TASC 2023.12 Growth and Value Switching System█ OVERVIEW
This script implements a rotation system for trading value and growth ETFs, as developed by Markos Katsanos and detailed in the article titled 'Growth Or Value?' in TASC's December 2023 edition of Traders' Tips . The purpose of this script is to demonstrate how short-term momentum can be employed to track market trends and provide clarity on when to switch between value and growth.
█ CONCEPTS
The central concept of the presented rotation strategy is based on the observation that the stock market undergoes cycles favoring either growth or value stocks. Consequently, the script introduces a momentum trading system that is designed to switch between value and growth equities based on prevailing market conditions. Specifically tailored for long-term index investors, the system focuses on trading Vanguard's value and growth ETFs ( VTV and VUG ) on a weekly timeframe.
To identify the ETF likely to outperform, the script uses a custom relative strength indicator applied to both VTV and VUG in comparison with an index ( SPY ). To minimize risk and drawdowns during bear markets, when both value and growth experience downtrends, the script employs the author's custom volume flow indicator (VFI) and blocks trades when its reading indicates money outflow . Positions are closed if the relative strength of the current open trade ETF falls below that of the other ETF for two consecutive weeks and is also below its moving average. Additionally, the script implements a stop-loss when the ETF is trading below its 40-week moving average, but only during bear markets.
The script plots the relative strengths of the value and growth equities along with the signals triggered by the aforementioned rules. Information about the current readings of the relative strength and volume flow indicators, along with the current open position, is displayed in a table.
█ CALCULATIONS
The script uses the request.security() function to gather price data for both equities and the reference index. Custom relative strength and volume flow indicators are calculated based on the formulas presented in the original article. By default, the script employs the same parameters for these indicators as proposed in the original article for VTV and VUG on a weekly timeframe.
Momentumstrategy
Absolute Momentum (Time Series Momentum)Absolute momentum , also known as time series momentum , focuses on the trend of an asset's own past performance to predict its future performance. It involves analyzing an asset's own historical performance, rather than comparing it to other assets.
The strategy determines whether an asset's price is exhibiting an upward (positive momentum) or downward (negative momentum) trend by assessing the asset's return over a given period (standard look-back period: 12 months or approximately 250 trading days). Some studies recommend calculating momentum by deducting the corresponding Treasury bill rate from the measured performance.
Absolute Momentum Indicator
The Absolute Momentum Indicator displays the rolling 12-month performance (measured over 250 trading days) and plots it against a horizontal line representing 0%. If the indicator crosses above this line, it signifies positive absolute momentum, and conversely, crossing below indicates negative momentum. An additional, optional look-back period input field can be accessed through the settings.
Hint: This indicator is a simplified version, as some academic approaches measure absolute momentum by subtracting risk-free rates from the 12-month performance. However, even with higher rates, the values will still remain close to the 0% line.
Benefits of Absolute Momentum
Absolute momentum, which should not be confused with relative momentum or the momentum indicator, serves as a timing instrument for both individual assets and entire markets.
Gary Antonacci , a key contributor to the absolute momentum strategy (find study below), emphasizes its effectiveness in multi-asset portfolios and its importance in long-only investing. This is particularly evident in a) reducing downside volatility and b) mitigating behavioral biases.
Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen document significant 'time series momentum' across various asset classes, including equity index, currency, commodity, and bond futures, in 58 liquid instruments (find study below). There's a notable persistence in returns ranging from one to 12 months, which tends to partially reverse over longer periods. This pattern aligns with sentiment theories suggesting initial under-reaction followed by delayed over-reaction.
Despite its surprising ease of implementation, the academic community has successfully measured the effects of absolute momentum across decades and in every major asset class, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and foreign exchange (FX).
Strategies for Implementing Absolute Momentum:
To Buy a Stock:
Select a Look-Back Period: Choose a historical period to analyze the stock's performance. A common period is 12 months, but this can vary based on your investment strategy.
Calculate Excess Return: Determine the stock's excess return over this period. You can also assume a risk-free rate of "0" to simplify the process.
Evaluate Momentum:
If the excess return is positive, it indicates positive absolute momentum. This suggests the stock is in an upward trend and could be a good buying opportunity.
If the excess return is negative, it suggests negative momentum, and you might want to delay buying.
Consider further conditions: Align your decision with broader market trends, economic indicators, or fundamental analysis, for additional context.
To Sell a Stock You Own:
Regularly Monitor Performance: Use the same look-back period as for buying (e.g., 12 months) to regularly assess the stock's performance.
Check for Negative Momentum: Calculate the excess return for the look-back period. Again, you can assume a risk-free rate of "0" to simplify the process. If the stock shows negative momentum, it might be time to consider selling.
Consider further conditions:Align your decision with broader market trends, economic indicators, or fundamental analysis, for additional context.
Important note: Note: Entering a position (i.e., buying) based on positive absolute momentum doesn't necessarily mean you must sell it if it later exhibits negative absolute momentum. You can initiate a position using positive absolute momentum as an entry indicator and then continue holding it based on other criteria, such as fundamental analysis.
General Tips:
Reassessment Frequency: Decide how often you will reassess the momentum (monthly, quarterly, etc.).
Remember, while absolute momentum provides a systematic approach, it's recommendable to consider it as part of a broader investment strategy that includes diversification, risk management, fundamental analysis, etc.
Relevant Capital Market Studies:
Antonacci, Gary. "Absolute momentum: A simple rule-based strategy and universal trend-following overlay." Available at SSRN 2244633 (2013)
Moskowitz, Tobias J., Yao Hua Ooi, and Lasse Heje Pedersen. "Time series momentum." Journal of financial economics 104.2 (2012): 228-250
Zaree - FX Index RSI IndicatorDescription:
The "Zaree - FX Index RSI Indicator" (FIRI) is a technical analysis tool designed to provide insights into the relative strength of two selected currency indices using the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It allows traders to compare the RSI values of a primary currency index and a secondary currency index, helping them identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the currency market.
