Market Structure & Liquidity: CHoCHs+Nested Pivots+FVGs+Sweeps//Purpose:
This indicator combines several tools to help traders track and interpret price action/market structure; It can be divided into 4 parts;
1. CHoCHs, 2. Nested Pivot highs & lows, 3. Grade sweeps, 4. FVGs.
This gives the trader a toolkit for determining market structure and shifts in market structure to help determine a bull or bear bias, whether it be short-term, med-term or long-term.
This indicator also helps traders in determining liquidity targets: wether they be voids/gaps (FVGS) or old highs/lows+ typical sweep distances.
Finally, the incorporation of HTF CHoCH levels printing on your LTF chart helps keep the bigger picture in mind and tells traders at a glance if they're above of below Custom HTF CHoCH up or CHoCH down (these HTF CHoCHs can be anything from Hourly up to Monthly).
//Nomenclature:
CHoCH = Change of Character
STH/STL = short-term high or low
MTH/MTL = medium-term high or low
LTH/LTL = long-term high or low
FVG = Fair value gap
CE = consequent encroachement (the midline of a FVG)
~~~ The Four components of this indicator ~~~
1. CHoCHs:
•Best demonstrated in the below charts. This was a method taught to me by @Icecold_crypto. Once a 3 bar fractal pivot gets broken, we count backwards the consecutive higher lows or lower highs, then identify the CHoCH as the opposite end of the candle which ended the consecutive backwards count. This CHoCH (UP or DOWN) then becomes a level to watch, if price passes through it in earnest a trader would consider shifting their bias as market structure is deemed to have shifted.
•HTF CHoCHs: Option to print Higher time frame chochs (default on) of user input HTF. This prints only the last UP choch and only the last DOWN choch from the input HTF. Solid line by default so as to distinguish from local/chart-time CHoCHs. Can be any Higher timeframe you like.
•Show on table: toggle on show table(above/below) option to show in table cells (top right): is price above the latest HTF UP choch, or is price below HTF DOWN choch (or is it sat between the two, in a state of 'uncertainty').
•Most recent CHoCHs which have not been met by price will extend 10 bars into the future.
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: SHOW CHOCHS | Set bars lookback number to limit historical Chochs. Set Live CHoCHs number to control the number of active recent chochs unmet by price. Toggle shrink chochs once hit to declutter chart and minimize old chochs to their origin bars. Set Multi-timeframe color override : to make Color choices auto-set to your preference color for each of 1m, 5m, 15m, H, 4H, D, W, M (where up and down are same color, but 'up' icon for up chochs and down icon for down chochs remain printing as normal)
2. Nested Pivot Highs & Lows; aka 'Pivot Highs & Lows (ST/MT/LT)'
•Based on a seperate, longer lookback/lookforward pivot calculation. Identifies Pivot highs and lows with a 'spikeyness' filter (filtering out weak/rounded/unimpressive Pivot highs/lows)
•by 'nested' I mean that the pivot highs are graded based on whether a pivot high sits between two lower pivot highs or vice versa.
--for example: STH = normal pivot. MTH is pivot high with a lower STH on either side. LTH is a pivot high with a lower MTH on either side. Same applies to pivot lows (STL/MTL/LTL)
•This is a useful way to measure the significance of a high or low. Both in terms of how much it might be typically swept by (see later) and what it would imply for HTF bias were we to break through it in earnest (more than just a sweep).
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: show pivot highs & lows | Bars lookback (historical pivots to show) | Pivots: lookback/lookforward length (determines the scale of your pivot highs/lows) | toggle on/off Apply 'Spikeyness' filter (filters out smooth/unimpressive pivot highs/lows). Set Spikeyness index (determines the strength of this filter if turned on) | Individually toggle on each of STH, MTH, LTH, STL, MTL, LTL along with their label text type , and size . Toggle on/off line for each of these Pivot highs/lows. | Set label spacer (atr multiples above / below) | set line style and line width
3. Grade Sweeps:
•These are directly related to the nested pivots described above. Most assets will have a typical sweep distance. I've added some of my expected sweeps for various assets in the indicator tooltips.
--i.e. Eur/Usd 10-20-30 pips is a typical 'grade' sweep. S&P HKEX:5 - HKEX:10 is a typical grade sweep.
•Each of the ST/MT/LT pivot highs and lows have optional user defined grade sweep boxes which paint above until filled (or user option for historical filled boxes to remain).
•Numbers entered into sweep input boxes are auto converted into appropriate units (i.e. pips for FX, $ or 'handles' for indices, $ for Crypto. Very low $ units can be input for low unit value crypto altcoins.
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: Show sweep boxes | individually select colors of each of STH, MTH, LTH, STL, MTL, LTL sweep boxes. | Set Grade sweep ($/pips) number for each of ST, MT, LT. This auto converts between pips and $ (i.e. FX vs Indices/Crypto). Can be a float as small or large as you like ($0.000001 to HKEX:1000 ). | Set box text position (horizontal & vertical) and size , and color . | Set Box width (bars) (for non extended/ non-auto-terminating at price boxes). | toggle on/off Extend boxes/lines right . | Toggle on/off Shrink Grade sweeps on fill (they will disappear in realtime when filled/passed through)
4. FVGs:
•Fair Value gaps. Represent 'naked' candle bodies where the wicks to either side do not meet, forming a 'gap' of sorts which has a tendency to fill, or at least to fill to midline (CE).
•These are ICT concepts. 'UP' FVGS are known as BISIs (Buyside imbalance, sellside inefficiency); 'DOWN' FVGs are known as SIBIs (Sellside imbalance, buyside inefficiency).
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: show FVGs | Bars lookback (history). | Choose to display: 'UP' FVGs (BISI) and/or 'DOWN FVGs (SIBI) . Choose to display the midline: CE , the color and the line style . Choose threshold: use CE (as opposed to Full Fill) |toggle on/off Shrink FVG on fill (CE hit or Full fill) (declutter chart/see backtesting history)
////••Alerts (general notes & cautionary notes)::
•Alerts are optional for most of the levels printed by this indicator. Set them via the three dots on indicator status line.
•Due to dynamic repainting of levels, alerts should be used with caution. Best use these alerts either for Higher time frame levels, or when closely monitoring price.
--E.g. You may set an alert for down-fill of the latest FVG below; but price will keep marching up; form a newer/higher FVG, and the alert will trigger on THAT FVG being down-filled (not the original)
•Available Alerts:
-FVG(BISI) cross above threshold(CE or full-fill; user choice). Same with FVG(SIBI).
-HTF last CHoCH down, cross below | HTF last CHoCH up, cross above.
-last CHoCH down, cross below | last CHoCH up, cross above.
-LTH cross above, MTH cross above, STH cross above | LTL cross below, MTL cross below, STL cross below.
////••Formatting (general)::
•all table text color is set from the 'Pivot highs & Lows (ST, MT, LT)' section (for those of you who prefer black backgrounds).
•User choice of Line-style, line color, line width. Same with Boxes. Icon choice for chochs. Char or label text choices for ST/MT/LT pivot highs & lows.
////••User Inputs (general):
•Each of the 4 components of this indicator can be easily toggled on/off independently.
•Quite a lot of options and toggle boxes, as described in full above. Please take your time and read through all the tooltips (hover over '!' icon) to get an idea of formatting options.
•Several Lookback periods defined in bars to control how much history is shown for each of the 4 components of this indicator.
•'Shrink on fill' settings on FVGs and CHoCHs: Basically a way to declutter chart; toggle on/off depending on if you're backtesting or reading live price action.
•Table Display: applies to ST/MT/LT pivot highs and to HTF CHoCHs; Toggle table on or off (in part or in full)
////••Credits:
•Credit to ICT (Inner Circle Trader) for some of the concepts used in this indicator (FVGS & CEs; Grade sweeps).
•Credit to @Icecold_crypto for the specific and novel concept of identifying CHoCHs in a simple, objective and effective manner (as demonstrated in the 1st chart below).
CHoCH demo page 1: shifting tweak; arrow diagrams to demonstrate how CHoCHs are defined:
CHoCH demo page 2: Simplified view; short lookback history; few CHoCHs, demo of 'latest' choch being extended into the future by 10 bars:
USAGE: Bitcoin Hourly using HTF daily CHoCHs:
USAGE-2: Cotton Futures (CT1!) 2hr. Painting a rather bullish picture. Above HTF UP CHoCH, Local CHoCHs show bullish order flow, Nice targets above (MTH/LTH + grade sweeps):
Full Demo; 5min chart; CHoCHs, Short term pivot highs/lows, grade sweeps, FVGs:
Full Demo, Eur/Usd 15m: STH, MTH, LTH grade sweeps, CHoCHs, Usage for finding bias (part A):
Full Demo, Eur/Usd 15m: STH, MTH, LTH grade sweeps, CHoCHs, Usage for finding bias, 3hrs later (part B):
Realtime Vs Backtesting(A): btc/usd 15m; FVGs and CHoCHs: shrink on fill, once filled they repaint discreetly on their origin bar only. Realtime (Shrink on fill, declutter chart):
Realtime Vs Backtesting(B): btc/usd 15m; FVGs and CHoCHs: DON'T shrink on fill; they extend to the point where price crosses them, and fix/paint there. Backtesting (seeing historical behaviour):
스크립트에서 "backtesting"에 대해 찾기
Smoothed Heikin Ashi Trend on Chart - TraderHalai BACKTESTSmoothed Heikin Ashi Trend on chart - Backtest
This is a backtest of the Smoothed Heikin Ashi Trend indicator, which computes the reverse candle close price required to flip a Heikin Ashi trend from red to green and vice versa. The original indicator can be found in the scripts section of my profile.
This particular back test uses this indicator with a Trend following paradigm with a percentage-based stop loss.
Note, that backtesting performance is not always indicative of future performance, but it does provide some basis for further development and walk-forward / live testing.
Testing was performed on Bitcoin , as this is a primary target market for me to use this kind of strategy.
Sample Backtesting results as of 10th June 2022:
Backtesting parameters:
Position size: 10% of equity
Long stop: 1% below entry
Short stop: 1% above entry
Repainting: Off
Smoothing: SMA
Period: 10
8 Hour:
Number of Trades: 1046
Gross Return: 249.27 %
CAGR Return: 14.04 %
Max Drawdown: 7.9 %
Win percentage: 28.01 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 2.019
Average Loss: 0.33 %
Average Win: 1.69 %
Average Time for Loss: 1 day
Average Time for Win: 5.33 days
1 Day:
Number of Trades: 429
Gross Return: 458.4 %
CAGR Return: 15.76 %
Max Drawdown: 6.37 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 2.804
Average Loss: 0.8 %
Average Win: 7.2 %
Average Time for Loss: 3 days
Average Time for Win: 16 days
5 Day:
Number of Trades: 69
Gross Return: 1614.9 %
CAGR Return: 26.7 %
Max Drawdown: 5.7 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 10.451
Average Loss: 3.64 %
Average Win: 81.17 %
Average Time for Loss: 15 days
Average Time for Win: 85 days
Analysis:
The strategy is typical amongst trend following strategies with a less regular win rate, but where profits are more significant than losses. Most of the losses are in sideways, low volatility markets. This strategy performs better on higher timeframes, where it shows a positive expectancy of the strategy.
The average win was positively impacted by Bitcoin’s earlier smaller market cap, as the percentage wins earlier were higher.
Overall the strategy shows potential for further development and may be suitable for walk-forward testing and out of sample analysis to be considered for a demo trading account.
Note in an actual trading setup, you may wish to use this with volatility filters, combined with support resistance zones for a better setup.
As always, this post/indicator/strategy is not financial advice, and please do your due diligence before trading this live.
Original indicator links:
On chart version -
Oscillator version -
Update - 27/06/2022
Unfortunately, It appears that the original script had been taken down due to auto-moderation because of concerns with no slippage / commission. I have since adjusted the backtest, and re-uploaded to include the following to address these concerns, and show that I am genuinely trying to give back to the community and not mislead anyone:
1) Include commission of 0.1% - to match Binance's maker fees prior to moving to a fee-less model.
2) Include slippage of 10 ticks (This is a realistic slippage figure from searching online for most crypto exchanges)
3) Adjust account balance to 10,000 - since most of us are not millionaires.
The rest of the backtesting parameters are comparable to previous results:
Backtesting parameters:
Initial capital: 10000 dollars
Position size: 10% of equity
Long stop: 2% below entry
Short stop: 2% above entry
Repainting: Off
Smoothing: SMA
Period: 10
Slippage: 10 ticks
Commission: 0.1%
This script still remains to shows viability / profitablity on higher term timeframes (with slightly higher drawdown), and I have included the backtest report below to document my findings:
8 Hour:
Number of Trades: 1082
Gross Return: 233.02%
CAGR Return: 14.04 %
Max Drawdown: 7.9 %
Win percentage: 25.6%
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 1.627
Average Loss: 0.46 %
Average Win: 2.18 %
Average Time for Loss: 1.33 day
Average Time for Win: 7.33 days
Once again, please do your own research and due dillegence before trading this live. This post is for education and information purposes only, and should not be taken as financial advice.
Booz StrategyBooz Backtesting : Booz Backtesting is a method for analyzing the performance of your current trading strategy . Booz Backtesting aims to help you generate results and evaluate risk and return without risking real capital.
The Booz Backtesting is the Booz Super Swing Indicator equivalent but gives you the ability to backtest data on different charts.
This is an Indicator created for the purpose of identifying trends in Multiple Markets, it is based on Moving Average Crossover and extra features.
Swing Trading: This function allows you to navigate the entire trend until it is not strong enough, so you can compare it with fixed parameters such as Take Profit and Stop Loss.
Take Profit and Stop Loss function: With this function you will be able to choose the most optimal parameters and see in real time the results in order to choose the best combination of parameters.
Leverage : We have this function for the futures markets where you can check which is the most appropriate leverage for your operation.
Trend Filter: allows you to take multiple entries in the same direction of the market.
If the market crosses below the 200 moving average, it will take only short entries.
If the market crosses above the 200 moving average, it will take only long entries.
Timeframes
Charting from 1 Hour, 4 Hour, Daily, Weekly, Weekly
Markets :Booz Backtesting can be tested in Cryptocurrency, Stocks and Futures markets.
Background Color : at a glance, you can see what cycle the market is in.
Green background : Shows that the market is in a bullish cycle.
Red background: Shows that the market is in a bearish cycle.
Bozz Strategy
Booz Backtesting : Booz Backtesting is a method for analyzing the performance of your current trading strategy . Booz Backtesting aims to help you generate results and evaluate risk and return without risking real capital.
The Booz Backtesting is the Booz Super Swing Indicator equivalent but gives you the ability to backtest data on different charts.
This is an Indicator created for the purpose of identifying trends in Multiple Markets, it is based on Moving Average Crossover and extra features.
Swing Trading: This function allows you to navigate the entire trend until it is not strong enough, so you can compare it with fixed parameters such as Take Profit and Stop Loss.
Take Profit and Stop Loss function: With this function you will be able to choose the most optimal parameters and see in real time the results in order to choose the best combination of parameters.
Leverage : We have this function for the futures markets where you can check which is the most appropriate leverage for your operation.
Trend Filter: allows you to take multiple entries in the same direction of the market.
If the market crosses below the 200 moving average, it will take only short entries.
If the market crosses above the 200 moving average, it will take only long entries.
Timeframes
Charting from 1 Hour, 4 Hour, Daily, Weekly, Weekly
Markets :Booz Backtesting can be tested in Cryptocurrency, Stocks and Futures markets.
Background Color : at a glance, you can see what cycle the market is in.
Green background : Shows that the market is in a bullish cycle.
Red background: Shows that the market is in a bearish cycle.
Twitter
Website
EDMA Scalping Strategy (Exponentially Deviating Moving Average)This strategy uses crossover of Exponentially Deviating Moving Average (MZ EDMA ) along with Exponential Moving Average for trades entry/exits. Exponentially Deviating Moving Average (MZ EDMA ) is derived from Exponential Moving Average to predict better exit in top reversal case.
EDMA Philosophy
EDMA is calculated in following steps:
In first step, Exponentially expanding moving line is calculated with same code as of EMA but with different smoothness (1 instead of 2).
In 2nd step, Exponentially contracting moving line is calculated using 1st calculated line as source input and also using same code as of EMA but with different smoothness (1 instead of 2).
In 3rd step, Hull Moving Average with 2/3 of EDMA length is calculated using final line as source input. This final HMA will be equal to Exponentially Deviating Moving Average.
EDMA Defaults
Currently default EDMA and EMA length is set to 20 period which I've found better for higher timeframes but this can be adjusted according to user's timeframe. I would soon add Multi Timeframe option in script too. Chikou filter's period is set to 25.
Additional Features
EMA Band: EMA band is shown on chart to better visualize EMA cross with EDMA .
Dynamic Coloring: Chikou Filter library is used for derivation of dynamic coloring of EDMA and its band.
Trade Confirmation with Chikou Filter: Trend filteration from Chikou filter library is used as an option to enhance trades signals accuracy.
Strategy Default Test Settings
For backtesting purpose, following settings are used:
Initial capital=10000 USD
Default quantity value = 5 % of total capital
Commission value = 0.1 %
Pyramiding isn't included.
Backtesting data never assures that the same results would occur in future and also above settings use very less of total portfolio for trades, which in a way results less maximum drawdown along with less total profit on initial capital too. For example, increasing default quantity value will definity increase maximum drawdown value. The other way is also to use fix contracts in backtesting but it all depends on users general practice. Best option is to explore backtesting results with manually modified settings on different charts, before trusting them for other uses in future.
Usage and In-Detail Backtesting
This strategy has built-in option to enable trade confirmations with Chikou filter which will reduce the total number of trades increasing profit factor.
Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average (SWMA) on input source, may risk repainting in real-time data. Better option is to run a trade on bar close or simply left this optin unchecked.
I've set Chikou filter unchecked to increase number of trades (greater than 100) on higher timeframe (12H) and this can be changed according to your precision requirement and timeframe.
Timeframes lower than 4H usually have more noise. So its better to use higher EDMA and EMA length on lower timeframes which will decrease total number of offsetting trades increasing average total number of bars within a single trade.
Original "Exponentially Deviating Moving Average (MZ EDMA )" Indicator can be found here.
Market Regime# MARKET REGIME IDENTIFICATION & TRADING SYSTEM
## Complete User Guide
---
## 📋 TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. (#overview)
2. (#regimes)
3. (#indicator-usage)
4. (#entry-signals)
5. (#exit-signals)
6. (#regime-strategies)
7. (#confluence)
8. (#backtesting)
9. (#optimization)
10. (#examples)
---
## OVERVIEW
### What This System Does
This is a **complete market regime identification and trading system** that:
1. **Identifies 6 distinct market regimes** automatically
2. **Adapts trading tactics** to each regime
3. **Provides high-probability entry signals** with confluence scoring
4. **Shows optimal exit points** for each trade
5. **Can be backtested** to validate performance
### Two Components Provided
1. **Indicator** (`market_regime_indicator.pine`)
- Visual regime identification
- Entry/exit signals on chart
- Dynamic support/resistance
- Info tables with live data
- Use for manual trading
2. **Strategy** (`market_regime_strategy.pine`)
- Fully automated backtestable version
- Same logic as indicator
- Position sizing and risk management
- Performance metrics
- Use for backtesting and automation
---
## THE 6 MARKET REGIMES
### 1. 🟢 BULL TRENDING
**Characteristics:**
- Strong uptrend
- Price above SMA50 and SMA200
- ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- Higher highs and higher lows
- DI+ > DI- (bullish momentum)
**What It Means:**
- Market has clear upward direction
- Buyers in control
- Pullbacks are buying opportunities
- Strongest regime for long positions
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **BUY dips to EMA20 or SMA20**
- ✅ Enter when RSI < 60 on pullback
- ✅ Hold through minor corrections
- ❌ Don't short against the trend
- ❌ Don't sell too early
**Expected Behavior:**
- Pullbacks are shallow (5-10%)
- Bounces are strong
- Support at moving averages holds
- Volume increases on rallies
---
### 2. 🔴 BEAR TRENDING
**Characteristics:**
- Strong downtrend
- Price below SMA50 and SMA200
- ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- Lower highs and lower lows
- DI- > DI+ (bearish momentum)
**What It Means:**
- Market has clear downward direction
- Sellers in control
- Rallies are selling opportunities
- Strongest regime for short positions
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **SELL rallies to EMA20 or SMA20**
- ✅ Enter when RSI > 40 on bounce
- ✅ Hold through minor bounces
- ❌ Don't buy against the trend
- ❌ Don't cover shorts too early
**Expected Behavior:**
- Rallies are weak (5-10%)
- Selloffs are strong
- Resistance at moving averages holds
- Volume increases on declines
---
### 3. 🔵 BULL RANGING
**Characteristics:**
- Bullish bias but consolidating
- Price near or above SMA50
- ADX < 20 (weak trend)
- Trading in range
- Choppy price action
**What It Means:**
- Uptrend is pausing
- Accumulation phase
- Support and resistance zones clear
- Lower volatility
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **BUY at support zone**
- ✅ Enter when RSI < 40
- ✅ Take profits at resistance
- ⚠️ Smaller position sizes
- ⚠️ Tighter stops
**Expected Behavior:**
- Range-bound oscillations
- Support bounces repeatedly
- Resistance rejections common
- Eventually breaks higher (usually)
---
### 4. 🟠 BEAR RANGING
**Characteristics:**
- Bearish bias but consolidating
- Price near or below SMA50
- ADX < 20 (weak trend)
- Trading in range
- Choppy price action
**What It Means:**
- Downtrend is pausing
- Distribution phase
- Support and resistance zones clear
- Lower volatility
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **SELL at resistance zone**
- ✅ Enter when RSI > 60
- ✅ Take profits at support
- ⚠️ Smaller position sizes
- ⚠️ Tighter stops
**Expected Behavior:**
- Range-bound oscillations
- Resistance holds repeatedly
- Support bounces are weak
- Eventually breaks lower (usually)
---
### 5. ⚪ CONSOLIDATION
**Characteristics:**
- No clear direction
- Range compression
- Very low ADX (< 15 often)
- Price inside tight range
- Neutral sentiment
**What It Means:**
- Market is coiling
- Building energy for next move
- Indecision between buyers/sellers
- Calm before the storm
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **WAIT for breakout direction**
- ✅ Enter on high-volume breakout
- ✅ Direction becomes clear
- ❌ Don't trade inside the range
- ❌ Avoid choppy scalping
**Expected Behavior:**
- Narrow range
- Low volume
- False breakouts possible
- Explosive move when it breaks
---
### 6. 🟣 CHAOS (High Volatility)
**Characteristics:**
- Extreme volatility
- No clear direction
- Erratic price swings
- ATR > 2x average
- Unpredictable
**What It Means:**
- Market panic or euphoria
- News-driven moves
- Emotion dominates logic
- Highest risk environment
**How to Trade:**
- ❌ **STAY OUT!**
- ❌ No positions
- ❌ Wait for stability
- ✅ Protect existing positions
- ✅ Reduce risk
**Expected Behavior:**
- Large intraday swings
- Gaps up/down
- Stop hunts
- Whipsaws
- Eventually calms down
---
## INDICATOR USAGE
### Visual Elements
#### 1. Background Colors
- **Light Green** = Bull Trending (go long)
- **Light Red** = Bear Trending (go short)
- **Light Teal** = Bull Ranging (buy dips)
- **Light Orange** = Bear Ranging (sell rallies)
- **Light Gray** = Consolidation (wait)
- **Purple** = Chaos (stay out!)
