Bullrun Profit Maximizer [QuantraSystems]Bullrun Profit Maximizer
Quantra Systems guarantees that the information created and published within this document and on the Tradingview platform is fully compliant with applicable regulations, does not constitute investment advice, and is not exclusively intended for qualified investors.
Important Note!
The system equity curve presented here has been generated as part of the process of testing and verifying the methodology behind this script.
Crucially, it was developed after the system was conceptualized, designed, and created, which helps to mitigate the risk of overfitting to historical data. In other words, the system was built for robustness, not for simply optimizing past performance.
This ensures that the system is less likely to degrade in performance over time, compared to hyper optimized systems that are tailored to past data. No tweaks or optimizations were made to this system post backtest.
Even More Important Note!!
The nature of markets is that they change quickly and unpredictably. Past performance does not guarantee future results - this is a fundamental rule in trading and investing.
While this system is designed with broad, flexible conditions to adapt quickly to a range of market environments, it is essential to understand that no assumptions should be made about future returns based on historical data. Markets are inherently uncertain, and this system - like all trading systems - cannot predict future outcomes.
Introduction
The "Adaptive Pairwise Momentum System" is not a prototype to the Bullrun Profit Maximizer (BPM) . The Bullrun Profit Maximizer is a fully re-engineered, higher frequency momentum system.
The Bullrun Profit Maximizer (BPM) uses a completely different filter logic and refines momentum calculations, specifically to support higher frequency trading on Crypto's Blue Chip assets. It correctly calculates fees and slippage by compounding them against System Profit before plotting the equity curve.
Unlike prior systems, this script utilizes a completely new filter logic and refined momentum calculation, specifically built to support higher frequency trading on blue-chip assets, while minimizing the impact of fees and slippage.
While the APMS focuses on Macro Trend Alignment, the BPM instead applies an equity curve based filter, allowing for targeted precision on the current asset’s trend without relying on broader market conditions. This approach delivers more responsive and asset specific signals, enhancing agility in today’s fast paced crypto markets.
The BPM dynamically optimizes capital allocation across up to four high performing assets, ensuring that the portfolio adapts swiftly to changing market conditions. The system logic consists of sophisticated quantitative methods, rapid momentum analysis and alpha cyclicality/seasonality optimizations. The overarching goal is to ensure that the portfolio is always invested in the highest performing asset based on dynamic market conditions, while at the same time managing risk through rapid asset filters and internal mechanisms like alpha cyclicality, volatility and beta analysis.
In addition to these core functionalities, the BPM comes with the typical Quantra Systems UI design, structured to reduce data clutter and provide users with only the most essential, impactful information. The BPM UI format delivers clear and easy to read signals. It enables rapid decision making in a high frequency environment without compromising on depth or accuracy.
Bespoke Logic Filtering with Equity Curve Precision
The BPM script utilizes a completely new methodology and focuses on intraday rotations of blue-chip crypto assets, while previously built systems were designed with a longer term focus in mind.
In response to the need for more precise signal generation, the BPM replaces the previous macro trend filter with a new, highly specific equity curve activation filter. This unique logic filter is driven solely by the performance trends of the asset currently held by the system. By analyzing the equity curve directly, this system can make more targeted, timely allocations based on asset specific momentum, allowing for quick adjustments that are more relevant to the held asset rather than general market conditions.
The benefits of this new, unique approach are twofold: first, it avoids premature allocation shifts based on broader macro movements, and second, it enables the system to adapt dynamically to the performance of each asset individually. This asset specific filtering allows traders to capitalize on localized strength within individual blue-chip cryptoassets without being affected by lags in the overall market trend.
High Frequency Momentum Calculation for Enhanced Flexibility
The BPM incorporates a newly designed momentum calculation that increases its suitability across lower timeframes. This new momentum indicator captures and processes more data points within a shorter window than ever before, rather than extending bar intervals and potentially losing high frequency detail. This creates a smooth, data rich featureset that is especially suited for blue-chip assets, where liquidity reduces slippage and fees, making higher frequency trading viable.
By retaining more data, this system captures subtle shifts in momentum more effectively than traditional approaches, offering higher resolution insights. These modifications result in a system capable of generating highly responsive signals on faster timeframes, empowering traders to act quickly in volatile markets.
User Interface and Enhanced Readability
The BPM also features a reimagined, streamlined user interface, making it easier than ever to monitor essential signals at a glance. The new layout minimizes extraneous data points in the tables, leaving only the most actionable information for traders. This cleaner presentation is purpose built to help traders identify the strongest asset in real time, with clear, color coded signals to facilitate swift decision making in fast moving markets.
Equity Stats Table : Designed for clarity, the stats table focuses on the current allocation’s performance metrics, emphasizing the most critical metrics without unnecessary clutter.
Color Coded Highlights : The interface includes the option to highlight both the current top performing asset, and historical allocations - with indicators of momentum shifts and performance metrics readily accessible.
Clear Signals : Visual cues are presented in an enhanced way to improve readability, including simplified line coloring, and improve visualization of the outperforming assets in the allocation table.