Details of the Indicator:
The indicator calculates the RSI for both the primary and secondary currency indices based on the user's selections.
Traders can choose from a variety of currency indices to use as the primary and secondary indices for comparison.
The indicator offers settings for customizing the calculation of the RSI, including selecting the type of moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, SMMA) and adjusting the length of the RSI and moving average.
Upper and lower RSI bands are displayed on the chart to highlight potential overbought and oversold conditions.
The RSI values and their corresponding moving average values are plotted on the chart, allowing traders to visually analyze the relative strength of the indices.
How to Use the Indicator:
Select the primary and secondary currency indices you want to compare from the provided dropdown menus. These indices will serve as the basis for RSI calculation.
Choose the type of moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, SMMA) to use for RSI calculation and set the desired length for the moving average.
Decide whether you want to visualize the RSI and moving average values for the primary and secondary indices on the chart.
Observe the RSI values and moving averages plotted on the chart. The indicator's upper and lower bands can help you identify potential overbought (above the upper band) and oversold (below the lower band) conditions.
Pay attention to the intersections between the RSI values and the moving average lines. These intersections can provide insights into potential trend changes or reversals in the currency market.
Example of Usage:
Let's say you're a swing trader focusing on currency pairs involving the US Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR). You want to compare the relative strength of the USD Index (USDINX) and the EUR Index (EURINX) to identify potential trading opportunities. Here's how you can use the FIRI indicator:
Select "USDINX" as the primary index and "EURINX" as the secondary index.
Choose "SMA" as the moving average type and set the RSI length to 14.
Enable the visualization of RSI values for both the primary and secondary indices.
Observe the chart to identify instances where the RSI values of the indices cross above the upper band (potential overbought) or below the lower band (potential oversold).
Look for intersections between the RSI values and the moving average lines. A bullish signal may occur when the RSI crosses above the moving average, indicating potential upward momentum, while a bearish signal may occur when the RSI crosses below the moving average, indicating potential downward momentum.
Remember that the FIRI indicator is a tool to assist you in your analysis. It's important to consider other technical and fundamental factors before making trading decisions.
Feel free to adjust the settings of the indicator based on your trading preferences and strategy. Keep in mind that no indicator is foolproof, and it's recommended to use the FIRI indicator in conjunction with other analysis techniques for a comprehensive trading approach.
Velocity Indicator [CC]The Velocity Indicator was created by Scott Cong (Stocks and Commodities Sep 2023, pgs 8-15). This is my variation of his formula designed to capture the overall velocity of the underlying stock by applying the typical velocity formula. This indicator is visually similar to a typical stochastic indicator but uses a different underlying calculation. This works well as a momentum indicator, and the values are completely unbounded, so the best ways to determine bullish or bearish trends is either by using a crossover or crossunder between the indicator and the midline or to buy or sell the indicator when it reaches a high or low point and starts to fall or rise respectively. For my default version, I used the zero line to help determine the bullish or bearish trends. I have also included multiple colors to differentiate between very strong signals and normal signals, so very strong signals are darker in color, and normal signals use lighter colors. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators or scripts you would like to see me publish! I will have some more new scripts in the next week or so.
CCI BARSCandlesticks with color of the current CCI value
This script works following: It measures CCI value from -250 to 250 => the lower the value, the darker green candlesticks will be.. it works the same in the opposite direction, but with red color
You can also edit colors of candlesticks and length and source of the CCI indicator
Anit Momentum IndicatorAnit Momentum Indicator: A Powerful Trend Continuation Tool for Long-Only Strategies
The "Anit Momentum Indicator" (AMI) is a powerful technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in identifying potential trend continuation opportunities in the financial markets. Unlike traditional trend reversal indicators, AMI is specifically crafted for long-only strategies, making it an ideal tool for traders seeking to capture sustained uptrends.
Concepts and Functionality:
1. Momentum Calculation:
The Anit Momentum Indicator begins by calculating the momentum of the closing price over a specified period. Momentum represents the rate of price change, offering clues about the strength and direction of price movements during the chosen duration.
2. RSI for Trend Continuation:
The script then applies the RSI to the previously computed momentum values. The RSI is a well-known oscillator used to measure the speed and magnitude of price changes. By utilizing the RSI on momentum data, the Anit Momentum Indicator gains a distinct advantage in gauging the strength of price momentum, leading to more accurate trend evaluations.
3. Rescaling for Better Visualization:
To enhance visual clarity and maintain consistent representation, the RSI on Momentum is rescaled to range from 0 to 100. This normalization ensures that the indicator's values remain within a fixed range, making it easier for traders to identify crucial overbought and oversold regions.
How to Use the Indicator:
Long-Only Strategy:
The AMI is most effective in long-only strategies. Traders can deploy the indicator to identify promising opportunities to go long on a stock or asset. A long position is established when the AMI crosses above 50, signaling a robust upward momentum.
Trend Continuation Confirmation:
The AMI's ability to capture trend continuation opportunities allows traders to stay invested in an uptrend for an extended period. As long as the AMI remains above 50, the uptrend is considered intact, and traders may continue to hold the position.
Higher Timeframe Advantage:
The AMI's effectiveness is further enhanced on higher timeframes. Longer timeframes provide a more reliable and sustained view of the underlying trend, giving traders greater confidence in their long-only strategies.