#### 2. Regime Labels
- Appear when regime changes
- Show new regime name
- Positioned at highs (bullish) or lows (bearish)
#### 3. Entry Signals
- **Green "LONG"** labels = Buy here
- **Red "SHORT"** labels = Sell here
- Number shows confluence score (X/5 signals)
- Hover for details (stop, target, RSI, etc.)
#### 4. Exit Signals
- **Orange "EXIT LONG"** = Close long position
- **Orange "EXIT SHORT"** = Close short position
- Shows exit reason in tooltip
#### 5. Support/Resistance Lines
- **Green line** = Dynamic support (buy zone)
- **Red line** = Dynamic resistance (sell zone)
- Adapts to regime automatically
#### 6. Moving Averages
- **Blue** = SMA 20 (short-term trend)
- **Orange** = SMA 50 (medium-term trend)
- **Purple** = SMA 200 (long-term trend)
### Information Tables
#### Top Right Table (Main Info)
Shows real-time market conditions:
- **Current Regime** - What regime we're in
- **Bias** - Long, Short, Breakout, or Stay Out
- **ADX** - Trend strength (>25 = strong)
- **Trend** - Strong, Moderate, or Weak
- **Volatility** - High or Normal
- **Vol Ratio** - Current vs average volatility
- **RSI** - Momentum (>70 overbought, <30 oversold)
- **vs SMA50/200** - Price position relative to MAs
- **Support/Resistance** - Exact price levels
- **Long/Short Signals** - Confluence scores (X/5)
#### Bottom Right Table (Regime Guide)
Quick reference for each regime:
- What action to take
- What strategy to use
- Color-coded for quick identification
---
## ENTRY SIGNALS EXPLAINED
### Confluence Scoring System (5 Factors)
Each entry signal is scored 0-5 based on how many factors align:
#### For LONG Entries:
1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bull Trending or Bull Ranging
2. ✅ **RSI Pullback** - RSI between 35-50 (not overbought)
3. ✅ **Near Support** - Price within 2% of dynamic support
4. ✅ **MACD Turning Up** - Momentum shifting bullish
5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume
#### For SHORT Entries:
1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bear Trending or Bear Ranging
2. ✅ **RSI Rejection** - RSI between 50-65 (not oversold)
3. ✅ **Near Resistance** - Price within 2% of dynamic resistance
4. ✅ **MACD Turning Down** - Momentum shifting bearish
5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume
### Confluence Requirements
**Minimum Confluence** (default = 2):
- 2/5 = Entry signal triggered
- 3/5 = Good signal
- 4/5 = Strong signal
- 5/5 = Excellent signal (rare)
**Higher confluence = Higher probability = Better trades**
### Specific Entry Patterns
#### 1. Bull Trending Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bull Trending
- Price pulls back to EMA20
- Close above EMA20 (bounce)
- Up candle (close > open)
- RSI < 60
- Confluence ≥ 2
```
#### 2. Bear Trending Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bear Trending
- Price rallies to EMA20
- Close below EMA20 (rejection)
- Down candle (close < open)
- RSI > 40
- Confluence ≥ 2
```
#### 3. Bull Ranging Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bull Ranging
- RSI < 40 (oversold)
- Price at or below support
- Up candle (reversal)
- Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient)
```
#### 4. Bear Ranging Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bear Ranging
- RSI > 60 (overbought)
- Price at or above resistance
- Down candle (rejection)
- Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient)
```
#### 5. Consolidation Breakout
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Consolidation
- Price breaks above/below range
- Volume > 1.5x average (explosive)
- Strong directional candle
```
---
## EXIT SIGNALS EXPLAINED
### Three Types of Exits
#### 1. Regime Change Exits (Automatic)
- **Long Exit**: Regime changes to Bear Trending or Chaos
- **Short Exit**: Regime changes to Bull Trending or Chaos
- **Reason**: Market character changed, strategy no longer valid
#### 2. Support/Resistance Break Exits
- **Long Exit**: Price breaks below support by 2%
- **Short Exit**: Price breaks above resistance by 2%
- **Reason**: Key level violated, trend may be reversing
#### 3. Momentum Exits
- **Long Exit**: RSI > 70 (overbought) AND down candle
- **Short Exit**: RSI < 30 (oversold) AND up candle
- **Reason**: Overextension, take profits
### Stop Loss & Take Profit
**Stop Loss** (Automatic in strategy):
- Placed at Entry - (ATR × 2)
- Adapts to volatility
- Protected from whipsaws
- Typically 2-4% for stocks, 5-10% for crypto
**Take Profit** (Automatic in strategy):
- Placed at Entry + (Stop Distance × R:R Ratio)
- Default 2.5:1 reward:risk
- Example: $2 risk = $5 reward target
- Allows winners to run
---
## TRADING EACH REGIME
### BULL TRENDING - Most Profitable Long Environment
**Strategy: Buy Every Dip**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for pullback to EMA20 or SMA20
2. Look for RSI < 60
3. Enter when candle closes above MA
4. Confluence should be 2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Below the recent swing low
- Or 2 × ATR below entry
**Take Profit:**
- At previous high
- Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum
**Position Size:**
- Can use full size (2% risk)
- High win rate regime
**Example Trade:**
```
Price: $100, pulls back to $98 (EMA20)
Entry: $98.50 (close above EMA)
Stop: $96.50 (2 ATR)
Target: $103.50 (2.5:1)
Risk: $2, Reward: $5
```
---
### BEAR TRENDING - Most Profitable Short Environment
**Strategy: Sell Every Rally**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for bounce to EMA20 or SMA20
2. Look for RSI > 40
3. Enter when candle closes below MA
4. Confluence should be 2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Above the recent swing high
- Or 2 × ATR above entry
**Take Profit:**
- At previous low
- Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum
**Position Size:**
- Can use full size (2% risk)
- High win rate regime
**Example Trade:**
```
Price: $100, rallies to $102 (EMA20)
Entry: $101.50 (close below EMA)
Stop: $103.50 (2 ATR)
Target: $96.50 (2.5:1)
Risk: $2, Reward: $5
```
---
### BULL RANGING - Buy Low, Sell High
**Strategy: Range Trading (Long Bias)**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for price at support zone
2. Look for RSI < 40
3. Enter on reversal candle
4. Confluence should be 1-2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Below support zone
- Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR)
**Take Profit:**
- At resistance zone
- Don't hold through resistance
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1-1.5% risk
- Lower win rate than trending
**Example Trade:**
```
Range: $95-$105
Entry: $96 (at support, RSI 35)
Stop: $94 (below support)
Target: $104 (at resistance)
Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1)
```
---
### BEAR RANGING - Sell High, Buy Low
**Strategy: Range Trading (Short Bias)**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for price at resistance zone
2. Look for RSI > 60
3. Enter on rejection candle
4. Confluence should be 1-2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Above resistance zone
- Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR)
**Take Profit:**
- At support zone
- Don't hold through support
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1-1.5% risk
- Lower win rate than trending
**Example Trade:**
```
Range: $95-$105
Entry: $104 (at resistance, RSI 65)
Stop: $106 (above resistance)
Target: $96 (at support)
Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1)
```
---
### CONSOLIDATION - Wait for Breakout
**Strategy: Breakout Trading**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Identify consolidation range
2. Wait for VOLUME SURGE (1.5x+ avg)
3. Enter on close outside range
4. Direction must be clear
**Stop Loss:**
- Opposite side of range
- Or 2 ATR
**Take Profit:**
- Measure range height, project it
- Example: $10 range = $10 move expected
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1% risk
- 50% false breakout rate
**Example Trade:**
```
Consolidation: $98-$102 (4-point range)
Breakout: $102.50 (high volume)
Entry: $103
Stop: $100 (back in range)
Target: $107 (4-point range projected)
Risk: $3, Reward: $4
```
---
### CHAOS - STAY OUT!
**Strategy: Preservation**
**What to Do:**
- ❌ NO new positions
- ✅ Close existing positions if near entry
- ✅ Tighten stops on profitable trades
- ✅ Reduce position sizes dramatically
- ✅ Wait for regime to stabilize
**Why It's Dangerous:**
- Stop hunts are common
- Whipsaws everywhere
- News-driven volatility
- No technical reliability
- Even "perfect" setups fail
**When Does It End:**
- Volatility ratio drops < 1.5
- ADX starts rising (direction appears)
- Price respects support/resistance again
- Usually 1-5 days
---
## CONFLUENCE SYSTEM
### How It Works
The system scores each potential entry on 5 factors. More factors aligning = higher probability.
### Confluence Requirements by Regime
**Trending Regimes** (strictest):
- Minimum 2/5 required
- 3/5 = Good
- 4-5/5 = Excellent
**Ranging Regimes** (moderate):
- Minimum 1-2/5 required
- 2/5 = Good
- 3+/5 = Excellent
**Consolidation** (breakout only):
- Volume is most critical
- Direction confirmation
- Less confluence needed
### Adjusting Minimum Confluence
**If too few signals:**
- Lower from 2 to 1
- More trades, lower quality
**If too many false signals:**
- Raise from 2 to 3
- Fewer trades, higher quality
**Recommendation:**
- Start at 2
- Adjust based on win rate
- Aim for 55-65% win rate
---
## STRATEGY BACKTESTING
### Loading the Strategy
1. Copy `market_regime_strategy.pine`
2. Open Pine Editor in TradingView
3. Paste and "Add to Chart"
4. Strategy Tester tab opens at bottom
### Initial Settings
```
Risk Per Trade: 2%
ATR Stop Multiplier: 2.0
Reward:Risk Ratio: 2.5
Trade Longs: ✓
Trade Shorts: ✓
Trade Trending Only: ✗ (test both)
Avoid Chaos: ✓
Minimum Confluence: 2
```
### What to Look For
**Good Results:**
- Win Rate: 50-60%
- Profit Factor: 1.8-2.5
- Net Profit: Positive
- Max Drawdown: <20%
- Consistent equity curve
**Warning Signs:**
- Win Rate: <45% (too many losses)
- Profit Factor: <1.5 (barely profitable)
- Max Drawdown: >30% (too risky)
- Erratic equity curve (unstable)
### Testing Different Regimes
**Test 1: Trending Only**
```
Trade Trending Only: ✓
Result: Higher win rate, fewer trades
```
**Test 2: All Regimes**
```
Trade Trending Only: ✗
Result: More trades, potentially lower win rate
```
**Test 3: Long Only**
```
Trade Longs: ✓
Trade Shorts: ✗
Result: Works in bull markets
```
**Test 4: Short Only**
```
Trade Longs: ✗
Trade Shorts: ✓
Result: Works in bear markets
```
---
## SETTINGS OPTIMIZATION
### Key Parameters to Adjust
#### 1. Risk Per Trade (Most Important)
- **0.5%** = Very conservative
- **1.0%** = Conservative (recommended for beginners)
- **2.0%** = Moderate (recommended)
- **3.0%** = Aggressive
- **5.0%** = Very aggressive (not recommended)
**Impact:** Higher risk = higher returns BUT bigger drawdowns
#### 2. Reward:Risk Ratio
- **2:1** = More wins needed, hit target faster
- **2.5:1** = Balanced (recommended)
- **3:1** = Fewer wins needed, hold longer
- **4:1** = Very patient, best in trending
**Impact:** Higher R:R = can have lower win rate
#### 3. Minimum Confluence
- **1** = More signals, lower quality
- **2** = Balanced (recommended)
- **3** = Fewer signals, higher quality
- **4** = Very selective
- **5** = Almost never triggers
**Impact:** Higher = fewer but better trades
#### 4. ADX Thresholds
- **Trending: 20-30** (default 25)
- Lower = detect trends earlier
- Higher = only strong trends
- **Ranging: 15-25** (default 20)
- Lower = identify ranging earlier
- Higher = only weak trends
#### 5. Trend Period (SMA)
- **20-50** = Short-term trends
- **50** = Medium-term (default, recommended)
- **100-200** = Long-term trends
**Impact:** Longer period = slower regime changes, more stable
### Optimization Workflow
**Step 1: Baseline**
- Use all default settings
- Test on 3+ years
- Record: Win Rate, PF, Drawdown
**Step 2: Risk Optimization**
- Test 1%, 1.5%, 2%, 2.5%
- Find best risk-adjusted return
- Balance profit vs drawdown
**Step 3: R:R Optimization**
- Test 2:1, 2.5:1, 3:1
- Check which maximizes profit factor
- Consider holding time
**Step 4: Confluence Optimization**
- Test 1, 2, 3
- Find sweet spot for win rate
- Aim for 55-65% win rate
**Step 5: Regime Filter**
- Test with/without trend filter
- Test with/without chaos filter
- Find what works for your asset
---
## REAL TRADING EXAMPLES
### Example 1: Bull Trending - SPY
**Setup:**
- Regime: BULL TRENDING
- Price pulls back from $450 to $445
- EMA20 at $444
- RSI drops to 45
- Confluence: 4/5
**Entry:**
- Price closes at $445.50 (above EMA20)
- LONG signal appears
- Enter at $445.50
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $443 (2 ATR = $2.50)
- Target: $451.75 (2.5:1 = $6.25)
- Risk: $2.50 per share
- Position: 80 shares (2% of $10k = $200 risk)
**Outcome:**
- Price rallies to $452 in 3 days
- Target hit
- Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520
- Return: 2.6 × risk (excellent)
---
### Example 2: Bear Ranging - AAPL
**Setup:**
- Regime: BEAR RANGING
- Range: $165-$175
- Price rallies to $174
- Resistance at $175
- RSI at 68
- Confluence: 3/5
**Entry:**
- Rejection candle at $174
- SHORT signal appears
- Enter at $173.50
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $176 (above resistance)
- Target: $166 (support)
- Risk: $2.50
- Position: 80 shares
**Outcome:**
- Price drops to $167 in 2 days
- Target hit
- Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520
- Return: 2.6 × risk
---
### Example 3: Consolidation Breakout - BTC
**Setup:**
- Regime: CONSOLIDATION
- Range: $28,000 - $30,000
- Compressed for 2 weeks
- Volume declining
**Breakout:**
- Price breaks $30,000
- Volume surges 200%
- Close at $30,500
- LONG signal
**Entry:**
- Enter at $30,500
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $29,500 (back in range)
- Target: $32,000 (range height = $2k)
- Risk: $1,000
- Position: 0.2 BTC ($200 risk on $10k)
**Outcome:**
- Price runs to $33,000
- Target exceeded
- Profit: $2,500 × 0.2 = $500
- Return: 2.5 × risk
---
### Example 4: Avoiding Chaos - Tesla
**Setup:**
- Regime: BULL TRENDING
- LONG position from $240
- Elon tweets something crazy
- Regime changes to CHAOS
**Action:**
- EXIT signal appears
- Close position immediately
- Current price: $242 (small profit)
**Outcome:**
- Next 3 days: wild swings
- High $255, Low $230
- By staying out, avoided:
- Potential stop out
- Whipsaw losses
- Stress
**Result:**
- Small profit preserved
- Capital protected
- Re-enter when regime stabilizes
---
## ALERTS SETUP
### Available Alerts
1. **Bull Trending Regime** - Market goes bullish
2. **Bear Trending Regime** - Market goes bearish
3. **Chaos Regime** - High volatility, stay out
4. **Long Entry Signal** - Buy opportunity
5. **Short Entry Signal** - Sell opportunity
6. **Long Exit Signal** - Close long
7. **Short Exit Signal** - Close short
### How to Set Up
1. Click **⏰ (Alert)** icon in TradingView
2. Select **Condition**: Choose indicator + alert type
3. **Options**: Popup, Email, Webhook, etc.
4. **Message**: Customize notification
5. Click **Create**
### Recommended Alert Strategy
**For Active Traders:**
- Long Entry Signal
- Short Entry Signal
- Long Exit Signal
- Short Exit Signal
**For Position Traders:**
- Bull Trending Regime (enter longs)
- Bear Trending Regime (enter shorts)
- Chaos Regime (exit all)
**For Conservative:**
- Only regime change alerts
- Manually review entries
- More selective
---
## TIPS FOR SUCCESS
### 1. Start Small
- Paper trade first
- Then 0.5% risk
- Build to 1-2% over time
### 2. Follow the Regime
- Don't fight it
- Adapt your style
- Different tactics for each
### 3. Trust the Confluence
- 4-5/5 = Best trades
- 2-3/5 = Good trades
- 1/5 = Skip unless desperate
### 4. Respect Exits
- Don't hope and hold
- Cut losses quickly
- Take profits at targets
### 5. Avoid Chaos
- Seriously, just stay out
- Protect your capital
- Wait for clarity
### 6. Keep a Journal
- Record every trade
- Note regime and confluence
- Review weekly
- Learn patterns
### 7. Backtest Thoroughly
- 3+ years minimum
- Multiple market conditions
- Different assets
- Walk-forward test
### 8. Be Patient
- Best setups are rare
- 1-3 trades per week is normal
- Quality over quantity
- Compound over time
---
## COMMON QUESTIONS
**Q: How many trades per month should I expect?**
A: Depends on timeframe and settings. Daily chart: 5-15 trades/month. 4H chart: 15-30 trades/month.
**Q: What's a good win rate?**
A: 55-65% is excellent. 50-55% is good. Below 50% needs adjustment.
**Q: Should I trade all regimes?**
A: Beginners: Only trending. Intermediate: Trending + ranging. Advanced: All except chaos.
**Q: Can I use this on any timeframe?**
A: Best on Daily and 4H. Works on 1H with more noise. Not recommended <1H.
**Q: What if I'm in a trade and regime changes?**
A: Exit immediately (if using indicator) or let strategy handle it automatically.
**Q: How do I know if I'm over-optimizing?**
A: If results are perfect on one period but fail on another. Use walk-forward testing.
**Q: Should I always take 5/5 confluence trades?**
A: Yes, but they're rare (1-2/month). Don't wait only for these.
**Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?**
A: Yes, but keep it simple. RSI, MACD already included. Maybe add volume profile.
**Q: What assets work best?**
A: Liquid stocks, major crypto, futures. Avoid forex spot (use futures), penny stocks.
**Q: How long to hold positions?**
A: Trending: Days to weeks. Ranging: Hours to days. Breakout: Days. Let the regime guide you.
---
## FINAL THOUGHTS
This system gives you:
- ✅ Clear market context (regime)
- ✅ High-probability entries (confluence)
- ✅ Defined exits (automatic signals)
- ✅ Adaptable tactics (regime-specific)
- ✅ Backtestable results (strategy version)
**Success requires:**
- 📚 Understanding each regime
- 🎯 Following the signals
- 💪 Discipline to wait
- 🧠 Emotional control
- 📊 Proper risk management
**Start your journey:**
1. Load the indicator
2. Watch for 1 week (no trading)
3. Identify regime patterns
4. Paper trade for 1 month
5. Go live with small size
6. Scale up as you gain confidence
**Remember:** The market will always be here. There's no rush. Master one regime at a time, and you'll be profitable in all conditions!
Good luck! 🚀
Mustang Algo - Momentum Trend Zone Backtest🐎 MUSTANG ALGO - Momentum Trend Zone Strategy
A complete trading system combining MACD momentum analysis with visual trend zones, full backtesting capabilities, and advanced risk management tools.
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 OVERVIEW
Mustang Algo transforms traditional MACD analysis into a powerful visual trading system. It instantly identifies market bias through colored background zones and provides clear entry/exit signals with customizable stop loss and take profit management.
