansion events, volatility clusters, and breakouts.
ATR mode shifts interpretation from statistical variance to raw movement amplitude. This makes channels less sensitive to outliers and more consistent across trend phases, as shown in this ATR variation example: This mode is particularly useful for breakout systems and bar-range regimes.
Regime detection and bar coloring
The slope of the midline defines directional bias:
Up-slope → green
Down-slope → red
Flat → gray
A secondary regime filter compares close to the channel:
Trend Up Strong — close above upper band and midline rising.
Trend Down Strong — close below lower band and midline falling.
Trend Up Weak — close between midline and upper band with rising slope.
Trend Down Weak — close between lower band and midline with falling slope.
Compression mode — squeeze conditions.
Bar coloring is optional and can be toggled for cleaner charts.
Squeeze logic
The indicator includes non-standard squeeze detection based on relative width , defined as:
width / |midline|
This gives a dimensionless measure of how “tight” or “loose” the channel is, normalized for trend level.
A rolling window evaluates the percentile rank of current width relative to past behavior. If the width is in the lowest X% of its last N observations, the script flags a squeeze environment. This highlights compression regions that may precede breakouts or regime shifts.
Deviation highlighting
When using Kernel StdDev mode, you may enable deviation flags that highlight bars where price moves outside the channel:
Above upper band → bullish momentum overextension
Below lower band → bearish momentum overextension
This is turned off in ATR mode because ATR widths do not represent distributional variance.
Alerts included
Kernel Channel Long — midline turns up.
Kernel Channel Short — midline turns down.
Price Crossed Midline — crossover or crossunder of the midline.
Price Above Upper — early momentum expansion.
Price Below Lower — downward volatility expansion.
These help automate regime changes and breakout detection.
How to use it
Trend identification
The midline acts as a bias filter. Rising midline means trend strength upward, falling midline means downward behavior. The channel width contextualizes confidence.
Breakout anticipation
Kernel StdDev compressions highlight areas where price is coiling. Breakouts often follow narrow relative width. ATR mode provides structural expansion cues that are smooth and robust.
Mean reversion
StdDev mode is suitable for fade setups. Moves to outer bands during low volatility often revert to the midline.
Continuation logic
If price breaks above the upper band while midline is rising, the indicator flags strong directional expansion. Same logic for breakdowns on the lower band.
Volatility characterization
Kernel ATR maps raw bar movements and is excellent for identifying regime shifts in markets where variance is unstable.
Tuning guidance
For smoother long-term trend tracking
Larger window (150–300).
Moderate bandwidth (1.0–2.0).
Epanechnikov or Cosine kernel.
ATR mode for stable envelopes.
For swing trading / short-term structure
Window length around 50–100.
Bandwidth 0.6–1.2.
Triangular for speed, Laplacian for sharper reactions.
StdDev bands for precise volatility compression.
For breakout systems
Smaller bandwidth for sharp local detection.
ATR mode for stable envelopes.
Enable squeeze highlighting for identifying setups early.
For mean-reversion systems
Use StdDev bands.
Moderate window length.
Highlight deviations to locate overextended bars.
Settings overview
Kernel Settings
Source
Window Length
Bandwidth
Kernel Type (Epanechnikov, Triangular, Laplacian, Cosine)
Channel Width
Band Type (Kernel ATR or Kernel StdDev)
Band Multiplier
Visuals
Show Bands
Color Bars By Regime
Highlight Squeeze Periods
Highlight Deviation
Lookback and Percentile settings
Colors for uptrend, downtrend, squeeze, flat
Trading applications
Trend filtering — trade only in direction of the midline slope.
Breakout confirmation — expansion outside the bands while slope agrees.
Squeeze timing — compression periods often precede the next directional leg.
Volatility-aware stops — ATR mode makes channel edges suitable for adaptive stop placement.
Structural swing mapping — StdDev bands help locate midline pullbacks vs distributional extremes.
Bias rotation — bar coloring highlights when regime shifts occur.
Notes
The Kernel Channel is not a signal generator by itself, but a structural map. It helps classify trend direction, volatility environment, distribution shape, and compression cycles. Combine it with your entry and exit framework, risk parameters, and higher-timeframe confirmation.
It is designed to behave consistently across markets, to avoid the bluntness of classical averages, and to reveal subtle curvature in price that traditional channels miss. Adjust kernel type, bandwidth, and band source to match the noise profile of your instrument, then use squeeze logic and deviation highlighting to guide timing.
Luxy Super-Duper SuperTrend Predictor Engine and Buy/Sell signalA professional trend-following grading system that analyzes historical trend
patterns to provide statistical duration estimates using advanced similarity
matching and k-nearest neighbors analysis. Combines adaptive Supertrend with
intelligent duration statistics, multi-timeframe confluence, volume confirmation,
and quality scoring to identify high-probability setups with data-driven
target ranges across all timeframes.
Note: All duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical data, not guarantees of future performance.
WHAT MAKES THIS DIFFERENT
Unlike traditional SuperTrend indicators that only tell you trend direction, this system answers the critical question: "What is the typical duration for trends like this?"
The Statistical Analysis Engine:
• Analyzes your chart's last 15+ completed SuperTrend trends (bullish and bearish separately)
• Uses k-nearest neighbors similarity matching to find historically similar setups
• Calculates statistical duration estimates based on current market conditions
• Learns from estimation errors and adapts over time (Advanced mode)
• Displays visual duration analysis box showing median, average, and range estimates
• Tracks Statistical accuracy with backtest statistics
Complete Trading System:
• Statistical trend duration analysis with three intelligence levels
• Adaptive Supertrend with dynamic ATR-based bands
• Multi-timeframe confluence analysis (6 timeframes: 5M to 1W)
• Volume confirmation with spike detection and momentum tracking
• Quality scoring system (0-70 points) rating each setup
• One-click preset optimization for all trading styles
• Anti-repaint guarantee on all signals and duration estimates
METHODOLOGY CREDITS
This indicator's approach is inspired by proven trading methodologies from respected market educators:
• Mark Minervini - Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) and pullback entry techniques
• William O'Neil - Volume confirmation principles and institutional buying patterns (CANSLIM methodology)
• Dan Zanger - Volatility expansion entries and momentum breakout strategies
Important: These are educational references only. This indicator does not guarantee any specific trading results. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management.
KEY FEATURES
1. TREND DURATION ANALYSIS SYSTEM - The Core Innovation
The statistical analysis engine is what sets this indicator apart from standard SuperTrend systems. It doesn't just identify trend changes - it provides statistical analysis of potential duration.
How It Works:
Step 1: Historical Tracking
• Automatically records every completed SuperTrend trend (duration in bars)
• Maintains separate databases for bullish trends and bearish trends
• Stores up to 15 most recent trends of each type
• Captures market conditions at each trend flip: volume ratio, ATR ratio, quality score, price distance from SuperTrend, proximity to support/resistance
Step 2: Similarity Matching (k-Nearest Neighbors)
• When new trend begins, system compares current conditions to ALL historical flips
• Calculates similarity score based on:
- Volume similarity (30% weight) - Is volume behaving similarly?
- Volatility similarity (30% weight) - Is ATR/volatility similar?
- Quality similarity (20% weight) - Is setup strength comparable?
- Distance similarity (10% weight) - Is price distance from ST similar?
- Support/Resistance proximity (10% weight) - Similar structural context?
• Selects the 15 MOST SIMILAR historical trends (not just all trends)
• This is like asking: "When conditions looked like this before, how long did trends last?"
Step 3: Statistical Analysis
• Calculates median duration (most common outcome)
• Calculates average duration (mean of similar trends)
• Determines realistic range (min to max of similar trends)
• Applies exponential weighting (recent trends weighted more heavily)
• Outputs confidence-weighted statistical estimate
Step 4: Advanced Intelligence (Advanced Mode Only)
The Advanced mode applies five sophisticated multipliers to refine estimates:
A) Market Structure Multiplier (±30%):
• Detects nearby support/resistance levels using pivot detection
• If flip occurs NEAR a key level: Estimate adjusted -30% (expect bounce/rejection)
• If flip occurs in open space: Estimate adjusted +30% (clear path for continuation)
• Uses configurable lookback period and ATR-based proximity threshold
B) Asset Type Multiplier (±40%):
• Adjusts duration estimates based on asset volatility characteristics
• Small Cap / Biotech: +40% (explosive, extended moves)
• Tech Growth: +20% (momentum-driven, longer trends)
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: 0% (baseline, steady trends)
• Dividend / Value: -20% (slower, grinding trends)
• Cyclical: Variable based on macro regime
• Crypto / High Volatility: +30% (parabolic potential)
C) Flip Strength Multiplier (±20%):
• Analyzes the QUALITY of the trend flip itself
• Strong flip (high volume + expanding ATR + quality score 60+): +20%
• Weak flip (low volume + contracting ATR + quality score under 40): -20%
• Logic: Historical data shows that powerful flips tend to be followed by longer trends
D) Error Learning Multiplier (±15%):
• Tracks Statistical accuracy over last 10 completed trends
• Calculates error ratio: (estimated duration / Actual Duration)
• If system consistently over-estimates: Apply -15% correction
• If system consistently under-estimates: Apply +15% correction
• Learns and adapts to current market regime
E) Regime Detection Multiplier (±20%):
• Analyzes last 3 trends of SAME TYPE (bull-to-bull or bear-to-bear)
• Compares recent trend durations to historical average
• If recent trends 20%+ longer than average: +20% adjustment (trending regime detected)
• If recent trends 20%+ shorter than average: -20% adjustment (choppy regime detected)
• Detects whether market is in trending or mean-reversion mode
Three analysis modes:
SIMPLE MODE - Basic Statistics
• Uses raw median of similar trends only
• No multipliers, no adjustments
• Best for: Beginners, clean trending markets
• Fastest calculations, minimal complexity
STANDARD MODE - Full Statistical Analysis
• Similarity matching with k-nearest neighbors
• Exponential weighting of recent trends
• Median, average, and range calculations
• Best for: Most traders, general market conditions
• Balance of accuracy and simplicity
ADVANCED MODE - Statistics + Intelligence
• Everything in Standard mode PLUS
• All 5 advanced multipliers (structure, asset type, flip strength, learning, regime)
• Highest Statistical accuracy in testing
• Best for: Experienced traders, volatile/complex markets
• Maximum intelligence, most adaptive
Visual Duration Analysis Box:
When a new trend begins (SuperTrend flip), a box appears on your chart showing:
• Analysis Mode (Simple / Standard / Advanced)
• Number of historical trends analyzed
• Median expected duration (most likely outcome)
• Average expected duration (mean of similar trends)
• Range (minimum to maximum from similar trends)
• Advanced multipliers breakdown (Advanced mode only)
• Backtest accuracy statistics (if available)
The box extends from the flip bar to the estimated endpoint based on historical data, giving you a visual target for trend duration. Box updates in real-time as trend progresses.
Backtest & Accuracy Tracking:
• System backtests its own duration estimates using historical data
• Shows accuracy metrics: how well duration estimates matched actual durations
• Tracks last 10 completed duration estimates separately
• Displays statistics in dashboard and duration analysis boxes
• Helps you understand statistical reliability on your specific symbol/timeframe
Anti-Repaint Guarantee:
• duration analysis boxes only appear AFTER bar close (barstate.isconfirmed)
• Historical duration estimates never disappear or change
• What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen real-time
• No future data leakage, no lookahead bias
2. INTELLIGENT PRESET CONFIGURATIONS - One-Click Optimization
Unlike indicators that require tedious parameter tweaking, this system includes professionally optimized presets for every trading style. Select your approach from the dropdown and ALL parameters auto-configure.
"AUTO (DETECT FROM TF)" - RECOMMENDED
The smartest option: automatically selects optimal settings based on your chart timeframe.
• 1m-5m charts → Scalping preset (ATR: 7, Mult: 2.0)
• 15m-1h charts → Day Trading preset (ATR: 10, Mult: 2.5)
• 2h-4h-D charts → Swing Trading preset (ATR: 14, Mult: 3.0)
• W-M charts → Position Trading preset (ATR: 21, Mult: 4.0)
Benefits:
• Zero configuration - works immediately
• Always matched to your timeframe
• Switch timeframe = automatic adjustment
• Perfect for traders who use multiple timeframes
"SCALPING (1-5M)" - Ultra-Fast Signals
Optimized for: 1-5 minute charts, high-frequency trading, quick profits
Target holding period: Minutes to 1-2 hours maximum
Best markets: High-volume stocks, major crypto pairs, active futures
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 7, Multiplier 2.0 (very sensitive)
• Volume: MA 10, High 1.8x, Spike 3.0x (catches quick surges)
• Volume Momentum: AUTO-DISABLED (too restrictive for fast scalping)
• Quality minimum: 40 points (accepts more setups)
• Duration Analysis: Uses last 15 trends with heavy recent weighting
Trading Logic:
Speed over precision. Short ATR period and low multiplier create highly responsive SuperTrend. Volume momentum filter disabled to avoid missing fast moves. Quality threshold relaxed to catch more opportunities in rapid market conditions.
Signals per session: 5-15 typically
Hold time: Minutes to couple hours
Best for: Active traders with fast execution
"DAY TRADING (15M-1H)" - Balanced Approach
Optimized for: 15-minute to 1-hour charts, intraday moves, session-based trading
Target holding period: 30 minutes to 8 hours (within trading day)
Best markets: Large-cap stocks, major indices, established crypto
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 10, Multiplier 2.5 (balanced)
• Volume: MA 20, High 1.5x, Spike 2.5x (standard detection)
• Volume Momentum: 5/20 periods (confirms intraday strength)
• Quality minimum: 50 points (good setups preferred)
• Duration Analysis: Balanced weighting of recent vs historical
Trading Logic:
The most balanced configuration. ATR 10 with multiplier 2.5 provides steady trend following that avoids noise while catching meaningful moves. Volume momentum confirms institutional participation without being overly restrictive.
Signals per session: 2-5 typically
Hold time: 30 minutes to full day
Best for: Part-time and full-time active traders
"SWING TRADING (4H-D)" - Trend Stability
Optimized for: 4-hour to Daily charts, multi-day holds, trend continuation
Target holding period: 2-15 days typically
Best markets: Growth stocks, sector ETFs, trending crypto, commodity futures
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 14, Multiplier 3.0 (stable)
• Volume: MA 30, High 1.3x, Spike 2.2x (accumulation focus)
• Volume Momentum: 10/30 periods (trend stability)
• Quality minimum: 60 points (high-quality setups only)
• Duration Analysis: Favors consistent historical patterns
Trading Logic:
Designed for substantial trend moves while filtering short-term noise. Higher ATR period and multiplier create stable SuperTrend that won't flip on minor corrections. Stricter quality requirements ensure only strongest setups generate signals.