Conclusion:
The Anit Momentum Indicator is a valuable tool for traders pursuing trend continuation strategies, specifically long-only approaches. By leveraging the concept of momentum and RSI, the AMI helps traders identify and participate in sustained uptrends. With its focus on trend continuation rather than reversals, the AMI can be a key component in building successful long-only trading strategies, especially on higher timeframes. Traders can use this indicator to stay invested in robust uptrends, maximizing their profit potential while minimizing exposure to counter-trend moves by staying long till AMI value is greater than 50,it is better to stay away or exit from the asst class when AMI value is less than 50.
ATR Momentum [QuantVue]ATR Momentum is a dynamic technical analysis tool designed to assess the momentum of a securities price movement. It utilizes the comparison between a faster short-term Average True Range (ATR) and a slower long-term ATR to determine whether momentum is increasing or decreasing.
This indicator visually represents the momentum relationship by plotting both ATR values as lines on a chart and applying color fill between the lines based on if momentum is increasing or decreasing.
When the short-term ATR is greater than the long-term ATR, representing increasing momentum, the area between them is filled with green.
Conversely, when the short-term ATR is less than the long-term ATR line, the area between them is filled with red. This red fill indicates decreasing momentum.
Don't hesitate to reach out with any questions or concerns.
We hope you enjoy!
Cheers.
RSI MTF [Market Yogi]The Multi-Time Frame RSI with Money Flow Index and Average is a powerful trading indicator designed to help traders identify overbought and oversold conditions across multiple time frames. It combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with the Money Flow Index (MFI) and provides an average value for better accuracy.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100 and is used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in an asset. By incorporating the RSI across multiple time frames, this indicator offers a broader perspective on market sentiment.
In addition to the RSI, this indicator also includes the Money Flow Index (MFI). The MFI is a volume-based oscillator that measures the inflow and outflow of money into an asset. It takes into account both price and volume, providing insights into the strength and direction of buying and selling pressure.
By combining the RSI and MFI across multiple time frames, traders gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics. The indicator allows for comparing the RSI and MFI values across different time frames, enabling traders to identify divergences and potential trend reversals.
Furthermore, this indicator provides an average value of the multi-time frame RSI, offering a consolidated signal that helps filter out noise and enhance the accuracy of trading decisions.
Key Features:
1. Multi-Time Frame RSI: Combines the RSI across different time frames to provide a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
2. Money Flow Index (MFI): Incorporates the MFI to gauge buying and selling pressure based on both price and volume.
3. Average Calculation: Computes the average value of the multi-time frame RSI to generate a consolidated trading signal.
4. Divergence Detection: Enables traders to spot divergences between the RSI and MFI values, indicating potential trend reversals.
5. Overbought and Oversold Levels: Highlights overbought and oversold levels on the RSI, aiding in timing entry and exit points.
The Multi-Time Frame RSI with Money Flow Index and Average is a versatile tool that can be applied to various trading strategies, including trend following, swing trading, and mean reversion. Traders can adjust the time frame settings to suit their preferences and trading style.
Note: It's important to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators to validate signals and make informed trading decisions.
Banded Chikou Breakout — Quantifying Ichimoku MomentumTitle: Banded Chikou Breakout — Quantifying Ichimoku Momentum
Overview:
Banded Chikou Breakout (BCB) is a unique, algorithmic script designed to augment the capabilities of traders seeking substantial breakout opportunities. Constructed on the robust principles of the Ichimoku trading strategy, BCB is designed to quantify and filter the Chikou Span's significant breakouts above or below the price action. This script does not aim to replace the Ichimoku system; instead, it enhances it, providing an optimized tool for momentum trading.
Rationale:
Ichimoku traders often scrutinize the Chikou Span's position relative to price action to identify market trends. However, determining whether the Chikou Span is above or below due to a genuine trend or mere market noise can be challenging in choppy markets. BCB resolves this predicament by offering a unique way to interpret the Chikou Span's movement. It does so by quantifying the Chikou Span's momentum and utilizing Bollinger Bands to determine its significance. By effectively differentiating substantial movements from the insignificant, BCB can help traders better navigate the market and increase their potential for profitable trades.
How it Works:
BCB combines three key elements: a Momentum Script (simulating Chikou Span), a Bollinger Band Script, and a Timeframe Switcher, all working together to provide a refined trading perspective.
Momentum Script: Calculates the price difference between the current price and the price 'n' periods ago, transforming the Chikou Span into a quantifiable momentum value that signifies the strength and speed of a market move.
Bollinger Band Script: Computes a Simple Moving Average (SMA) around the momentum, plotting two 'bands' at a specified standard deviation from this SMA. This functionality allows traders to discern when the Chikou Span's momentum is abnormally high or low, signifying a potential significant breakout.
Timeframe Switcher: This feature lets traders apply the BCB script to a different timeframe from the one they are currently viewing. This capability can help traders identify higher timeframe breakouts and trade them with precision on the lower timeframe.
How to Use:
BCB is designed to complement the Ichimoku strategy for effective breakout identification.
Add the BCB script to your trading chart. It plots the momentum (yellow line) and Bollinger Bands (green lines) with the area between the bands shaded blue.
Utilize the Ichimoku strategy to identify larger and smaller timeframe trends.
Optional: Leverage the timeframe switcher to synchronize your trades with higher timeframe trends while operating on lower timeframes.
If the BCB momentum line crosses the upper Bollinger Band while the Ichimoku indicates a bullish trend, it signifies a potential significant upward breakout. Similarly, a cross below the lower band during a bearish trend could denote a significant downward breakout.
Remember, without the context provided by the Ichimoku system's trend analysis, BCB can yield false breakouts. It is, therefore, crucial to use these tools in tandem. I like to check for an Ichimoku trend on the 4H and 1H charts, and then use BCB on charts <60 minutes to capture trends with precision.