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 KEY FEATURES
✅ Visual Trend Zones (Green = Bullish | Red = Bearish)
✅ Clear Buy/Sell Triangles on Chart
✅ Full Backtesting Engine
✅ Multiple Stop Loss Types
✅ Multiple Take Profit Types
✅ Trailing Stop Option
✅ Time Filter for Backtesting
✅ Real-time Info Panel
✅ Customizable Alerts
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 HOW IT WORKS
The strategy uses a smoothed MACD system to detect trend changes:
- MACD Line (White): Fast EMA minus Slow EMA - shows raw momentum
- Signal Line (Yellow): EMA of MACD - shows smoothed trend direction
- Trend Zone: Changes when the smoothed signal line crosses zero
- Entry Signals: Generated at zone transitions
When the trend line crosses above zero → GREEN zone → BUY signal 🔺
When the trend line crosses below zero → RED zone → SELL signal 🔻
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 STOP LOSS OPTIONS
🛑 Percentage: Fixed percentage from entry price
🛑 ATR-Based: Dynamic SL based on market volatility
🛑 Fixed Points: Set number of points/pips
🛑 Swing Low/High: Uses recent swing levels as stops
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 TAKE PROFIT OPTIONS
🎯 Percentage: Fixed percentage target
🎯 ATR-Based: Dynamic TP based on volatility
🎯 Fixed Points: Set number of points/pips
🎯 Risk Reward: Automatic TP based on R:R ratio (e.g., 2:1, 3:1)
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 TRAILING STOP
📈 Percentage-Based: Trail by a fixed percentage
📈 ATR-Based: Trail using ATR multiplier for dynamic adjustment
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 SETTINGS
MACD Parameters:
- Fast Length (default: 12)
- Slow Length (default: 26)
- Signal Length (default: 9)
- Trend Smoothing (default: 5)
Risk Management:
- Enable/Disable Stop Loss
- Enable/Disable Take Profit
- Enable/Disable Trailing Stop
- Customize all SL/TP parameters
Visual Options:
- Show/Hide Buy/Sell Triangles
- Show/Hide SL/TP Lines
- Show/Hide Labels
Time Filter:
- Set Start Date for backtest
- Set End Date for backtest
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 SIGNALS EXPLAINED
🟢 GREEN TRIANGLE (Below Bar):
Bullish zone detected - Consider LONG entry
🔴 RED TRIANGLE (Above Bar):
Bearish zone detected - Consider SHORT entry
🟢 GREEN BACKGROUND:
Currently in bullish trend zone
🔴 RED BACKGROUND:
Currently in bearish trend zone
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 INFO PANEL
The real-time info panel (top right) displays:
- Current Trend Zone status
- MACD value
- Signal Line value
- Active SL Type
- Active TP Type
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 ALERTS
Set up alerts for:
🔔 Buy Signals: "🐎 Mustang Algo: BUY Signal on {ticker} at {price}"
🔔 Sell Signals: "🐎 Mustang Algo: SELL Signal on {ticker} at {price}"
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 BEST PRACTICES
1. Use higher timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily) for more reliable signals
2. Combine with price action and support/resistance levels
3. Adjust ATR multipliers based on asset volatility
4. Use Risk Reward ratio for consistent risk management
5. Backtest on your preferred asset before live trading
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 RECOMMENDED TIMEFRAMES
⏱️ Scalping: 5M, 15M (more signals, more noise)
⏱️ Day Trading: 1H, 4H (balanced signals)
⏱️ Swing Trading: Daily, Weekly (fewer but stronger signals)
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔹 MARKETS
Works on all markets:
📈 Forex
📈 Crypto
📈 Stocks
📈 Indices
📈 Commodities
📈 Futures
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🐎 RIDE THE TREND WITH MUSTANG ALGO!
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This indicator/strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management, do your own research, and consider consulting a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Use at your own risk.
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📝 VERSION HISTORY
v1.0 - Initial Release
- MACD-based trend detection
- Visual trend zones
- Multiple SL/TP options
- Full backtesting support
- Trailing stop functionality
- Time filter
- Info panel
- Alert system
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
💬 FEEDBACK
If you find this strategy useful, please leave a comment or suggestion!
Your feedback helps improve future updates.
🐎 Happy Trading!
Bifurcation Zone - CAEBifurcation Zone — Cognitive Adversarial Engine (BZ-CAE)
Bifurcation Zone — CAE (BZ-CAE) is a next-generation divergence detection system enhanced by a Cognitive Adversarial Engine that evaluates both sides of every potential trade before presenting signals. Unlike traditional divergence indicators that show every price-oscillator disagreement regardless of context, BZ-CAE applies comprehensive market-state intelligence to identify only the divergences that occur in favorable conditions with genuine probability edges.
The system identifies structural bifurcation points — critical junctures where price and momentum disagree, signaling potential reversals or continuations — then validates these opportunities through five interconnected intelligence layers: Trend Conviction Scoring , Directional Momentum Alignment , Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling , Adversarial Validation , and Confidence Scoring . The result is a selective, context-aware signal system that filters noise and highlights high-probability setups.
This is not a "buy the arrow" indicator. It's a decision support framework that teaches you how to read market state, evaluate divergence quality, and make informed trading decisions based on quantified intelligence rather than hope.
What Sets BZ-CAE Apart: Technical Architecture
The Problem With Traditional Divergence Indicators
Most divergence indicators operate on a simple rule: if price makes a higher high and RSI makes a lower high, show a bearish signal. If price makes a lower low and RSI makes a higher low, show a bullish signal. This creates several critical problems:
Context Blindness : They show counter-trend signals in powerful trends that rarely reverse, leading to repeated losses as you fade momentum.
Signal Spam : Every minor price-oscillator disagreement generates an alert, overwhelming you with low-quality setups and creating analysis paralysis.
No Quality Ranking : All signals are treated identically. A marginal divergence in choppy conditions receives the same visual treatment as a high-conviction setup at a major exhaustion point.
Single-Sided Evaluation : They ask "Is this a good long?" without checking if the short case is overwhelmingly stronger, leading you into obvious bad trades.
Static Configuration : You manually choose RSI 14 or Stochastic 14 and hope it works, with no systematic way to validate if that's optimal for your instrument.
BZ-CAE's Solution: Cognitive Adversarial Intelligence
BZ-CAE solves these problems through an integrated five-layer intelligence architecture:
1. Trend Conviction Score (TCS) — 0 to 1 Scale
Most indicators check if ADX is above 25 to determine "trending" conditions. This binary approach misses nuance. TCS is a weighted composite metric:
Formula : 0.35 × normalize(ADX, 10, 35) + 0.35 × structural_strength + 0.30 × htf_alignment
Structural Strength : 10-bar SMA of consecutive directional bars. Captures persistence — are bulls or bears consistently winning?
HTF Alignment : Multi-timeframe EMA stacking (20/50/100/200). When all EMAs align in the same direction, you're in institutional trend territory.
Purpose : Quantifies how "locked in" the trend is. When TCS exceeds your threshold (default 0.80), the system knows to avoid counter-trend trades unless other factors override.
Interpretation :
TCS > 0.85: Very strong trend — counter-trading is extremely high risk
TCS 0.70-0.85: Strong trend — favor continuation, require exhaustion for reversals
TCS 0.50-0.70: Moderate trend — context matters, both directions viable
TCS < 0.50: Weak/choppy — reversals more viable, range-bound conditions
2. Directional Momentum Alignment (DMA) — ATR-Normalized
Formula : (EMA21 - EMA55) / ATR14
This isn't just "price above EMA" — it's a regime-aware momentum gauge. The same $100 price movement reads completely differently in high-volatility crypto versus low-volatility forex. By normalizing with ATR, DMA adapts its interpretation to current market conditions.
Purpose : Quantifies the directional "force" behind current price action. Positive = bullish push, negative = bearish push. Magnitude = strength.
Interpretation :
DMA > 0.7: Strong bullish momentum — bearish divergences risky
DMA 0.3 to 0.7: Moderate bullish bias
DMA -0.3 to 0.3: Balanced/choppy conditions
DMA -0.7 to -0.3: Moderate bearish bias
DMA < -0.7: Strong bearish momentum — bullish divergences risky
3. Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling — 0 to 1 Probability
Single-metric exhaustion detection (like "RSI > 80") misses complex market states. BZ-CAE aggregates five independent exhaustion signals:
Volume Spikes : Current volume versus 50-bar average
2.5x average: 0.25 weight
2.0x average: 0.15 weight
1.5x average: 0.10 weight
Divergence Present : The fact that a divergence exists contributes 0.30 weight — structural momentum disagreement is itself an exhaustion signal.
RSI Extremes : Captures oscillator climax zones
RSI > 80 or < 20: 0.25 weight
RSI > 75 or < 25: 0.15 weight
Pin Bar Detection : Identifies rejection candles (2:1 wick-to-body ratio, indicating failed breakout attempts): 0.15 weight
Extended Runs : Consecutive bars above/below EMA20 without pullback
30+ bars: 0.15 weight (market hasn't paused to consolidate)
Total exhaustion score is the sum of all applicable weights, capped at 1.0.
Purpose : Detects when strong trends become vulnerable to reversal. High exhaustion can override trend filters, allowing counter-trend trades at genuine turning points that basic indicators would miss.
Interpretation :
Exhaustion > 0.75: High probability of climax — yellow background shading alerts you visually
Exhaustion 0.50-0.75: Moderate overextension — watch for confirmation
Exhaustion < 0.50: Fresh move — trend can continue, counter-trend trades higher risk
4. Adversarial Validation — Game Theory Applied to Trading
This is BZ-CAE's signature innovation. Before approving any signal, the engine quantifies BOTH sides of the trade simultaneously:
For Bullish Divergences , it calculates:
Bull Case Score (0-1+) :
Distance below EMA20 (pullback quality): up to 0.25
Bullish EMA alignment (close > EMA20 > EMA50): 0.25
Oversold RSI (< 40): 0.25
Volume confirmation (> 1.2x average): 0.25
Bear Case Score (0-1+) :
Price below EMA50 (structural weakness): 0.30
Very oversold RSI (< 30, indicating knife-catching): 0.20
Differential = Bull Case - Bear Case
If differential < -0.10 (default threshold), the bear case is dominating — signal is BLOCKED or ANNOTATED.
For Bearish Divergences , the logic inverts (Bear Case vs Bull Case).
Purpose : Prevents trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction. This is institutional-grade risk management — don't just evaluate your trade, evaluate the counter-trade simultaneously.
Why This Matters : You might see a bullish divergence at a local low, but if price is deeply below major support EMAs with strong bearish momentum, you're catching a falling knife. The adversarial check catches this and blocks the signal.
5. Confidence Scoring — 0 to 1 Quality Assessment
Every signal that passes initial filters receives a comprehensive quality score:
Formula :
0.30 × normalize(TCS) // Trend context
+ 0.25 × normalize(|DMA|) // Momentum magnitude
+ 0.20 × pullback_quality // Entry distance from EMA20
+ 0.15 × state_quality // ADX + alignment + structure
+ 0.10 × divergence_strength // Slope separation magnitude
+ adversarial_bonus (0-0.30) // Your side's advantage
Purpose : Ranks setup quality for filtering and position sizing decisions. You can set a minimum confidence threshold (default 0.35) to ensure only quality setups reach your chart.
Interpretation :
Confidence > 0.70: Premium setup — consider increased position size
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Good quality — standard size
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Acceptable — reduced size or skip if conservative
Confidence < 0.35: Marginal — blocked in Filtering mode, annotated in Advisory mode
CAE Operating Modes: Learning vs Enforcement
Off : Disables all CAE logic. Raw divergence pipeline only. Use for baseline comparison.
Advisory : Shows ALL signals regardless of CAE evaluation, but annotates signals that WOULD be blocked with specific warnings (e.g., "Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" or "Adversarial bearish"). This is your learning mode — see CAE's decision logic in action without missing educational opportunities.
Filtering : Actively blocks low-quality signals. Only setups that pass all enabled gates (Trend Filter, Adversarial Validation, Confidence Gating) reach your chart. This is your live trading mode — trust the system to enforce discipline.
CAE Filter Gates: Three-Layer Protection
When CAE is enabled, signals must pass through three independent gates (each can be toggled on/off):
Gate 1: Strong Trend Filter
If TCS ≥ tcs_threshold (default 0.80)
And signal is counter-trend (bullish in downtrend or bearish in uptrend)
And exhaustion < exhaustion_required (default 0.50)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Don't fade strong trends unless the move is clearly overextended
Gate 2: Adversarial Validation
Calculate both bull case and bear case scores
If opposing case dominates by more than adv_threshold (default 0.10)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Avoid trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction
Gate 3: Confidence Gating
Calculate composite confidence score (0-1)
If confidence < min_confidence (default 0.35)
Then: In Filtering mode, BLOCK signal; in Advisory mode, ANNOTATE with warning
Logic: Only take setups with minimum quality threshold
All three gates work together. A signal must pass ALL enabled gates to fire.
Visual Intelligence System
Bifurcation Zones (Supply/Demand Blocks)
When a divergence signal fires, BZ-CAE draws a semi-transparent box extending 15 bars forward from the signal pivot:
Demand Zones (Bullish) : Theme-colored box (cyan in Cyberpunk, blue in Professional, etc.) labeled "Demand" — marks where smart money likely placed buy orders as price diverged at the low.
Supply Zones (Bearish) : Theme-colored box (magenta in Cyberpunk, orange in Professional) labeled "Supply" — marks where smart money likely placed sell orders as price diverged at the high.
Theory : Divergences represent institutional disagreement with the crowd. The crowd pushed price to an extreme (new high or low), but momentum (oscillator) is waning, indicating smart money is taking the opposite side. These zones mark order placement areas that become future support/resistance.
Use Cases :
Exit targets: Take profit when price returns to opposite-side zone
Re-entry levels: If price returns to your entry zone, consider adding
Stop placement: Place stops just beyond your zone (below demand, above supply)
Auto-Cleanup : System keeps the last 20 zones to prevent chart clutter.
Adversarial Bar Coloring — Real-Time Market Debate Heatmap
Each bar is colored based on the Bull Case vs Bear Case differential:
Strong Bull Advantage (diff > 0.3): Full theme bull color (e.g., cyan)
Moderate Bull Advantage (diff > 0.1): 50% transparency bull
Neutral (diff -0.1 to 0.1): Gray/neutral theme
Moderate Bear Advantage (diff < -0.1): 50% transparency bear
Strong Bear Advantage (diff < -0.3): Full theme bear color (e.g., magenta)
This creates a real-time visual heatmap showing which side is "winning" the market debate. When bars flip from cyan to magenta (or vice versa), you're witnessing a shift in adversarial advantage — a leading indicator of potential momentum changes.
Exhaustion Shading
When exhaustion score exceeds 0.75, the chart background displays a semi-transparent yellow highlight. This immediate visual warning alerts you that the current move is at high risk of reversal, even if trend indicators remain strong.
Visual Themes — Six Aesthetic Options
Cyberpunk : Cyan/Magenta/Yellow — High contrast, neon aesthetic, excellent for dark-themed trading environments
Professional : Blue/Orange/Green — Corporate color palette, suitable for presentations and professional documentation
Ocean : Teal/Red/Cyan — Aquatic palette, calming for extended monitoring sessions
Fire : Orange/Red/Coral — Warm aggressive colors, high energy
Matrix : Green/Red/Lime — Code aesthetic, homage to classic hacker visuals
Monochrome : White/Gray — Minimal distraction, maximum focus on price action
All visual elements (signal markers, zones, bar colors, dashboard) adapt to your selected theme.
Divergence Engine — Core Detection System
What Are Divergences?
Divergences occur when price action and momentum indicators disagree, creating structural tension that often resolves in a change of direction:
Regular Divergence (Reversal Signal) :
Bearish Regular : Price makes higher high, oscillator makes lower high → Potential trend reversal down
Bullish Regular : Price makes lower low, oscillator makes higher low → Potential trend reversal up
Hidden Divergence (Continuation Signal) :
Bearish Hidden : Price makes lower high, oscillator makes higher high → Downtrend continuation
Bullish Hidden : Price makes higher low, oscillator makes lower low → Uptrend continuation
Both types can be enabled/disabled independently in settings.
Pivot Detection Methods
BZ-CAE uses symmetric pivot detection with separate lookback and lookforward periods (default 5/5):
Pivot High : Bar where high > all highs within lookback range AND high > all highs within lookforward range
Pivot Low : Bar where low < all lows within lookback range AND low < all lows within lookforward range
This ensures structural validity — the pivot must be a clear local extreme, not just a minor wiggle.
Divergence Validation Requirements
For a divergence to be confirmed, it must satisfy:
Slope Disagreement : Price slope and oscillator slope must move in opposite directions (for regular divs) or same direction with inverted highs/lows (for hidden divs)
Minimum Slope Change : |osc_slope| > min_slope_change / 100 (default 1.0) — filters weak, marginal divergences
Maximum Lookback Range : Pivots must be within max_lookback bars (default 60) — prevents ancient, irrelevant divergences
ATR-Normalized Strength : Divergence strength = min(|price_slope| × |osc_slope| × 10, 1.0) — quantifies the magnitude of disagreement in volatility context
Regular divergences receive 1.0× weight; hidden divergences receive 0.8× weight (slightly less reliable historically).
Oscillator Options — Five Professional Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index) : Classic overbought/oversold momentum indicator. Best for: General purpose divergence detection across all instruments.
Stochastic : Range-bound %K momentum comparing close to high-low range. Best for: Mean reversion strategies and range-bound markets.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) : Measures deviation from statistical mean, auto-normalized to 0-100 scale. Best for: Cyclical instruments and commodities.
MFI (Money Flow Index) : Volume-weighted RSI incorporating money flow. Best for: Volume-driven markets like stocks and crypto.
Williams %R : Inverse stochastic looking back over period, auto-adjusted to 0-100. Best for: Reversal detection at extremes.
Each oscillator has adjustable length (2-200, default 14) and smoothing (1-20, default 1). You also set overbought (50-100, default 70) and oversold (0-50, default 30) thresholds.
Signal Timing Modes — Understanding Repainting
BZ-CAE offers two timing policies with complete transparency about repainting behavior:
Realtime (1-bar, peak-anchored)
How It Works :
Detects peaks 1 bar ago using pattern: high > high AND high > high
Signal prints on the NEXT bar after peak detection (bar_index)
Visual marker anchors to the actual PEAK bar (bar_index - 1, offset -1)
Signal locks in when bar CONFIRMS (closes)
Repainting Behavior :
On the FORMING bar (before close), the peak condition may change as new prices arrive
Once bar CLOSES (barstate.isconfirmed), signal is locked permanently
This is preview/early warning behavior by design
Best For :
Active monitoring and immediate alerts
Learning the system (seeing signals develop in real-time)
Responsive entry if you're watching the chart live
Confirmed (lookforward)
How It Works :
Uses Pine Script's built-in ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions
Requires full pivot validation period (lookback + lookforward bars)
Signal prints pivot_lookforward bars after the actual peak (default 5-bar delay)
Visual marker anchors to the actual peak bar (offset -pivot_lookforward)
No Repainting Behavior
Best For :
Backtesting and historical analysis
Conservative entries requiring full confirmation
Automated trading systems
Swing trading with larger timeframes
Tradeoff :
Delayed entry by pivot_lookforward bars (typically 5 bars)
On a 5-minute chart, this is a 25-minute delay
On a 4-hour chart, this is a 20-hour delay
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting to verify system performance honestly. Use Realtime for live monitoring only if you're actively watching the chart and understand pre-confirmation repainting behavior.
Signal Spacing System — Anti-Spam Architecture
Even after CAE filtering, raw divergences can cluster. The spacing system enforces separation:
Three Independent Filters
1. Min Bars Between ANY Signals (default 12):
Prevents rapid-fire clustering across both directions
If last signal (bull or bear) was within N bars, block new signal
Ensures breathing room between all setups
2. Min Bars Between SAME-SIDE Signals (default 24, optional enforcement):
Prevents bull-bull or bear-bear spam
Separate tracking for bullish and bearish signal timelines
Toggle enforcement on/off
3. Min ATR Distance From Last Signal (default 0, optional):
Requires price to move N × ATR from last signal location
Ensures meaningful price movement between setups
0 = disabled, 0.5-2.0 = typical range for enabled
All three filters work independently. A signal must pass ALL enabled filters to proceed.
Practical Guidance :
Scalping (1-5m) : Any 6-10, Same-side 12-20, ATR 0-0.5
Day Trading (15m-1H) : Any 12, Same-side 24, ATR 0-1.0
Swing Trading (4H-D) : Any 20-30, Same-side 40-60, ATR 1.0-2.0
Dashboard — Real-Time Control Center
The dashboard (toggleable, four corner positions, three sizes) provides comprehensive system intelligence:
Oscillator Section
Current oscillator type and value
State: OVERBOUGHT / OVERSOLD / NEUTRAL (color-coded)
Length parameter
Cognitive Engine Section
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) :
Current value with emoji state indicator
🔥 = Strong trend (>0.75)
📊 = Moderate trend (0.50-0.75)
〰️ = Weak/choppy (<0.50)
Color: Red if above threshold (trend filter active), yellow if moderate, green if weak
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) :
Current value with emoji direction indicator
🐂 = Bullish momentum (>0.5)
⚖️ = Balanced (-0.5 to 0.5)
🐻 = Bearish momentum (<-0.5)
Color: Green if bullish, red if bearish
Exhaustion :
Current value with emoji warning indicator
⚠️ = High exhaustion (>0.75)
🟡 = Moderate (0.50-0.75)
✓ = Low (<0.50)
Color: Red if high, yellow if moderate, green if low
Pullback :
Quality of current distance from EMA20
Values >0.6 are ideal entry zones (not too close, not too far)
Bull Case / Bear Case (if Adversarial enabled):
Current scores for both sides of the market debate
Differential with emoji indicator:
📈 = Bull advantage (>0.2)
➡️ = Balanced (-0.2 to 0.2)
📉 = Bear advantage (<-0.2)
Last Signal Metrics Section (New Feature)
When a signal fires, this section captures and displays:
Signal type (BULL or BEAR)
Bars elapsed since signal
Confidence % at time of signal
TCS value at signal time
DMA value at signal time
Purpose : Provides a historical reference for learning. You can see what the market state looked like when the last signal fired, helping you correlate outcomes with conditions.
Statistics Section
Total Signals : Lifetime count across session
Blocked Signals : Count and percentage (filter effectiveness metric)
Bull Signals : Total bullish divergences
Bear Signals : Total bearish divergences
Purpose : System health monitoring. If blocked % is very high (>60%), filters may be too strict. If very low (<10%), filters may be too loose.
Advisory Annotations
When CAE Mode = Advisory, this section displays warnings for signals that would be blocked in Filtering mode:
Examples:
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars"
"Bear: strong uptrend (TCS=0.87)"
"Adversarial bearish"
"Low confidence 32%"
Multiple warnings can stack, separated by " | ". This teaches you CAE's decision logic transparently.