Signals per week: 2-5 typically
Hold time: Days to couple weeks
Best for: Part-time traders, swing style
"POSITION TRADING (D-W)" - Long-Term Trends
Optimized for: Daily to Weekly charts, major trend changes, portfolio allocation
Target holding period: Weeks to months
Best markets: Blue-chip stocks, major indices, established cryptocurrencies
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 21, Multiplier 4.0 (very stable)
• Volume: MA 50, High 1.2x, Spike 2.0x (long-term accumulation)
• Volume Momentum: 20/50 periods (major trend confirmation)
• Quality minimum: 70 points (excellent setups only)
• Duration Analysis: Heavy emphasis on multi-year historical data
Trading Logic:
Conservative approach focusing on major trend changes. Extended ATR period and high multiplier create SuperTrend that only flips on significant reversals. Very strict quality filters ensure signals represent genuine long-term opportunities.
Signals per month: 1-2 typically
Hold time: Weeks to months
Best for: Long-term investors, set-and-forget approach
"CUSTOM" - Advanced Configuration
Purpose: Complete manual control for experienced traders
Use when: You understand the parameters and want specific optimization
Best for: Testing new approaches, unusual market conditions, specific instruments
Full control over:
• All SuperTrend parameters
• Volume thresholds and momentum periods
• Quality scoring weights
• analysis mode and multipliers
• Advanced features tuning
Preset Comparison Quick Reference:
Chart Timeframe: Scalping (1M-5M) | Day Trading (15M-1H) | Swing (4H-D) | Position (D-W)
Signals Frequency: Very High | High | Medium | Low
Hold Duration: Minutes | Hours | Days | Weeks-Months
Quality Threshold: 40 pts | 50 pts | 60 pts | 70 pts
ATR Sensitivity: Highest | Medium | Lower | Lowest
Time Investment: Highest | High | Medium | Lowest
Experience Level: Expert | Advanced | Intermediate | Beginner+
3. QUALITY SCORING SYSTEM (0-70 Points)
Every signal is rated in real-time across three dimensions:
Volume Confirmation (0-30 points):
• Volume Spike (2.5x+ average): 30 points
• High Volume (1.5x+ average): 20 points
• Above Average (1.0x+ average): 10 points
• Below Average: 0 points
Volatility Assessment (0-30 points):
• Expanding ATR (1.2x+ average): 30 points
• Rising ATR (1.0-1.2x average): 15 points
• Contracting/Stable ATR: 0 points
Volume Momentum (0-10 points):
• Strong Momentum (1.2x+ ratio): 10 points
• Rising Momentum (1.0-1.2x ratio): 5 points
• Weak/Neutral Momentum: 0 points
Score Interpretation:
60-70 points - EXCELLENT:
• All factors aligned
• High conviction setup
• Maximum position size (within risk limits)
• Primary trading opportunities
45-59 points - STRONG:
• Multiple confirmations present
• Above-average setup quality
• Standard position size
• Good trading opportunities
30-44 points - GOOD:
• Basic confirmations met
• Acceptable setup quality
• Reduced position size
• Wait for additional confirmation or trade smaller
Below 30 points - WEAK:
• Minimal confirmations
• Low probability setup
• Consider passing
• Only for aggressive traders in strong trends
Only signals meeting your minimum quality threshold (configurable per preset) generate alerts and labels.
4. MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS
The system can simultaneously analyze trend alignment across 6 timeframes (optional feature):
Timeframes analyzed:
• 5-minute (scalping context)
• 15-minute (intraday momentum)
• 1-hour (day trading bias)
• 4-hour (swing context)
• Daily (primary trend)
• Weekly (macro trend)
Confluence Interpretation:
• 5-6/6 aligned - Very strong multi-timeframe agreement (highest confidence)
• 3-4/6 aligned - Moderate agreement (standard setup)
• 1-2/6 aligned - Weak agreement (caution advised)
Dashboard shows real-time alignment count with color-coding. Higher confluence typically correlates with longer, stronger trends.
5. VOLUME MOMENTUM FILTER - Institutional Money Flow
Unlike traditional volume indicators that just measure size, Volume Momentum tracks the RATE OF CHANGE in volume:
How it works:
• Compares short-term volume average (fast period) to long-term average (slow period)
• Ratio above 1.0 = Volume accelerating (money flowing IN)
• Ratio above 1.2 = Strong acceleration (institutional participation likely)
• Ratio below 0.8 = Volume decelerating (money flowing OUT)
Why it matters:
• Confirms trend with actual money flow, not just price
• Leading indicator (volume often leads price)
• Catches accumulation/distribution before breakouts
• More intuitive than complex mathematical filters
Integration with signals:
• Optional filter - can be enabled/disabled per preset
• When enabled: Only signals with rising volume momentum fire
• AUTO-DISABLED in Scalping mode (too restrictive for fast trading)
• Configurable fast/slow periods per trading style
6. ADAPTIVE SUPERTREND MULTIPLIER
Traditional SuperTrend uses fixed ATR multiplier. This system dynamically adjusts the multiplier (0.8x to 1.2x base) based on:
• Trend Strength: Price correlation over lookback period
• Volume Weight: Current volume relative to average
Benefits:
• Tighter bands in calm markets (less premature exits)
• Wider bands in volatile conditions (avoids whipsaws)
• Better adaptation to biotech, small-cap, and crypto volatility
• Optional - can be disabled for classic constant multiplier
7. VISUAL GRADIENT RIBBON
26-layer exponential gradient fill between price and SuperTrend line provides instant visual trend strength assessment:
Color System:
• Green shades - Bullish trend + volume confirmation (strongest)
• Blue shades - Bullish trend, normal volume
• Orange shades - Bearish trend + volume confirmation
• Red shades - Bearish trend (weakest)
Opacity varies based on:
• Distance from SuperTrend (farther = more opaque)
• Volume intensity (higher volume = stronger color)
The ribbon provides at-a-glance trend strength without cluttering your chart. Can be toggled on/off.
8. INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
Two-tier alert architecture for flexibility:
Automatic Alerts:
• Fire automatically on BUY and SELL signals
• Include full context: quality score, volume state, volume momentum
• One alert per bar close (alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)
• Message format: "BUY: Supertrend bullish + Quality: 65/70 | Volume: HIGH | Vol Momentum: STRONG (1.35x)"
Customizable Alert Conditions:
• Appear in TradingView's "Create Alert" dialog
• Three options: BUY Signal Only, SELL Signal Only, ANY Signal (BUY or SELL)
• Use TradingView placeholders: {{ticker}}, {{interval}}, {{close}}, {{time}}
• Fully customizable message templates
All alerts use barstate.isconfirmed - Zero repaint guarantee.
9. ANTI-REPAINT ARCHITECTURE
Every component guaranteed non-repainting:
• Entry signals: Only appear after bar close
• duration analysis boxes: Created only on confirmed SuperTrend flips
• Informative labels: Wait for bar confirmation
• Alerts: Fire once per closed bar
• Multi-timeframe data: Uses lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off
What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen in real-time. No disappearing signals, no changed duration estimates.
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR
QUICK START - 3 Steps to Trading:
Step 1: Select Your Trading Style
Open indicator settings → "Quick Setup" section → Trading Style Preset dropdown
Options:
• Auto (Detect from TF) - RECOMMENDED: Automatically configures based on your chart timeframe
• Scalping (1-5m) - For 1-5 minute charts, ultra-fast signals
• Day Trading (15m-1h) - For 15m-1h charts, balanced approach
• Swing Trading (4h-D) - For 4h-Daily charts, trend stability
• Position Trading (D-W) - For Daily-Weekly charts, long-term trends
• Custom - Manual configuration (advanced users only)
Choose "Auto" and you're done - all parameters optimize automatically.
Step 2: Understand the Signals
BUY Signal (Green Triangle Below Price):
• SuperTrend flipped bullish
• Quality score meets minimum threshold (varies by preset)
• Volume confirmation present (if filter enabled)
• Volume momentum rising (if filter enabled)
• duration analysis box shows expected trend duration
SELL Signal (Red Triangle Above Price):
• SuperTrend flipped bearish
• Quality score meets minimum threshold
• Volume confirmation present (if filter enabled)
• Volume momentum rising (if filter enabled)
• duration analysis box shows expected trend duration
Duration Analysis Box:
• Appears at SuperTrend flip (start of new trend)
• Shows median, average, and range duration estimates
• Extends to estimated endpoint based on historical data visually
• Updates mode-specific intelligence (Simple/Standard/Advanced)
Step 3: Use the Dashboard for Context
Dashboard (top-right corner) shows real-time metrics:
• Row 1 - Quality Score: Current setup rating (0-70)
• Row 2 - SuperTrend: Direction and current level
• Row 3 - Volume: Status (Spike/High/Normal/Low) with color
• Row 4 - Volatility: State (Expanding/Rising/Stable/Contracting)
• Row 5 - Volume Momentum: Ratio and trend
• Row 6 - Duration Statistics: Accuracy metrics and track record
Every cell has detailed tooltip - hover for full explanations.
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION BY QUALITY SCORE:
Excellent Setup (60-70 points):
• Quality Score: 60-70
• Volume: Spike or High
• Volatility: Expanding
• Volume Momentum: Strong (1.2x+)
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 5-6/6
• Action: Primary trade - maximum position size (within risk limits)
• Statistical reliability: Highest - duration estimates most accurate
Strong Setup (45-59 points):
• Quality Score: 45-59
• Volume: High or Above Average
• Volatility: Rising
• Volume Momentum: Rising (1.0-1.2x)
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 3-4/6
• Action: Standard trade - normal position size
• Statistical reliability: Good - duration estimates reliable
Good Setup (30-44 points):
• Quality Score: 30-44
• Volume: Above Average
• Volatility: Stable or Rising
• Volume Momentum: Neutral to Rising
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 3-4/6
• Action: Cautious trade - reduced position size, wait for additional confirmation
• Statistical reliability: Moderate - duration estimates less certain
Weak Setup (Below 30 points):
• Quality Score: Below 30
• Volume: Low or Normal
• Volatility: Contracting or Stable
• Volume Momentum: Weak
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 1-2/6
• Action: Pass or wait for improvement
• Statistical reliability: Low - duration estimates unreliable
USING duration analysis boxES FOR TRADE MANAGEMENT:
Entry Timing:
• Enter on SuperTrend flip (signal bar close)
• duration analysis box appears simultaneously
• Note the median duration - this is your expected hold time
Profit Targets:
• Conservative: Use MEDIAN duration as profit target (50% probability)
• Moderate: Use AVERAGE duration (mean of similar trends)
• Aggressive: Aim for MAX duration from range (best historical outcome)
Position Management:
• Scale out at median duration (take partial profits)
• Trail stop as trend extends beyond median
• Full exit at average duration or SuperTrend flip (whichever comes first)
• Re-evaluate if trend exceeds estimated range
analysis mode Selection:
• Simple: Clean trending markets, beginners, minimal complexity
• Standard: Most markets, most traders (recommended default)
• Advanced: Volatile markets, complex instruments, experienced traders seeking highest accuracy
Asset Type Configuration (Advanced Mode):
If using Advanced analysis mode, configure Asset Type for optimal accuracy:
• Small Cap: Stocks under $2B market cap, low liquidity
• Biotech / Speculative: Clinical-stage pharma, penny stocks, high-risk
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: S&P 500, mega-cap tech, stable large companies
• Tech Growth: High-growth tech (TSLA, NVDA, growth SaaS)
• Dividend / Value: Dividend aristocrats, value stocks, utilities
• Cyclical: Energy, materials, industrials (macro-driven)
• Crypto / High Volatility: Bitcoin, altcoins, highly volatile assets
Correct asset type selection improves Statistical accuracy by 15-20%.
RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES:
1. Stop Loss Placement:
Long positions:
• Place stop below recent swing low OR
• Place stop below SuperTrend level (whichever is tighter)
• Use 1-2 ATR distance as guideline
• Recommended: SuperTrend level (built-in volatility adjustment)
Short positions:
• Place stop above recent swing high OR
• Place stop above SuperTrend level (whichever is tighter)
• Use 1-2 ATR distance as guideline
• Recommended: SuperTrend level
2. Position Sizing by Quality Score:
• Excellent (60-70): Maximum position size (2% risk per trade)
• Strong (45-59): Standard position size (1.5% risk per trade)
• Good (30-44): Reduced position size (1% risk per trade)
• Weak (Below 30): Pass or micro position (0.5% risk - learning trades only)
3. Exit Strategy Options:
Option A - Statistical Duration-Based Exit:
• Exit at median estimated duration (conservative)
• Exit at average estimated duration (moderate)
• Trail stop beyond average duration (aggressive)
Option B - Signal-Based Exit:
• Exit on opposite signal (SELL after BUY, or vice versa)
• Exit on SuperTrend flip (trend reversal)
• Exit if quality score drops below 30 mid-trend
Option C - Hybrid (Recommended):
• Take 50% profit at median estimated duration
• Trail stop on remaining 50% using SuperTrend as trailing level
• Full exit on SuperTrend flip or quality collapse
4. Trade Filtering:
For higher win-rate (fewer trades, better quality):
• Increase minimum quality score (try 60 for swing, 50 for day trading)
• Enable volume momentum filter (ensure institutional participation)
• Require higher MTF confluence (5-6/6 alignment)
• Use Advanced analysis mode with appropriate asset type
For more opportunities (more trades, lower quality threshold):
• Decrease minimum quality score (40 for day trading, 35 for scalping)
• Disable volume momentum filter
• Lower MTF confluence requirement
• Use Simple or Standard analysis mode
SETTINGS OVERVIEW
Quick Setup Section:
• Trading Style Preset: Auto / Scalping / Day Trading / Swing / Position / Custom
Dashboard & Display:
• Show Dashboard (ON/OFF)
• Dashboard Position (9 options: Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
• Text Size (Auto/Tiny/Small/Normal/Large/Huge)
• Show Ribbon Fill (ON/OFF)
• Show SuperTrend Line (ON/OFF)
• Bullish Color (default: Green)
• Bearish Color (default: Red)
• Show Entry Labels - BUY/SELL signals (ON/OFF)
• Show Info Labels - Volume events (ON/OFF)
• Label Size (Auto/Tiny/Small/Normal/Large/Huge)
Supertrend Configuration:
• ATR Length (default varies by preset: 7-21)
• ATR Multiplier Base (default varies by preset: 2.0-4.0)
• Use Adaptive Multiplier (ON/OFF) - Dynamic 0.8x-1.2x adjustment
• Smoothing Factor (0.0-0.5) - EMA smoothing applied to bands
• Neutral Bars After Flip (0-10) - Hide ST immediately after flip
Volume Momentum:
• Enable Volume Momentum Filter (ON/OFF)
• Fast Period (default varies by preset: 3-20)
• Slow Period (default varies by preset: 10-50)
Volume Analysis:
• Volume MA Length (default varies by preset: 10-50)
• High Volume Threshold (default: 1.5x)
• Spike Threshold (default: 2.5x)
• Low Volume Threshold (default: 0.7x)
Quality Filters:
• Minimum Quality Score (0-70, varies by preset)
• Require Volume Confirmation (ON/OFF)
Trend Duration Analysis:
• Show Duration Analysis (ON/OFF) - Display duration analysis boxes
• analysis mode - Simple / Standard / Advanced
• Asset Type - 7 options (Small Cap, Biotech, Blue Chip, Tech Growth, Dividend, Cyclical, Crypto)
• Use Exponential Weighting (ON/OFF) - Recent trends weighted more
• Decay Factor (0.5-0.99) - How much more recent trends matter
• Structure Lookback (3-30) - Pivot detection period for support/resistance
• Proximity Threshold (xATR) - How close to level qualifies as "near"
• Enable Error Learning (ON/OFF) - System learns from estimation errors
• Memory Depth (3-20) - How many past errors to remember
Box Visual Settings:
• duration analysis box Border Color
• duration analysis box Background Color
• duration analysis box Text Color
• duration analysis box Border Width
• duration analysis box Transparency
Multi-Timeframe (Optional Feature):
• Enable MTF Confluence (ON/OFF)
• Minimum Alignment Required (0-6)
• Individual timeframe enable/disable toggles
• Custom timeframe selection options
All preset configurations override manual inputs except when "Custom" is selected.