SMI Momentum Bollinger Squeeze Signals - TradeUIMomentum Bollinger Squeeze Signals - TradeUI
The Squeeze Momentum Indicator (SMI) uses the principles of the Squeeze Indicator, which is a volatility indicator, and combines them with a momentum calculation to provide a more comprehensive view of the market.
The original Squeeze Indicator uses the relationship between the Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels to identify periods of low volatility, known as "Squeezes", and potential breakout points. The SMI takes this one step further by adding a momentum calculation, making it a more dynamic tool for trading.
The momentum calculation is based on the rate of change of the asset's price. When the price increases rapidly, it signifies positive momentum, and when the price decreases rapidly, it signifies negative momentum.
CoffeeShopCrypto 3pl MAThe CoffeeShopCrypto 3pl MA indicator is a technical analysis tool that uses three different moving averages to identify trends in the price of an asset. The three moving averages have lengths of 12, 26, and 50. If these numbers sound familiar its because they are based off the standard of the MACD indicator, and can be either simple moving averages (SMA) or exponential moving averages (EMA), depending on user preference.
The following is plotted on the chart
The fast EMA/SMA (based on the 12-period length) in yellow.
The mid EMA/SMA (based on the 26-period length) in gray.
The slow EMA/SMA (based on the 50-period length) in either green or red, depending on whether the current close price is above or below the Overall Trend MA.
In addition to the moving averages, the indicator also calculates the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and uses it to color the bars based on the momentum of the asset.
The MACD is calculated using two user-defined lengths (fast and slow), as well as a user-defined smoothing length for the signal line. The oscillator and signal line can be either SMA or EMA, and the colors of the MACD bars are based on whether the histogram is growing or falling, and whether it is above or below the zero line.
Overall, this indicator provides traders with a comprehensive tool for understanding the trend of an asset, as well as the momentum behind that trend. The moving averages provide a clear visual representation of the trend, while the MACD bars give insight into the strength of that trend and potential shifts in momentum.
---------------LONG ENTRY----------------
MA1 above MA2 and Overall trend = Green
IF RSI is above its midline you are confirmed for a long entry
-----------Short Entry--------------
MA1 below MA2 and Overall trend = Red
IF RSI is below its midline you are confirmed for a short entry
TRIX with Momentum----------- ENGLISH --------------
This indicator is called "TRIX with Momentum" and is used to analyze the momentum of an asset's price and predict potential trend reversals. The logic of operation is based on the combination of two indicators: the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX) and the momentum oscillator.
The TRIX is calculated using three exponential moving averages (EMA) of the asset's closing price, with a user-defined length (set to 14 by default). The TRIX is then normalized and centered around 0 to facilitate analysis of its relationship with the momentum oscillator.
The momentum oscillator is calculated using the EMA of the normalized TRIX with a user-defined length (set to 14 by default).
The indicator plots the normalized TRIX and the momentum oscillator on a chart, using different colors to indicate whether the TRIX is above or below 0. Additionally, the color of the y-axis label changes based on the position of the oscillator, while the color of the x-axis label remains gray.
The indicator uses a weighted average between the normalized TRIX and the momentum oscillator to create a colored background of the chart, which changes based on the weighted average. If the weighted average is positive, the chart's background is green, otherwise it is red. Finally, a horizontal line is drawn at point 0 to facilitate visual analysis of the chart.
------------ ITALIANO -------------
Questo indicatore è chiamato "TRIX with Momentum" ed è utilizzato per analizzare il momentum del prezzo di un asset e prevedere eventuali inversioni di trend. La logica di funzionamento è basata sulla combinazione di due indicatori: il TRIX (Indicatori di media mobile Tripla Esponenziale) e l'oscillatore momentum.
L'indicatore consente all'utente di impostare la lunghezza del TRIX e dell'oscillatore momentum come input personalizzato. Il TRIX viene calcolato utilizzando tre medie mobili esponenziali (EMA) della chiusura dei prezzi dell'asset, mentre l'oscillatore momentum viene calcolato utilizzando l'EMA del TRIX normalizzato.
Il TRIX normalizzato viene centrato intorno allo 0 per facilitare l'analisi della sua relazione con l'oscillatore momentum. L'indicatore plotta il TRIX normalizzato e l'oscillatore momentum su un grafico, utilizzando diversi colori per indicare se il TRIX è sopra o sotto lo 0.
L'indicatore utilizza una media pesata tra il TRIX normalizzato e l'oscillatore momentum per creare uno sfondo colorato del grafico, che cambia in base alla media pesata. L'utente può impostare il peso da dare al TRIX e all'oscillatore momentum come input personalizzato, e il peso dell'oscillatore momentum verrà automaticamente impostato come complementare al peso del TRIX.
Se la media pesata è positiva, lo sfondo del grafico è verde, altrimenti è rosso. Viene tracciata anche una linea orizzontale al punto 0 per facilitare l'analisi visiva del grafico.
Infine, il colore dell'etichetta dell'asse y cambia in base alla posizione dell'oscillatore, mentre il colore dell'etichetta dell'asse x rimane sempre grigio.
The Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR)The Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR)
Are you tired of manually analyzing charts and trying to find profitable trading opportunities? Look no further! Our algorithmic trading strategy, "Flash," is here to simplify your trading process and maximize your profits.
Flash is an advanced trading algorithm that combines three powerful indicators to generate highly selective and accurate trading signals. The Momentum-RSI, Super-Trend Analysis and EMA-Strategy indicators are used to identify the strength and direction of the underlying trend.
The Momentum-RSI signals the strength of the trend and only generates trading signals in confirmed upward or downward trends. The Super-Trend Analysis confirms the trend direction and generates signals when the price breaks through the super-trend line. The EMA-Strategy is used as a qualifier for the generation of trading signals, where buy signals are generated when the EMA crosses relevant trend lines.