How to Use BZ-CAE — Complete Workflow
Phase 1: Initial Setup (First Session)
Apply BZ-CAE to your chart
Select your preferred Visual Theme (Cyberpunk recommended for visibility)
Set Signal Timing to "Confirmed (lookforward)" for learning
Choose your Oscillator Type (RSI recommended for general use, length 14)
Set Overbought/Oversold to 70/30 (standard)
Enable both Regular Divergence and Hidden Divergence
Set Pivot Lookback/Lookforward to 5/5 (balanced structure)
Enable CAE Intelligence
Set CAE Mode to "Advisory" (learning mode)
Enable all three CAE filters: Strong Trend Filter , Adversarial Validation , Confidence Gating
Enable Show Dashboard , position Top Right, size Normal
Enable Draw Bifurcation Zones and Adversarial Bar Coloring
Phase 2: Learning Period (Weeks 1-2)
Goal : Understand how CAE evaluates market state and filters signals.
Activities :
Watch the dashboard during signals :
Note TCS values when counter-trend signals fail — this teaches you the trend strength threshold for your instrument
Observe exhaustion patterns at actual turning points — learn when overextension truly matters
Study adversarial differential at signal times — see when opposing cases dominate
Review blocked signals (orange X-crosses):
In Advisory mode, you see everything — signals that would pass AND signals that would be blocked
Check the advisory annotations to understand why CAE would block
Track outcomes: Were the blocks correct? Did those signals fail?
Use Last Signal Metrics :
After each signal, check the dashboard capture of confidence, TCS, and DMA
Journal these values alongside trade outcomes
Identify patterns: Do confidence >0.70 signals work better? Does your instrument respect TCS >0.85?
Understand your instrument's "personality" :
Trending instruments (indices, major forex) may need TCS threshold 0.85-0.90
Choppy instruments (low-cap stocks, exotic pairs) may work best with TCS 0.70-0.75
High-volatility instruments (crypto) may need wider spacing
Low-volatility instruments may need tighter spacing
Phase 3: Calibration (Weeks 3-4)
Goal : Optimize settings for your specific instrument, timeframe, and style.
Calibration Checklist :
Min Confidence Threshold :
Review confidence distribution in your signal journal
Identify the confidence level below which signals consistently fail
Set min_confidence slightly above that level
Day trading : 0.35-0.45
Swing trading : 0.40-0.55
Scalping : 0.30-0.40
TCS Threshold :
Find the TCS level where counter-trend signals consistently get stopped out
Set tcs_threshold at or slightly below that level
Trending instruments : 0.85-0.90
Mixed instruments : 0.80-0.85
Choppy instruments : 0.75-0.80
Exhaustion Override Level :
Identify exhaustion readings that marked genuine reversals
Set exhaustion_required just below the average
Typical range : 0.45-0.55
Adversarial Threshold :
Default 0.10 works for most instruments
If you find CAE is too conservative (blocking good trades), raise to 0.15-0.20
If signals are still getting caught in opposing momentum, lower to 0.07-0.09
Spacing Parameters :
Count bars between quality signals in your journal
Set min bars ANY to ~60% of that average
Set min bars SAME-SIDE to ~120% of that average
Scalping : Any 6-10, Same 12-20
Day trading : Any 12, Same 24
Swing : Any 20-30, Same 40-60
Oscillator Selection :
Try different oscillators for 1-2 weeks each
Track win rate and average winner/loser by oscillator type
RSI : Best for general use, clear OB/OS
Stochastic : Best for range-bound, mean reversion
MFI : Best for volume-driven markets
CCI : Best for cyclical instruments
Williams %R : Best for reversal detection
Phase 4: Live Deployment
Goal : Disciplined execution with proven, calibrated system.
Settings Changes :
Switch CAE Mode from Advisory to Filtering
System now actively blocks low-quality signals
Only setups passing all gates reach your chart
Keep Signal Timing on Confirmed for conservative entries
OR switch to Realtime if you're actively monitoring and want faster entries (accept pre-confirmation repaint risk)
Use your calibrated thresholds from Phase 3
Enable high-confidence alerts: "⭐ High Confidence Bullish/Bearish" (>0.70)
Trading Discipline Rules :
Respect Blocked Signals :
If CAE blocks a trade you wanted to take, TRUST THE SYSTEM
Don't manually override — if you consistently disagree, return to Phase 2/3 calibration
The block exists because market state failed intelligence checks
Confidence-Based Position Sizing :
Confidence >0.70: Standard or increased size (e.g., 1.5-2.0% risk)
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Standard size (e.g., 1.0% risk)
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Reduced size (e.g., 0.5% risk) or skip if conservative
TCS-Based Management :
High TCS + counter-trend signal: Use tight stops, quick exits (you're fading momentum)
Low TCS + reversal signal: Use wider stops, trail aggressively (genuine reversal potential)
Exhaustion Awareness :
Exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading): Market is overextended, reversal risk is elevated — consider early exit or tighter trailing stops even on winning trades
Exhaustion <0.30: Continuation bias — hold for larger move, wide trailing stops
Adversarial Context :
Strong differential against you (e.g., bullish signal with bear diff <-0.2): Use very tight stops, consider skipping
Strong differential with you (e.g., bullish signal with bull diff >0.2): Trail aggressively, this is your tailwind
Practical Settings by Timeframe & Style
Scalping (1-5 Minute Charts)
Objective : High frequency, tight stops, quick reversals in fast-moving markets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or Stochastic (fast response to quick moves)
Length: 9-11 (more responsive than standard 14)
Smoothing: 1 (no lag)
OB/OS: 65/35 (looser thresholds ensure frequent crossings in fast conditions)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 3/3 (tight structure, catch small swings)
Max Lookback: 40-50 bars (recent structure only)
Min Slope Change: 0.8-1.0 (don't be overly strict)
CAE :
Mode: Advisory first (learn), then Filtering
Min Confidence: 0.30-0.35 (lower bar for speed, accept more signals)
TCS Threshold: 0.70-0.75 (allow more counter-trend opportunities)
Exhaustion Required: 0.45-0.50 (moderate override)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (still respect major intraday trends)
Adversarial: ON (critical for scalping protection — catches bad entries quickly)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 6-10 (fast pace, many setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 12-20 (prevent clustering)
Min ATR Distance: 0 or 0.5 (loose)
Timing : Realtime (speed over precision, but understand repaint risk)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny (chart clarity in busy conditions)
Show Zones: Optional (can clutter on low timeframes)
Bar Coloring: ON (helps read momentum shifts quickly)
Dashboard: Small size (corner reference, not main focus)
Key Consideration : Scalping generates noise. Even with CAE, expect lower win rate (45-55%) but aim for favorable R:R (2:1 or better). Size conservatively.
Day Trading (15-Minute to 1-Hour Charts)
Objective : Balance quality and frequency. Standard divergence trading approach.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or MFI (proven reliability, volume confirmation with MFI)
Length: 14 (industry standard, well-studied)
Smoothing: 1-2
OB/OS: 70/30 (classic levels)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 (balanced structure)
Max Lookback: 60 bars
Min Slope Change: 1.0 (standard strictness)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (enforce discipline from the start after brief Advisory learning)
Min Confidence: 0.35-0.45 (quality filter without being too restrictive)
TCS Threshold: 0.80-0.85 (respect strong trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50 (balanced override threshold)
Strong Trend Filter: ON
Adversarial: ON
Confidence Gating: ON (all three filters active)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 12 (breathing room between all setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 24 (prevent bull/bear clusters)
Min ATR Distance: 0-1.0 (optional refinement, typically 0.5-1.0)
Timing : Confirmed (1-bar delay for reliability, no repainting)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny or Small
Show Zones: ON (useful reference for exits/re-entries)
Bar Coloring: ON (context awareness)
Dashboard: Normal size (full visibility)
Key Consideration : This is the "sweet spot" timeframe for BZ-CAE. Market structure is clear, CAE has sufficient data, and signal frequency is manageable. Expect 55-65% win rate with proper execution.
Swing Trading (4-Hour to Daily Charts)
Objective : Quality over quantity. High conviction only. Larger stops and targets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or CCI (robust on higher timeframes, smooth longer waves)
Length: 14-21 (capture larger momentum swings)
Smoothing: 1-3
OB/OS: 70/30 or 75/25 (strict extremes)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 or 7/7 (structural purity, major swings only)
Max Lookback: 80-100 bars (broader historical context)
Min Slope Change: 1.2-1.5 (require strong, undeniable divergence)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (strict enforcement, premium setups only)
Min Confidence: 0.40-0.55 (high bar for entry)
TCS Threshold: 0.85-0.95 (very strong trend protection — don't fade established HTF trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50-0.60 (higher bar for override — only extreme exhaustion justifies counter-trend)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (critical on HTF)
Adversarial: ON (avoid obvious bad trades)
Confidence Gating: ON (quality gate essential)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 20-30 (substantial separation)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 40-60 (significant breathing room)
Min ATR Distance: 1.0-2.0 (require meaningful price movement)
Timing : Confirmed (purity over speed, zero repaint for swing accuracy)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Small or Normal (clear markers on zoomed-out view)
Show Zones: ON (important HTF levels)
Bar Coloring: ON (long-term trend awareness)
Dashboard: Normal or Large (comprehensive analysis)
Key Consideration : Swing signals are rare but powerful. Expect 2-5 signals per month per instrument. Win rate should be 60-70%+ due to stringent filtering. Position size can be larger given confidence.
Dashboard Interpretation Reference
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) States
0.00-0.50: Weak/Choppy
Emoji: 〰️
Color: Green/cyan
Meaning: No established trend. Range-bound or consolidating. Both reversal and continuation signals viable.
Action: Reversals (regular divs) are safer. Use wider profit targets (market has room to move). Consider mean reversion strategies.
0.50-0.75: Moderate Trend
Emoji: 📊
Color: Yellow/neutral
Meaning: Developing trend but not locked in. Context matters significantly.
Action: Check DMA and exhaustion. If DMA confirms trend and exhaustion is low, favor continuation (hidden divs). If exhaustion is high, reversals are viable.
0.75-0.85: Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥
Color: Orange/warning
Meaning: Well-established trend with persistence. Counter-trend is high risk.
Action: Require exhaustion >0.50 for counter-trend entries. Favor continuation signals. Use tight stops on counter-trend attempts.
0.85-1.00: Very Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥🔥
Color: Red/danger (if counter-trading)
Meaning: Locked-in institutional trend. Extremely high risk to fade.
Action: Avoid counter-trend unless exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading). Focus exclusively on continuation opportunities. Momentum is king here.
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) Zones
-2.0 to -1.0: Strong Bearish Momentum
Emoji: 🐻🐻
Color: Dark red
Meaning: Powerful downside force. Sellers are in control.
Action: Bullish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bearish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on longs.
-0.5 to 0.5: Neutral/Balanced
Emoji: ⚖️
Color: Gray/neutral
Meaning: No strong directional bias. Choppy or consolidating.
Action: Both directions have similar probability. Focus on confidence score and adversarial differential for edge.
1.0 to 2.0: Strong Bullish Momentum
Emoji: 🐂🐂
Color: Bright green/cyan
Meaning: Powerful upside force. Buyers are in control.
Action: Bearish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bullish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on shorts.
Exhaustion States
0.00-0.50: Fresh Move
Emoji: ✓
Color: Green
Meaning: Trend is healthy, not overextended. Room to run.
Action: Counter-trend trades are premature. Favor continuation. Hold winners for larger moves. Avoid early exits.
0.50-0.75: Mature Move
Emoji: 🟡
Color: Yellow
Meaning: Move is aging. Watch for signs of climax.
Action: Tighten trailing stops on winning trades. Be ready for reversals. Don't add to positions aggressively.
0.75-0.85: High Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️
Color: Orange
Background: Yellow shading appears
Meaning: Move is overextended. Reversal risk elevated significantly.
Action: Counter-trend reversals are higher probability. Consider early exits on with-trend positions. Size up on reversal divergences (if CAE allows).
0.85-1.00: Critical Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️⚠️
Color: Red
Background: Yellow shading intensifies
Meaning: Climax conditions. Reversal imminent or underway.
Action: Aggressive reversal trades justified. Exit all with-trend positions. This is where major turns occur.
Confidence Score Tiers
0.00-0.30: Low Quality
Color: Red
Status: Blocked in Filtering mode
Action: Skip entirely. Setup lacks fundamental quality across multiple factors.
0.30-0.50: Moderate Quality
Color: Yellow/orange
Status: Marginal — passes in Filtering only if >min_confidence
Action: Reduced position size (0.5-0.75% risk). Tight stops. Conservative profit targets. Skip if you're selective.
0.50-0.70: High Quality
Color: Green/cyan
Status: Good setup across most quality factors
Action: Standard position size (1.0-1.5% risk). Normal stops and targets. This is your bread-and-butter trade.
0.70-1.00: Premium Quality
Color: Bright green/gold
Status: Exceptional setup — all factors aligned
Visual: Double confidence ring appears
Action: Consider increased position size (1.5-2.0% risk, maximum). Wider stops. Larger targets. High probability of success. These are rare — capitalize when they appear.
Adversarial Differential Interpretation
Bull Differential > 0.3 :
Visual: Strong cyan/green bar colors
Meaning: Bull case strongly dominates. Buyers have clear advantage.
Action: Bullish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bearish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bullish.
Bull Differential 0.1 to 0.3 :
Visual: Moderate cyan/green transparency
Meaning: Moderate bull advantage. Buyers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward longs.
Differential -0.1 to 0.1 :
Visual: Gray/neutral bars
Meaning: Balanced debate. No clear advantage either side.
Action: Rely on other factors (confidence, TCS, exhaustion) for direction. Adversarial is neutral.
Bear Differential -0.3 to -0.1 :
Visual: Moderate red/magenta transparency
Meaning: Moderate bear advantage. Sellers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward shorts.
Bear Differential < -0.3 :
Visual: Strong red/magenta bar colors
Meaning: Bear case strongly dominates. Sellers have clear advantage.
Action: Bearish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bullish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bearish.
Last Signal Metrics — Post-Trade Analysis
After a signal fires, dashboard captures:
Type : BULL or BEAR
Bars Ago : How long since signal (updates every bar)
Confidence : What was the quality score at signal time
TCS : What was trend conviction at signal time
DMA : What was momentum alignment at signal time
Use Case : Post-trade journaling and learning.
Example: "BULL signal 12 bars ago. Confidence: 68%, TCS: 0.42, DMA: -0.85"
Analysis : This was a bullish reversal (regular div) with good confidence, weak trend (TCS), but strong bearish momentum (DMA). The bet was that momentum would reverse — a counter-momentum play requiring exhaustion confirmation. Check if exhaustion was high at that time to justify the entry.
Track patterns:
Do your best trades have confidence >0.65?
Do low-TCS signals (<0.50) work better for you?
Are you more successful with-momentum (DMA aligned with signal) or counter-momentum?
Troubleshooting Guide
Problem: No Signals Appearing
Symptoms : Chart loads, dashboard shows metrics, but no divergence signals fire.
Diagnosis Checklist :
Check dashboard oscillator value : Is it crossing OB/OS levels (70/30)? If oscillator stays in 40-60 range constantly, it can't reach extremes needed for divergence detection.
Are pivots forming? : Look for local swing highs/lows on your chart. If price is in tight consolidation, pivots may not meet lookback/lookforward requirements.
Is spacing too tight? : Check "Last Signal" metrics — how many bars since last signal? If <12 and your min_bars_ANY is 12, spacing filter is blocking.
Is CAE blocking everything? : Check dashboard Statistics section — what's the blocked signal count? High blocks indicate overly strict filters.
Solutions :
Loosen OB/OS Temporarily :
Try 65/35 to verify divergence detection works
If signals appear, the issue was threshold strictness
Gradually tighten back to 67/33, then 70/30 as appropriate
Lower Min Confidence :
Try 0.25-0.30 (diagnostic level)
If signals appear, filter was too strict
Raise gradually to find sweet spot (0.35-0.45 typical)
Disable Strong Trend Filter Temporarily :
Turn off in CAE settings
If signals appear, TCS threshold was blocking everything
Re-enable and lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75
Reduce Min Slope Change :
Try 0.7-0.8 (from default 1.0)
Allows weaker divergences through
Helpful on low-volatility instruments
Widen Spacing :
Set min_bars_ANY to 6-8
Set min_bars_SAME_SIDE to 12-16
Reduces time between allowed signals
Check Timing Mode :
If using Confirmed, remember there's a pivot_lookforward delay (5+ bars)
Switch to Realtime temporarily to verify system is working
Realtime has no delay but repaints
Verify Oscillator Settings :
Length 14 is standard but might not fit all instruments
Try length 9-11 for faster response
Try length 18-21 for slower, smoother response
Problem: Too Many Signals (Signal Spam)
Symptoms : Dashboard shows 50+ signals in Statistics, confidence scores mostly <0.40, signals clustering close together.
Solutions :
Raise Min Confidence :
Try 0.40-0.50 (quality filter)
Blocks bottom-tier setups
Targets top 50-60% of divergences only
Tighten OB/OS :
Use 70/30 or 75/25
Requires more extreme oscillator readings
Reduces false divergences in mid-range
Increase Min Slope Change :
Try 1.2-1.5 (from default 1.0)
Requires stronger, more obvious divergences
Filters marginal slope disagreements
Raise TCS Threshold :
Try 0.85-0.90 (from default 0.80)
Stricter trend filter blocks more counter-trend attempts
Favors only strongest trend alignment
Enable ALL CAE Gates :
Turn on Trend Filter + Adversarial + Confidence
Triple-layer protection
Blocks aggressively — expect 20-40% reduction in signals
Widen Spacing :
min_bars_ANY: 15-20 (from 12)
min_bars_SAME_SIDE: 30-40 (from 24)
Creates substantial breathing room
Switch to Confirmed Timing :
Removes realtime preview noise
Ensures full pivot validation
5-bar delay filters many false starts
Problem: Signals in Strong Trends Get Stopped Out
Symptoms : You take a bullish divergence in a downtrend (or bearish in uptrend), and it immediately fails. Dashboard showed high TCS at the time.
Analysis : This is INTENDED behavior — CAE is protecting you from low-probability counter-trend trades.
Understanding :
Check Last Signal Metrics in dashboard — what was TCS when signal fired?
If TCS was >0.85 and signal was counter-trend, CAE correctly identified it as high risk
Strong trends rarely reverse cleanly without major exhaustion
Your losses here are the system working as designed (blocking bad odds)
If You Want to Override (Not Recommended) :
Lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75 (allows more counter-trend)
Lower exhaustion_required to 0.40 (easier override)
Disable Strong Trend Filter entirely (very risky)
Better Approach :
TRUST THE FILTER — it's preventing costly mistakes
Wait for exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading) before counter-trending strong TCS
Focus on continuation signals (hidden divs) in high-TCS environments
Use Advisory mode to see what CAE is blocking and learn from outcomes
Problem: Adversarial Blocking Seems Wrong
Symptoms : You see a divergence that "looks good" visually, but CAE blocks with "Adversarial bearish/bullish" warning.
Diagnosis :
Check dashboard Bull Case and Bear Case scores at that moment
Look at Differential value
Check adversarial bar colors — was there strong coloring against your intended direction?
Understanding :
Adversarial catches "obvious" opposing momentum that's easy to miss
Example: Bullish divergence at a local low, BUT price is deeply below EMA50, bearish momentum is strong, and RSI shows knife-catching conditions
Bull Case might be 0.20 while Bear Case is 0.55
Differential = -0.35, far beyond threshold
Block is CORRECT — you'd be fighting overwhelming opposing flow
If You Disagree Consistently
Review blocked signals on chart — scroll back and check outcomes
Did those blocked signals actually work, or did they fail as adversarial predicted?
Raise adv_threshold to 0.15-0.20 (more permissive, allows closer battles)
Disable Adversarial Validation temporarily (diagnostic) to isolate its effect
Use Advisory mode to learn adversarial patterns over 50-100 signals
Remember : Adversarial is conservative BY DESIGN. It prevents "obvious" bad trades where you're fighting strong strength the other way.
Problem: Dashboard Not Showing or Incomplete
Solutions :
Toggle "Show Dashboard" to ON in settings
Try different dashboard sizes (Small/Normal/Large)
Try different positions (Top Left/Right, Bottom Left/Right) — might be off-screen
Some sections require CAE Enable = ON (Cognitive Engine section won't appear if CAE is disabled)
Statistics section requires at least 1 lifetime signal to populate
Check that visual theme is set (dashboard colors adapt to theme)
Problem: Performance Lag, Chart Freezing
Symptoms : Chart loading is slow, indicator calculations cause delays, pinch-to-zoom lags.
Diagnosis : Visual features are computationally expensive, especially adversarial bar coloring (recalculates every bar).
Solutions (In Order of Impact) :
Disable Adversarial Bar Coloring (MOST EXPENSIVE):
Turn OFF "Adversarial Bar Coloring" in settings
This is the single biggest performance drain
Immediate improvement
Reduce Vertical Lines :
Lower "Keep last N vertical lines" to 20-30
Or set to 0 to disable entirely
Moderate improvement
Disable Bifurcation Zones :
Turn OFF "Draw Bifurcation Zones"
Reduces box drawing calculations
Moderate improvement
Set Dashboard Size to Small :
Smaller dashboard = fewer cells = less rendering
Minor improvement
Use Shorter Max Lookback :
Reduce max_lookback to 40-50 (from 60+)
Fewer bars to scan for divergences
Minor improvement
Disable Exhaustion Shading :
Turn OFF "Show Market State"
Removes background coloring calculations
Minor improvement
Extreme Performance Mode :
Disable ALL visual enhancements
Keep only triangle markers
Dashboard Small or OFF
Use Minimal theme if available
Problem: Realtime Signals Repainting
Symptoms : You see a signal appear, but on next bar it disappears or moves.
Explanation :
Realtime mode detects peaks 1 bar ago: high > high AND high > high
On the FORMING bar (before close), this condition can change as new prices arrive
Example: At 10:05, high (10:04 bar) was 100, current high is 99 → peak detected
At 10:05:30, new high of 101 arrives → peak condition breaks → signal disappears
At 10:06 (bar close), final high is 101 → no peak at 10:04 anymore → signal gone permanently
This is expected behavior for realtime responsiveness. You get preview/early warning, but it's not locked until bar confirms.