Dynamic Asset Reallocation
The BPM dynamically allocates capital to the strongest performing asset in a selected pool. This system incorporates a re-engineered, pairwise momentum measurement designed to operate at higher frequencies. The system evaluates each asset against others in real time, ensuring only the highest momentum asset receives allocation. This approach keeps the portfolio positioned for maximum efficiency, with an updated weighting logic that favors assets showing both strength and sustainability.
Position Changes and Slippage Calculation
Position changes are optimized for faster reallocation, with realistic slippage and fee calculations factored into each trade. The system’s structure minimizes the impact of these costs on blue-chip assets, allowing for more active management on short timeframes without incurring significant drag on performance.
A Special Note on Fees + Slippage
In the image above, the system has been applied to four different timeframes - 12h, 8h, 4h and 1h - using identical settings and a selected slippage and fees amount of 0.2%. In this stress test, we isolate the choppy downwards period from the previous Bitcoin all time high - set in March 2024, to the current date where Bitcoin is currently sitting at around the same level.
This illustrates an important concept: starting at the 12h, the system performed better as the timeframes decreased. In fact, only on the 4hr chart did the system equity curve make a new all time high alongside Bitcoin. It is worth noting that market phases that are “non-trending” are generally the least profitable periods to use a momentum/trend system - as most systems will get caught by false momentum and will “buy the top,” and then proceed to “sell the bottom.”
Lower timeframes typically offer more data points for the algorithm to compute over, and enable quicker entries and exits within a robust system, often reducing downside risk and compounding gains more effectively - in all market environments.
However, slippage, fees, and execution constraints are still limiting factors. Although blue-chip cryptocurrencies are more liquid and can be traded with lower fees compared to low cap assets, frequent trading on lower timeframes incurs cumulative slippage costs. With the BPM system set to a realistic slippage rate of 0.2% per trade, this example emphasizes how even lower fees impact performance as trade frequency increases.
Finding the optimal balance between timeframe and slippage impact requires careful consideration of factors such as portfolio size, liquidity of selected tokens, execution speed, and the fee rate of the exchange you execute trades on.
Number of Position Changes
Understanding the number of position changes in a strategy is critical to assessing its feasibility in real world trading. Frequent position changes can lead to increased costs due to slippage and fees. Monitoring the number of position changes provides insight into the system’s behavior - helping to evaluate how active the strategy is and whether it aligns with the trader's desired time input for position management.
Equity Curve and Performance Calculations
To provide a benchmark, the script also generates a Buy-and-Hold (or "HODL") equity curve that represents a 100% allocation to Bitcoin, the highest market cap cryptoasset. This allows users to easily compare the performance of the dynamic rotation system with that of a more traditional investment strategy.
The script tracks key performance metrics for both the dynamic portfolio and the HODL strategy, including:
Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe Ratio is a key metric that evaluates a portfolio’s risk adjusted return by comparing its ‘excess’ return to its volatility. Traditionally, the Sharpe Ratio measures returns relative to a risk-free rate. However, in our system’s calculation, we omit the risk-free rate and instead measure returns above a benchmark of 0%. This adjustment provides a more universal comparison, especially in the context of highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies, where a traditional risk-free benchmark, such as the usual 3-month T-bills, is often irrelevant or too distant from the realities of the crypto market.
By using 0% as the baseline, we focus purely on the strategy's ability to generate raw returns in the face of market risk, which makes it easier to compare performance across different strategies or asset classes. In an environment like cryptocurrency, where volatility can be extreme, the importance of relative return against a highly volatile backdrop outweighs comparisons to a risk-free rate that bears little resemblance to the risk profile of digital assets.
Sortino Ratio
The Sortino Ratio improves upon the Sharpe Ratio by specifically targeting downside risk and leaves the upside potential untouched. In contrast to the Sharpe Ratio (which penalizes both upside and downside volatility), the Sortino Ratio focuses only on negative return deviations. This makes it a more suitable metric for evaluating strategies like the Bullrun Profit Maximizer - that aim to minimize drawdowns without restricting upside capture. By measuring returns relative to a 0% baseline, the Sortino ratio provides a clearer assessment of how well the system generates gains while avoiding substantial losses in highly volatile markets like crypto.
Omega Ratio
The Omega Ratio is calculated as the ratio of gains to losses across all return thresholds, providing a more complete view of how the system balances upside and downside risk even compared to the Sortino Ratio. While it achieves a similar outcome to the Sortino Ratio by emphasizing the system's ability to capture gains while limiting losses, it is technically a mathematically superior method. However, we include both the Omega and Sortino ratios in our metric table, as the Sortino Ratio remains more widely recognized and commonly understood by traders and investors of all levels.
Usage Summary:
While the backtests in this description are generated as if a trader held a portfolio of just the strongest tokens, this was mainly designed as a method of logical verification and not a recommended investment strategy. In practice, this system can be used in multiple ways.