Flash is highly selective, as it only generates trading signals when all three indicators align. This ensures that only the highest probability trades are taken, resulting in maximum profits.
Our trading strategy also comes with two profit management options. Option 1 uses the so-called supertrend-indicator which uses the dynamic ATR as a key input, while option 2 applies pre-defined, fixed SL and TP levels.
The settings for each indicator can be customized, allowing you to adjust the length, limit value, factor, and source value to suit your preferences. You can also set the time period in which you want to run the backtest and how many dollar trades you want to open in each position for fully automated trading.
Choose your preferred trade direction and stop-loss/take-profit settings, and let Flash do the rest. Say goodbye to manual chart analysis and hello to consistent profits with Flash. Try it now!
General Comments
This Flash Strategy has been developed in cooperation between Baby_whale_to_moon and JS-TechTrading. Cudos to Baby_whale_to_moon for doing a great job in transforming sophisticated trading ideas into pine scripts.
Detailed Description
The “Flash” script considers the following indicators for the generation of trading signals:
1. Momentum-RSI
2. ‘Super-Trend’-Analysis
3. EMA-Strategy
1. Momentum-RSI
• This indicator signals the strength of the underlying upward- or downward-trend.
• The signal range of this indicator is from 0 to 100. Values > 60 indicate a confirmed upward- or downward-trend.
• The strategy will only generate trading signals in case the stock (or any other financial security) is in a confirmed upward- (long entry signals) or downward-trend (short entry signals).
• This indicator provides information with regards to the strength of the underlying trend and it does not give any insight with regard to the direction of the trend. Therefore, this strategy also considers other indicators which provide technical confirmation with regards to the direction of the underlying trend.
Graph 1 shows this concept:
• The Momentum-RSI indicator gives lower readings during consolidation phases and no trading signals are generated during these periods.
Example (graph 2):
2. Super-Trend Analysis
• The red line in the graph below represents the so-called super-trend-line. Trading signals are only generated in case the price action breaks through this super-trend-line indicating a new confirmed upward-trend (or downward-trend, respectively).
• If that happens, the super trend-line changes its color from red to green, giving confirmation that the trend changed from bearish to bullish and long-entries can be considered.
• The vice-versa approach can be considered for short entries.
Graph 3 explains this concept:
3. Exponential Moving Average / EMA-Strategy
The functionality of this EMA-element of the strategy has been programmed as follows:
• The exponential moving average and two other trend lines are being used as qualifiers for the generation of trading-signals.
• Buy-signals for long-entries are only considered in case the EMA (yellow line in the graph below) crosses the red line.
• Sell-signals for short-entries are only considered in case the EMA (yellow line in the graph below) crosses the green line.
An example is shown in graph 4 below:
We use this indicator to determine the new trend direction that may occur by using the data of the price's past movement.
4. Bringing it all together
This section describes in detail, how this strategy combines the Momentum-RSI, the super-trend analysis and the EMA-strategy.
The strategy only generates trading-signals in case all of the following conditions and qualifiers are being met:
1. Momentum-RSI is higher than the set value of this strategy. The standard and recommended value is 60 (graph 5):
2. The super-trend analysis needs to indicate a confirmed upward-trend (for long-entry signals) or a confirmed downward-trend (for short-entry signals), respectively.
3. The EMA-strategy needs to indicate that the stock or financial security is in a confirmed upward-trend (long-entries) or downward-trend (short-entries), respectively.
The strategy will only generate trading signals if all three qualifiers are being met. This makes this strategy highly selective and is the key secret for its success.
Example for Long-Entry (graph 6):
When these conditions are met, our Long position is opened.
Example for Short-Entry (graph 7):
Trade Management Options (graph 8)
Option 1
In this dynamic version, the so-called supertrend-indicator is being used for the trade exit management. This supertrend-indicator is a sophisticated and optimized methodology which uses the dynamic ATR as one of its key input parameters.
The following settings of the supertrend-indicator can be changed and optimized (graph 9):
The dynamic SL/TP-lines of the supertrend-indicator are shown in the charts. The ATR-length and the supertrend-factor result in a multiplier value which can be used to fine-tune and optimize this strategy based on the financial security, timeframe and overall market environment.
Option 2 (graph 10):
Option 2 applies pre-defined, fixed SL and TP levels which will appear as straight horizontal lines in the chart.
Settings options (graph 11):
The following settings can be changed for the three elements of this strategy:
1. (Length Mom-Rsi): Length of our Mom-RSI indicator.
2. Mom-RSI Limit Val: the higher this number, the more momentum of the underlying trend is required before the strategy will start creating trading signals.
3. The length and factor values of the super trend indicator can be adjusted:ATR Length SuperTrend and Factor Super Trend
4. You can set the source value used by the ema trend indicator to determine the ema line: Source Ema Ind
5. You can set the EMA length and the percentage value to follow the price: Length Ema Ind and Percent Ema Ind
6. The backtesting period can be adjusted: Start and End time of BackTest
7. Dollar cost per position: this is relevant for 100% fully automated trading.
8. Trade direction can be adjusted: LONG, SHORT or BOTH
9. As we explained above, we can determine our stop-loss and take-profit levels dynamically or statically. (Version 1 or Version 2 )
Display options on the charts graph 12):
1. Show horizontal lines for the Stop-Loss and Take-profit levels on the charts.
2. Display relevant Trend Lines, including color setting options for the supertrend functionality. In the example below, green lines indicate a confirmed uptrend, red lines indicate a confirmed downtrend.
Other comments
• This indicator has been optimized to be applied for 1 hour-charts. However, the underlying principles of this strategy are supply and demand in the financial markets and the strategy can be applied to all timeframes. Daytraders can use the 1min- or 5min charts, swing-traders can use the daily charts.
• This strategy has been designed to identify the most promising, highest probability entries and trades for each stock or other financial security.
