Ping-Pong Fade (BB + Absorption Proxy)Ping-Pong Fade is a mean-reversion fade indicator designed to capture short-term reversals at statistically extreme price levels only when real participation and absorption behavior are present.
This script intentionally mashes up Bollinger Bands, volume expansion, and candle structure to filter out weak band touches and isolate defended extremes.
Why This Mashup Exists
Bollinger Band fades fail most often when:
Price is expanding with conviction
Breakouts are supported by strong directional bodies
There is no opposing liquidity at the extremes
This indicator solves that by requiring three independent confirmations before signaling a fade:
Statistical Extremity (Bollinger Bands)
Participation (Volume Expansion)
Absorption / Rejection (Candle Structure)
Only when all three align does the script trigger a signal.
Component Breakdown & How They Work Together
1. Bollinger Bands – Where price should react
Uses a standard SMA + standard deviation envelope
Defines upper and lower statistical extremes
Provides the location for potential fades, not the signal by itself
Bands answer where, not whether.
2. Volume Spike Filter – Who is involved
Compares current volume to a moving average
Requires volume to exceed a configurable multiple
Ensures the interaction at the band is meaningful, not illiquid noise
No volume = no real defense = no trade.
3. Candle Body % (Absorption Proxy) – How price is behaving
Measures candle body relative to full range
Small bodies at the band imply:
Heavy two-sided trading
Aggression being absorbed
Failure to close through the extreme
This acts as a practical proxy for order-flow absorption without requiring Level II or footprint data.
Big range + small body + high volume = pressure met with resistance.
Signal Logic (The “Ping-Pong” Effect)
🔽 Short Fade
Triggered when:
Price probes above the upper Bollinger Band
Volume spikes above normal
Candle shows a small body and fails to close strong at highs
Interpretation:
Buyers pushed price to an extreme, but were absorbed. Expect rotation back toward the mean.
🔼 Long Fade
Triggered when:
Price probes below the lower Bollinger Band
Volume spikes above normal
Candle shows a small body and fails to close strong at lows
Interpretation:
Sellers forced price down, but were absorbed. Expect a bounce toward the mean.
What This Indicator Is Best Used For
Intraday mean-reversion setups
Range-bound or rotational markets
Scalping and short-term fades near extremes
Confirmation layer alongside VWAP, structure, or HTF bias
What It Is Not
A breakout tool
A trend-following indicator
A standalone system without context
Core Philosophy
Extreme + Volume + Failure = Opportunity
Ping-Pong Fade is designed to show you when price tries to escape its range — and fails — allowing you to fade the move with structure and intent.