ADVANCED FEATURES
1. Scalpel Mode (Optional)
Advanced pullback entry system that waits for healthy retracements within established trends before signaling entry:
• Monitors price distance from SuperTrend levels
• Requires pullback to configurable range (default: 30-50%)
• Ensures trend remains intact before entry signal
• Reduces whipsaw and false breakouts
• Inspired by Mark Minervini's VCP pullback entries
Best for: Swing traders and day traders seeking precision entries
Scalpers: Consider disabling for faster entries
2. Error Learning System (Advanced analysis mode Only)
The system learns from its own estimation errors:
• Tracks last 10-20 completed duration estimates (configurable memory depth)
• Calculates error ratio for each: estimated duration / Actual Duration
• If system consistently over-estimates: Applies negative correction (-15%)
• If system consistently under-estimates: Applies positive correction (+15%)
• Adapts to current market regime automatically
This self-correction mechanism improves accuracy over time as the system gathers more data on your specific symbol and timeframe.
3. Regime Detection (Advanced analysis mode Only)
Automatically detects whether market is in trending or choppy regime:
• Compares last 3 trends to historical average
• Recent trends 20%+ longer → Trending regime (+20% to estimates)
• Recent trends 20%+ shorter → Choppy regime (-20% to estimates)
• Applied separately to bullish and bearish trends
Helps duration estimates adapt to changing market conditions without manual intervention.
4. Exponential Weighting
Option to weight recent trends more heavily than distant history:
• Default decay factor: 0.9
• Recent trends get higher weight in statistical calculations
• Older trends gradually decay in importance
• Rationale: Recent market behavior more relevant than old data
• Can be disabled for equal weighting
5. Backtest Statistics
System backtests its own duration estimates using historical data:
• Walks through past trends chronologically
• Calculates what duration estimate WOULD have been at each flip
• Compares to actual duration that occurred
• Displays accuracy metrics in duration analysis boxes and dashboard
• Helps assess statistical reliability on your specific chart
Note: Backtest uses only data available AT THE TIME of each historical flip (no lookahead bias).
TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
• Pine Script Version: v6
• Indicator Type: Overlay (draws on price chart)
• Max Boxes: 500 (for duration analysis box storage)
• Max Bars Back: 5000 (for comprehensive historical analysis)
• Security Calls: 1 (for MTF if enabled - optimized)
• Repainting: NO - All signals and duration estimates confirmed on bar close
• Lookahead Bias: NO - All HTF data properly offset, all duration estimates use only historical data
• Real-time Updates: YES - Dashboard and quality scores update live
• Alert Capable: YES - Both automatic alerts and customizable alert conditions
• Multi-Symbol: Works on stocks, crypto, forex, futures, indices
Performance Optimization:
• Conditional calculations (duration analysis can be disabled to reduce load)
• Efficient array management (circular buffers for trend storage)
• Streamlined gradient rendering (26 layers, can be toggled off)
• Smart label cooldown system (prevents label spam)
• Optimized similarity matching (analyzes only relevant trends)
Data Requirements:
• Minimum 50-100 bars for initial duration analysis (builds historical database)
• Optimal: 500+ bars for robust statistical analysis
• Longer history = more accurate duration estimates
• Works on any timeframe from 1 minute to monthly
KNOWN LIMITATIONS
• Trending Markets Only: Performs best in clear trends. May generate false signals in choppy/sideways markets (use quality score filtering and regime detection to mitigate)
• Lagging Nature: Like all trend-following systems, signals occur AFTER trend establishment, not at exact tops/bottoms. Use duration analysis boxes to set realistic profit targets.
• Initial Learning Period: Duration analysis system requires 10-15 completed trends to build reliable historical database. Early duration estimates less accurate (first few weeks on new symbol/timeframe).
• Visual Load: 26-layer gradient ribbon may slow performance on older devices. Disable ribbon if experiencing lag.
• Statistical accuracy Variables: Duration estimates are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Accuracy varies by:
- Market regime (trending vs choppy)
- Asset volatility characteristics
- Quality of historical pattern matches
- Timeframe traded (higher TF = more reliable)
• Not Best Suitable For:
- Ultra-short-term scalping (sub-1-minute charts)
- Mean-reversion strategies (designed for trend-following)
- Range-bound trading (requires trending conditions)
- News-driven spikes (estimates based on technical patterns, not fundamentals)
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
Q: Does this indicator repaint?
A: Absolutely not. All signals, duration analysis boxes, labels, and alerts use barstate.isconfirmed checks. They only appear after the bar closes. What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen in real-time. Zero repaint guarantee.
Q: How accurate are the trend duration estimates?
A: Accuracy varies by mode, market conditions, and historical data quality:
• Simple mode: 60-70% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
• Standard mode: 70-80% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
• Advanced mode: 75-85% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
Best accuracy achieved on:
• Higher timeframes (4H, Daily, Weekly)
• Trending markets (not choppy/sideways)
• Assets with consistent behavior (Blue Chip, Large Cap)
• After 20+ historical trends analyzed (builds robust database)
Remember: All duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical patterns, not guarantees.
Q: Which analysis mode should I use?
A:
• Simple: Beginners, clean trending markets, want minimal complexity
• Standard: Most traders, general market conditions (RECOMMENDED DEFAULT)
• Advanced: Experienced traders, volatile/complex markets (biotech, small-cap, crypto), seeking maximum accuracy
Advanced mode requires correct Asset Type configuration for optimal results.
Q: What's the difference between the trading style presets?
A: Each preset optimizes ALL parameters for a specific trading approach:
• Scalping: Ultra-sensitive (ATR 7, Mult 2.0), more signals, shorter holds
• Day Trading: Balanced (ATR 10, Mult 2.5), moderate signals, intraday holds
• Swing Trading: Stable (ATR 14, Mult 3.0), fewer signals, multi-day holds
• Position Trading: Very stable (ATR 21, Mult 4.0), rare signals, week/month holds
Auto mode automatically selects based on your chart timeframe.
Q: Should I use Auto mode or manually select a preset?
A: Auto mode is recommended for most traders. It automatically matches settings to your timeframe and re-optimizes if you switch charts. Only use manual preset selection if:
• You want scalping settings on a 15m chart (overriding auto-detection)
• You want swing settings on a 1h chart (more conservative than auto would give)
• You're testing different approaches on same timeframe
Q: Can I use this for scalping and day trading?
A: Absolutely! The preset system is specifically designed for all trading styles:
• Select "Scalping (1-5m)" for 1-5 minute charts
• Select "Day Trading (15m-1h)" for 15m-1h charts
• Or use "Auto" mode and it configures automatically
Volume momentum filter is auto-disabled in Scalping mode for faster signals.
Q: What is Volume Momentum and why does it matter?
A: Volume Momentum compares short-term volume (fast MA) to long-term volume (slow MA). It answers: "Is money flowing into this asset faster now than historically?"
Why it matters:
• Volume often leads price (early warning system)
• Confirms institutional participation (smart money)
• No lag like price-based indicators
• More intuitive than complex mathematical filters
When the ratio is above 1.2, you have strong evidence that institutions are accumulating (bullish) or distributing (bearish).
Q: How do I set up alerts?
A: Two options:
Option 1 - Automatic Alerts:
1. Right-click on chart → Add Alert
2. Condition: Select this indicator
3. Choose "Any alert() function call"
4. Configure notification method (app, email, webhook)
5. You'll receive detailed alerts on every BUY and SELL signal
Option 2 - Customizable Alert Conditions:
1. Right-click on chart → Add Alert
2. Condition: Select this indicator
3. You'll see three options in dropdown:
- "BUY Signal" (long signals only)
- "SELL Signal" (short signals only)
- "ANY Signal" (both BUY and SELL)
4. Choose desired option and customize message template
5. Uses TradingView placeholders: {{ticker}}, {{close}}, {{time}}, etc.
All alerts fire only on confirmed bar close (no repaint).
Q: What is Scalpel Mode and should I use it?
A: Scalpel Mode waits for healthy pullbacks within established trends before signaling entry. It reduces whipsaws and improves entry timing.
Recommended ON for:
• Swing traders (want precision entries on pullbacks)
• Day traders (willing to wait for better prices)
• Risk-averse traders (prefer fewer but higher-quality entries)
Recommended OFF for:
• Scalpers (need immediate entries, can't wait for pullbacks)
• Momentum traders (want to enter on breakout, not pullback)
• Aggressive traders (prefer more opportunities over precision)
Q: Why do some duration estimates show wider ranges than others?
A: Range width reflects historical trend variability:
• Narrow range: Similar historical trends had consistent durations (high confidence)
• Wide range: Similar historical trends had varying durations (lower confidence)
Wide ranges often occur:
• Early in analysis (fewer historical trends to learn from)
• In volatile/choppy markets (inconsistent trend behavior)
• On lower timeframes (more noise, less consistency)
The median and average still provide useful targets even when range is wide.
Q: Can I customize the dashboard position and appearance?
A: Yes! Dashboard settings include:
• Position: 9 options (Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
• Text Size: Auto, Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge
• Show/Hide: Toggle entire dashboard on/off
Choose position that doesn't overlap important price action on your specific chart.
Q: Which timeframe should I trade on?
A: Depends on your trading style and time availability:
• 1-5 minute: Active scalping, requires constant monitoring
• 15m-1h: Day trading, check few times per session
• 4h-Daily: Swing trading, check once or twice daily
• Daily-Weekly: Position trading, check weekly
General principle: Higher timeframes produce:
• Fewer signals (less frequent)
• Higher quality setups (stronger confirmations)
• More reliable duration estimates (better statistical data)
• Less noise (clearer trends)
Start with Daily chart if new to trading. Move to lower timeframes as you gain experience.
Q: Does this work on all markets (stocks, crypto, forex)?
A: Yes, it works on all markets with trending characteristics:
Excellent for:
• Stocks (especially growth and momentum names)
• Crypto (BTC, ETH, major altcoins)
• Futures (indices, commodities)
• Forex majors (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.)
Best results on:
• Trending markets (not range-bound)
• Liquid instruments (tight spreads, good fills)
• Volatile assets (clear trend development)
Less effective on:
• Range-bound/sideways markets
• Ultra-low volatility instruments
• Illiquid small-caps (use caution)
Configure Asset Type (in Advanced analysis mode) to match your instrument for best accuracy.
Q: How many signals should I expect per day/week?
A: Highly variable based on:
By Timeframe:
• 1-5 minute: 5-15 signals per session
• 15m-1h: 2-5 signals per day
• 4h-Daily: 2-5 signals per week
• Daily-Weekly: 1-2 signals per month
By Market Volatility:
• High volatility = more SuperTrend flips = more signals
• Low volatility = fewer flips = fewer signals
By Quality Filter:
• Higher threshold (60-70) = fewer but better signals
• Lower threshold (30-40) = more signals, lower quality
By Volume Momentum Filter:
• Enabled = Fewer signals (only volume-confirmed)
• Disabled = More signals (all SuperTrend flips)
Adjust quality threshold and filters to match your desired signal frequency.
Q: What's the difference between entry labels and info labels?
A:
Entry Labels (BUY/SELL):
• Your primary trading signals
• Based on SuperTrend flip + all confirmations (quality, volume, momentum)
• Include quality score and confirmation icons
• These are actionable entry points
Info Labels (Volume Spike):
• Additional market context
• Show volume events that may support or contradict trend
• 8-bar cooldown to prevent spam
• NOT necessarily entry points - contextual information only
Control separately: Can show entry labels without info labels (recommended for clean charts).
Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?
A: Absolutely! This works well with:
• RSI: For divergences and overbought/oversold conditions
• Support/Resistance: Confluence with key levels
• Fibonacci Retracements: Pullback targets in Scalpel Mode
• Price Action Patterns: Flags, pennants, cup-and-handle
• MACD: Additional momentum confirmation
• Bollinger Bands: Volatility context
This indicator provides trend direction and duration estimates - complement with other tools for entry refinement and additional confluence.
Q: Why did I get a low-quality signal? Can I filter them out?
A: Yes! Increase the Minimum Quality Score in settings.
If you're seeing signals with quality below your preference:
• Day Trading: Set minimum to 50
• Swing Trading: Set minimum to 60
• Position Trading: Set minimum to 70
Only signals meeting the threshold will appear. This reduces frequency but improves win-rate.
Q: How do I interpret the MTF Confluence count?
A: Shows how many of 6 timeframes agree with current trend:
• 6/6 aligned: Perfect agreement (extremely rare, highest confidence)
• 5/6 aligned: Very strong alignment (high confidence)
• 4/6 aligned: Good alignment (standard quality setup)
• 3/6 aligned: Moderate alignment (acceptable)
• 2/6 aligned: Weak alignment (caution)
• 1/6 aligned: Very weak (likely counter-trend)
Higher confluence typically correlates with longer, stronger trends. However, MTF analysis is optional - you can disable it and rely solely on quality scoring.
Q: Is this suitable for beginners?
A: Yes, but requires foundational knowledge:
You should understand:
• Basic trend-following concepts (higher highs, higher lows)
• Risk management principles (position sizing, stop losses)
• How to read candlestick charts
• What volume and volatility mean
Beginner-friendly features:
• Auto preset mode (zero configuration)
• Quality scoring (tells you signal strength)
• Dashboard tooltips (hover for explanations)
• duration analysis boxes (visual profit targets)
Recommended for beginners:
1. Start with "Auto" or "Swing Trading" preset on Daily chart
2. Use Standard Analysis Mode (not Advanced)
3. Set minimum quality to 60 (fewer but better signals)
4. Paper trade first for 2-4 weeks
5. Study methodology references (Minervini, O'Neil, Zanger)
Q: What is the Asset Type setting and why does it matter?