• The combination of the qualifiers results in a highly selective strategy which only considers the most promising swing-trading entries. As a result, you will normally only find a low number of trades for each stock or other financial security per year in case you apply this strategy for the daily charts. Shorter timeframes will result in a higher number of trades / year.
• Consequently, traders need to apply this strategy for a full watchlist rather than just one financial security.
(Very promising) [Abdullah Ahmed] Momentum indicator V.1Description: MOM-LRC is a powerful technical analysis indicator designed to provide traders with signals based on the momentum of an asset's price and its deviation from its mean value. The indicator calculates the exponential RSI and uses a custom function to determine the percentage change from the mean. The upper and lower bands of the momentum channel are then calculated using linear regression of the rate of change from the mean. The channel multiplier can be adjusted to increase or decrease the sensitivity of the indicator.
How to use :
1 - Using MOM-LRC , look for buy signals when the price of the asset is below the lower border of the channel and retracing up. The opposite is true in the case of sell signals.
2 - It is also used in the case of negative and positive divergences, just as you use RSI
The indicator can be used on any time frame and any asset, making it a versatile tool for traders of all levels.
features:
Calculates exponential RSI and percentage change from the mean
Uses linear regression to calculate upper and lower bands of momentum channel
Adjustable channel multiplier for increased sensitivity
Suitable for any time frame and any asset
Happy trading!
8 Day Run - Momentum StrategyInspired by Linda Bradford Raschke.
Entry criteria:
This strategy is used to capture momentum effects on the daily periodicities. Once prices have had a run of 8 or more consecutive closes above or below the 5-period simple moving average the strategy is primed to trade.
It will then enter a short on the first close above the 5sma after a run of 8 or more closes below the 5sma (it will enter a long when the price closes below the 5sma after a run of 8 or more closes above the 5sma).
Exit criteria:
All trades are exited on the first close back above/ below the 5sma.
"The Stocashi" - Stochastic RSI + Heikin-AshiWhat up guys and welcome to the coffee shop. I have a special little tool for you today to throw in your toolbox. This one is a freebie.
This is the Stochastic RS-Heiken-Ashi "The Stocashi"
This is the stochastic RSI built to look like Heikin-Ashi candles.
a lot of people have trouble using the stochastic indicator because of its ability to look very choppy at its edges instead of having nice curves or arcs to its form when you use it on scalping time frames it ends up being very pointed and you can't really tell when the bands turn over if you're using a stochastic Ribbon or you can't tell when it's actually moving in a particular direction if you're just using the K and the D line.
This new format of Presentation seeks to get you to have a better visual representation of what the stochastic is actually doing.
It's long been noted that Heikin-Ashi do a very good job of representing momentum in a price so using it on something that is erratic as the stochastic indicator seems like a plausible idea.
The strategy is simple because you use it exactly the same way you've always used the stochastic indicator except now you can look for the full color of the candle.
this one uses a gradient color setup for the candle so when the candle is fully red then you have a confirmed downtrend and when the candle is fully green you have a confirmed up trend of the stochastic however if, you a combination of the two colors inside of one candle then you do not have a confirmed direction of the stochastic.
the strategy is simple for the stochastic and that you need to know your overall trend. if you are in an uptrend you are waiting for the stochastic to reach bottom and start curving up.
if you are in a downtrend you are waiting for the stochastic to reach its top or its peak and curve down.
In an uptrend you want to make sure that the stochastic is making consistently higher lows just like price should be. if at any moment it makes a lower low then you know you have a problem with your Trend and you should consider exiting.
The opposite is true for a downtrend. In a downtrend you want to make sure you have lower highs. if at any given moment you end up with a higher high than you know you have a problem with your Trend and it's probably ending so you should consider exiting.
The stochastic indicator done as he can actually candles also does a very good job of telling you when there is a change of character. In that moment when the change of character shows up you simply wait until your trend and your price start to match up.
You can also use the stochastic indicator in this format to find divergences the same way you would on the relative strength index against your price highs and price lows so Divergence trading is visually a little bit easier with this tool.
The settings for the K percent D percent RSI length and stochastic length can be adjusted at will so be sure to study the history of the stochastic and find the good settings for your trading strategy.
RedK TrendBeads: 3 x MA Crossover Signal with Preset TemplatesRedK TrendBeads is a super simple 3 x Moving Average Crossover Signal (Long/Short/Break) script that provides a simple and effective way for traders to identify potential trading opportunities. By combining three moving averages and only exposing a simple signal, the script helps filter out noise and focus on the trend and the trade execution.
Background
===========
A 3 x Moving Average Crossover strategy is a popular trading method in technical analysis . It uses the relationship between a fast, medium, and slow moving averages to generate buy or sell signals.
The approach usually utilizes three moving averages to track the average price of a financial instrument over different time periods. By comparing the fast, medium, and slow moving averages, we can generates a signal to trade long or short
If the fast moving average crosses above the medium moving average and the medium moving average is above the slow moving average, we have a probability of an up-trend forming, and we generate a signal to go long. Conversely, if the fast moving average crosses below the medium moving average and the medium moving average is below the slow moving average, we have a probability of a down-trend forming, and we generate a signal to go short. When the moving averages are not in the right order (above or below each other), we have a trend break, usually on consolidation or base forming.
in TrendBeads, the fastest MA is called "Price Proxy MA" and will be used with a relatively short length to represent the price itself - then there are the Fast MA, Slow MA and a Filter MA (usually with the longest/slowest length) which is the main line that will be used to plot the TrendBeads - So the TrendBeads will represent the state of the other 3 Moving Average lines (Proxy, Fast and Slow) and how they are aligned - and it will also be common to use the Filter / Beads line itself as a main filter, i.e., take long positions *only* when the price action is above the Filter MA, and short positions *only* when the price is below the Filter MA.