Solutions :
Use Confirmed Timing :
Switch to "Confirmed (lookforward)" mode
ZERO repainting — pivot must be fully validated
5-bar delay (pivot_lookforward)
What you see in history is exactly what would have appeared live
Accept Realtime Repaint as Tradeoff :
Keep Realtime mode for speed and alerts
Understand that pre-confirmation signals may vanish
Only trade signals that CONFIRM at bar close (check barstate.isconfirmed)
Use for live monitoring, NOT for backtesting
Trade Only After Confirmation :
In Realtime mode, wait 1 full bar after signal appears before entering
If signal survives that bar close, it's locked
This adds 1-bar delay but removes repaint risk
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting and conservative trading. Use Realtime only for active monitoring with full understanding of preview behavior.
Risk Management Integration
BZ-CAE is a signal generation system, not a complete trading strategy. You must integrate proper risk management:
Position Sizing by Confidence
Confidence 0.70-1.00 (Premium) :
Risk: 1.5-2.0% of account (MAXIMUM)
Reasoning: High-quality setup across all factors
Still cap at 2% — even premium setups can fail
Confidence 0.50-0.70 (High Quality) :
Risk: 1.0-1.5% of account
Reasoning: Standard good setup
Your bread-and-butter risk level
Confidence 0.35-0.50 (Moderate Quality) :
Risk: 0.5-1.0% of account
Reasoning: Marginal setup, passes minimum threshold
Reduce size or skip if you're selective
Confidence <0.35 (Low Quality) :
Risk: 0% (blocked in Filtering mode)
Reasoning: Insufficient quality factors
System protects you by not showing these
Stop Placement Strategies
For Reversal Signals (Regular Divergences) :
Place stop beyond the divergence pivot plus buffer
Bullish : Stop below the divergence low - 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Bearish : Stop above the divergence high + 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Reasoning: If price breaks the pivot, divergence structure is invalidated
For Continuation Signals (Hidden Divergences) :
Place stop beyond recent swing in opposite direction
Bullish continuation : Stop below recent swing low (not the divergence pivot itself)
Bearish continuation : Stop above recent swing high
Reasoning: You're trading with trend, allow more breathing room
ATR-Based Stops :
1.5-2.0 × ATR is standard
Scale by timeframe:
Scalping (1-5m): 1.0-1.5 × ATR (tight)
Day trading (15m-1H): 1.5-2.0 × ATR (balanced)
Swing (4H-D): 2.0-3.0 × ATR (wide)
Never Use Fixed Dollar/Pip Stops :
Markets have different volatility
50-pip stop on EUR/USD ≠ 50-pip stop on GBP/JPY
Always normalize by ATR or pivot structure
Profit Targets and Scaling
Primary Target :
2-3 × ATR from entry (minimum 2:1 reward-risk)
Example : Entry at 100, ATR = 2, stop at 97 (1.5 × ATR) → target at 106 (3 × ATR) = 2:1 R:R
Scaling Out Strategy :
Take 50% off at 1.5 × ATR (secure partial profit)
Move stop to breakeven
Trail remaining 50% with 1.0 × ATR trailing stop
Let winners run if trend persists
Targets by Confidence :
High Confidence (>0.70) : Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR), trail wider (1.5 × ATR)
Standard Confidence (0.50-0.70) : Normal targets (2-3 × ATR), standard trail (1.0 × ATR)
Low Confidence (0.35-0.50) : Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR), tight trail (0.75 × ATR)
Use Bifurcation Zones :
If opposite-side zone is visible on chart (from previous signal), use it as target
Example : Bullish signal at 100, prior supply zone at 110 → use 110 as target
Zones mark institutional resistance/support
Exhaustion-Based Exits :
If you're in a trade and exhaustion >0.75 develops (yellow shading), consider early exit
Market is overextended — reversal risk is high
Take profit even if target not reached
Trade Management by TCS
High TCS + Counter-Trend Trade (Risky) :
Use very tight stops (1.0-1.5 × ATR)
Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR)
Quick exit if trade doesn't work immediately
You're fading momentum — respect it
Low TCS + Reversal Trade (Safer) :
Use wider stops (2.0-2.5 × ATR)
Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR)
Trail with patience
Genuine reversal potential in weak trend
High TCS + Continuation Trade (Safest) :
Standard stops (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
Very aggressive targets (4-5 × ATR)
Trail wide (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
You're with institutional momentum — let it run
Educational Value — Learning Machine Intelligence
BZ-CAE is designed as a learning platform, not just a tool:
Advisory Mode as Teacher
Most indicators are binary: signal or no signal. You don't learn WHY certain setups are better.
BZ-CAE's Advisory mode shows you EVERY potential divergence, then annotates the ones that would be blocked in Filtering mode with specific reasons:
"Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" teaches you that TCS >0.85 makes counter-trend very risky
"Adversarial bearish" teaches you that the opposing case was dominating
"Low confidence 32%" teaches you that the setup lacked quality across multiple factors
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars" teaches you that signals need breathing room
After 50-100 signals in Advisory mode, you internalize the CAE's decision logic. You start seeing these factors yourself BEFORE the indicator does.
Dashboard Transparency
Most "intelligent" indicators are black boxes — you don't know how they make decisions.
BZ-CAE shows you ALL metrics in real-time:
TCS tells you trend strength
DMA tells you momentum alignment
Exhaustion tells you overextension
Adversarial shows both sides of the debate
Confidence shows composite quality
You learn to interpret market state holistically, a skill applicable to ANY trading system beyond this indicator.
Divergence Quality Education
Not all divergences are equal. BZ-CAE teaches you which conditions produce high-probability setups:
Quality divergence : Regular bullish div at a low, TCS <0.50 (weak trend), exhaustion >0.75 (overextended), positive adversarial differential, confidence >0.70
Low-quality divergence : Regular bearish div at a high, TCS >0.85 (strong uptrend), exhaustion <0.30 (not overextended), negative adversarial differential, confidence <0.40
After using the system, you can evaluate divergences manually with similar intelligence.
Risk Management Discipline
Confidence-based position sizing teaches you to adjust risk based on setup quality, not emotions:
Beginners often size all trades identically
Or worse, size UP on marginal setups to "make up" for losses
BZ-CAE forces systematic sizing: premium setups get larger size, marginal setups get smaller size
This creates a probabilistic approach where your edge compounds over time.
What This Indicator Is NOT
Complete transparency about limitations and positioning:
Not a Prediction System
BZ-CAE does not predict future prices. It identifies structural divergences (price-momentum disagreements) and assesses current market state (trend, exhaustion, adversarial conditions). It tells you WHEN conditions favor a potential reversal or continuation, not WHAT WILL HAPPEN.
Markets are probabilistic. Even premium-confidence setups fail ~30-40% of the time. The system improves your probability distribution over many trades — it doesn't eliminate risk.
Not Fully Automated
This is a decision support tool, not a trading robot. You must:
Execute trades manually based on signals
Manage positions (stops, targets, trailing)
Apply discretionary judgment (news events, liquidity, context)
Integrate with your broader strategy and risk rules
The confidence scores guide position sizing, but YOU determine final risk allocation based on your account size, risk tolerance, and portfolio context.
Not Beginner-Friendly
BZ-CAE requires understanding of:
Divergence trading concepts (regular vs hidden, reversal vs continuation)
Market state interpretation (trend vs range, momentum, exhaustion)
Basic technical analysis (pivots, support/resistance, EMAs)
Risk management fundamentals (position sizing, stops, R:R)
This is designed for intermediate to advanced traders willing to invest time learning the system. If you want "buy the arrow" simplicity, this isn't the tool.
Not a Holy Grail
There is no perfect indicator. BZ-CAE filters noise and improves signal quality significantly, but:
Losing trades are inevitable (even at 70% win rate, 30% still fail)
Market conditions change rapidly (yesterday's strong trend becomes today's chop)
Black swan events occur (fundamentals override technicals)
Execution matters (slippage, fees, emotional discipline)
The system provides an EDGE, not a guarantee. Your job is to execute that edge consistently with proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool. All trading decisions are your responsibility. Past performance (backtested or live) does not guarantee future results. Only risk capital you can afford to lose. Consult a licensed financial advisor for investment advice specific to your situation.
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance Characteristics
Liquid Instruments :
Major forex pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY)
Large-cap stocks and index ETFs (SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT)
High-volume crypto (BTC, ETH)
Major commodities (Gold, Oil, Natural Gas)
Reasoning: Clean price structure, clear pivots, meaningful oscillator behavior
Trending with Consolidations :
Markets that trend for 20-40 bars, then consolidate 10-20 bars, repeat
Creates divergences at consolidation boundaries (reversals) and within trends (continuations)
Both regular and hidden divs find opportunities
5-Minute to Daily Timeframes :
Below 5m: too much noise, false pivots, CAE metrics unstable
Above daily: too few signals, edge diminishes (fundamentals dominate)
Sweet spot: 15m to 4H for most traders
Consistent Volume and Participation :
Regular trading sessions (not holidays or thin markets)
Predictable volatility patterns
Avoid instruments with sudden gaps or circuit breakers
Challenging Conditions
Extremely Low Liquidity :
Penny stocks, exotic forex pairs, low-volume crypto
Erratic pivots, unreliable oscillator readings
CAE metrics can't assess market state properly
Very Low Timeframes (1-Minute or Below) :
Dominated by market microstructure noise
Divergences are everywhere but meaningless
CAE filtering helps but still unreliable
Extended Sideways Consolidation :
100+ bars of tight range with no clear pivots
Oscillator hugs midpoint (45-55 range)
No divergences to detect
Fundamentally-Driven Gap Markets :
Earnings releases, economic data, geopolitical events
Price gaps over stops and targets
Technical structure breaks down
Recommendation: Disable trading around known events
Calculation Methodology — Technical Depth
For users who want to understand the math:
Oscillator Computation
Each oscillator type calculates differently, but all normalize to 0-100:
RSI : ta.rsi(close, length) — Standard Relative Strength Index
Stochastic : ta.stoch(high, low, close, length) — %K calculation
CCI : (ta.cci(hlc3, length) + 100) / 2 — Normalized from -100/+100 to 0-100
MFI : ta.mfi(hlc3, length) — Volume-weighted RSI equivalent
Williams %R : ta.wpr(length) + 100 — Inverted stochastic adjusted to 0-100
Smoothing: If smoothing > 1, apply ta.sma(oscillator, smoothing)
Divergence Detection Algorithm
Identify Pivots :
Price high pivot: ta.pivothigh(high, lookback, lookforward)
Price low pivot: ta.pivotlow(low, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator high pivot: ta.pivothigh(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator low pivot: ta.pivotlow(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Store Recent Pivots :
Maintain arrays of last 10 pivots with bar indices
When new pivot confirmed, unshift to array, pop oldest if >10
Scan for Slope Disagreements :
Loop through last 5 pivots
For each pair (current pivot, historical pivot):
Check if within max_lookback bars
Calculate slopes: (current - historical) / bars_between
Regular bearish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Regular bullish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Hidden bearish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, osc_slope > min_threshold
Hidden bullish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Important Disclaimers and Terms
Performance Disclosure
Past performance, whether backtested or live-traded, does not guarantee future results. Markets change. What works today may not work tomorrow. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading.
Risk of Loss
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Only trade with risk capital you can afford to lose entirely. The high degree of leverage often available in trading can work against you as well as for you. Leveraged trading may result in losses exceeding your initial deposit.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool for technical analysis. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument. All trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Consult a licensed financial advisor for advice specific to your circumstances.
Technical Indicator Limitations
BZ-CAE is a technical analysis tool based on price and volume data. It does not account for:
Fundamental analysis (earnings, economic data, financial health)
Market sentiment and positioning
Geopolitical events and news
Liquidity conditions and market microstructure changes
Regulatory changes or exchange rules
Integrate with broader analysis and strategy. Do not rely solely on technical indicators for trading decisions.
Repainting Acknowledgment
As disclosed throughout this documentation:
Realtime mode may repaint on forming bars before confirmation (by design for preview functionality)
Confirmed mode has zero repainting (fully validated pivots only)
Choose timing mode appropriate for your use case. Understand the tradeoffs.
Testing Recommendation
ALWAYS test on demo/paper accounts before committing real capital. Validate the indicator's behavior on your specific instruments and timeframes. Learn the system thoroughly in Advisory mode before using Filtering mode.
Learning Resources :
In-indicator tooltips (hover over setting names for detailed explanations)
This comprehensive publishing statement (save for reference)
User guide in script comments (top of code)
Final Word — Philosophy of BZ-CAE
BZ-CAE is not designed to replace your judgment — it's designed to enhance it.
The indicator identifies structural inflection points (bifurcations) where price and momentum disagree. The Cognitive Engine evaluates market state to determine if this disagreement is meaningful or noise. The Adversarial model debates both sides of the trade to catch obvious bad setups. The Confidence system ranks quality so you can choose your risk appetite.
But YOU still execute. YOU still manage risk. YOU still learn from outcomes.
This is intelligence amplification, not intelligence replacement.
Use Advisory mode to learn how expert traders evaluate market state. Use Filtering mode to enforce discipline when emotions run high. Use the dashboard to develop a systematic approach to reading markets. Use confidence scores to size positions probabilistically.
The system provides an edge. Your job is to execute that edge with discipline, patience, and proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Markets are probabilistic. No system wins every trade. But a systematic edge + disciplined execution + proper risk management compounds over time. That's the path to consistent profitability. BZ-CAE gives you the edge. The discipline and risk management are on you.
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
CNN Fear and Greed StrategyAdaptation of the CNN Fear and Greed Index Indicator (Original by EdgeTools)
The following changes have been implemented:
Put/Call Ratio Data Source: The data source for the Put/Call Ratio has been updated.
Bond Data Source: The data sources for the bond components (Safe Haven Demand and Junk Bond Demand) have been updated.
Normalization Adjustment: The normalization method has been adjusted to allow the CNN Fear and Greed Index to display over a longer historical period, optimizing it for backtesting purposes.
Style Modification: The display style has been modified for a simpler and cleaner appearance.
Strategy Logic Addition: Added a new strategy entry condition: index >= 25 AND index crosses over its 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), and a corresponding exit condition of holding the position for 252 bars (days).
CNN Fear & Greed Backtest Strategy (Adapted)
This script is an adaptation of the popular CNN Fear & Greed Index, originally created by EdgeTools, with significant modifications to optimize it for long-term backtesting on the TradingView platform.
The core function of the Fear & Greed Index is to measure the current emotional state of the stock market, ranging from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). It operates on the principle that excessive fear drives prices too low (a potential buying opportunity), and excessive greed drives them too high (a potential selling opportunity).
Key Components of the Index (7 Factors)
The composite index is calculated as a weighted average of seven market indicators, each normalized to a score between 0 and 100:
Market Momentum: S&P 500's current level vs. its 125-day Moving Average.
Stock Price Strength: Stocks hitting 52-week highs vs. those hitting 52-week lows.
Stock Price Breadth: Measured by the McClellan Volume Summation Index (or similar volume/breadth metric).
Put/Call Ratio: The relationship between volume of put options (bearish bets) and call options (bullish bets).
Market Volatility: The CBOE VIX Index relative to its 50-day Moving Average.
Safe Haven Demand: The relative performance of stocks (S&P 500) vs. bonds.
Junk Bond Demand: The spread between high-yield (junk) bonds and U.S. Treasury yields.
Critical Adaptations for Backtesting
To improve the index's utility for quantitative analysis, the following changes were made:
Long-Term Normalization: The original normalization method (ta.stdev over a short LENGTH) has been replaced or adjusted to use longer historical data. This change ensures the index generates consistent and comparable sentiment scores across decades of market history, which is crucial for reliable backtesting results.
Updated Data Sources: Specific ticker requests for the Put/Call Ratio and Bond components (Safe Haven and Junk Bond Demand) have been updated to use the most reliable and long-running data available on TradingView, reducing data gaps and improving chart continuity.
Simplified Visuals: The chart display is streamlined, focusing only on the final Fear & Greed Index line and key threshold levels (25, 50, 75) for quick visual assessment.
Integrated Trading Strategy
This script also includes a simple, rules-based strategy designed to test the counter-trend philosophy of the index:
Entry Logic (Long Position): A long position is initiated when the market shows increasing fear, specifically when the index score is less than or equal to the configurable FEAR_LEVEL (default 25) and the index crosses above its own short-term 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). This crossover acts as a confirmation that sentiment may be starting to turn around from peak fear.
Exit Logic (Time-Based): All positions are subject to a time-based exit after holding for 252 trading days (approximately one year). This fixed holding period aims to capture the typical duration of a cyclical market recovery following a major panic event.
Advanced Multi-Timeframe Trading System (Risk Managed)Description:
This strategy is an original approach that combines two main analytical components to identify potential trade opportunities while simulating realistic trading conditions:
1. Market Trend Analysis via an Approximate Hurst Exponent
• What It Does:
The strategy computes a rough measure of market trending using an approximate Hurst exponent. A value above 0.5 suggests persistent, trending behavior, while a value below 0.5 indicates a tendency toward mean-reversion.
• How It’s Used:
The Hurst exponent is calculated on both the chart’s current timeframe and a higher timeframe (default: Daily) to capture both local and broader market dynamics.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels
• What It Does:
Using daily high and low data from a selected timeframe (default: Daily), the script computes key Fibonacci retracement levels.
• How It’s Used:
• The 61.8% level (Golden Ratio) serves as a key threshold:
• A long entry is signaled when the price crosses above this level if the daily Hurst exponent confirms a trending market.
• The 38.2% level is used to identify short-entry opportunities when the price crosses below it and the daily Hurst indicates non-trending conditions.
Signal Logic:
• Long Entry:
When the price crosses above the 61.8% Fibonacci level (Golden Ratio) and the daily Hurst exponent is greater than 0.5, suggesting a trending market.
• Short Entry:
When the price crosses below the 38.2% Fibonacci level and the daily Hurst exponent is less than 0.5, indicating a less trending or potentially reversing market.
Risk Management & Trade Execution:
• Stop-Loss:
Each trade is risk-managed with a stop-loss set at 2% below (for longs) or above (for shorts) the entry price. This ensures that no single trade risks more than a small, sustainable portion of the account.
• Take Profit:
A take profit order targets a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 (i.e., the target profit is twice the amount risked).
• Position Sizing:
Trades are executed with a fixed position size equal to 10% of account equity.
• Trade Frequency Limits:
• Daily Limit: A maximum of 5 trades per day
• Overall Limit: No more than 510 trades during the backtesting period (e.g., since 2019)
These limits are imposed to simulate realistic trading frequency and to avoid overtrading in backtest results.
Backtesting Parameters:
• Initial Capital: $10,000
• Commission: 0.1% per trade
• Slippage: 1 tick per bar
These settings aim to reflect the conditions faced by the average trader and help ensure that the backtesting results are realistic and not misleading.
Chart Overlays & Visual Aids:
• Fibonacci Levels:
The key Fibonacci retracement levels are plotted on the chart, and the zone between the 61.8% and 38.2% levels is highlighted to show a key retracement area.
• Market Trend Background:
The chart background is tinted green when the daily Hurst exponent indicates a trending market (value > 0.5) and red otherwise.
• Information Table:
An on-chart table displays key parameters such as the current Hurst exponent, daily Hurst value, the number of trades executed today, and the global trade count.
Disclaimer:
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This strategy is experimental and provided solely for educational purposes. It is essential that you backtest and paper trade using your own settings before considering any live deployment. The Hurst exponent calculation is an approximation and should be interpreted as a rough gauge of market behavior. Adjust the parameters and risk management settings according to your personal risk tolerance and market conditions.
Additional Notes:
• Originality & Usefulness:
This script is an original mashup that combines trend analysis with Fibonacci retracement methods. The description above explains how these components work together to provide trading signals.
• Realistic Results:
The strategy uses realistic account sizes, commission rates, slippage, and risk management rules to generate backtesting results that are representative of real-world trading.
• Educational Purpose:
This script is intended to support the TradingView community by offering insights into combining multiple analysis techniques in one strategy. It is not a “get-rich-quick” system but rather an educational tool to help traders understand risk management and trade signal logic.
By using this script, you acknowledge that trading involves risk and that you are responsible for testing and adjusting the strategy to fit your own trading environment. This publication is fully open source, and any modifications should include proper attribution if significant portions of the code are reused.
ICT Judas Swing | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new ICT Judas Swing Indicator! This indicator is built around the ICT's "Judas Swing" strategy. The strategy looks for a liquidity grab around NY 9:30 session and a Fair Value Gap for entry confirmation. For more information about the process, check the "HOW DOES IT WORK" section.
Features of the new ICT Judas Swing :
Implementation of ICT's Judas Swing Strategy
2 Different TP / SL Methods
Customizable Execution Settings
Customizable Backtesting Dashboard
Alerts for Buy, Sell, TP & SL Signals
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The strategy begins by identifying the New York session from 9:30 to 9:45 and marking recent liquidity zones. These liquidity zones are determined by locating high and low pivot points: buyside liquidity zones are identified using high pivots that haven't been invalidated, while sellside liquidity zones are found using low pivots. A break of either buyside or sellside liquidity must occur during the 9:30-9:45 session, which is interpreted as a liquidity grab by smart money. The strategy assumes that after this liquidity grab, the price will reverse and move in the opposite direction. For entry confirmation, a fair value gap (FVG) in the opposite direction of the liquidity grab is required. A buyside liquidity grab calls for a bearish FVG, while a sellside grab requires a bullish FVG. Based on the type of FVG—bullish for buys and bearish for sells—the indicator will then generate a Buy or Sell signal.
After the Buy or Sell signal, the indicator immediately draws the take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) targets. The indicator has three different TP & SL modes, explained in the "Settings" section of this write-up.