A: Asset Type (in Advanced analysis mode) adjusts duration estimates based on volatility characteristics:
• Small Cap: Explosive moves, extended trends (+30-40%)
• Biotech / Speculative: Parabolic potential, news-driven (+40%)
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: Baseline, steady trends (0% adjustment)
• Tech Growth: Momentum-driven, longer trends (+20%)
• Dividend / Value: Slower, grinding trends (-20%)
• Cyclical: Macro-driven, variable (±10%)
• Crypto / High Volatility: Parabolic potential (+30%)
Correct configuration improves Statistical accuracy by 15-20%. Using Blue Chip settings on a biotech stock may underestimate trend length (you'll exit too early).
Q: Can I backtest this indicator?
A: Yes! TradingView's Strategy Tester works with this indicator's signals.
To backtest:
1. Note the entry conditions (SuperTrend flip + quality threshold + filters)
2. Create a strategy script using same logic
3. Run Strategy Tester on historical data
Additionally, the indicator includes BUILT-IN duration estimate validation:
• System backtests its own duration estimates
• Shows accuracy metrics in dashboard and duration analysis boxes
• Helps assess reliability on your specific symbol/timeframe
Q: Why does Volume Momentum auto-disable in Scalping mode?
A: Scalping requires ultra-fast entries to catch quick moves. Volume Momentum filter adds friction by requiring volume confirmation before signaling, which can cause missed opportunities in rapid scalping.
Scalping preset is optimized for speed and frequency - the filter is counterproductive for that style. It remains enabled for Day Trading, Swing Trading, and Position Trading presets where patience improves results.
You can manually enable it in Custom mode if desired.
Q: How much historical data do I need for accurate duration estimates?
A:
Minimum: 50-100 bars (indicator will function but duration estimates less reliable)
Recommended: 500+ bars (robust statistical database)
Optimal: 1000+ bars (maximum Statistical accuracy)
More history = more completed trends = better pattern matching = more accurate duration estimates.
New symbols or newly-switched timeframes will have lower Statistical accuracy initially. Allow 2-4 weeks for the system to build historical database.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
No Guarantee of Profit:
This indicator is an educational tool and does not guarantee any specific trading results. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical patterns and are not guarantees of future performance.
Past Performance:
Historical backtest results and Statistical accuracy statistics do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions change constantly. What worked historically may not work in current or future markets.
Not Financial Advice:
This indicator provides technical analysis signals and statistical duration estimates only. It is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Warning:
Trading stocks, options, futures, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. You can lose all of your invested capital. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Only risk capital you can lose without affecting your lifestyle.
Testing Required:
Always test this indicator on a demo account or with paper trading before risking real capital. Understand how it works in different market conditions. Verify Statistical accuracy on your specific instruments and timeframes before trusting it with real money.
User Responsibility:
You are solely responsible for your trading decisions. The developer assumes no liability for trading losses, incorrect duration estimates, software errors, or any other damages incurred while using this indicator.
Statistical Estimation Limitations:
Trend Duration estimates are statistical estimates based on historical pattern matching. They are NOT guarantees. Actual trend durations may differ significantly from duration estimates due to unforeseen news events, market regime changes, or lack of historical precedent for current conditions.
CREDITS & ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Methodology Inspiration:
• Mark Minervini - Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) concepts and pullback entry techniques
• William O'Neil - Volume analysis principles and CANSLIM institutional buying patterns
• Dan Zanger - Momentum breakout strategies and volatility expansion entries
Technical Components:
• SuperTrend calculation - Classic ATR-based trend indicator (public domain)
• Statistical analysis - Standard median, average, range calculations
• k-Nearest Neighbors - Classic machine learning similarity matching concept
• Multi-timeframe analysis - Standard request.security implementation in Pine Script
For questions, feedback, or support, please comment below or send a private message.
Happy Trading!
Bifurcation Zone - CAEBifurcation Zone — Cognitive Adversarial Engine (BZ-CAE)
Bifurcation Zone — CAE (BZ-CAE) is a next-generation divergence detection system enhanced by a Cognitive Adversarial Engine that evaluates both sides of every potential trade before presenting signals. Unlike traditional divergence indicators that show every price-oscillator disagreement regardless of context, BZ-CAE applies comprehensive market-state intelligence to identify only the divergences that occur in favorable conditions with genuine probability edges.
The system identifies structural bifurcation points — critical junctures where price and momentum disagree, signaling potential reversals or continuations — then validates these opportunities through five interconnected intelligence layers: Trend Conviction Scoring , Directional Momentum Alignment , Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling , Adversarial Validation , and Confidence Scoring . The result is a selective, context-aware signal system that filters noise and highlights high-probability setups.
This is not a "buy the arrow" indicator. It's a decision support framework that teaches you how to read market state, evaluate divergence quality, and make informed trading decisions based on quantified intelligence rather than hope.
What Sets BZ-CAE Apart: Technical Architecture
The Problem With Traditional Divergence Indicators
Most divergence indicators operate on a simple rule: if price makes a higher high and RSI makes a lower high, show a bearish signal. If price makes a lower low and RSI makes a higher low, show a bullish signal. This creates several critical problems:
Context Blindness : They show counter-trend signals in powerful trends that rarely reverse, leading to repeated losses as you fade momentum.
Signal Spam : Every minor price-oscillator disagreement generates an alert, overwhelming you with low-quality setups and creating analysis paralysis.
No Quality Ranking : All signals are treated identically. A marginal divergence in choppy conditions receives the same visual treatment as a high-conviction setup at a major exhaustion point.
Single-Sided Evaluation : They ask "Is this a good long?" without checking if the short case is overwhelmingly stronger, leading you into obvious bad trades.
Static Configuration : You manually choose RSI 14 or Stochastic 14 and hope it works, with no systematic way to validate if that's optimal for your instrument.
BZ-CAE's Solution: Cognitive Adversarial Intelligence
BZ-CAE solves these problems through an integrated five-layer intelligence architecture:
1. Trend Conviction Score (TCS) — 0 to 1 Scale
Most indicators check if ADX is above 25 to determine "trending" conditions. This binary approach misses nuance. TCS is a weighted composite metric:
Formula : 0.35 × normalize(ADX, 10, 35) + 0.35 × structural_strength + 0.30 × htf_alignment
Structural Strength : 10-bar SMA of consecutive directional bars. Captures persistence — are bulls or bears consistently winning?
HTF Alignment : Multi-timeframe EMA stacking (20/50/100/200). When all EMAs align in the same direction, you're in institutional trend territory.
Purpose : Quantifies how "locked in" the trend is. When TCS exceeds your threshold (default 0.80), the system knows to avoid counter-trend trades unless other factors override.
Interpretation :
TCS > 0.85: Very strong trend — counter-trading is extremely high risk
TCS 0.70-0.85: Strong trend — favor continuation, require exhaustion for reversals
TCS 0.50-0.70: Moderate trend — context matters, both directions viable
TCS < 0.50: Weak/choppy — reversals more viable, range-bound conditions
2. Directional Momentum Alignment (DMA) — ATR-Normalized
Formula : (EMA21 - EMA55) / ATR14
This isn't just "price above EMA" — it's a regime-aware momentum gauge. The same $100 price movement reads completely differently in high-volatility crypto versus low-volatility forex. By normalizing with ATR, DMA adapts its interpretation to current market conditions.
Purpose : Quantifies the directional "force" behind current price action. Positive = bullish push, negative = bearish push. Magnitude = strength.
Interpretation :
DMA > 0.7: Strong bullish momentum — bearish divergences risky
DMA 0.3 to 0.7: Moderate bullish bias
DMA -0.3 to 0.3: Balanced/choppy conditions
DMA -0.7 to -0.3: Moderate bearish bias
DMA < -0.7: Strong bearish momentum — bullish divergences risky
3. Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling — 0 to 1 Probability
Single-metric exhaustion detection (like "RSI > 80") misses complex market states. BZ-CAE aggregates five independent exhaustion signals:
Volume Spikes : Current volume versus 50-bar average
2.5x average: 0.25 weight
2.0x average: 0.15 weight
1.5x average: 0.10 weight
Divergence Present : The fact that a divergence exists contributes 0.30 weight — structural momentum disagreement is itself an exhaustion signal.
RSI Extremes : Captures oscillator climax zones
RSI > 80 or < 20: 0.25 weight
RSI > 75 or < 25: 0.15 weight
Pin Bar Detection : Identifies rejection candles (2:1 wick-to-body ratio, indicating failed breakout attempts): 0.15 weight
Extended Runs : Consecutive bars above/below EMA20 without pullback
30+ bars: 0.15 weight (market hasn't paused to consolidate)
Total exhaustion score is the sum of all applicable weights, capped at 1.0.
Purpose : Detects when strong trends become vulnerable to reversal. High exhaustion can override trend filters, allowing counter-trend trades at genuine turning points that basic indicators would miss.
Interpretation :
Exhaustion > 0.75: High probability of climax — yellow background shading alerts you visually
Exhaustion 0.50-0.75: Moderate overextension — watch for confirmation
Exhaustion < 0.50: Fresh move — trend can continue, counter-trend trades higher risk
4. Adversarial Validation — Game Theory Applied to Trading
This is BZ-CAE's signature innovation. Before approving any signal, the engine quantifies BOTH sides of the trade simultaneously:
For Bullish Divergences , it calculates:
Bull Case Score (0-1+) :
Distance below EMA20 (pullback quality): up to 0.25
Bullish EMA alignment (close > EMA20 > EMA50): 0.25
Oversold RSI (< 40): 0.25
Volume confirmation (> 1.2x average): 0.25
Bear Case Score (0-1+) :
Price below EMA50 (structural weakness): 0.30
Very oversold RSI (< 30, indicating knife-catching): 0.20
Differential = Bull Case - Bear Case
If differential < -0.10 (default threshold), the bear case is dominating — signal is BLOCKED or ANNOTATED.
For Bearish Divergences , the logic inverts (Bear Case vs Bull Case).
Purpose : Prevents trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction. This is institutional-grade risk management — don't just evaluate your trade, evaluate the counter-trade simultaneously.
Why This Matters : You might see a bullish divergence at a local low, but if price is deeply below major support EMAs with strong bearish momentum, you're catching a falling knife. The adversarial check catches this and blocks the signal.
5. Confidence Scoring — 0 to 1 Quality Assessment
Every signal that passes initial filters receives a comprehensive quality score:
Formula :
0.30 × normalize(TCS) // Trend context
+ 0.25 × normalize(|DMA|) // Momentum magnitude
+ 0.20 × pullback_quality // Entry distance from EMA20
+ 0.15 × state_quality // ADX + alignment + structure
+ 0.10 × divergence_strength // Slope separation magnitude
+ adversarial_bonus (0-0.30) // Your side's advantage
Purpose : Ranks setup quality for filtering and position sizing decisions. You can set a minimum confidence threshold (default 0.35) to ensure only quality setups reach your chart.
Interpretation :
Confidence > 0.70: Premium setup — consider increased position size
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Good quality — standard size
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Acceptable — reduced size or skip if conservative
Confidence < 0.35: Marginal — blocked in Filtering mode, annotated in Advisory mode
CAE Operating Modes: Learning vs Enforcement
Off : Disables all CAE logic. Raw divergence pipeline only. Use for baseline comparison.
Advisory : Shows ALL signals regardless of CAE evaluation, but annotates signals that WOULD be blocked with specific warnings (e.g., "Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" or "Adversarial bearish"). This is your learning mode — see CAE's decision logic in action without missing educational opportunities.
Filtering : Actively blocks low-quality signals. Only setups that pass all enabled gates (Trend Filter, Adversarial Validation, Confidence Gating) reach your chart. This is your live trading mode — trust the system to enforce discipline.
CAE Filter Gates: Three-Layer Protection
When CAE is enabled, signals must pass through three independent gates (each can be toggled on/off):
Gate 1: Strong Trend Filter
If TCS ≥ tcs_threshold (default 0.80)
And signal is counter-trend (bullish in downtrend or bearish in uptrend)
And exhaustion < exhaustion_required (default 0.50)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Don't fade strong trends unless the move is clearly overextended
Gate 2: Adversarial Validation
Calculate both bull case and bear case scores
If opposing case dominates by more than adv_threshold (default 0.10)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Avoid trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction
Gate 3: Confidence Gating
Calculate composite confidence score (0-1)
If confidence < min_confidence (default 0.35)
Then: In Filtering mode, BLOCK signal; in Advisory mode, ANNOTATE with warning
Logic: Only take setups with minimum quality threshold
All three gates work together. A signal must pass ALL enabled gates to fire.
Visual Intelligence System
Bifurcation Zones (Supply/Demand Blocks)
When a divergence signal fires, BZ-CAE draws a semi-transparent box extending 15 bars forward from the signal pivot:
Demand Zones (Bullish) : Theme-colored box (cyan in Cyberpunk, blue in Professional, etc.) labeled "Demand" — marks where smart money likely placed buy orders as price diverged at the low.
Supply Zones (Bearish) : Theme-colored box (magenta in Cyberpunk, orange in Professional) labeled "Supply" — marks where smart money likely placed sell orders as price diverged at the high.
Theory : Divergences represent institutional disagreement with the crowd. The crowd pushed price to an extreme (new high or low), but momentum (oscillator) is waning, indicating smart money is taking the opposite side. These zones mark order placement areas that become future support/resistance.
Use Cases :
Exit targets: Take profit when price returns to opposite-side zone
Re-entry levels: If price returns to your entry zone, consider adding
Stop placement: Place stops just beyond your zone (below demand, above supply)
Auto-Cleanup : System keeps the last 20 zones to prevent chart clutter.
Adversarial Bar Coloring — Real-Time Market Debate Heatmap
Each bar is colored based on the Bull Case vs Bear Case differential:
Strong Bull Advantage (diff > 0.3): Full theme bull color (e.g., cyan)
Moderate Bull Advantage (diff > 0.1): 50% transparency bull
Neutral (diff -0.1 to 0.1): Gray/neutral theme
Moderate Bear Advantage (diff < -0.1): 50% transparency bear
Strong Bear Advantage (diff < -0.3): Full theme bear color (e.g., magenta)
This creates a real-time visual heatmap showing which side is "winning" the market debate. When bars flip from cyan to magenta (or vice versa), you're witnessing a shift in adversarial advantage — a leading indicator of potential momentum changes.
Exhaustion Shading
When exhaustion score exceeds 0.75, the chart background displays a semi-transparent yellow highlight. This immediate visual warning alerts you that the current move is at high risk of reversal, even if trend indicators remain strong.
Visual Themes — Six Aesthetic Options
Cyberpunk : Cyan/Magenta/Yellow — High contrast, neon aesthetic, excellent for dark-themed trading environments
Professional : Blue/Orange/Green — Corporate color palette, suitable for presentations and professional documentation
Ocean : Teal/Red/Cyan — Aquatic palette, calming for extended monitoring sessions
Fire : Orange/Red/Coral — Warm aggressive colors, high energy
Matrix : Green/Red/Lime — Code aesthetic, homage to classic hacker visuals
Monochrome : White/Gray — Minimal distraction, maximum focus on price action
All visual elements (signal markers, zones, bar colors, dashboard) adapt to your selected theme.
Divergence Engine — Core Detection System
What Are Divergences?