So what is different with TrendBeads:
=====================================
Simplicity, No Clutter: I put this together to provide a super simple mechanism to track trend on the price chart without so much noise as i also wanted to have other top-chart indicators (like LadderTrader) - so TrendBeads only shows the "beads" on the chart - they act like "traffic lights" with little distracting information - Simplicity here was deliberately part if the idea
Presets, What others are Watching: The other feature I needed was the ability to track price action against "different sets" of Moving Averages quickly - for example, when executing short-term trades, I needed to use Moving Averages with shorter length and want to utilize my RSS_WMA MA type - but when assessing big breakout opportunities, I need to analyze price action against a different set of MA's with (usually) longer length and mainly SMA's (hint, The Minervini template) - This is where the built-in Preset Templates become very useful.
Having these preset templates quickly available (thru the dropdown in indicator settings) provides time saving, convenience and the confidence that we're looking at what other traders are using in their analysis - so not missing out on key-level breakouts or reversals
TrendBeads v1.0 includes the following 5 preset MA templates
======================================================
Preset 1 : RedK_1: 8RSS / 15RSS / 21RSS / 30SMA
Preset 2 : RedK_2: 5WMA / 10SMA / 20SMA / 40SMA
Preset 3 : SWNG_1: 7EMA / 21EMA / 30EMA / 50SMA
Preset 4 : SWNG_2: 10EMA / 21EMA / 50SMA / 100SMA
Preset 5 : SWNG_3: 10EMA / 21EMA / 100SMA / 200SMA
The above presets represent some of the most common sets of MA's traders use in various scenarios (Short-term/day trading, Swing, Long term / growth). Well, except for the first one since it utilizes my own RSS_WMA :) which I use in many charts
I may add some more presets in future.
below chart shows an example of different presets against AAPL for the same time range / window
There's also the ability to manually set different MA source price, MA type and length for each of the 4 MA lines. Supported MA types are SMA , EMA , WMA , HMA and my RSS_WMA
TrendBeads Usage Tips:
=====================
*If you have used any MA crossover (2 lines or 3 lines) on your chart, your should find TradeBeads very easy to use. TrendBeads works the same way except that the signal will show as colored beads on the Filter MA line instead of showing multiple crossing lines .. and that is by design.
* Feel free to expose any or all of the individual MA lines - for example, i find that exposing the Proxy Line helps in quickly finding famous chart patterns ( cup & handle , H&S ..etc)
* Experiment with the different presets depending on the type of trade you're working on (swing, long term growth candidates, day trades..etc)
* Note that in a long trend up (Aqua Beads), usually the first gray + orange sequence will usually act as a "reversal sign" - and are usually not actionable - always look for the "second" color sequence to action/trade .. Same thing for a long trend down -- get used to how the beads change color against the trend changes and play with various timeframes.
* As usual - we should have other indicators that track strength, volume , etc and ensure proper confirmation before trade execution - A good signal is only a small part of a trade - risk management and good trade execution are key to winning.
Hope some fellow traders will find this useful - feel free to leave me any comments or feedback - Good luck!
Open DriveOpen Drive is a market profile concept introduced by Jim Dalton. It occurs when the price moves directionally and persistently for the first 30 minutes from the cash market open.
It is necessary to use 30-minute bars as there needs to be enough time to measure an extreme move of the cash open. This means there will be fewer trades than other strategies using faster time periodicities.
The script finds open drives from these time points 0700/ 0800 and 1300/1430.
The entry signal also has a breakout threshold using the 5-bar high and 5-bar low to only take trades moving away from the prior 5-bar range. This weeds out most mid-range trades and small range expansion bars.
If the price has had a strong move from the open and has broken either below the prior 5-bar low or above the prior 5-bar high by an amount equal to the prior 5-bar range a trade is entered in the direction of the move.
The Exit criteria; exit after 3 bars which is 90mins when using a 30min periodicity.
Note, this script is shared to show that momentum generated on or around the cash open tends to persist. The entry and exits of this strategy are quite naive but there are plenty of ways to take more aggressive entries on faster time frames when an open drive occurs. The times chosen for this strategy will suit stock index futures mainly. The user can experiment with other futures products and their corresponding pit/ cash open hours.
Google "open drive market profile" for more information on open drives and market profile concepts.
Happy trading!
[LazyBear] SQZ Momentum + 1st Gray Cross Signals ━ whvntrI have modified LazyBears Squeeze Momentum Indicator with enhancements, plus added signals
LazyBear mentioned that in John F. Carter's book, Chapter 11, "Mastering the Trade", that "Mr. Carter suggests waiting till the first gray after a black cross, and taking a position in the direction of the momentum (for ex., if momentum value is above zero, go long). Exit the position when the momentum changes (increase or decrease --- signified by a color change)." I have done just that. Now at each "first gray after a black cross", there are now Bearish and Bullish signals.. The signals only appear in the direction of the momentum.
Disclaimer: This indicator does not constitute investment advice. Trade at your own
risk with this method of identifying changes in stock market momentum.
DRM StrategyOne of the ways I go when I develop strategies is by reducing the number of parameters and removing fixed parameters and levels.
In this strategy, I'm trying to create an RSI indicator with a dynamic length.
Length is computed based on the correlation between Price and its momentum.
You can set min and max values for the RSI, and if the correlation is close to 1, we'll be at a min RSI value. When it's -1, we'll be at the max level.
I got this idea from Sofien Kaabar's book.
The strategy is super simple, and there might be much room for improvement.
Performance on the deep backtesting is not excellent, so I think the strategy needs some filters for regimes, etc.