You can set up alerts for entry and TP & SL signals, and also check the current performance of the indicator and adjust the settings accordingly to the current ticker using the backtesting dashboard.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator is an all-in-one suit for the ICT's Judas Swing concept. It's capable of plotting the strategy, giving signals, a backtesting dashboard and alerts feature. Different and customizable algorithm modes will help the trader fine-tune the indicator for the asset they are currently trading. Three different TP / SL modes are available to suit your needs. The backtesting dashboard allows you to see how your settings perform in the current ticker. You can also set up alerts to get informed when the strategy is executable for different tickers.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Swing Length -> The swing length for pivot detection. Higher settings will result in
FVG Detection Sensitivity -> You may select between Low, Normal, High or Extreme FVG detection sensitivity. This will essentially determine the size of the spotted FVGs, with lower sensitivies resulting in spotting bigger FVGs, and higher sensitivies resulting in spotting all sizes of FVGs.
2. TP / SL
TP / SL Method ->
a) Dynamic: The TP / SL zones will be auto-determined by the algorithm based on the Average True Range (ATR) of the current ticker.
b) Fixed : You can adjust the exact TP / SL ratios from the settings below.
Dynamic Risk -> The risk you're willing to take if "Dynamic" TP / SL Method is selected. Higher risk usually means a better winrate at the cost of losing more if the strategy fails. This setting is has a crucial effect on the performance of the indicator, as different tickers may have different volatility so the indicator may have increased performance when this setting is correctly adjusted.
ICT Unicorn | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new ICT Unicorn Indicator! This indicator is built around the ICT's "Unicorn" strategy. The strategy uses Breaker Blocks and Fair Value Gaps for entry confirmation. For more information about the process, check the "HOW DOES IT WORK" section.
Features of the new ICT Unicorn Indicator :
Implementation of ICT's Unicorn Strategy
Toggleable Retracement Entry Method
3 Different TP / SL Methods
Customizable Execution Settings
Customizable Backtesting Dashboard
Alerts for Buy, Sell, TP & SL Signals
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The ICT Unicorn entry model merges the concepts of Breaker Blocks and Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), offering a distinct method for identifying trade opportunities. By integrating these two elements, we can have a position entry with stop-loss and take-profit targets on the potential support & resistance zones. This model is particularly reliable for trade entry, as it combines two powerful entry techniques.
An ICT Unicorn Model consists of a FVG which is overlapping with a Breaker Block of the same type. Here is an example :
When a FVG overlaps with a Breaker Block of the same type, the indicator gives a Buy or Sell signal depending on the FVG type (Bullish & Bearish). If the "Require Retracement" option is enabled in the settings, the signals are not given immediately. Instead, the current price of the ticker will need to touch the FVG once more before the signals are given.
After the Buy or Sell signal, the indicator immediately draws the take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) targets. The indicator has three different TP & SL modes, explained in the "Settings" section of this write-up.
You can set up alerts for entry and TP & SL signals, and also check the current performance of the indicator and adjust the settings accordingly to the current ticker using the backtesting dashboard.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator is an all-in-one suit for the ICT's Unicorn concept. It's capable of plotting the strategy, giving signals, a backtesting dashboard and alerts feature. Different and customizable algorithm modes will help the trader fine-tune the indicator for the asset they are currently trading. Three different TP / SL modes are available to suit your needs. The backtesting dashboard allows you to see how your settings perform in the current ticker. You can also set up alerts to get informed when the strategy is executable for different tickers.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
FVG Detection Sensitivity -> You may select between Low, Normal, High or Extreme FVG detection sensitivity. This will essentially determine the size of the spotted FVGs, with lower sensitivies resulting in spotting bigger FVGs, and higher sensitivies resulting in spotting all sizes of FVGs.
Swing Length -> Swing length is used when finding order block formations. Smaller values will result in finding smaller order & breaker blocks.
Require Retracement ->
a) Disabled : The entry signal is given immediately once a FVG overlaps with a Breaker Block of the same type.
b) Enabled : The current price of the ticker will need to touch the FVG once more before the entry signal is given.
2. TP / SL
TP / SL Method ->
a) Unicorn : This is the default option. The SL will be set to the lowest low of the last 100 bars with an extra offset in a Buy signal. For Sell signals, the SL will be set to the highest high of the last 100 bars with an extra offset. The TP is then set to a value using the SL value and maintaining a risk-reward ratio.
b) Dynamic: The TP / SL zones will be auto-determined by the algorithm based on the Average True Range (ATR) of the current ticker.
c) Fixed : You can adjust the exact TP / SL ratios from the settings below.
Dynamic Risk -> The risk you're willing to take if "Dynamic" TP / SL Method is selected. Higher risk usually means a better winrate at the cost of losing more if the strategy fails. This setting is has a crucial effect on the performance of the indicator, as different tickers may have different volatility so the indicator may have increased performance when this setting is correctly adjusted.
Negroni Opening Range StrategyStrategy Summary:
This tool can be used to help identify breakouts from a range during a time-zone of your choosing. It plots a pre-market range, an opening range, it also includes moving average levels that can be used as confluence, as well as plotting previous day SESSION highs and lows.
There are several options on how you wish to close out the trades, all described in more detail below.
Back-testing Inputs:
You define your timezone.
You define how many trades to open on any given day.
You decide to go: long only, short only, or long & short (CAREFUL: "Long & Short" can open trades that effectively closes-out existing ones, for better AND worse!)
You define between which times the strategy will open trades.
You define when it closes any open trades (preventing overnight trades, or leaving trades open into US data times!!).
This hopefully helps make back-testing reflect YOUR trading hours.
NOTE: Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts
For ALL strategies, don’t use Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts unless you know EXACTLY the implications.
Specific to my strategy, using a renko chart can make this 85-90% profitable (I wish it was!!) Although they can be useful, renko charts don’t always capture real wicks, so the renko chart may show your trade up-only but your broker (who is not using renko!!) will have likely stopped you out on a wick somewhere along the line.
NOTE: TradingView ‘Deep backtesting’
For ALL strategies, be cynical of all backtesting (e.g. repainting issues etc) as well as ‘Deep backtesting’ results.
Specific to this strategy, the default settings here SHOULD BE OK, but unfortunately at the time of writing, we can’t see on the chart what exactly ‘deep backtesting’ is calculating. In the past I have noted a number of trades that were not closed at the end of the day, despite my ‘end of day’ trade closing being enabled, so there were big winners and losers that would not have materialized otherwise. As I say, this seems ok at these settings but just always be cynical!!
Opening Range Inputs
You define a pre-market range (example: 08:00 - 09:00).
You define an opening range (example: 09:00 - 09:30).
The strategy will give an update at the close of the opening range to let you know if the opening range has broken out the pre-market range (OR Breakout), or if it has remained inside (OR Inside). The label appears at the end of the opening range NOT at the bar that ‘broke-out’.
This is just a visual cue for you, it has no bearing on what the strategy will do.
The strategy default will trade off the pre-market range, but you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range.
Opening Trades:
Strategy goes long when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-over the ‘pre-market’ high (not the ‘opening range’ high); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Strategy goes short when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-under the ‘pre-market’ low (not the ‘opening range low); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Remember, you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range instead.
NOTES:
Using momentum indicators can help (RSI and MACD): especially to trade range plays in failed breakouts, when momentum shifts… but the strategy won’t do this for you!
Using an anchored vwap at the session open can also provide nice confluence, as well as take-profit levels at the upper/lower of 3x standard deviation.
CLOSING TRADES:
You have 6 take-profit (TP) options:
1) Full TP: uses ATR Multiplier - Full TP at the ATR parameters as defined in inputs.
2) Take Partial profits: ATR Multiplier - Takes partial profits based on parameters as defined in inputs (i.e close 40% of original trade at TP1, close another 40% of original trade at TP2, then the remainder at Full TP as set in option 1.).
3) Full TP: Trailing Stop - Applies a Trailing Stop at the number of points, as defined in inputs.
4) Full TP: MA cross - Takes profit when price crosses ‘Trend MA’ as defined in inputs.
5) Scalp: Points - closes at a set number of points, as defined in inputs.
6) Full TP: PMKT Multiplier - places a SL at opposite pre-market Hi/Low (we go long at a break-out of the pre-market high, 50% would place a SL at the pre-market range mid-point; 100% would place a SL at the pre-market low)'. This takes profit at the input set in option 1).
Dual Chain StrategyDual Chain Strategy - Technical Overview
How It Works:
The Dual Chain Strategy is a unique approach to trading that utilizes Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) across different timeframes, creating two distinct "chains" of trading signals. These chains can work independently or together, capturing both long-term trends and short-term price movements.
Chain 1 (Longer-Term Focus):
Entry Signal: The entry signal for Chain 1 is generated when the closing price crosses above the EMA calculated on a weekly timeframe. This suggests the start of a bullish trend and prompts a long position.
bullishChain1 = enableChain1 and ta.crossover(src1, entryEMA1)
Exit Signal: The exit signal is triggered when the closing price crosses below the EMA on a daily timeframe, indicating a potential bearish reversal.
exitLongChain1 = enableChain1 and ta.crossunder(src1, exitEMA1)
Parameters: Chain 1's EMA length is set to 10 periods by default, with the flexibility for user adjustment to match various trading scenarios.
Chain 2 (Shorter-Term Focus):
Entry Signal: Chain 2 generates an entry signal when the closing price crosses above the EMA on a 12-hour timeframe. This setup is designed to capture quicker, shorter-term movements.
bullishChain2 = enableChain2 and ta.crossover(src2, entryEMA2)
Exit Signal: The exit signal occurs when the closing price falls below the EMA on a 9-hour timeframe, indicating the end of the shorter-term trend.
exitLongChain2 = enableChain2 and ta.crossunder(src2, exitEMA2)
Parameters: Chain 2's EMA length is set to 9 periods by default, and can be customized to better align with specific market conditions or trading strategies.
Key Features:
Dual EMA Chains: The strategy's originality shines through its dual-chain configuration, allowing traders to monitor and react to both long-term and short-term market trends. This approach is particularly powerful as it combines the strengths of trend-following with the agility of momentum trading.
Timeframe Flexibility: Users can modify the timeframes for both chains, ensuring the strategy can be tailored to different market conditions and individual trading styles. This flexibility makes it versatile for various assets and trading environments.
Independent Trade Logic: Each chain operates independently, with its own set of entry and exit rules. This allows for simultaneous or separate execution of trades based on the signals from either or both chains, providing a robust trading system that can handle different market phases.
Backtesting Period: The strategy includes a configurable backtesting period, enabling thorough performance assessment over a historical range. This feature is crucial for understanding how the strategy would have performed under different market conditions.
time_cond = time >= startDate and time <= finishDate
What It Does:
The Dual Chain Strategy offers traders a distinctive trading tool that merges two separate EMA-based systems into one cohesive framework. By integrating both long-term and short-term perspectives, the strategy enhances the ability to adapt to changing market conditions. The originality of this script lies in its innovative dual-chain design, providing traders with a unique edge by allowing them to capitalize on both significant trends and smaller, faster price movements.
Whether you aim to capture extended market trends or take advantage of more immediate price action, the Dual Chain Strategy provides a comprehensive solution with a high degree of customization and strategic depth. Its flexibility and originality make it a valuable tool for traders seeking to refine their approach to market analysis and execution.
How to Use the Dual Chain Strategy
Step 1: Access the Strategy
Add the Script: Start by adding the Dual Chain Strategy to your TradingView chart. You can do this by searching for the script by name or using the link provided.
Select the Asset: Apply the strategy to your preferred trading pair or asset, such as #BTCUSD, to see how it performs.
Step 2: Configure the Settings
Enable/Disable Chains:
The strategy is designed with two independent chains. You can choose to enable or disable each chain depending on your trading style and the market conditions.
enableChain1 = input.bool(true, title='Enable Chain 1')
enableChain2 = input.bool(true, title='Enable Chain 2')
By default, both chains are enabled. If you prefer to focus only on longer-term trends, you might disable Chain 2, or vice versa if you prefer shorter-term trades.
Set EMA Lengths:
Adjust the EMA lengths for each chain to match your trading preferences.
Chain 1: The default EMA length is 10 periods. This chain uses a weekly timeframe for entry signals and a daily timeframe for exits.
len1 = input.int(10, minval=1, title='Length Chain 1 EMA', group="Chain 1")
Chain 2: The default EMA length is 9 periods. This chain uses a 12-hour timeframe for entries and a 9-hour timeframe for exits.
len2 = input.int(9, minval=1, title='Length Chain 2 EMA', group="Chain 2")
Customize Timeframes:
You can customize the timeframes used for entry and exit signals for both chains.
Chain 1:
Entry Timeframe: Weekly
Exit Timeframe: Daily
tf1_entry = input.timeframe("W", title='Chain 1 Entry Timeframe', group="Chain 1")
tf1_exit = input.timeframe("D", title='Chain 1 Exit Timeframe', group="Chain 1")
Chain 2:
Entry Timeframe: 12 Hours
Exit Timeframe: 9 Hours
tf2_entry = input.timeframe("720", title='Chain 2 Entry Timeframe (12H)', group="Chain 2")
tf2_exit = input.timeframe("540", title='Chain 2 Exit Timeframe (9H)', group="Chain 2")
Set the Backtesting Period:
Define the period over which you want to backtest the strategy. This allows you to see how the strategy would have performed historically.
startDate = input.time(timestamp('2015-07-27'), title="StartDate")
finishDate = input.time(timestamp('2026-01-01'), title="FinishDate")
Step 3: Analyze the Signals
Understand the Entry and Exit Signals:
Buy Signals: When the price crosses above the entry EMA, the strategy generates a buy signal.
bullishChain1 = enableChain1 and ta.crossover(src1, entryEMA1)
Sell Signals: When the price crosses below the exit EMA, the strategy generates a sell signal.
bearishChain2 = enableChain2 and ta.crossunder(src2, entryEMA2)
Review the Visual Indicators:
The strategy plots buy and sell signals on the chart with labels for easy identification:
BUY C1/C2 for buy signals from Chain 1 and Chain 2.
SELL C1/C2 for sell signals from Chain 1 and Chain 2.
This visual aid helps you quickly understand when and why trades are being executed.
Step 4: Optimize the Strategy
Backtest Results:
Review the strategy’s performance over the backtesting period. Look at key metrics like net profit, drawdown, and trade statistics to evaluate its effectiveness.
Adjust the EMA lengths, timeframes, and other settings to see how changes affect the strategy’s performance.
Customize for Live Trading:
Once satisfied with the backtest results, you can apply the strategy settings to live trading. Remember to continuously monitor and adjust as needed based on market conditions.
Step 5: Implement Risk Management
Use Realistic Position Sizing:
Keep your risk exposure per trade within a comfortable range, typically between 1-2% of your trading capital.
Set Alerts:
Set up alerts for buy and sell signals, so you don’t miss trading opportunities.
Paper Trade First:
Consider running the strategy in a paper trading account to understand its behavior in real market conditions before committing real capital.
This dual-layered approach offers a distinct advantage: it enables the strategy to adapt to varying market conditions by capturing both broad trends and immediate price action without one chain's activity impacting the other's decision-making process. The independence of these chains in executing transactions adds a level of sophistication and flexibility that is rarely seen in more conventional trading systems, making the Dual Chain Strategy not just unique, but a powerful tool for traders seeking to navigate complex market environments.
CCI and MACD Auto Trading Strategy with Risk/RewardOverview:
This strategy combines the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators to automate trading decisions. It dynamically sets stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent lows and highs, ensuring a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.5. This script aims to leverage trend and momentum signals while maintaining effective risk management.
Originality and Usefulness:
This script is not just a simple mashup of CCI and MACD indicators; it incorporates dynamic risk management by setting stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent price action. This approach helps traders to:
・Identify potential trend reversals using the combination of CCI and MACD signals.
・Manage trades effectively by setting realistic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent market data.
・Maintain a balanced risk/reward ratio, which is essential for sustainable trading.
Indicators Used:
・CCI (Commodity Channel Index):
・Measures the deviation of the price from its average over a specified period, typically ranging from -100 to +100.
・Helps identify overbought and oversold conditions.
・MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
・Utilizes the difference between short-term and long-term moving averages to indicate trend strength and direction.
・Provides momentum signals that can be used for timing entries and exits.
How It Works:
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry:
・The MACD histogram is above zero.
・The CCI crosses above the -100 line.
Short Entry:
・The MACD histogram is below zero.
・The CCI crosses below the +100 line.
Exit Conditions:
Long Positions:
・The stop-loss is set at the recent low.
・The take-profit is set at 1.5 times the distance between the entry price and the stop-loss.
Short Positions:
・The stop-loss is set at the recent high.
・The take-profit is set at 1.5 times the distance between the entry price and the stop-loss.
Risk Management:
・The script dynamically adjusts stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent market data, ensuring that the risk/reward ratio is maintained at 1:1.5.
・This approach helps in managing the risk effectively while aiming for consistent profits.
Strategy Properties:
・Account Size: Configured for a realistic account size suitable for the average trader.
・Commission and Slippage: Includes settings for realistic commission and slippage to reflect real market conditions.
・Risk per Trade: Designed to risk no more than 5-10% of equity per trade, aligning with sustainable trading practices.
・Backtesting Results: Configured to generate a sufficient sample size (ideally more than 100 trades) for reliable backtesting results.
Revised Backtesting Settings
Ensure that your backtesting settings are realistic:
・Account Size: Set a realistic initial capital suitable for the average trader.
・Commission and Slippage: Include realistic commission fees and slippage.
・Risk Management: Ensure that each trade risks no more than 5-10% of the account equity.
・Sufficient Sample Size: Choose a dataset that will generate more than 100 trades to provide a robust sample size.
Versatile Moving Average StrategyVersatile Moving Average Strategy (VMAS)
Overview:
The Versatile Moving Average Strategy (VMAS) is designed to provide traders with a flexible approach to trend-following, utilizing multiple types of moving averages. This strategy allows for customization in choosing the moving average type and length, catering to various market conditions and trading styles.
Key Features:
- Multiple Moving Average Types: Choose from SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, VWMA, HULL, LSMA, and ALMA to best suit your trading needs.
- Customizable Inputs: Adjust the moving average length, source of price data, and stop-loss source to fine-tune the strategy.
- Target Percent: Set the percentage difference between successive profit targets to manage your risk and rewards effectively.
- Position Management: Enable or disable long and short positions, allowing for versatility in different market conditions.
- Commission and Slippage: The strategy includes realistic commission settings to ensure accurate backtesting results.
Strategy Logic:
1. Moving Average Calculation: The selected moving average is calculated based on user-defined parameters.
2. Entry Conditions:
- A long position is entered when the entry source crosses over the moving average, if long positions are enabled.
- A short position is entered when the entry source crosses under the moving average, if short positions are enabled.
3. Stop-Loss: Positions are closed if the stop-loss source crosses the moving average in the opposite direction.
4. Profit Targets: Multiple profit targets are defined, with each target set at an incremental percentage above (for long positions) or below (for short positions) the entry price.
Default Properties:
- Account Size: $10000
- Commission: 0.01% per trade
- Risk Management: Positions are sized to risk 80% of the equity per trade, because we get very tight stoploss when position is open.
- Sample Size: Backtesting has been conducted to ensure a sufficient sample size of trades, ideally more than 100 trades.
How to Use:
1. Configure Inputs: Set your preferred moving average type, length, and other input parameters.
2. Enable Positions: Choose whether to enable long, short, or both types of positions.
3. Backtest and Analyze: Run backtests with realistic settings and analyze the results to ensure the strategy aligns with your trading goals.
4. Deploy and Monitor: Once satisfied with the backtesting results, deploy the strategy in a live environment and monitor its performance.
This strategy is suitable for traders looking to leverage moving averages in a versatile and customizable manner. Adjust the parameters to match your trading style and market conditions for optimal results.
Note: Ensure the strategy settings used for publication are the same as those described here. Always conduct thorough backtesting before deploying any strategy in a live trading environment.