Divergences occur when price action and momentum indicators disagree, creating structural tension that often resolves in a change of direction:
Regular Divergence (Reversal Signal) :
Bearish Regular : Price makes higher high, oscillator makes lower high → Potential trend reversal down
Bullish Regular : Price makes lower low, oscillator makes higher low → Potential trend reversal up
Hidden Divergence (Continuation Signal) :
Bearish Hidden : Price makes lower high, oscillator makes higher high → Downtrend continuation
Bullish Hidden : Price makes higher low, oscillator makes lower low → Uptrend continuation
Both types can be enabled/disabled independently in settings.
Pivot Detection Methods
BZ-CAE uses symmetric pivot detection with separate lookback and lookforward periods (default 5/5):
Pivot High : Bar where high > all highs within lookback range AND high > all highs within lookforward range
Pivot Low : Bar where low < all lows within lookback range AND low < all lows within lookforward range
This ensures structural validity — the pivot must be a clear local extreme, not just a minor wiggle.
Divergence Validation Requirements
For a divergence to be confirmed, it must satisfy:
Slope Disagreement : Price slope and oscillator slope must move in opposite directions (for regular divs) or same direction with inverted highs/lows (for hidden divs)
Minimum Slope Change : |osc_slope| > min_slope_change / 100 (default 1.0) — filters weak, marginal divergences
Maximum Lookback Range : Pivots must be within max_lookback bars (default 60) — prevents ancient, irrelevant divergences
ATR-Normalized Strength : Divergence strength = min(|price_slope| × |osc_slope| × 10, 1.0) — quantifies the magnitude of disagreement in volatility context
Regular divergences receive 1.0× weight; hidden divergences receive 0.8× weight (slightly less reliable historically).
Oscillator Options — Five Professional Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index) : Classic overbought/oversold momentum indicator. Best for: General purpose divergence detection across all instruments.
Stochastic : Range-bound %K momentum comparing close to high-low range. Best for: Mean reversion strategies and range-bound markets.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) : Measures deviation from statistical mean, auto-normalized to 0-100 scale. Best for: Cyclical instruments and commodities.
MFI (Money Flow Index) : Volume-weighted RSI incorporating money flow. Best for: Volume-driven markets like stocks and crypto.
Williams %R : Inverse stochastic looking back over period, auto-adjusted to 0-100. Best for: Reversal detection at extremes.
Each oscillator has adjustable length (2-200, default 14) and smoothing (1-20, default 1). You also set overbought (50-100, default 70) and oversold (0-50, default 30) thresholds.
Signal Timing Modes — Understanding Repainting
BZ-CAE offers two timing policies with complete transparency about repainting behavior:
Realtime (1-bar, peak-anchored)
How It Works :
Detects peaks 1 bar ago using pattern: high > high AND high > high
Signal prints on the NEXT bar after peak detection (bar_index)
Visual marker anchors to the actual PEAK bar (bar_index - 1, offset -1)
Signal locks in when bar CONFIRMS (closes)
Repainting Behavior :
On the FORMING bar (before close), the peak condition may change as new prices arrive
Once bar CLOSES (barstate.isconfirmed), signal is locked permanently
This is preview/early warning behavior by design
Best For :
Active monitoring and immediate alerts
Learning the system (seeing signals develop in real-time)
Responsive entry if you're watching the chart live
Confirmed (lookforward)
How It Works :
Uses Pine Script's built-in ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions
Requires full pivot validation period (lookback + lookforward bars)
Signal prints pivot_lookforward bars after the actual peak (default 5-bar delay)
Visual marker anchors to the actual peak bar (offset -pivot_lookforward)
No Repainting Behavior
Best For :
Backtesting and historical analysis
Conservative entries requiring full confirmation
Automated trading systems
Swing trading with larger timeframes
Tradeoff :
Delayed entry by pivot_lookforward bars (typically 5 bars)
On a 5-minute chart, this is a 25-minute delay
On a 4-hour chart, this is a 20-hour delay
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting to verify system performance honestly. Use Realtime for live monitoring only if you're actively watching the chart and understand pre-confirmation repainting behavior.
Signal Spacing System — Anti-Spam Architecture
Even after CAE filtering, raw divergences can cluster. The spacing system enforces separation:
Three Independent Filters
1. Min Bars Between ANY Signals (default 12):
Prevents rapid-fire clustering across both directions
If last signal (bull or bear) was within N bars, block new signal
Ensures breathing room between all setups
2. Min Bars Between SAME-SIDE Signals (default 24, optional enforcement):
Prevents bull-bull or bear-bear spam
Separate tracking for bullish and bearish signal timelines
Toggle enforcement on/off
3. Min ATR Distance From Last Signal (default 0, optional):
Requires price to move N × ATR from last signal location
Ensures meaningful price movement between setups
0 = disabled, 0.5-2.0 = typical range for enabled
All three filters work independently. A signal must pass ALL enabled filters to proceed.
Practical Guidance :
Scalping (1-5m) : Any 6-10, Same-side 12-20, ATR 0-0.5
Day Trading (15m-1H) : Any 12, Same-side 24, ATR 0-1.0
Swing Trading (4H-D) : Any 20-30, Same-side 40-60, ATR 1.0-2.0
Dashboard — Real-Time Control Center
The dashboard (toggleable, four corner positions, three sizes) provides comprehensive system intelligence:
Oscillator Section
Current oscillator type and value
State: OVERBOUGHT / OVERSOLD / NEUTRAL (color-coded)
Length parameter
Cognitive Engine Section
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) :
Current value with emoji state indicator
🔥 = Strong trend (>0.75)
📊 = Moderate trend (0.50-0.75)
〰️ = Weak/choppy (<0.50)
Color: Red if above threshold (trend filter active), yellow if moderate, green if weak
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) :
Current value with emoji direction indicator
🐂 = Bullish momentum (>0.5)
⚖️ = Balanced (-0.5 to 0.5)
🐻 = Bearish momentum (<-0.5)
Color: Green if bullish, red if bearish
Exhaustion :
Current value with emoji warning indicator
⚠️ = High exhaustion (>0.75)
🟡 = Moderate (0.50-0.75)
✓ = Low (<0.50)
Color: Red if high, yellow if moderate, green if low
Pullback :
Quality of current distance from EMA20
Values >0.6 are ideal entry zones (not too close, not too far)
Bull Case / Bear Case (if Adversarial enabled):
Current scores for both sides of the market debate
Differential with emoji indicator:
📈 = Bull advantage (>0.2)
➡️ = Balanced (-0.2 to 0.2)
📉 = Bear advantage (<-0.2)
Last Signal Metrics Section (New Feature)
When a signal fires, this section captures and displays:
Signal type (BULL or BEAR)
Bars elapsed since signal
Confidence % at time of signal
TCS value at signal time
DMA value at signal time
Purpose : Provides a historical reference for learning. You can see what the market state looked like when the last signal fired, helping you correlate outcomes with conditions.
Statistics Section
Total Signals : Lifetime count across session
Blocked Signals : Count and percentage (filter effectiveness metric)
Bull Signals : Total bullish divergences
Bear Signals : Total bearish divergences
Purpose : System health monitoring. If blocked % is very high (>60%), filters may be too strict. If very low (<10%), filters may be too loose.
Advisory Annotations
When CAE Mode = Advisory, this section displays warnings for signals that would be blocked in Filtering mode:
Examples:
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars"
"Bear: strong uptrend (TCS=0.87)"
"Adversarial bearish"
"Low confidence 32%"
Multiple warnings can stack, separated by " | ". This teaches you CAE's decision logic transparently.
How to Use BZ-CAE — Complete Workflow
Phase 1: Initial Setup (First Session)
Apply BZ-CAE to your chart
Select your preferred Visual Theme (Cyberpunk recommended for visibility)
Set Signal Timing to "Confirmed (lookforward)" for learning
Choose your Oscillator Type (RSI recommended for general use, length 14)
Set Overbought/Oversold to 70/30 (standard)
Enable both Regular Divergence and Hidden Divergence
Set Pivot Lookback/Lookforward to 5/5 (balanced structure)
Enable CAE Intelligence
Set CAE Mode to "Advisory" (learning mode)
Enable all three CAE filters: Strong Trend Filter , Adversarial Validation , Confidence Gating
Enable Show Dashboard , position Top Right, size Normal
Enable Draw Bifurcation Zones and Adversarial Bar Coloring
Phase 2: Learning Period (Weeks 1-2)
Goal : Understand how CAE evaluates market state and filters signals.
Activities :
Watch the dashboard during signals :
Note TCS values when counter-trend signals fail — this teaches you the trend strength threshold for your instrument
Observe exhaustion patterns at actual turning points — learn when overextension truly matters
Study adversarial differential at signal times — see when opposing cases dominate
Review blocked signals (orange X-crosses):
In Advisory mode, you see everything — signals that would pass AND signals that would be blocked
Check the advisory annotations to understand why CAE would block
Track outcomes: Were the blocks correct? Did those signals fail?
Use Last Signal Metrics :
After each signal, check the dashboard capture of confidence, TCS, and DMA
Journal these values alongside trade outcomes
Identify patterns: Do confidence >0.70 signals work better? Does your instrument respect TCS >0.85?
Understand your instrument's "personality" :
Trending instruments (indices, major forex) may need TCS threshold 0.85-0.90
Choppy instruments (low-cap stocks, exotic pairs) may work best with TCS 0.70-0.75
High-volatility instruments (crypto) may need wider spacing
Low-volatility instruments may need tighter spacing
Phase 3: Calibration (Weeks 3-4)
Goal : Optimize settings for your specific instrument, timeframe, and style.
Calibration Checklist :
Min Confidence Threshold :
Review confidence distribution in your signal journal
Identify the confidence level below which signals consistently fail
Set min_confidence slightly above that level
Day trading : 0.35-0.45
Swing trading : 0.40-0.55
Scalping : 0.30-0.40
TCS Threshold :
Find the TCS level where counter-trend signals consistently get stopped out
Set tcs_threshold at or slightly below that level
Trending instruments : 0.85-0.90
Mixed instruments : 0.80-0.85
Choppy instruments : 0.75-0.80
Exhaustion Override Level :
Identify exhaustion readings that marked genuine reversals
Set exhaustion_required just below the average
Typical range : 0.45-0.55
Adversarial Threshold :
Default 0.10 works for most instruments
If you find CAE is too conservative (blocking good trades), raise to 0.15-0.20
If signals are still getting caught in opposing momentum, lower to 0.07-0.09
Spacing Parameters :
Count bars between quality signals in your journal
Set min bars ANY to ~60% of that average
Set min bars SAME-SIDE to ~120% of that average
Scalping : Any 6-10, Same 12-20
Day trading : Any 12, Same 24
Swing : Any 20-30, Same 40-60
Oscillator Selection :
Try different oscillators for 1-2 weeks each
Track win rate and average winner/loser by oscillator type
RSI : Best for general use, clear OB/OS
Stochastic : Best for range-bound, mean reversion
MFI : Best for volume-driven markets
CCI : Best for cyclical instruments
Williams %R : Best for reversal detection
Phase 4: Live Deployment
Goal : Disciplined execution with proven, calibrated system.
Settings Changes :
Switch CAE Mode from Advisory to Filtering
System now actively blocks low-quality signals
Only setups passing all gates reach your chart
Keep Signal Timing on Confirmed for conservative entries
OR switch to Realtime if you're actively monitoring and want faster entries (accept pre-confirmation repaint risk)
Use your calibrated thresholds from Phase 3
Enable high-confidence alerts: "⭐ High Confidence Bullish/Bearish" (>0.70)
Trading Discipline Rules :
Respect Blocked Signals :
If CAE blocks a trade you wanted to take, TRUST THE SYSTEM
Don't manually override — if you consistently disagree, return to Phase 2/3 calibration
The block exists because market state failed intelligence checks
Confidence-Based Position Sizing :
Confidence >0.70: Standard or increased size (e.g., 1.5-2.0% risk)
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Standard size (e.g., 1.0% risk)
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Reduced size (e.g., 0.5% risk) or skip if conservative
TCS-Based Management :
High TCS + counter-trend signal: Use tight stops, quick exits (you're fading momentum)
Low TCS + reversal signal: Use wider stops, trail aggressively (genuine reversal potential)
Exhaustion Awareness :
Exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading): Market is overextended, reversal risk is elevated — consider early exit or tighter trailing stops even on winning trades
Exhaustion <0.30: Continuation bias — hold for larger move, wide trailing stops
Adversarial Context :
Strong differential against you (e.g., bullish signal with bear diff <-0.2): Use very tight stops, consider skipping
Strong differential with you (e.g., bullish signal with bull diff >0.2): Trail aggressively, this is your tailwind
Practical Settings by Timeframe & Style
Scalping (1-5 Minute Charts)
Objective : High frequency, tight stops, quick reversals in fast-moving markets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or Stochastic (fast response to quick moves)
Length: 9-11 (more responsive than standard 14)
Smoothing: 1 (no lag)
OB/OS: 65/35 (looser thresholds ensure frequent crossings in fast conditions)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 3/3 (tight structure, catch small swings)
Max Lookback: 40-50 bars (recent structure only)
Min Slope Change: 0.8-1.0 (don't be overly strict)
CAE :
Mode: Advisory first (learn), then Filtering
Min Confidence: 0.30-0.35 (lower bar for speed, accept more signals)
TCS Threshold: 0.70-0.75 (allow more counter-trend opportunities)
Exhaustion Required: 0.45-0.50 (moderate override)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (still respect major intraday trends)
Adversarial: ON (critical for scalping protection — catches bad entries quickly)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 6-10 (fast pace, many setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 12-20 (prevent clustering)
Min ATR Distance: 0 or 0.5 (loose)
Timing : Realtime (speed over precision, but understand repaint risk)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny (chart clarity in busy conditions)
Show Zones: Optional (can clutter on low timeframes)
Bar Coloring: ON (helps read momentum shifts quickly)
Dashboard: Small size (corner reference, not main focus)
Key Consideration : Scalping generates noise. Even with CAE, expect lower win rate (45-55%) but aim for favorable R:R (2:1 or better). Size conservatively.
Day Trading (15-Minute to 1-Hour Charts)
Objective : Balance quality and frequency. Standard divergence trading approach.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or MFI (proven reliability, volume confirmation with MFI)
Length: 14 (industry standard, well-studied)
Smoothing: 1-2
OB/OS: 70/30 (classic levels)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 (balanced structure)
Max Lookback: 60 bars
Min Slope Change: 1.0 (standard strictness)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (enforce discipline from the start after brief Advisory learning)
Min Confidence: 0.35-0.45 (quality filter without being too restrictive)
TCS Threshold: 0.80-0.85 (respect strong trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50 (balanced override threshold)
Strong Trend Filter: ON
Adversarial: ON
Confidence Gating: ON (all three filters active)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 12 (breathing room between all setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 24 (prevent bull/bear clusters)
Min ATR Distance: 0-1.0 (optional refinement, typically 0.5-1.0)
Timing : Confirmed (1-bar delay for reliability, no repainting)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny or Small
Show Zones: ON (useful reference for exits/re-entries)
Bar Coloring: ON (context awareness)
Dashboard: Normal size (full visibility)
Key Consideration : This is the "sweet spot" timeframe for BZ-CAE. Market structure is clear, CAE has sufficient data, and signal frequency is manageable. Expect 55-65% win rate with proper execution.