Thanks to @MUQWISHI for helping me code it.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not indicate future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Big Poppa Code Strat & Momentum Strategy IndicatorThis indicator is a combination of a few things in order to work with a unique trading style gleaned from Callme100k, jrgreatness, TrustMyLevels , FaithInTheStrat, Rob Smith and Saty Mahajan.
This Indicator is created to help you day trade using, ATR Fibonacci Levels, Price Action and Momentum.
It displays Fibonacci Levels Based on ATR to indicate when a security is 0.236, 0.382 +- the Days Open, +- the Days Open, 0.618 +- the Days Open and 1.0 +- Days Open.
To understand this script you need to understand
Average True Range (ATR)
1 Bar Inside Bar
2 Bar Outside Bar (Break either the top or bottom)
3 Bar Engulfing Bar
Strat Setups - 212, 322, 312
Fibonacci - 0.236, 0.382, 0.618, 1.0
Moving Averages
A Trend is considered bullish when (green)
Current Price is greater than the Fast EMA Value (8)
Fast EMA is greater than PIVOT EMA Value (21)
Pivot EMA is greater than SLOW EMA Value (34)
OR Hull is trending up and the Price is above the Volume Weighted Moving Average and price is above VWAP
A trend is considered Bearish when (red)
Current Price is less than the Fast EMA Value (8)
Fast EMA is less than PIVOT EMA Value (21)
Pivot EMA is less than SLOW EMA Value (34)
OR Hull is trending down and the Price is below the Volume Weighted Moving Average and price is below VWAP
If these conditions are not met then the Momentum is in Conflict (orange)
The Momentum band will match the color of the current trend
The table that is present can be turned off at any time lets you see
1) If Moving Averages are showing bullish, bearish or in conflict
2) If There us Time Frame Continuity, (if 5 min up, are all the other timeframes up also)
3) How much of the ATR have we moved on the day
4) Are we in Call or Put range for the day based on ATR Fib Levels
The Ideal situation for entering a call
1) Momentum is Green
2) FTFC on Green
3) A Strat Actionable Signal is present
4) You are in the call range, 0.236 - 0.618 ATR + the Price
5) The ATR still has room, I.e only 50% of the ATR has been run already
Ideal situation from entering a put
1) Momentum is red
2) FTFC on Red
3) A Strat Actionable Signal is present
4) You are in the put range, 0.236 - 0.618 ATR - the Price
5) The ATR still has room, I.e only 50% of the ATR has been run already
Exit the trade for these reasons you entered (for profit or loss)
1) ATR has no more room
2) FTFC is now in conflict
3) Momentum has shifted
Take Profit when
1) You reach a new ATR Level 0.618, 1.0 , -0.618, -1, etc
Passive Stop Loss
1) Open Price if you are aggressive
2) Next ATR Level Down or Up
Feel free to take profit and leave runners
This script does not give signals, you should do your own research, I am not a financial advisors, I am simply applying principles of seasoned veterans to code. You make all decisions about how you buy, sell and trade. The creator of this script makes no promises and takes no responsibility for your personal trading.
To research the methods described above look up
Rob Smith : The Strat
Saty Mahajan : ATR Levels
Fibonacci
Using the HULL Moving Average
Exponential Moving Averages
VWAP
VWMA
M0PB (Momentum Pullback)Long/short strategy that identifies extreme readings on the rsi as a *momentum signal*, unlike most RSI strategies the script will look to buy or sell the first pullback in the direction of the extreme RSI reading.
Enters positions on the first pullback to the 5ema(low)/ 5ema(high) and exits at rolling 12 bar high/ low. The rolling high/ low feature means that if the price enters into a prolonged consolidation the profit target will begin to reduce with each new bar. The best trades tend to work within 2-6 bars.
Built for use on 5 min intervals on FX, Indexes, and Crypto. Lower than 5 minute time frames tend to be noisier and mean more commissions and a higher risk of slippage so the suggested timeframe is 5 mins.
Hard stop is X ATR (users can experiment with this) from the position entry price. This can be adjusted in user inputs.
There is a lot of slack left in entries and exits but the overall strategy is fairly robust across timeframes and markets and has between 60%-70% win rate with larger winners.
Signals that occur from economic news volatility are best avoided.
RSI mid partition color changeWhen RSI is above 50 our default bias is on buy side and when below 50 our bias is on sell side.
Therefore created 2 zones for easy identification.
München's Momentum WaveMUNICH'S MOMENTUM WAVE:
This momentum tracker has features sampled from Madrid's moving average ribbon but has differentiated many values, parameters, and usage of integers. It is derived using momentum and then creates moving averages and mean lengths to help support the strength of a move in price action, and also has the key mean length that helps determine HL/LH or rejections into trend continuation. This indicator works on ALL TIME FRAMES, ALL ASSET CLASSES ON ALL SETTINGS!!
HOW DO I USE IT?
*First off, I have arranged the input settings into groups based on the parts of the indicator it affects.
*You want to use the aqua/white/yellow (Munich's line) as your leading indicator, this is a combined average of the MoM indicator.
* When using Munich's line you want to look at the relation to the mean line (the flat line that adjusts based on price action. You will often see rejections of this line into trend continuation. I personally have caught perfect LH/HL bounce trades off of this indicator.
* Use the Background and other colored moving averages to help pre-determine moves based on the -3 offset value of Munich's line. This was by design not to create 'accurate' results, but to help predict momentum swings based on sharper moves in price action better than if all values lined up to the current bar.
Cheat Code's Notes:
I hope you guys find this indicator to be useful, this is most likely the best indicator that I have written. Simply for the fact it is useful on any chart, any timeframe with any setting. If you guys have any issues with it, shoot me a pm or drop a comment. Thanks!
-CheatCode1
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD PEPPERSTONE:JPYX TVC:DXY TVC:NDQ AMEX:SPY