It can be used as above, or as a factor in forming part of a broader asset selection tool, or even a method of filtering tokens by strength in order to inform a day trader which tokens might be optimal to look at, for long-only trading setups on an intrabar timeframe.
Summary
The Bullrun Profit Maximizer is an advanced tool tailored for traders, offering the precision and agility required in today’s markets. With its asset specific equity curve filter, reworked momentum analysis, and streamlined user interface, this system is engineered to maximize gains and minimize risk during bullmarkets, with a strong focus on risk adjusted performance.
Its refined approach, focused on high resolution data processing and adaptive reallocation, makes it a powerful choice for traders looking to capture high quality trends on clue-chip assets, no matter the market’s pace.
Rotation
LRS-Strategy: 200-EMA Buffer & Long/Short Signals LRS-Strategy: 200-EMA Buffer & Long/Short Signals
This indicator is designed to help traders implement the Leveraged Return Strategy (LRS) using the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as a key trend-following signal. The indicator offers clear long and short signals by analyzing the price movements relative to the 200-day EMA, enhanced by customizable buffer zones for increased precision.
Key Features:
200-Day EMA: The main trend indicator. When the price is above the 200-day EMA, the market is considered in an uptrend, and when it is below, it indicates a downtrend.
Customizable Buffer Zones: Users can define a percentage buffer around the 200-day EMA (default is 3%). The upper and lower buffer zones help filter out noise and prevent premature signals.
Precise Long/Short Signals:
Long Signal: Triggered when the price moves from below the lower buffer zone, crosses the 200-day EMA, and then breaks above the upper buffer zone.
Short Signal: Triggered when the price moves from above the upper buffer zone, crosses the 200-day EMA, and then breaks below the lower buffer zone.
Alternating Signals: Ensures that a new signal (long or short) is only generated after the opposite signal has been triggered, preventing multiple signals of the same type without a reversal.
Clear Visual Aids: The indicator displays the 200-day EMA and buffer zones on the chart, along with buy (long) and sell (short) signals. This makes it easy to track trends and time entries/exits.
How to Use:
Long Entry: Look for the price to move below the lower buffer, cross the 200-day EMA from below, and then break out of the upper buffer to confirm a long signal.
Short Entry: Look for the price to move above the upper buffer, cross below the 200-day EMA, and then break below the lower buffer to confirm a short signal.
This indicator is perfect for traders who prefer a structured, trend-following approach, using clear rules to minimize noise and identify meaningful long or short opportunities.
Market Inner Strength IndexThe "Market Inner Strength Index" is an indicator designed to visually represent the market strength by analyzing the six major sectors: XLK, XLV, XLF, XLY, XLC and XLI. These sectors represent more than 80% of the SPX index, making their performance crucial for understanding overall market conditions. The indicator calculates the individual strengths of these sectors and combines them to provide an overall market strength index, helping to identify scenarios of sector rotation, euphoria, or panic.
Rationale:
The six major sectors (XLK, XLV, XLF, XLY, XLC, XLI) are essential as they encompass a significant portion of the SPX index. Typically, money rotates among these sectors, meaning some sectors grow while others decline. Rare occasions where all sectors move in the same direction can indicate market-wide euphoria (upwards) or panic (downwards). The Market Inner Strength Index helps track sector performance and identify these scenarios.
Methodology:
Script requests current timeframe data for each of the sectors and assigns scores, based on its performance. It will work best on the daily and higher timeframes but can also be used on the lower timeframes.
Score assignment:
If the sector is green (positive performance) for the given timeframe, it receives positive points.
If the sector is red (negative performance), it receives negative points.
If the current close price is above the previous period high, additional positive points are assigned.
If the current close price is below the previous period low, additional negative points are assigned.
The scores for the six sectors are averaged to compute a total score, which is plotted on the chart. A table displays the performance of each sector, color-coded based on their scores for the last period.
Parameters:
Neutral Zone : Define the neutral zone threshold.
Heikin Ashi : Option to use Heikin Ashi candles instead of normal ones.
Show Divergency : Option to show divergences on the chart. Divergence occurs when the SPY is bullish, but the sector score is bearish, or vice versa. This option will only work on SPY chart.
Sector selections : Enable/disable specific sectors in score calculation.
Relative Performance Comparison among different sectorsThis script shows how money is moving among different sectors using relative-strength of the corresponding sector-specific largest ETFs against MSCI World. Trend and current value of Relative-strength can be used to determine the sector in which you should make your investment at this point, considering the movement in markets.
Stock Rotation Model [CC]This is an original indicator so a true hidden gem in my opinion. I based this idea off of the work by Giorgos Siligardos (Stocks and Commodities Aug 2012) with his indicator called the Sector Rotation Model. This indicator is best used as a trend confirmation in combination with another indicator such as a leading indicator. This will show you how strong the current stock you are looking at is compared to the S&P 500 which almost everyone uses as a relative strength comparison. Feel free to change the default lengths if you would like as these were just the settings that I liked the best overall. Let me know if you find any good combos that works for most stocks in general. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators or scripts you would like to see me publish!