Swing Trading (4-Hour to Daily Charts)
Objective : Quality over quantity. High conviction only. Larger stops and targets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or CCI (robust on higher timeframes, smooth longer waves)
Length: 14-21 (capture larger momentum swings)
Smoothing: 1-3
OB/OS: 70/30 or 75/25 (strict extremes)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 or 7/7 (structural purity, major swings only)
Max Lookback: 80-100 bars (broader historical context)
Min Slope Change: 1.2-1.5 (require strong, undeniable divergence)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (strict enforcement, premium setups only)
Min Confidence: 0.40-0.55 (high bar for entry)
TCS Threshold: 0.85-0.95 (very strong trend protection — don't fade established HTF trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50-0.60 (higher bar for override — only extreme exhaustion justifies counter-trend)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (critical on HTF)
Adversarial: ON (avoid obvious bad trades)
Confidence Gating: ON (quality gate essential)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 20-30 (substantial separation)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 40-60 (significant breathing room)
Min ATR Distance: 1.0-2.0 (require meaningful price movement)
Timing : Confirmed (purity over speed, zero repaint for swing accuracy)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Small or Normal (clear markers on zoomed-out view)
Show Zones: ON (important HTF levels)
Bar Coloring: ON (long-term trend awareness)
Dashboard: Normal or Large (comprehensive analysis)
Key Consideration : Swing signals are rare but powerful. Expect 2-5 signals per month per instrument. Win rate should be 60-70%+ due to stringent filtering. Position size can be larger given confidence.
Dashboard Interpretation Reference
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) States
0.00-0.50: Weak/Choppy
Emoji: 〰️
Color: Green/cyan
Meaning: No established trend. Range-bound or consolidating. Both reversal and continuation signals viable.
Action: Reversals (regular divs) are safer. Use wider profit targets (market has room to move). Consider mean reversion strategies.
0.50-0.75: Moderate Trend
Emoji: 📊
Color: Yellow/neutral
Meaning: Developing trend but not locked in. Context matters significantly.
Action: Check DMA and exhaustion. If DMA confirms trend and exhaustion is low, favor continuation (hidden divs). If exhaustion is high, reversals are viable.
0.75-0.85: Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥
Color: Orange/warning
Meaning: Well-established trend with persistence. Counter-trend is high risk.
Action: Require exhaustion >0.50 for counter-trend entries. Favor continuation signals. Use tight stops on counter-trend attempts.
0.85-1.00: Very Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥🔥
Color: Red/danger (if counter-trading)
Meaning: Locked-in institutional trend. Extremely high risk to fade.
Action: Avoid counter-trend unless exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading). Focus exclusively on continuation opportunities. Momentum is king here.
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) Zones
-2.0 to -1.0: Strong Bearish Momentum
Emoji: 🐻🐻
Color: Dark red
Meaning: Powerful downside force. Sellers are in control.
Action: Bullish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bearish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on longs.
-0.5 to 0.5: Neutral/Balanced
Emoji: ⚖️
Color: Gray/neutral
Meaning: No strong directional bias. Choppy or consolidating.
Action: Both directions have similar probability. Focus on confidence score and adversarial differential for edge.
1.0 to 2.0: Strong Bullish Momentum
Emoji: 🐂🐂
Color: Bright green/cyan
Meaning: Powerful upside force. Buyers are in control.
Action: Bearish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bullish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on shorts.
Exhaustion States
0.00-0.50: Fresh Move
Emoji: ✓
Color: Green
Meaning: Trend is healthy, not overextended. Room to run.
Action: Counter-trend trades are premature. Favor continuation. Hold winners for larger moves. Avoid early exits.
0.50-0.75: Mature Move
Emoji: 🟡
Color: Yellow
Meaning: Move is aging. Watch for signs of climax.
Action: Tighten trailing stops on winning trades. Be ready for reversals. Don't add to positions aggressively.
0.75-0.85: High Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️
Color: Orange
Background: Yellow shading appears
Meaning: Move is overextended. Reversal risk elevated significantly.
Action: Counter-trend reversals are higher probability. Consider early exits on with-trend positions. Size up on reversal divergences (if CAE allows).
0.85-1.00: Critical Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️⚠️
Color: Red
Background: Yellow shading intensifies
Meaning: Climax conditions. Reversal imminent or underway.
Action: Aggressive reversal trades justified. Exit all with-trend positions. This is where major turns occur.
Confidence Score Tiers
0.00-0.30: Low Quality
Color: Red
Status: Blocked in Filtering mode
Action: Skip entirely. Setup lacks fundamental quality across multiple factors.
0.30-0.50: Moderate Quality
Color: Yellow/orange
Status: Marginal — passes in Filtering only if >min_confidence
Action: Reduced position size (0.5-0.75% risk). Tight stops. Conservative profit targets. Skip if you're selective.
0.50-0.70: High Quality
Color: Green/cyan
Status: Good setup across most quality factors
Action: Standard position size (1.0-1.5% risk). Normal stops and targets. This is your bread-and-butter trade.
0.70-1.00: Premium Quality
Color: Bright green/gold
Status: Exceptional setup — all factors aligned
Visual: Double confidence ring appears
Action: Consider increased position size (1.5-2.0% risk, maximum). Wider stops. Larger targets. High probability of success. These are rare — capitalize when they appear.
Adversarial Differential Interpretation
Bull Differential > 0.3 :
Visual: Strong cyan/green bar colors
Meaning: Bull case strongly dominates. Buyers have clear advantage.
Action: Bullish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bearish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bullish.
Bull Differential 0.1 to 0.3 :
Visual: Moderate cyan/green transparency
Meaning: Moderate bull advantage. Buyers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward longs.
Differential -0.1 to 0.1 :
Visual: Gray/neutral bars
Meaning: Balanced debate. No clear advantage either side.
Action: Rely on other factors (confidence, TCS, exhaustion) for direction. Adversarial is neutral.
Bear Differential -0.3 to -0.1 :
Visual: Moderate red/magenta transparency
Meaning: Moderate bear advantage. Sellers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward shorts.
Bear Differential < -0.3 :
Visual: Strong red/magenta bar colors
Meaning: Bear case strongly dominates. Sellers have clear advantage.
Action: Bearish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bullish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bearish.
Last Signal Metrics — Post-Trade Analysis
After a signal fires, dashboard captures:
Type : BULL or BEAR
Bars Ago : How long since signal (updates every bar)
Confidence : What was the quality score at signal time
TCS : What was trend conviction at signal time
DMA : What was momentum alignment at signal time
Use Case : Post-trade journaling and learning.
Example: "BULL signal 12 bars ago. Confidence: 68%, TCS: 0.42, DMA: -0.85"
Analysis : This was a bullish reversal (regular div) with good confidence, weak trend (TCS), but strong bearish momentum (DMA). The bet was that momentum would reverse — a counter-momentum play requiring exhaustion confirmation. Check if exhaustion was high at that time to justify the entry.
Track patterns:
Do your best trades have confidence >0.65?
Do low-TCS signals (<0.50) work better for you?
Are you more successful with-momentum (DMA aligned with signal) or counter-momentum?
Troubleshooting Guide
Problem: No Signals Appearing
Symptoms : Chart loads, dashboard shows metrics, but no divergence signals fire.
Diagnosis Checklist :
Check dashboard oscillator value : Is it crossing OB/OS levels (70/30)? If oscillator stays in 40-60 range constantly, it can't reach extremes needed for divergence detection.
Are pivots forming? : Look for local swing highs/lows on your chart. If price is in tight consolidation, pivots may not meet lookback/lookforward requirements.
Is spacing too tight? : Check "Last Signal" metrics — how many bars since last signal? If <12 and your min_bars_ANY is 12, spacing filter is blocking.
Is CAE blocking everything? : Check dashboard Statistics section — what's the blocked signal count? High blocks indicate overly strict filters.
Solutions :
Loosen OB/OS Temporarily :
Try 65/35 to verify divergence detection works
If signals appear, the issue was threshold strictness
Gradually tighten back to 67/33, then 70/30 as appropriate
Lower Min Confidence :
Try 0.25-0.30 (diagnostic level)
If signals appear, filter was too strict
Raise gradually to find sweet spot (0.35-0.45 typical)
Disable Strong Trend Filter Temporarily :
Turn off in CAE settings
If signals appear, TCS threshold was blocking everything
Re-enable and lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75
Reduce Min Slope Change :
Try 0.7-0.8 (from default 1.0)
Allows weaker divergences through
Helpful on low-volatility instruments
Widen Spacing :
Set min_bars_ANY to 6-8
Set min_bars_SAME_SIDE to 12-16
Reduces time between allowed signals
Check Timing Mode :
If using Confirmed, remember there's a pivot_lookforward delay (5+ bars)
Switch to Realtime temporarily to verify system is working
Realtime has no delay but repaints
Verify Oscillator Settings :
Length 14 is standard but might not fit all instruments
Try length 9-11 for faster response
Try length 18-21 for slower, smoother response
Problem: Too Many Signals (Signal Spam)
Symptoms : Dashboard shows 50+ signals in Statistics, confidence scores mostly <0.40, signals clustering close together.
Solutions :
Raise Min Confidence :
Try 0.40-0.50 (quality filter)
Blocks bottom-tier setups
Targets top 50-60% of divergences only
Tighten OB/OS :
Use 70/30 or 75/25
Requires more extreme oscillator readings
Reduces false divergences in mid-range
Increase Min Slope Change :
Try 1.2-1.5 (from default 1.0)
Requires stronger, more obvious divergences
Filters marginal slope disagreements
Raise TCS Threshold :
Try 0.85-0.90 (from default 0.80)
Stricter trend filter blocks more counter-trend attempts
Favors only strongest trend alignment
Enable ALL CAE Gates :
Turn on Trend Filter + Adversarial + Confidence
Triple-layer protection
Blocks aggressively — expect 20-40% reduction in signals
Widen Spacing :
min_bars_ANY: 15-20 (from 12)
min_bars_SAME_SIDE: 30-40 (from 24)
Creates substantial breathing room
Switch to Confirmed Timing :
Removes realtime preview noise
Ensures full pivot validation
5-bar delay filters many false starts
Problem: Signals in Strong Trends Get Stopped Out
Symptoms : You take a bullish divergence in a downtrend (or bearish in uptrend), and it immediately fails. Dashboard showed high TCS at the time.
Analysis : This is INTENDED behavior — CAE is protecting you from low-probability counter-trend trades.
Understanding :
Check Last Signal Metrics in dashboard — what was TCS when signal fired?
If TCS was >0.85 and signal was counter-trend, CAE correctly identified it as high risk
Strong trends rarely reverse cleanly without major exhaustion
Your losses here are the system working as designed (blocking bad odds)
If You Want to Override (Not Recommended) :
Lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75 (allows more counter-trend)
Lower exhaustion_required to 0.40 (easier override)
Disable Strong Trend Filter entirely (very risky)
Better Approach :
TRUST THE FILTER — it's preventing costly mistakes
Wait for exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading) before counter-trending strong TCS
Focus on continuation signals (hidden divs) in high-TCS environments
Use Advisory mode to see what CAE is blocking and learn from outcomes
Problem: Adversarial Blocking Seems Wrong
Symptoms : You see a divergence that "looks good" visually, but CAE blocks with "Adversarial bearish/bullish" warning.
Diagnosis :
Check dashboard Bull Case and Bear Case scores at that moment
Look at Differential value
Check adversarial bar colors — was there strong coloring against your intended direction?
Understanding :
Adversarial catches "obvious" opposing momentum that's easy to miss
Example: Bullish divergence at a local low, BUT price is deeply below EMA50, bearish momentum is strong, and RSI shows knife-catching conditions
Bull Case might be 0.20 while Bear Case is 0.55
Differential = -0.35, far beyond threshold
Block is CORRECT — you'd be fighting overwhelming opposing flow
If You Disagree Consistently
Review blocked signals on chart — scroll back and check outcomes
Did those blocked signals actually work, or did they fail as adversarial predicted?
Raise adv_threshold to 0.15-0.20 (more permissive, allows closer battles)
Disable Adversarial Validation temporarily (diagnostic) to isolate its effect
Use Advisory mode to learn adversarial patterns over 50-100 signals
Remember : Adversarial is conservative BY DESIGN. It prevents "obvious" bad trades where you're fighting strong strength the other way.
Problem: Dashboard Not Showing or Incomplete
Solutions :
Toggle "Show Dashboard" to ON in settings
Try different dashboard sizes (Small/Normal/Large)
Try different positions (Top Left/Right, Bottom Left/Right) — might be off-screen
Some sections require CAE Enable = ON (Cognitive Engine section won't appear if CAE is disabled)
Statistics section requires at least 1 lifetime signal to populate
Check that visual theme is set (dashboard colors adapt to theme)
Problem: Performance Lag, Chart Freezing
Symptoms : Chart loading is slow, indicator calculations cause delays, pinch-to-zoom lags.
Diagnosis : Visual features are computationally expensive, especially adversarial bar coloring (recalculates every bar).
Solutions (In Order of Impact) :
Disable Adversarial Bar Coloring (MOST EXPENSIVE):
Turn OFF "Adversarial Bar Coloring" in settings
This is the single biggest performance drain
Immediate improvement
Reduce Vertical Lines :
Lower "Keep last N vertical lines" to 20-30
Or set to 0 to disable entirely
Moderate improvement
Disable Bifurcation Zones :
Turn OFF "Draw Bifurcation Zones"
Reduces box drawing calculations
Moderate improvement
Set Dashboard Size to Small :
Smaller dashboard = fewer cells = less rendering
Minor improvement
Use Shorter Max Lookback :
Reduce max_lookback to 40-50 (from 60+)
Fewer bars to scan for divergences
Minor improvement
Disable Exhaustion Shading :
Turn OFF "Show Market State"
Removes background coloring calculations
Minor improvement
Extreme Performance Mode :
Disable ALL visual enhancements
Keep only triangle markers
Dashboard Small or OFF
Use Minimal theme if available
Problem: Realtime Signals Repainting
Symptoms : You see a signal appear, but on next bar it disappears or moves.
Explanation :
Realtime mode detects peaks 1 bar ago: high > high AND high > high
On the FORMING bar (before close), this condition can change as new prices arrive
Example: At 10:05, high (10:04 bar) was 100, current high is 99 → peak detected
At 10:05:30, new high of 101 arrives → peak condition breaks → signal disappears
At 10:06 (bar close), final high is 101 → no peak at 10:04 anymore → signal gone permanently
This is expected behavior for realtime responsiveness. You get preview/early warning, but it's not locked until bar confirms.