CNTLibraryLibrary "CNTLibrary"
Custom Functions To Help Code In Pinescript V5
Coded By Christian Nataliano
First Coded In 10/06/2023
Last Edited In 22/06/2023
Huge Shout Out To © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading and his ZenLibrary V5, Some Of The Custom Functions Were Heavily Inspired By Matt's Work & His Pine Script Mastery Course
Another Shout Out To The TradingView's Team Library ta V5
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Indicator Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
GetKAMA(KAMA_lenght, Fast_KAMA, Slow_KAMA)
Calculates An Adaptive Moving Average Based On Perry J Kaufman's Calculations
Parameters:
KAMA_lenght (int) : Is The KAMA Lenght
Fast_KAMA (int) : Is The KAMA's Fastes Moving Average
Slow_KAMA (int) : Is The KAMA's Slowest Moving Average
Returns: Float Of The KAMA's Current Calculations
GetMovingAverage(Source, Lenght, Type)
Get Custom Moving Averages Values
Parameters:
Source (float) : Of The Moving Average, Defval = close
Lenght (simple int) : Of The Moving Average, Defval = 50
Type (string) : Of The Moving Average, Defval = Exponential Moving Average
Returns: The Moving Average Calculation Based On Its Given Source, Lenght & Calculation Type (Please Call Function On Global Scope)
GetDecimals()
Calculates how many decimals are on the quote price of the current market © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The current decimal places on the market quote price
Truncate(number, decimalPlaces)
Truncates (cuts) excess decimal places © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
number (float)
decimalPlaces (simple float)
Returns: The given number truncated to the given decimalPlaces
ToWhole(number)
Converts pips into whole numbers © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
number (float)
Returns: The converted number
ToPips(number)
Converts whole numbers back into pips © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
number (float)
Returns: The converted number
GetPctChange(value1, value2, lookback)
Gets the percentage change between 2 float values over a given lookback period © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
value1 (float)
value2 (float)
lookback (int)
BarsAboveMA(lookback, ma)
Counts how many candles are above the MA © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
lookback (int)
ma (float)
Returns: The bar count of how many recent bars are above the MA
BarsBelowMA(lookback, ma)
Counts how many candles are below the MA © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
lookback (int)
ma (float)
Returns: The bar count of how many recent bars are below the EMA
BarsCrossedMA(lookback, ma)
Counts how many times the EMA was crossed recently © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
lookback (int)
ma (float)
Returns: The bar count of how many times price recently crossed the EMA
GetPullbackBarCount(lookback, direction)
Counts how many green & red bars have printed recently (ie. pullback count) © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
lookback (int)
direction (int)
Returns: The bar count of how many candles have retraced over the given lookback & direction
GetSwingHigh(Lookback, SwingType)
Check If Price Has Made A Recent Swing High
Parameters:
Lookback (int) : Is For The Swing High Lookback Period, Defval = 7
SwingType (int) : Is For The Swing High Type Of Identification, Defval = 1
Returns: A Bool - True If Price Has Made A Recent Swing High
GetSwingLow(Lookback, SwingType)
Check If Price Has Made A Recent Swing Low
Parameters:
Lookback (int) : Is For The Swing Low Lookback Period, Defval = 7
SwingType (int) : Is For The Swing Low Type Of Identification, Defval = 1
Returns: A Bool - True If Price Has Made A Recent Swing Low
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Risk Management Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
CalculateStopLossLevel(OrderType, Entry, StopLoss)
Calculate StopLoss Level
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
Entry (float) : Is The Entry Level Of The Order, Defval = na
StopLoss (float) : Is The Custom StopLoss Distance, Defval = 2x ATR Below Close
Returns: Float - The StopLoss Level In Actual Price As A
CalculateStopLossDistance(OrderType, Entry, StopLoss)
Calculate StopLoss Distance In Pips
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
Entry (float) : Is The Entry Level Of The Order, NEED TO INPUT PARAM
StopLoss (float) : Level Based On Previous Calculation, NEED TO INPUT PARAM
Returns: Float - The StopLoss Value In Pips
CalculateTakeProfitLevel(OrderType, Entry, StopLossDistance, RiskReward)
Calculate TakeProfit Level
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
Entry (float) : Is The Entry Level Of The Order, Defval = na
StopLossDistance (float)
RiskReward (float)
Returns: Float - The TakeProfit Level In Actual Price
CalculateTakeProfitDistance(OrderType, Entry, TakeProfit)
Get TakeProfit Distance In Pips
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
Entry (float) : Is The Entry Level Of The Order, NEED TO INPUT PARAM
TakeProfit (float) : Level Based On Previous Calculation, NEED TO INPUT PARAM
Returns: Float - The TakeProfit Value In Pips
CalculateConversionCurrency(AccountCurrency, SymbolCurrency, BaseCurrency)
Get The Conversion Currecny Between Current Account Currency & Current Pair's Quoted Currency (FOR FOREX ONLY)
Parameters:
AccountCurrency (simple string) : Is For The Account Currency Used
SymbolCurrency (simple string) : Is For The Current Symbol Currency (Front Symbol)
BaseCurrency (simple string) : Is For The Current Symbol Base Currency (Back Symbol)
Returns: Tuple Of A Bollean (Convert The Currency ?) And A String (Converted Currency)
CalculateConversionRate(ConvertCurrency, ConversionRate)
Get The Conversion Rate Between Current Account Currency & Current Pair's Quoted Currency (FOR FOREX ONLY)
Parameters:
ConvertCurrency (bool) : Is To Check If The Current Symbol Needs To Be Converted Or Not
ConversionRate (float) : Is The Quoted Price Of The Conversion Currency (Input The request.security Function Here)
Returns: Float Price Of Conversion Rate (If In The Same Currency Than Return Value Will Be 1.0)
LotSize(LotSizeSimple, Balance, Risk, SLDistance, ConversionRate)
Get Current Lot Size
Parameters:
LotSizeSimple (bool) : Is To Toggle Lot Sizing Calculation (Simple Is Good Enough For Stocks & Crypto, Whilst Complex Is For Forex)
Balance (float) : Is For The Current Account Balance To Calculate The Lot Sizing Based Off
Risk (float) : Is For The Current Risk Per Trade To Calculate The Lot Sizing Based Off
SLDistance (float) : Is The Current Position StopLoss Distance From Its Entry Price
ConversionRate (float) : Is The Currency Conversion Rate (Used For Complex Lot Sizing Only)
Returns: Float - Position Size In Units
ToLots(Units)
Converts Units To Lots
Parameters:
Units (float) : Is For How Many Units Need To Be Converted Into Lots (Minimun 1000 Units)
Returns: Float - Position Size In Lots
ToUnits(Lots)
Converts Lots To Units
Parameters:
Lots (float) : Is For How Many Lots Need To Be Converted Into Units (Minimun 0.01 Units)
Returns: Int - Position Size In Units
ToLotsInUnits(Units)
Converts Units To Lots Than Back To Units
Parameters:
Units (float) : Is For How Many Units Need To Be Converted Into Lots (Minimun 1000 Units)
Returns: Float - Position Size In Lots That Were Rounded To Units
ATRTrail(OrderType, SourceType, ATRPeriod, ATRMultiplyer, SwingLookback)
Calculate ATR Trailing Stop
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
SourceType (int) : Is To Determine Where To Calculate The ATR Trailing From, Defval = close
ATRPeriod (simple int) : Is To Change Its ATR Period, Defval = 20
ATRMultiplyer (float) : Is To Change Its ATR Trailing Distance, Defval = 1
SwingLookback (int) : Is To Change Its Swing HiLo Lookback (Only From Source Type 5), Defval = 7
Returns: Float - Number Of The Current ATR Trailing
DangerZone(WinRate, AvgRRR, Filter)
Calculate Danger Zone Of A Given Strategy
Parameters:
WinRate (float) : Is The Strategy WinRate
AvgRRR (float) : Is The Strategy Avg RRR
Filter (float) : Is The Minimum Profit It Needs To Be Out Of BE Zone, Defval = 3
Returns: Int - Value, 1 If Out Of Danger Zone, 0 If BE, -1 If In Danger Zone
IsQuestionableTrades(TradeTP, TradeSL)
Checks For Questionable Trades (Which Are Trades That Its TP & SL Level Got Hit At The Same Candle)
Parameters:
TradeTP (float) : Is The Trade In Question Take Profit Level
TradeSL (float) : Is The Trade In Question Stop Loss Level
Returns: Bool - True If The Last Trade Was A "Questionable Trade"
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Strategy Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
OpenLong(EntryID, LotSize, LimitPrice, StopPrice, Comment, CommentValue)
Open A Long Order Based On The Given Params
Parameters:
EntryID (string) : Is The Trade Entry ID, Defval = "Long"
LotSize (float) : Is The Lot Size Of The Trade, Defval = 1
LimitPrice (float) : Is The Limit Order Price To Set The Order At, Defval = Na / Market Order Execution
StopPrice (float) : Is The Stop Order Price To Set The Order At, Defval = Na / Market Order Execution
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Long Entry Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Returns: Void
OpenShort(EntryID, LotSize, LimitPrice, StopPrice, Comment, CommentValue)
Open A Short Order Based On The Given Params
Parameters:
EntryID (string) : Is The Trade Entry ID, Defval = "Short"
LotSize (float) : Is The Lot Size Of The Trade, Defval = 1
LimitPrice (float) : Is The Limit Order Price To Set The Order At, Defval = Na / Market Order Execution
StopPrice (float) : Is The Stop Order Price To Set The Order At, Defval = Na / Market Order Execution
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Short Entry Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Returns: Void
TP_SLExit(FromID, TPLevel, SLLevel, PercentageClose, Comment, CommentValue)
Exits Based On Predetermined TP & SL Levels
Parameters:
FromID (string) : Is The Trade ID That The TP & SL Levels Be Palced
TPLevel (float) : Is The Take Profit Level
SLLevel (float) : Is The StopLoss Level
PercentageClose (float) : Is The Amount To Close The Order At (In Percentage) Defval = 100
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Exit Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Returns: Void
CloseLong(ExitID, PercentageClose, Comment, CommentValue, Instant)
Exits A Long Order Based On A Specified Condition
Parameters:
ExitID (string) : Is The Trade ID That Will Be Closed, Defval = "Long"
PercentageClose (float) : Is The Amount To Close The Order At (In Percentage) Defval = 100
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Exit Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Instant (bool) : Is For Exit Execution Type, Defval = false
Returns: Void
CloseShort(ExitID, PercentageClose, Comment, CommentValue, Instant)
Exits A Short Order Based On A Specified Condition
Parameters:
ExitID (string) : Is The Trade ID That Will Be Closed, Defval = "Short"
PercentageClose (float) : Is The Amount To Close The Order At (In Percentage) Defval = 100
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Exit Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Instant (bool) : Is For Exit Execution Type, Defval = false
Returns: Void
BrokerCheck(Broker)
Checks Traded Broker With Current Loaded Chart Broker
Parameters:
Broker (string) : Is The Current Broker That Is Traded
Returns: Bool - True If Current Traded Broker Is Same As Loaded Chart Broker
OpenPC(LicenseID, OrderType, UseLimit, LimitPrice, SymbolPrefix, Symbol, SymbolSuffix, Risk, SL, TP, OrderComment, Spread)
Compiles Given Parameters Into An Alert String Format To Open Trades Using Pine Connector
Parameters:
LicenseID (string) : Is The Users PineConnector LicenseID
OrderType (int) : Is The Desired OrderType To Open
UseLimit (bool) : Is If We Want To Enter The Position At Exactly The Previous Closing Price
LimitPrice (float) : Is The Limit Price Of The Trade (Only For Pending Orders)
SymbolPrefix (string) : Is The Current Symbol Prefix (If Any)
Symbol (string) : Is The Traded Symbol
SymbolSuffix (string) : Is The Current Symbol Suffix (If Any)
Risk (float) : Is The Trade Risk Per Trade / Fixed Lot Sizing
SL (float) : Is The Trade SL In Price / In Pips
TP (float) : Is The Trade TP In Price / In Pips
OrderComment (string) : Is The Executed Trade Comment
Spread (float) : is The Maximum Spread For Execution
Returns: String - Pine Connector Order Syntax Alert Message
ClosePC(LicenseID, OrderType, SymbolPrefix, Symbol, SymbolSuffix)
Compiles Given Parameters Into An Alert String Format To Close Trades Using Pine Connector
Parameters:
LicenseID (string) : Is The Users PineConnector LicenseID
OrderType (int) : Is The Desired OrderType To Close
SymbolPrefix (string) : Is The Current Symbol Prefix (If Any)
Symbol (string) : Is The Traded Symbol
SymbolSuffix (string) : Is The Current Symbol Suffix (If Any)
Returns: String - Pine Connector Order Syntax Alert Message
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Backtesting Calculation Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
CalculatePNL(EntryPrice, ExitPrice, LotSize, ConversionRate)
Calculates Trade PNL Based On Entry, Eixt & Lot Size
Parameters:
EntryPrice (float) : Is The Trade Entry
ExitPrice (float) : Is The Trade Exit
LotSize (float) : Is The Trade Sizing
ConversionRate (float) : Is The Currency Conversion Rate (Used For Complex Lot Sizing Only)
Returns: Float - The Current Trade PNL
UpdateBalance(PrevBalance, PNL)
Updates The Previous Ginve Balance To The Next PNL
Parameters:
PrevBalance (float) : Is The Previous Balance To Be Updated
PNL (float) : Is The Current Trade PNL To Be Added
Returns: Float - The Current Updated PNL
CalculateSlpComm(PNL, MaxRate)
Calculates Random Slippage & Commisions Fees Based On The Parameters
Parameters:
PNL (float) : Is The Current Trade PNL
MaxRate (float) : Is The Upper Limit (In Percentage) Of The Randomized Fee
Returns: Float - A Percentage Fee Of The Current Trade PNL
UpdateDD(MaxBalance, Balance)
Calculates & Updates The DD Based On Its Given Parameters
Parameters:
MaxBalance (float) : Is The Maximum Balance Ever Recorded
Balance (float) : Is The Current Account Balance
Returns: Float - The Current Strategy DD
CalculateWR(TotalTrades, LongID, ShortID)
Calculate The Total, Long & Short Trades Win Rate
Parameters:
TotalTrades (int) : Are The Current Total Trades That The Strategy Has Taken
LongID (string) : Is The Order ID Of The Long Trades Of The Strategy
ShortID (string) : Is The Order ID Of The Short Trades Of The Strategy
Returns: Tuple Of Long WR%, Short WR%, Total WR%, Total Winning Trades, Total Losing Trades, Total Long Trades & Total Short Trades
CalculateAvgRRR(WinTrades, LossTrades)
Calculates The Overall Strategy Avg Risk Reward Ratio
Parameters:
WinTrades (int) : Are The Strategy Winning Trades
LossTrades (int) : Are The Strategy Losing Trades
Returns: Float - The Average RRR Values
CAGR(StartTime, StartPrice, EndTime, EndPrice)
Calculates The CAGR Over The Given Time Period © TradingView
Parameters:
StartTime (int) : Is The Starting Time Of The Calculation
StartPrice (float) : Is The Starting Price Of The Calculation
EndTime (int) : Is The Ending Time Of The Calculation
EndPrice (float) : Is The Ending Price Of The Calculation
Returns: Float - The CAGR Values
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Plot Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
EditLabels(LabelID, X1, Y1, Text, Color, TextColor, EditCondition, DeleteCondition)
Edit / Delete Labels
Parameters:
LabelID (label) : Is The ID Of The Selected Label
X1 (int) : Is The X1 Coordinate IN BARINDEX Xloc
Y1 (float) : Is The Y1 Coordinate IN PRICE Yloc
Text (string) : Is The Text Than Wants To Be Written In The Label
Color (color) : Is The Color Value Change Of The Label Text
TextColor (color)
EditCondition (int) : Is The Edit Condition of The Line (Setting Location / Color)
DeleteCondition (bool) : Is The Delete Condition Of The Line If Ture Deletes The Prev Itteration Of The Line
Returns: Void
EditLine(LineID, X1, Y1, X2, Y2, Color, EditCondition, DeleteCondition)
Edit / Delete Lines
Parameters:
LineID (line) : Is The ID Of The Selected Line
X1 (int) : Is The X1 Coordinate IN BARINDEX Xloc
Y1 (float) : Is The Y1 Coordinate IN PRICE Yloc
X2 (int) : Is The X2 Coordinate IN BARINDEX Xloc
Y2 (float) : Is The Y2 Coordinate IN PRICE Yloc
Color (color) : Is The Color Value Change Of The Line
EditCondition (int) : Is The Edit Condition of The Line (Setting Location / Color)
DeleteCondition (bool) : Is The Delete Condition Of The Line If Ture Deletes The Prev Itteration Of The Line
Returns: Void
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Display Functions (Using Tables)
//====================================================================================================================================================
FillTable(TableID, Column, Row, Title, Value, BgColor, TextColor, ToolTip)
Filling The Selected Table With The Inputed Information
Parameters:
TableID (table) : Is The Table ID That Wants To Be Edited
Column (int) : Is The Current Column Of The Table That Wants To Be Edited
Row (int) : Is The Current Row Of The Table That Wants To Be Edited
Title (string) : Is The String Title Of The Current Cell Table
Value (string) : Is The String Value Of The Current Cell Table
BgColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
TextColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
ToolTip (string) : Is The ToolTip Of The Current Cell In The Table
Returns: Void
DisplayBTResults(TableID, BgColor, TextColor, StartingBalance, Balance, DollarReturn, TotalPips, MaxDD)
Filling The Selected Table With The Inputed Information
Parameters:
TableID (table) : Is The Table ID That Wants To Be Edited
BgColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
TextColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
StartingBalance (float) : Is The Account Starting Balance
Balance (float)
DollarReturn (float) : Is The Account Dollar Reture
TotalPips (float) : Is The Total Pips Gained / loss
MaxDD (float) : Is The Maximum Drawdown Over The Backtesting Period
Returns: Void
DisplayBTResultsV2(TableID, BgColor, TextColor, TotalWR, QTCount, LongWR, ShortWR, InitialCapital, CumProfit, CumFee, AvgRRR, MaxDD, CAGR, MeanDD)
Filling The Selected Table With The Inputed Information
Parameters:
TableID (table) : Is The Table ID That Wants To Be Edited
BgColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
TextColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
TotalWR (float) : Is The Strategy Total WR In %
QTCount (int) : Is The Strategy Questionable Trades Count
LongWR (float) : Is The Strategy Total WR In %
ShortWR (float) : Is The Strategy Total WR In %
InitialCapital (float) : Is The Strategy Initial Starting Capital
CumProfit (float) : Is The Strategy Ending Cumulative Profit
CumFee (float) : Is The Strategy Ending Cumulative Fee (Based On Randomized Fee Assumptions)
AvgRRR (float) : Is The Strategy Average Risk Reward Ratio
MaxDD (float) : Is The Strategy Maximum DrawDown In Its Backtesting Period
CAGR (float) : Is The Strategy Compounded Average GRowth In %
MeanDD (float) : Is The Strategy Mean / Average Drawdown In The Backtesting Period
Returns: Void
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Pattern Detection Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
BullFib(priceLow, priceHigh, fibRatio)
Calculates A Bullish Fibonacci Value (From Swing Low To High) © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
priceLow (float)
priceHigh (float)
fibRatio (float)
Returns: The Fibonacci Value Of The Given Ratio Between The Two Price Points
BearFib(priceLow, priceHigh, fibRatio)
Calculates A Bearish Fibonacci Value (From Swing High To Low) © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
priceLow (float)
priceHigh (float)
fibRatio (float)
Returns: The Fibonacci Value Of The Given Ratio Between The Two Price Points
GetBodySize()
Gets The Current Candle Body Size IN POINTS © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The Current Candle Body Size IN POINTS
GetTopWickSize()
Gets The Current Candle Top Wick Size IN POINTS © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The Current Candle Top Wick Size IN POINTS
GetBottomWickSize()
Gets The Current Candle Bottom Wick Size IN POINTS © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The Current Candle Bottom Wick Size IN POINTS
GetBodyPercent()
Gets The Current Candle Body Size As A Percentage Of Its Entire Size Including Its Wicks © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The Current Candle Body Size IN PERCENTAGE
GetTopWickPercent()
Gets The Current Top Wick Size As A Percentage Of Its Entire Body Size
Returns: Float - The Current Candle Top Wick Size IN PERCENTAGE
GetBottomWickPercent()
Gets The Current Bottom Wick Size As A Percentage Of Its Entire Bodu Size
Returns: Float - The Current Candle Bottom Size IN PERCENTAGE
BullishEC(Allowance, RejectionWickSize, EngulfWick, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Bullish Engulfing Candle
Parameters:
Allowance (int) : To Give Flexibility Of Engulfing Pattern Detection In Markets That Have Micro Gaps, Defval = 0
RejectionWickSize (float) : To Filter Out long (Upper And Lower) Wick From The Bullsih Engulfing Pattern, Defval = na
EngulfWick (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Also Engulf Its Upper & Lower Previous Wicks, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Be Near A Recent Swing Low, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing Low, Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Bullish Engulfing Candle
BearishEC(Allowance, RejectionWickSize, EngulfWick, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Bearish Engulfing Candle
Parameters:
Allowance (int) : To Give Flexibility Of Engulfing Pattern Detection In Markets That Have Micro Gaps, Defval = 0
RejectionWickSize (float) : To Filter Out long (Upper And Lower) Wick From The Bearish Engulfing Pattern, Defval = na
EngulfWick (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Also Engulf Its Upper & Lower Previous Wicks, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Be Near A Recent Swing High, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing High, Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Bearish Engulfing Candle
Hammer(Fib, ColorMatch, NearSwings, SwingLookBack, ATRFilterCheck, ATRPeriod)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Hammer Candle
Parameters:
Fib (float) : To Specify Which Fibonacci Ratio To Use When Determining The Hammer Candle, Defval = 0.382 Ratio
ColorMatch (bool) : To Filter Only Bullish Closed Hammer Candle Pattern, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Doji To Be Near A Recent Swing Low, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing Low, Defval = 10
ATRFilterCheck (float) : To Filter Smaller Hammer Candles That Might Be Better Classified As A Doji Candle, Defval = 1
ATRPeriod (simple int) : To Change ATR Period Of The ATR Filter, Defval = 20
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Hammer Candle
Star(Fib, ColorMatch, NearSwings, SwingLookBack, ATRFilterCheck, ATRPeriod)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Hammer Candle
Parameters:
Fib (float) : To Specify Which Fibonacci Ratio To Use When Determining The Hammer Candle, Defval = 0.382 Ratio
ColorMatch (bool) : To Filter Only Bullish Closed Hammer Candle Pattern, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Doji To Be Near A Recent Swing Low, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing Low, Defval = 10
ATRFilterCheck (float) : To Filter Smaller Hammer Candles That Might Be Better Classified As A Doji Candle, Defval = 1
ATRPeriod (simple int) : To Change ATR Period Of The ATR Filter, Defval = 20
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Hammer Candle
Doji(MaxWickSize, MaxBodySize, DojiType, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Doji Candle
Parameters:
MaxWickSize (float) : To Specify The Maximum Lenght Of Its Upper & Lower Wick, Defval = 2
MaxBodySize (float) : To Specify The Maximum Lenght Of Its Candle Body IN PERCENT, Defval = 0.05
DojiType (int)
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Doji To Be Near A Recent Swing High / Low (Only In Dragonlyf / Gravestone Mode), Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing High / Low (Only In Dragonlyf / Gravestone Mode), Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Doji Candle
BullishIB(Allowance, RejectionWickSize, EngulfWick, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Bullish Harami Candle
Parameters:
Allowance (int) : To Give Flexibility Of Harami Pattern Detection In Markets That Have Micro Gaps, Defval = 0
RejectionWickSize (float) : To Filter Out long (Upper And Lower) Wick From The Bullsih Harami Pattern, Defval = na
EngulfWick (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Also Engulf Its Upper & Lower Previous Wicks, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Be Near A Recent Swing Low, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing Low, Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Bullish Harami Candle
BearishIB(Allowance, RejectionWickSize, EngulfWick, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Bullish Harami Candle
Parameters:
Allowance (int) : To Give Flexibility Of Harami Pattern Detection In Markets That Have Micro Gaps, Defval = 0
RejectionWickSize (float) : To Filter Out long (Upper And Lower) Wick From The Bearish Harami Pattern, Defval = na
EngulfWick (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Also Engulf Its Upper & Lower Previous Wicks, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Be Near A Recent Swing High, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing High, Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Bearish Harami Candle
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Time Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
BarInSession(sess, useFilter)
Determines if the current price bar falls inside the specified session © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
sess (simple string)
useFilter (bool)
Returns: A boolean - true if the current bar falls within the given time session
BarOutSession(sess, useFilter)
Determines if the current price bar falls outside the specified session © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
sess (simple string)
useFilter (bool)
Returns: A boolean - true if the current bar falls outside the given time session
DateFilter(startTime, endTime)
Determines if this bar's time falls within date filter range © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
startTime (int)
endTime (int)
Returns: A boolean - true if the current bar falls within the given dates
DayFilter(monday, tuesday, wednesday, thursday, friday, saturday, sunday)
Checks if the current bar's day is in the list of given days to analyze © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
monday (bool)
tuesday (bool)
wednesday (bool)
thursday (bool)
friday (bool)
saturday (bool)
sunday (bool)
Returns: A boolean - true if the current bar's day is one of the given days
AUSSess()
Checks If The Current Australian Forex Session In Running
Returns: Bool - True If Currently The Australian Session Is Running
ASIASess()
Checks If The Current Asian Forex Session In Running
Returns: Bool - True If Currently The Asian Session Is Running
EURSess()
Checks If The Current European Forex Session In Running
Returns: Bool - True If Currently The European Session Is Running
USSess()
Checks If The Current US Forex Session In Running
Returns: Bool - True If Currently The US Session Is Running
UNIXToDate(Time, ConversionType, TimeZone)
Converts UNIX Time To Datetime
Parameters:
Time (int) : Is The UNIX Time Input
ConversionType (int) : Is The Datetime Output Format, Defval = DD-MM-YYYY
TimeZone (string) : Is To Convert The Outputed Datetime Into The Specified Time Zone, Defval = Exchange Time Zone
Returns: String - String Of Datetime
Optimized Zhaocaijinbao strategyIntroduction:
The Optimized Zhaocaijinbao strategy is a mid and long-term quantitative trading strategy that combines momentum and trend factors. It generates buy and sell signals by using a combination of exponential moving averages, moving averages, volume and slope indicators. It generates buy signals when the stock is above the 35-day moving average, the trading volume is higher than the 20-day moving average, and the stock is in an upward trend on a weekly timeframe."招财进宝" is a Chinese phrase that can be translated to "Attract Wealth and Bring in Treasure" in English. It is a common expression used to wish for good luck and prosperity in various contexts, such as in business or personal finances.
Highlights:
The strategy has several special optimizations that make it unique.
Firstly, the strategy is optimized for T+1 trading in the Chinese stock market and is only suitable for long positions. The optimizations are also applicable to international stock markets.
Secondly, the trend strategy is optimized to only show indicators on the right side and oscillations. This helps to prevent false signals in choppy markets.
Thirdly, the strategy uses a risk factor for dynamic position sizing to ensure position sizes are adjusted according to the current net asset value and risk preferences. This helps to lower drawdown risks.
The strategy has good resilience even without using stop loss modules in backtesting, making it suitable for trading hourly, 2-hourly, and daily K-line charts (depending on the stock being traded). We recommend experimenting with backtesting using SSE 1-hour or 2-hour or daily Kline charts.
Backtesting outcomes:
The strategy was backtested over the period from October 13th, 2005 to April 14th, 2023, using daily candlestick charts for the commodity code SSE:600763, with a currency of CNY and tick size of 0.01. The strategy used an initial capital of 1,000,000 CNY, with order sizes set to 10% equity and a pyramid of 1 order. The strategy also had a Max Position Size of 0.01 and a Risk Factor of 2.
Here is a summary of the performance of the trading strategy:
Total net profit: 288,577.32 CNY, representing a return of 128.86%
Total number of closed trades: 61
Winning trades: 37, representing a win rate of 60.66%
Profit factor: 2.415
Largest losing trade: 222,021.46 CNY, representing a loss of 14.08%
Average trade: 21,124.22 CNY, representing a return of 3.1%
Average holding period for all trades: 12 days
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the Optimized Zhaocaijinbao strategy is a mid and long-term quantitative trading strategy that combines momentum and trend factors. It is suitable for both Chinese stocks and global stocks. While the Optimized Zhaocaijinbao strategy has performed well in backtesting, it is important to note that past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis and exercise caution when using any trading strategy.
Heikin Ashi Candle Startegy for Long PositionThis strategy utilize Heikin-Ashi candlestick chart.
Heikin-Ashi technique is a Japanese candlestick-based technical trading tool that uses candlestick charts to represent and visualize market price data.
Heikin-Ashi candle is essentially taking an average of the movement.
There is a tendency with Heikin-Ashi for the candles to stay red during a downtrend and green during an uptrend.
This strategy only apply for long trading position.
The idea is trader will waiting 3 green candles for validation period (confirmation) before entering long position.
Different timeframe will result different result.
Number of validation period can be changed to see different result
This strategy has parameter for take profit percentage, trailing stop and stop loss.
User can set maximum active position to minimize risk and qty order.
This tool is useful for user who wants to backtest Heikin-Ashi trading strategy.
Script will emit alert when long position is opened and closed.
Warning of Backtesting
Backtesting is backward-looking. As the name implies, you are testing how something would have worked if you traded it perfectly in the past.
Past performance does not indicate future performance and you should not assume it does.
Backtesting assumes you never miss-fire, that you get in and out at the exactly perfect moment each time.
Backtesting assumes you have perfect liquidity, and your limit orders fill at a specific, pre-defined price every time (either the open, close, low, high, or some average of these).
Disclaimer
Do your own research and consider fundamental price of asset.
The indicators provided on this script is for educational purposes only.
Author does not offer advisory or brokerage services, nor does it recommend or advise users to buy or sell particular stocks or securities.
Please examined script and give feedback for further improvement.
Script are open to public, everyone see and clone source code or just apply to chart. Please make comment for improvement.
Patient Trendfollower (7)(alpha)Patient Trendfollower consists of 21 and 55 EMA, Commodity Channel Index and Supertrend indicator. It confirms a trend and gives you a signal on a pullback. Original creation worked on 1h EURUSD chart.
►Long setup:
• 21 EMA is above 55 EMA, which is above the Supertrend indicator.
• Commodity Channel Index is an oscillator, which prints into the chart if extreme levels are reached. Green is for a level above 100 or below -100, red is above 140 or below -140 and black is above 180 or below -180.
• If 21 EMA > 55EMA > Supertrend and an oversold signal appear, you can buy into the trend.
• When backtesting on 1h EURUSD, profit target 400 pips worked best with a stop-loss below Supertrend's bottom and the size of your spread.
• A picture shows two valid entries.
: This part still malfunctions and shows red dots over some green ones. It is important to disable red ones in the settings to see green ones.
Some more long signals:
Some short signals:
►Backtesting data with default settings and trading only green CCI signals with mentioned risk management strategy:
• 212 closed trades
• 58.96% profitable with average win trade 348 USD and average loss trade 263 USD when only green signals are followed.
• Profit factor 1.903, Sharpee 0.792
• 20 bars is average for all trades, short trades were 18 bars long on average.
With given data, you can see the strategy is profitable by itself. However, original risk management settings do work only on 1h charts of EURUSD and would need to be adjusted for other instruments based on average volatility.
Even though the profitability is low, you can increase your odds by a great margin, if you properly use price action (impulsive and corrective moves, patterns, bar analysis), if you trade when major exchanges are open, you may also use wave analysis such as Elliot Waves or Market Profiles to predict whether the next day might be a trending day. My backtesting program didn't consider these ideas.
Unfortunately, I won't be making backtesting strategy public with it anytime soon, because it still has some parts that do not work. I am ok with that since I understand the code and know what does malfunction and how. Then, there are parts which I am not sure how to fix yet. This is why the indicator is still considered alpha.
In the future when a strategy is published, you will also be able to set your own overbought/oversold values without entering the code itself and probably some other features. But I am not in a hurry for that. You can give me feedback on UX and try to figure out the best setups for other symbols, it might help to improve the automatic testing script when I know what I should achieve. My main point is to make this public for friends who can already be using it on EURUSD at least.
Close doesn't always have to be 400 pips, you might want to close on a logical level such as strong resistance or a trendline too.
Thanks to:
• @everget for providing Supertrend solution.
• Satik FX who hand-tested the system by hand and reported results in this article . He is my main inspiration for creating the complete indicator as one because I want to be able to show and hide it with a single click. My future scripts will also work as a whole strategy each by itself.
• The number in the script's name comes from Satik's numbering. A mentioned article was his seventh shared strategy.
HatiKO EnvelopesPublished source code is subject to the terms of the GNU Affero General Public License v3.0
This script describes and provides backtesting functionality to internal strategy of algorithmic crypto trading software "HatiKO bot".
Suitable for backtesting any Cryptocurrency Pair on any Exchange/Platform, any Timeframe.
Core Mechanics of this strategy are based on theory of price always returning to Moving Average + Envelopes indicator (Moving_average_envelope from Wiki)
Developement of this script and trading software is inspired by:
"Essential Technical Analysis: Tools and Techniques to Spot Market Trends" by Leigh Stevens (published on 12th of April 2002)
"Moving Average Envelopes" by ChartSchool, StockCharts platform (published on 13th of April 2015 or earlier)
"Коля Колеснік" from Crypto Times channel ("Метод сетка", published on 19th of August 2018)
"3 ways to use Moving Average Envelopes" by Rich Fitton, published on Trader's Nest (published on 28st of November 2018 or earlier)
noro's "Robot WhiteBox ShiftMA" strategy v1 script, published on TradingView platform (published on 29th of August 2018)
"Moving Average Envelopes: A Popular Trading Tool" Investopedia article (published 25th of June 2019)
and KROOL1980's blogpost on Argolabs ("Гридерство или Сетка как источник прибыли на форекс", published on 27th of February 2015)
Core Features:
1) Up to 4 Envelopes in each direction (Long/Short)
2) Use any of 6 different basis MAs, optionally use different MAs for Opening and Closure
3) Use different Timeframes for MA calculation, without any repainting and lookahead bias.
4) Fixed order size, not Martingale strategy
5) Close open position earlier by using Deviation parameter
6) PineScript v4 code
Options description:
Lot - % from your initial balance to use for order size calculation
Timeframe Short - Timeframe to use for Short Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is Current Graph Timeframe
MA Type Short - Type of MA to use for Short Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is SMA
Data Short - Source of Price for Short Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is OHLC4
MA Length Short - Period used for Short Opening MA calculation, should be >=1, default is 3
MA offset Short - Offset for MA value used for Short Envelopes calculation, should be >= 0, default is 0
Timeframe Long - Timeframe to use for Long Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is Current Graph Timeframe
MA Type Long - Type of MA to use for Long Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is SMA
Data Long - Source of Price for Long Opening MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is OHLC4
MA Length Long - Period used for Long Opening MA calculation, should be >=1, default is 3
MA offset Long - Offset for MA value used for Long Envelopes calculation, should be >= 0, default is 0
Mode close MA Short - Enable different MA for Short position Closure, default is "false". If false, Closure MA = Opening MA
Timeframe Short Close - Timeframe to use for Short Position Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is Current Graph Timeframe
MA Type Close Short - Type of MA to use for Short Position Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is SMA
Data Short Close - Source of Price for Short Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is OHLC4
MA Length Short Close - Period used for Short Opening MA calculation, should be >=1, default is 3
Short Deviation - % to move from MA value, used to close position above or beyond MA, can be negative, default is 0
MA offset Short Close - Offset for MA value used for Short Position Closure calculation, should be >= 0, default is 0
Mode close MA Long - Enable different MA for Long position Closure, default is "false". If false, Closure MA = Opening MA
Timeframe Long Close - Timeframe to use for Long Position Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is Current Graph Timeframe
MA Type Close Long - Type of MA to use for Long Position Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is SMA
Data Long Close - Source of Price for Long Closure MA calculation, can be chosen from dropdown list, default is OHLC4
MA Length Long Close - Period used for Long Opening MA calculation, should be >=1, default is 3
Long Deviation - % to move from MA value, used to close position above or beyond MA, can be negative, default is 0
MA offset Long Close - Offset for MA value used for Long Position Closure calculation, should be >= 0, default is 0
Short Shift 1..4 - % from MA value to put Envelopes at, for Shorts numbers should be positive, the higher is number, the higher should be Shift position, example: "Shift 1 = 1, shift 2 = 2, etc."
Long Shift 1..4 - % from MA value to put Envelopes at, for Longs numbers should be negative, the lower is number, the lower should be Shift position, example: "Shift 1 = -1, shift 2 = -2, etc."
From Year 20XX - Backtesting Starting Year number, only 20xx supported as script is cryptocurrency-oriented.
To Year 20XX - Backtesting Final Year number, only 20xx supported as script is cryptocurrency-oriented.
From Month - Years starting Month, optional tweaking, changing not recommended
To Month - Years ending Month, optional tweaking, changing not recommended
From day - Months starting day, optional tweaking, changing not recommended
To day - Months ending day, optional tweaking, changing not recommended
Graph notes:
Green lines - Long Envelopes.
Red lines - Short Envelopes.
Orange line - MA for closing of Short positions.
Lime line - MA for closing of Long positions.
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Опубликованный исходный код регулируется Условиями Стандартной Общественной Лицензии GNU Affero v3.0
Этот скрипт описывает и предоставляет функции бектеста для внутренней стратегии алгоритмического программного обеспечения "HatiKO bot".
Подходит для тестирования любой криптовалютной пары на любой бирже/платформе, на любом таймфрейме.
Кор-механика этой стратегии основана на теории всегда возвращающейся к значению МА цены с использованием индикатора Envelopes (Moving_average_envelope from Wiki)
Разработка этого скрипта и программного обеспечения для торговли вдохновлена следующими источниками:
Книга "Essential Technical Analysis: Tools and Techniques to Spot Market Trends" Ли Стивенса (опубликовано 12 апреля 2002 года)
«Moving Average Envelopes» от ChartSchool, платформа StockCharts (опубликовано 13 апреля 2015 года или раньше)
«Коля Колеснік» с канала Crypto Times («Метод сетка», опубликовано 19 августа 2018 года)
«3 ways to use Moving Average Envelopes» Рича Фиттона, опубликованные в «Trader's Nest» (опубликовано 28 ноября 2018 года или раньше)
Скрипт стратегии noro "Robot WhiteBox ShiftMA" v1, опубликованный на платформе TradingView(опубликовано 29 августа 2018 года)
«Moving Average Envelopes: A Popular Trading Tool», статья Investopedia (опубликовано 25 июня 2019 года)
Блог KROOL1980 из Argolabs («Гридерство или Сетка как источник прибыли на форекс», опубликовано 27 февраля 2015 года)
Основные особенности:
1) До 4-х Ордеров в каждом из направлении (Лонг / Шорт)
2) Выбор из 6-ти разных базовых МА, опционально используйте разные МА для открытия и закрытия.
3) Используйте разные таймфреймы для расчета MA, без перерисовки и "эффекта стеклянного шара".
4) Фиксированный размер ордера, а не стратегия Мартингейла
5) Возможность закрытия открытой позиции заблаговременно, используя параметр Deviation
6) Код реализован на PineScript v4
Описание параметров:
Lot - % от вашего первоначального баланса, используется при расчете размера Ордера
Timeframe Short - таймфрейм, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию - таймфрейм текущего графика
MA Type Short - тип MA, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию SMA
Data Short - источник цены для расчета МА Открытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию OHLC4
MA Length Short - период, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Шорт позиций, должен быть >= 1, по умолчанию 3
MA Offset Short - смещение значения MA, используемого для расчета Шорт Ордеров, должно быть >= 0, по умолчанию 0
Timeframe Long - таймфрейм, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию - таймфрейм текущего графика
MA Type Long - тип MA, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию SMA
Data Long - источник цены для расчета МА Открытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию OHLC4
MA Length Long - период, используемый для расчета МА Открытия Лонг позиций, должен быть >= 1, по умолчанию 3
MA Offset Long - смещение значения MA, используемого для расчета Лонг Ордеров, должно быть >= 0, по умолчанию 0
Mode close MA Short - Включает отдельное MA для закрытия Шорт позиции, по умолчанию «false». Если false, MA Закрытия = MA Открытия
Timeframe Short Close - таймфрейм, используемый для расчета МА Закрытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию - таймфрейм текущего графика
MA Type Close Short - тип MA, используемый при расчете МА Закрытия Шорт позиции. Mожно выбрать из списка, по умолчанию SMA
Data Short Close - источник цены для расчета МА Закрытия Шорт позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию OHLC4
MA Length Short Close - период, используемый для расчета МА Закрытия Шорт позиции, должен быть >= 1, по умолчанию 3
Short Deviation - % отклонения от значения MA, используется для закрытия позиции выше или ниже рассчитанного значения MA, может быть отрицательным, по умолчанию 0
MA Offset Short Close - смещение значения MA, используемого для расчета закрытия Шорт позиции, должно быть >= 0, по умолчанию 0
Mode close MA Long - Включает разные MA для закрытия Лонг позиции, по умолчанию «false». Если false, MA Закрытия = MA Открытия
Timeframe Long Close - таймфрейм, используемый для расчета МА Закрытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию - таймфрейм текущего графика
MA Type Close Long - тип MA, используемый при расчете МА Закрытия Лонг позиции. Mожно выбрать из списка, по умолчанию SMA
Data Long Close - источник цены для расчета МА Закрытия Лонг позиций, может быть выбран из списка, по умолчанию OHLC4
MA Length Long Close - период, используемый для расчета МА Закрытия Лонг позиции, должен быть >= 1, по умолчанию 3
Long Deviation -% для перехода от значения MA, используется для закрытия позиции выше или ниже рассчитанного значения MA, может быть отрицательным, по умолчанию 0
MA Offset Long Close - смещение значения MA, используемого для расчета закрытия Лонг позиции, должно быть >= 0, по умолчанию 0
Short Shift 1..4 - % от значения MA для размещения Ордеров, для Шорт Ордеров должен быть положительным, чем выше номер, тем выше должна располагаться позиция Shift, например: «Shift 1 = 1, Shift 2 = 2 и т.д. "
Long Shift 1..4 - % от значения MA для размещения Ордеров, для Лонг Ордеров должно быть отрицательным, чем ниже число, тем ниже должна располагаться позиция Shift, например: «Shift 1 = -1, Shift 2 = -2, и т.д."
From Year 20XX - Год начала тестирования, из-за ориентированности на криптовалюты поддерживаются только значения формата 20хх.
To Year 20XX - Год окончания тестирования, из-за ориентированности на криптовалюты поддерживаются только значения формата 20хх.
From Month - Начальный месяц, опционально, менять не рекомендуется
To Month - Конечный месяц, опционально, менять не рекомендуется
From day - Начальный день месяца, опционально, менять не рекомендуется
To day - Конечный день месяца, опционально, менять не рекомендуется
Пояснения к графику:
Зеленые линии - Лонг Ордера.
Красные линии - Шорт Ордера.
Оранжевая линия - MA Закрытия Шорт позиций.
Лаймовая линия - MA Закрытия Лонг позиций.
SMA Cross Entry & Exit StrategyThis is a TradingView Strategy Script meaning you can't execute real trades using your exchange API connected to your TradingView account, it is designed for backtesting only
This is a basic backtesting script for charting the bullish and bearish cross of two user defined simple moving averages, select the cog next to the name of the script ON the price chart in the left hand corner. The script will print to the screen either "Long Entry" or "Short Entry" depending on the direction of the cross. The script using TradingView strategies will subsequently close the opposite of the position that is executed when the bullish or bearish cross occurs. Simply put, if you are short and a bullish cross occurs, your short trade will close and be logged in strategies and the long will fire. You can pyramid the long and short positions to continue entering as long as the trend doesn't flip. You will find this in the script settings. Since this script is for backtesting you can manually set the "backtesting range" for TradingView Strategies and firing the "Long Entry" and "Short Entry". This as well, is in the settings.
Notice: When the SMA cross occurs, you have to wait till the next candle before TradingView Strategy will print the "Long Entry" or "Short Entry" to the screen
TradingView - How To Use Strategies: www.tradingview.com
Noro's SILA v1.6L StrategyBacktesting
Backtesting (for all the time of existence of couple) only with software configurations to default (without optimization of parameters):
US = Uptrend-Sensivity
DS = Downtrend-Sensivity
It is recommended and by default:
- the normal market requires US=DS (for example US=5, DS=5)
- very bear market requires US DS, (for example US=5, DS=0)
- very bull market requires US DS, (US=0, DS=5)
Cryptocurrencies it is very bull market (US=0, DS=5)
Backtesting BTC/FIAT
D1 timeframe
identical parameters for all pairs
BTC/USD (Bitstamp) profit of +41805%
BTC/EUR (BTC-e) profit of +1147%
BTC/RUB (BTC-e) profit of +1162%
BTC/JPY (Bitflyer) profit of +215%
BTC/CNY (BTCChina) profit of 54948%
Backtesting ALTCOIN/BTC
D1 timeframe
identical parameters for all pairs
the exchange Poloniex
top-10 of cryptocurrencies on capitalization at the time of this text
NA = TradingView can't make backtest because of too low price of this cryptocurrency, or on the website there are no quotations of this cryptocurrency
ETH/BTC (Etherium) profit of +11690%
XRP/BTC (Ripple) loss of-100%
LTC/BTC (Litecoin) NA
ETC/BTC (Etherium Classic) profit of +214%
NEM/BTC loss of-49%
DASH/BTC profit of +106%
IOTA/BTC NA
XMR/BTC (Monero) profit of +96%
STRAT/BTC (Stratis) loss of-31%
ALTCOIN/ALTCOIN - not recomended
I don't need your money, I need reputation and likes.