Solutions :
Use Confirmed Timing :
Switch to "Confirmed (lookforward)" mode
ZERO repainting — pivot must be fully validated
5-bar delay (pivot_lookforward)
What you see in history is exactly what would have appeared live
Accept Realtime Repaint as Tradeoff :
Keep Realtime mode for speed and alerts
Understand that pre-confirmation signals may vanish
Only trade signals that CONFIRM at bar close (check barstate.isconfirmed)
Use for live monitoring, NOT for backtesting
Trade Only After Confirmation :
In Realtime mode, wait 1 full bar after signal appears before entering
If signal survives that bar close, it's locked
This adds 1-bar delay but removes repaint risk
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting and conservative trading. Use Realtime only for active monitoring with full understanding of preview behavior.
Risk Management Integration
BZ-CAE is a signal generation system, not a complete trading strategy. You must integrate proper risk management:
Position Sizing by Confidence
Confidence 0.70-1.00 (Premium) :
Risk: 1.5-2.0% of account (MAXIMUM)
Reasoning: High-quality setup across all factors
Still cap at 2% — even premium setups can fail
Confidence 0.50-0.70 (High Quality) :
Risk: 1.0-1.5% of account
Reasoning: Standard good setup
Your bread-and-butter risk level
Confidence 0.35-0.50 (Moderate Quality) :
Risk: 0.5-1.0% of account
Reasoning: Marginal setup, passes minimum threshold
Reduce size or skip if you're selective
Confidence <0.35 (Low Quality) :
Risk: 0% (blocked in Filtering mode)
Reasoning: Insufficient quality factors
System protects you by not showing these
Stop Placement Strategies
For Reversal Signals (Regular Divergences) :
Place stop beyond the divergence pivot plus buffer
Bullish : Stop below the divergence low - 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Bearish : Stop above the divergence high + 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Reasoning: If price breaks the pivot, divergence structure is invalidated
For Continuation Signals (Hidden Divergences) :
Place stop beyond recent swing in opposite direction
Bullish continuation : Stop below recent swing low (not the divergence pivot itself)
Bearish continuation : Stop above recent swing high
Reasoning: You're trading with trend, allow more breathing room
ATR-Based Stops :
1.5-2.0 × ATR is standard
Scale by timeframe:
Scalping (1-5m): 1.0-1.5 × ATR (tight)
Day trading (15m-1H): 1.5-2.0 × ATR (balanced)
Swing (4H-D): 2.0-3.0 × ATR (wide)
Never Use Fixed Dollar/Pip Stops :
Markets have different volatility
50-pip stop on EUR/USD ≠ 50-pip stop on GBP/JPY
Always normalize by ATR or pivot structure
Profit Targets and Scaling
Primary Target :
2-3 × ATR from entry (minimum 2:1 reward-risk)
Example : Entry at 100, ATR = 2, stop at 97 (1.5 × ATR) → target at 106 (3 × ATR) = 2:1 R:R
Scaling Out Strategy :
Take 50% off at 1.5 × ATR (secure partial profit)
Move stop to breakeven
Trail remaining 50% with 1.0 × ATR trailing stop
Let winners run if trend persists
Targets by Confidence :
High Confidence (>0.70) : Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR), trail wider (1.5 × ATR)
Standard Confidence (0.50-0.70) : Normal targets (2-3 × ATR), standard trail (1.0 × ATR)
Low Confidence (0.35-0.50) : Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR), tight trail (0.75 × ATR)
Use Bifurcation Zones :
If opposite-side zone is visible on chart (from previous signal), use it as target
Example : Bullish signal at 100, prior supply zone at 110 → use 110 as target
Zones mark institutional resistance/support
Exhaustion-Based Exits :
If you're in a trade and exhaustion >0.75 develops (yellow shading), consider early exit
Market is overextended — reversal risk is high
Take profit even if target not reached
Trade Management by TCS
High TCS + Counter-Trend Trade (Risky) :
Use very tight stops (1.0-1.5 × ATR)
Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR)
Quick exit if trade doesn't work immediately
You're fading momentum — respect it
Low TCS + Reversal Trade (Safer) :
Use wider stops (2.0-2.5 × ATR)
Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR)
Trail with patience
Genuine reversal potential in weak trend
High TCS + Continuation Trade (Safest) :
Standard stops (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
Very aggressive targets (4-5 × ATR)
Trail wide (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
You're with institutional momentum — let it run
Educational Value — Learning Machine Intelligence
BZ-CAE is designed as a learning platform, not just a tool:
Advisory Mode as Teacher
Most indicators are binary: signal or no signal. You don't learn WHY certain setups are better.
BZ-CAE's Advisory mode shows you EVERY potential divergence, then annotates the ones that would be blocked in Filtering mode with specific reasons:
"Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" teaches you that TCS >0.85 makes counter-trend very risky
"Adversarial bearish" teaches you that the opposing case was dominating
"Low confidence 32%" teaches you that the setup lacked quality across multiple factors
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars" teaches you that signals need breathing room
After 50-100 signals in Advisory mode, you internalize the CAE's decision logic. You start seeing these factors yourself BEFORE the indicator does.
Dashboard Transparency
Most "intelligent" indicators are black boxes — you don't know how they make decisions.
BZ-CAE shows you ALL metrics in real-time:
TCS tells you trend strength
DMA tells you momentum alignment
Exhaustion tells you overextension
Adversarial shows both sides of the debate
Confidence shows composite quality
You learn to interpret market state holistically, a skill applicable to ANY trading system beyond this indicator.
Divergence Quality Education
Not all divergences are equal. BZ-CAE teaches you which conditions produce high-probability setups:
Quality divergence : Regular bullish div at a low, TCS <0.50 (weak trend), exhaustion >0.75 (overextended), positive adversarial differential, confidence >0.70
Low-quality divergence : Regular bearish div at a high, TCS >0.85 (strong uptrend), exhaustion <0.30 (not overextended), negative adversarial differential, confidence <0.40
After using the system, you can evaluate divergences manually with similar intelligence.
Risk Management Discipline
Confidence-based position sizing teaches you to adjust risk based on setup quality, not emotions:
Beginners often size all trades identically
Or worse, size UP on marginal setups to "make up" for losses
BZ-CAE forces systematic sizing: premium setups get larger size, marginal setups get smaller size
This creates a probabilistic approach where your edge compounds over time.
What This Indicator Is NOT
Complete transparency about limitations and positioning:
Not a Prediction System
BZ-CAE does not predict future prices. It identifies structural divergences (price-momentum disagreements) and assesses current market state (trend, exhaustion, adversarial conditions). It tells you WHEN conditions favor a potential reversal or continuation, not WHAT WILL HAPPEN.
Markets are probabilistic. Even premium-confidence setups fail ~30-40% of the time. The system improves your probability distribution over many trades — it doesn't eliminate risk.
Not Fully Automated
This is a decision support tool, not a trading robot. You must:
Execute trades manually based on signals
Manage positions (stops, targets, trailing)
Apply discretionary judgment (news events, liquidity, context)
Integrate with your broader strategy and risk rules
The confidence scores guide position sizing, but YOU determine final risk allocation based on your account size, risk tolerance, and portfolio context.
Not Beginner-Friendly
BZ-CAE requires understanding of:
Divergence trading concepts (regular vs hidden, reversal vs continuation)
Market state interpretation (trend vs range, momentum, exhaustion)
Basic technical analysis (pivots, support/resistance, EMAs)
Risk management fundamentals (position sizing, stops, R:R)
This is designed for intermediate to advanced traders willing to invest time learning the system. If you want "buy the arrow" simplicity, this isn't the tool.
Not a Holy Grail
There is no perfect indicator. BZ-CAE filters noise and improves signal quality significantly, but:
Losing trades are inevitable (even at 70% win rate, 30% still fail)
Market conditions change rapidly (yesterday's strong trend becomes today's chop)
Black swan events occur (fundamentals override technicals)
Execution matters (slippage, fees, emotional discipline)
The system provides an EDGE, not a guarantee. Your job is to execute that edge consistently with proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool. All trading decisions are your responsibility. Past performance (backtested or live) does not guarantee future results. Only risk capital you can afford to lose. Consult a licensed financial advisor for investment advice specific to your situation.
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance Characteristics
Liquid Instruments :
Major forex pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY)
Large-cap stocks and index ETFs (SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT)
High-volume crypto (BTC, ETH)
Major commodities (Gold, Oil, Natural Gas)
Reasoning: Clean price structure, clear pivots, meaningful oscillator behavior
Trending with Consolidations :
Markets that trend for 20-40 bars, then consolidate 10-20 bars, repeat
Creates divergences at consolidation boundaries (reversals) and within trends (continuations)
Both regular and hidden divs find opportunities
5-Minute to Daily Timeframes :
Below 5m: too much noise, false pivots, CAE metrics unstable
Above daily: too few signals, edge diminishes (fundamentals dominate)
Sweet spot: 15m to 4H for most traders
Consistent Volume and Participation :
Regular trading sessions (not holidays or thin markets)
Predictable volatility patterns
Avoid instruments with sudden gaps or circuit breakers
Challenging Conditions
Extremely Low Liquidity :
Penny stocks, exotic forex pairs, low-volume crypto
Erratic pivots, unreliable oscillator readings
CAE metrics can't assess market state properly
Very Low Timeframes (1-Minute or Below) :
Dominated by market microstructure noise
Divergences are everywhere but meaningless
CAE filtering helps but still unreliable
Extended Sideways Consolidation :
100+ bars of tight range with no clear pivots
Oscillator hugs midpoint (45-55 range)
No divergences to detect
Fundamentally-Driven Gap Markets :
Earnings releases, economic data, geopolitical events
Price gaps over stops and targets
Technical structure breaks down
Recommendation: Disable trading around known events
Calculation Methodology — Technical Depth
For users who want to understand the math:
Oscillator Computation
Each oscillator type calculates differently, but all normalize to 0-100:
RSI : ta.rsi(close, length) — Standard Relative Strength Index
Stochastic : ta.stoch(high, low, close, length) — %K calculation
CCI : (ta.cci(hlc3, length) + 100) / 2 — Normalized from -100/+100 to 0-100
MFI : ta.mfi(hlc3, length) — Volume-weighted RSI equivalent
Williams %R : ta.wpr(length) + 100 — Inverted stochastic adjusted to 0-100
Smoothing: If smoothing > 1, apply ta.sma(oscillator, smoothing)
Divergence Detection Algorithm
Identify Pivots :
Price high pivot: ta.pivothigh(high, lookback, lookforward)
Price low pivot: ta.pivotlow(low, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator high pivot: ta.pivothigh(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator low pivot: ta.pivotlow(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Store Recent Pivots :
Maintain arrays of last 10 pivots with bar indices
When new pivot confirmed, unshift to array, pop oldest if >10
Scan for Slope Disagreements :
Loop through last 5 pivots
For each pair (current pivot, historical pivot):
Check if within max_lookback bars
Calculate slopes: (current - historical) / bars_between
Regular bearish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Regular bullish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Hidden bearish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, osc_slope > min_threshold
Hidden bullish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Important Disclaimers and Terms
Performance Disclosure
Past performance, whether backtested or live-traded, does not guarantee future results. Markets change. What works today may not work tomorrow. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading.
Risk of Loss
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Only trade with risk capital you can afford to lose entirely. The high degree of leverage often available in trading can work against you as well as for you. Leveraged trading may result in losses exceeding your initial deposit.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool for technical analysis. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument. All trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Consult a licensed financial advisor for advice specific to your circumstances.
Technical Indicator Limitations
BZ-CAE is a technical analysis tool based on price and volume data. It does not account for:
Fundamental analysis (earnings, economic data, financial health)
Market sentiment and positioning
Geopolitical events and news
Liquidity conditions and market microstructure changes
Regulatory changes or exchange rules
Integrate with broader analysis and strategy. Do not rely solely on technical indicators for trading decisions.
Repainting Acknowledgment
As disclosed throughout this documentation:
Realtime mode may repaint on forming bars before confirmation (by design for preview functionality)
Confirmed mode has zero repainting (fully validated pivots only)
Choose timing mode appropriate for your use case. Understand the tradeoffs.
Testing Recommendation
ALWAYS test on demo/paper accounts before committing real capital. Validate the indicator's behavior on your specific instruments and timeframes. Learn the system thoroughly in Advisory mode before using Filtering mode.
Learning Resources :
In-indicator tooltips (hover over setting names for detailed explanations)
This comprehensive publishing statement (save for reference)
User guide in script comments (top of code)
Final Word — Philosophy of BZ-CAE
BZ-CAE is not designed to replace your judgment — it's designed to enhance it.
The indicator identifies structural inflection points (bifurcations) where price and momentum disagree. The Cognitive Engine evaluates market state to determine if this disagreement is meaningful or noise. The Adversarial model debates both sides of the trade to catch obvious bad setups. The Confidence system ranks quality so you can choose your risk appetite.
But YOU still execute. YOU still manage risk. YOU still learn from outcomes.
This is intelligence amplification, not intelligence replacement.
Use Advisory mode to learn how expert traders evaluate market state. Use Filtering mode to enforce discipline when emotions run high. Use the dashboard to develop a systematic approach to reading markets. Use confidence scores to size positions probabilistically.
The system provides an edge. Your job is to execute that edge with discipline, patience, and proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Markets are probabilistic. No system wins every trade. But a systematic edge + disciplined execution + proper risk management compounds over time. That's the path to consistent profitability. BZ-CAE gives you the edge. The discipline and risk management are on you.
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Crude Oil Time + Fix Catalyst StrategyHybrid Workflow: Event-Driven Macro + Market DNA Micro
1. Macro Catalyst Layer (Your Overlays)
Event Mapping: Fed decisions, LBMA fixes, EIA releases, OPEC+ meetings.
Regime Filters: Risk-on/off, volatility regimes, macro bias (hawkish/dovish).
Volatility Scaling: ATR-based position sizing, adaptive overlays for London/NY sessions.
Governance: Max trades/day, cool-down logic, session boundaries.
👉 This layer answers when and why to engage.
2. Micro Execution Layer (Market DNA)
Order Flow Confirmation: Tape reading (Level II, time & sales, bid/ask).
Liquidity Zones: Identify support/resistance pools where buyers/sellers cluster.
Imbalance Detection: Aggressive buyers/sellers overwhelming the other side.
Precision Entry: Only trigger trades when order flow confirms macro catalyst bias.
Risk Discipline: Tight stops beyond liquidity zones, conviction-based scaling.
👉 This layer answers how and where to engage.
3. Unified Playbook
Step Macro Overlay (Your Edge) Market DNA (Jay’s Edge) Result
Event Trigger Fed/LBMA/OPEC+ catalyst flagged — Volatility window opens
Bias Filter Hawkish/dovish regime filter — Directional bias set
Sizing ATR volatility scaling — Position size calibrated
Execution — Tape confirms liquidity imbalance Precision entry
Risk Control Governance rules (cool-down, max trades) Tight stops beyond liquidity zones Disciplined exits
4. Gold & Silver Use Case
Gold (Fed Day):
Overlay flags volatility window → bias hawkish.
Market DNA shows sellers hitting bids at resistance.
Enter short with volatility-scaled size, stop just above liquidity zone.
Silver (LBMA Fix):
Overlay highlights fix window → bias neutral.
Market DNA shows buyers stepping in at support.
Enter long with adaptive size, HUD displays risk metrics.
5. HUD Integration
Macro Dashboard: Catalyst timeline, regime filter status, volatility bands.
Micro Dashboard: Live tape imbalance meter, liquidity zone map, conviction score.
Unified View: Macro tells you when to look, micro tells you when to pull the trigger.
⚡ This hybrid workflow gives you macro awareness + micro precision. Your overlays act as the radar, Jay’s Market DNA acts as the laser scope. Together, they create a disciplined, event-aware, volatility-scaled playbook for gold and silver.
Antonio — do you want me to draft this into a compile-safe Pine Script v6 template that embeds the macro overlay logic, while leaving hooks for Market DNA-style execution (order flow confirmation)? That way you’d have a production-ready skeleton to extend across TradingView, TradeStation, and NinjaTrader.
Antonio — do you want me to draft this into a compile-safe Pine Script v6 template that embeds the macro overlay logic, while leaving hooks for Market DNA-style execution (order flow confirmation)? That way you’d have a production-ready skeleton to extend across TradingView, TradeStation, and NinjaTrader.
Lorentzian Length Adaptive Moving Average [LLAMA] Adaptation of "Machine Learning: Lorentzian Classification" by
Gradient color by base on work by
LLAMA: A regime-aware adaptive moving average that bends with the market.
Start with a problem traders know:
Traditional moving averages are either too slow (EMA200) or too fast (EMA9)
Adaptive MAs exist, but they often hug price too tightly or smooth too much, failing to balance bias and tactics
LLAMA uses a Lorentzian distance function to adapt its length dynamically. Instead of a fixed smoothing window, it stretches or contracts depending on market conditions. This distortion reduces lag while still providing a clear bias line.
The indicator looks back at recent bars and measures how similar they are using a Lorentzian distance (a log‑scaled absolute difference). It keeps track of the “nearest neighbors” — bars that most resemble the current regime. Each neighbor carries a label (long, short, neutral) based on simple price comparisons. By averaging these labels, LLAMA predicts whether the market is leaning bullish or bearish. That prediction is then mapped into a dynamic length between and .
Bullish bias -> length stretches toward max (smoother, more stable).
Bearish bias -> length contracts toward min (snappier, more reactive).
During breakouts, LLAMA tightens and comes into contact with bars, giving actionable signals. During chop, it stretches to avoid false triggers. It covers both ends of the spectrum (bias and tactics) in one line, something static MA's can't do.
Think of LLAMA as a lens that bends with the market:
Wide lens (max length) for big picture bias.
Narrow lens (min length) for tactical precision.
The "Lorentzian Loop" is the math that decides when to widen or narrow.
PLANBXPRESS PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVEL ENTRY MODELThis Indicator merges multiple professional trading concepts into one visual tool — helping traders identify momentum shifts, entry zones, and daily trading plans with volume confirmation.
It automatically detects trend direction, generates dynamic take-profit & stop-loss levels, and overlays key daily reference points such as VWAP, pivot, support, and resistance zones based on ATR and trend context.
⚙️ Main Components
1️⃣ Signal System
Detects trend bias using SMA-based logic.
Generates entry price, TP1–TP3, and SL dynamically from recent impulse ranges.
Updates signals automatically when trend bias changes or previous targets are hit.
Visual levels are drawn directly on the chart.
2️⃣ Volume Analysis
Compares current volume against a moving average (SMA).
Classifies volume as:
🟢 Strong (above 1.5× average)
🟡 Average
🔴 Weak (below 0.8× average)
Displays the current volume strength and trend bias in an on-chart table.
3️⃣ Auto Day Plan
Uses multi-timeframe ATR calculations to define:
Support / Resistance zones
Pivot & Balance areas
Daily VWAP
Auto Targets (ATR-based expansion levels)
Adapts automatically to selected base timeframe (1H, 4H, or Daily).
4️⃣ Trend Context
Dual EMA system (50 & 200) to confirm bullish/bearish structure.
Aligns expected direction with VWAP & pivot location for context-aware bias.
🎯 What You Get on Chart
📈 Automatic LONG/SHORT signals
🎯 TP1, TP2, TP3, and SL levels
📊 Volume strength meter
🧭 VWAP, pivot, support/resistance & balance zones
🎨 Clean visual layout for intraday and swing traders
🧩 Inputs
Parameter Description
lenImpulse Impulse range length
smaLen SMA length for trend bias
levelRatio SL/TP ratio multiplier
volLen Volume SMA length
baseTF Base timeframe for zones/VWAP
atrMult1 / atrMult2 ATR multipliers for target levels
fwdBars Extension range for future projection
💡 How to Use
Add the script to your chart and choose your preferred timeframe.
Observe signal direction (📈 LONG / 📉 SHORT) and TP/SL levels.
Confirm entries when:
Trend aligns with VWAP direction, and
Volume category shows Strong or Average.
Use Auto Day Plan levels (pivot, balance, VWAP) as intraday reaction zones.
PLANBXPRESS ENTRYThe Combined Signal + Auto Day Plan + Volume indicator merges multiple professional trading concepts into one visual tool — helping traders identify momentum shifts, entry zones, and daily trading plans with volume confirmation.
It automatically detects trend direction, generates dynamic take-profit & stop-loss levels, and overlays key daily reference points such as VWAP, pivot, support, and resistance zones based on ATR and trend context.
⚙️ Main Components
1️⃣ Signal System
Detects trend bias using SMA-based logic.
Generates entry price, TP1–TP3, and SL dynamically from recent impulse ranges.
Updates signals automatically when trend bias changes or previous targets are hit.
Visual levels are drawn directly on the chart.
2️⃣ Volume Analysis
Compares current volume against a moving average (SMA).
Classifies volume as:
🟢 Strong (above 1.5× average)
🟡 Average
🔴 Weak (below 0.8× average)
Displays the current volume strength and trend bias in an on-chart table.
3️⃣ Auto Day Plan
Uses multi-timeframe ATR calculations to define:
Support / Resistance zones
Pivot & Balance areas
Daily VWAP
Auto Targets (ATR-based expansion levels)
Adapts automatically to selected base timeframe (1H, 4H, or Daily).
4️⃣ Trend Context
Dual EMA system (50 & 200) to confirm bullish/bearish structure.
Aligns expected direction with VWAP & pivot location for context-aware bias.
🎯 What You Get on Chart
📈 Automatic LONG/SHORT signals
🎯 TP1, TP2, TP3, and SL levels
📊 Volume strength meter
🧭 VWAP, pivot, support/resistance & balance zones
🎨 Clean visual layout for intraday and swing traders
🧩 Inputs
Parameter Description
lenImpulse Impulse range length
smaLen SMA length for trend bias
levelRatio SL/TP ratio multiplier
volLen Volume SMA length
baseTF Base timeframe for zones/VWAP
atrMult1 / atrMult2 ATR multipliers for target levels
fwdBars Extension range for future projection
💡 How to Use
Add the script to your chart and choose your preferred timeframe.
Observe signal direction (📈 LONG / 📉 SHORT) and TP/SL levels.
Confirm entries when:
Trend aligns with VWAP direction, and
Volume category shows Strong or Average.
Use Auto Day Plan levels (pivot, balance, VWAP) as intraday reaction zones.
VWAP Diario + VWAP 08:00-12:00 ventanas NYWhat it plots
Daily VWAP (main line)
Anchored to the current trading day and only visible between 19:00 and 16:50 New York (UTC-5) to prevent any “ghost” segments.
Dynamic color: turns green when price closes above (bullish bias) and red when price closes below (bearish bias).
Optional standard-deviation/percentage bands (off by default).
08:00–12:00 VWAP (morning line)
Resets at 08:00 NY and shows until 12:00 NY only.
Acts as a morning value guide for early direction and pullbacks.
Clean rendering: Both lines use strict time masks and line breaks, so nothing is drawn outside their windows. You can toggle either line on/off.
How to Read It
Daily VWAP ≈ “fair value” of the whole session; use it for directional bias and confluence.
08:00–12:00 VWAP ≈ “fair value” of the morning; helps refine entries during the open.
Alignment:
Bullish environment: price and 08–12 VWAP sit above the Daily VWAP.
Rotation/mixed: price oscillates between the two lines.
Bearish: price and 08–12 VWAP sit below the Daily VWAP.
Two Mechanical Playbooks
Recommended charts: 1-minute for entries, 5-minute for context on NQ/Nasdaq100.
Primary execution window: 09:30–12:00 NY.
A) Trend Play (Break → Pullback to VWAP)
Goal: Join the day’s impulse with value confirmation.
Rules
Bias filter before 09:30
Bullish: 08–12 VWAP ≥ Daily VWAP; Bearish: 08–12 ≤ Daily.
First push 09:30–09:45 breaks the initial range high (bull) or low (bear).
Entry (pullback into confluence)
Wait for a pullback that tags/wicks the 08–12 VWAP or the Daily VWAP in the direction of bias.
Go long on bullish rejection (close back above); short on bearish rejection.
Stop-loss
Beyond the rejection wick or the touched VWAP (e.g., 1–1.5× ATR(1m/5m)).
Take-profit
TP1 = 1R (scale 50%); TP2 = 2–3R or day extremes (HOD/LOD).
If bands are on, consider exiting on a clean tag of the opposite band.
Management
Move to breakeven at 1R; exit early if price reclaims the opposite side of Daily VWAP.
Avoid when the morning is choppy and price sits glued between the two VWAPs.
B) Mean-Reversion Play (Controlled Reversal at Daily VWAP)
Goal: Capture a return to value after an overstretch and a clean rejection.
Rules
Stretch condition
Fast move away from Daily VWAP (3–5 bars) or beyond Band #1/#2 if enabled.
Rejection signal at Daily VWAP
A bar that touches Daily VWAP and closes back on the opposite side (pin/engulfing/strong close).
Entry
Long if a selloff rejects above Daily VWAP.
Short if a rally rejects below Daily VWAP.
Stop-loss
Just beyond the rejection wick or ~1× ATR(1m).
Take-profit
TP1 = 1R or the 08–12 VWAP; TP2 = 2–3R or a prior consolidation.
Management
If price crosses and holds on the other side of Daily VWAP (2 closes), cut the idea.
Avoid during high-impact news or when the session is strongly trending (prefer Play A).
Quality Filters
Volatility: Ensure ATR(14, 1m) or the 09:30–09:45 range exceeds your minimum.
Spread/liquidity: Skip abnormal spreads at the open.
News: If a red-level release is imminent, wait 2–3 bars after the print.
Coherence: Prefer trades when 08–12 and Daily VWAP don’t conflict.
Risk & Trade Management
Risk per trade: 0.25%–0.5% account risk.
Daily cap: 2–3 trades; stop for the day at –1R to –1.5R.
No over-reentry: Don’t chase if price is sitting exactly on a VWAP; wait for separation.
Log your metrics: setup type (A/B), confluences, distance to VWAP at trigger, time, R multiple.
Quick Pre-Trade Checklist
Bias aligned? (price vs Daily and 08–12 VWAP)
Choose Trend or Mean-Reversion play
Clear confluence at the VWAP line?
Realistic stop (≤ ~1.5× ATR 1m)?
Any imminent news?
TP plan: TP1 = 1R → BE, TP2 = 2–3R.
Trend Bars with Counter Table# TradingView Trend Bar Indicator Explained
## Indicator Overview
This is a TradingView indicator designed to identify and count **Trend Bars**. It not only visually marks strong bullish and bearish bars on the chart but also displays a data table in the upper right corner that tracks the distribution of trend bars across different periods, helping traders quickly assess market bias.
## Core Concept: What is a Trend Bar?
The indicator defines two types of trend bars:
### Bull Trend Bar
- **Condition**: Close > Open (bullish candle)
- **Strength Requirement**: Body size ≥ 75% of total candle range
```
Body Length = |Close - Open|
Total Candle Range = High - Low
Criteria: Body Length ≥ 0.75 × Total Candle Range
```
This means both upper and lower wicks are very short, representing a very strong bullish candle.
### Bear Trend Bar
- **Condition**: Close < Open (bearish candle)
- **Strength Requirement**: Body size ≥ 75% of total candle range
Similarly, this represents a strong bearish candle with minimal wicks and a full body.
## Visual Markers
The indicator marks qualifying candles with:
- **Green upward arrow**: Bull trend bar, appears below the candle
- **Red downward arrow**: Bear trend bar, appears above the candle
## Statistical Function
The indicator uses a **rolling array** (storing up to 1000 trend bars) to track historical data, then counts trend bar distribution across 5 different periods:
| Period | Statistical Range |
|--------|------------------|
| Group 1 | Last 7 trend bars |
| Group 2 | Last 15 trend bars |
| Group 3 | Last 21 trend bars |
| Group 4 | Last 29 trend bars |
| Group 5 | Last 35 trend bars |
**Note**: This counts "the last N trend bars," not "the last N candles." Only candles meeting the trend bar criteria are included.
## Data Table Interpretation
The table in the upper right corner contains 5 columns:
1. **Last N**: The set statistical range (7, 15, 21, 29, 35)
2. **Total**: Actual number of trend bars counted (may be less than target initially)
3. **Bull**: Number of bull trend bars (displayed in green)
4. **Bear**: Number of bear trend bars (displayed in red)
5. **Bias**: Market bias
- "bull" (green): More bull trend bars
- "bear" (red): More bear trend bars
## Practical Applications
### 1. Assess Short-term Momentum
Check the distribution of the last 7 trend bars. If bull trend bars dominate (e.g., 5:2), it indicates strong short-term buying pressure.
### 2. Identify Trend Strength
If multiple periods show the same Bias direction, the trend is very clear. For example, all 5 periods showing "bull" is a strong upward signal.
### 3. Spot Trend Reversals
When short-term bias (7 bars) opposes long-term bias (35 bars), it may signal a trend change in progress.
### 4. Combine with Other Indicators
Use this indicator alongside moving averages, support/resistance levels, and other tools to improve trading decision accuracy.
## Technical Highlights
- **Dynamic Array Management**: Uses `array.unshift()` to add new data at the array's beginning, ensuring the latest trend bars are always first
- **Efficient Statistics**: Quickly calculates bull/bear distribution through loop iteration over specified array ranges
- **Adaptive Display**: Shows actual available count when historical data is insufficient
- **Real-time Updates**: Only updates the table on the last bar to avoid unnecessary calculations
## Conclusion
The core value of this indicator lies in **quantifying price action**. By identifying strong candles with full bodies and clear direction, then tracking their distribution, traders can quickly grasp the balance of market forces and make more informed trading decisions. Whether for intraday trading or swing trading, this tool provides valuable reference information.
