PE Ratio Intrinsic ValueThe "Median PE Ratio and Intrinsic Value" indicator is designed for traders and investors who wish to evaluate the intrinsic value of a stock based on a comparative analysis of Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratios across multiple stocks. This tool not only provides insights into whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued but also allows you to visualize the intrinsic value directly on the chart.
Comparison Across Multiple Stocks:
This indicator calculates the PE ratio for up to five different stocks, allowing you to compare the target stock's valuation against four other same sector companies. By default, the stocks included are Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), but you can customize these symbols to fit your analysis needs.
Dynamic PE Ratio Calculation:
The indicator calculates the PE ratio for each stock by dividing the current price by the earnings per share (EPS). The EPS data is retrieved based on the selected period, which can be one of the following:
FY (Fiscal Year)
FH (Fiscal Half-Year)
FQ (Fiscal Quarter)
TTM (Trailing Twelve Months)
You can easily switch between these periods using the provided input options, enabling a more customized analysis based on your preferred financial timeframe.
Once the PE ratios for the selected stocks are computed, the indicator calculates the average PE ratio. The average value is a robust measure that reduces the influence of outliers and provides a balanced view of market valuation.
The intrinsic value of the stock on the chart is calculated by multiplying its EPS by the median PE ratio of the selected stocks. This gives you an estimate of what the stock should be worth if it were to trade at a fair valuation relative to the chosen peers.
The intrinsic value is plotted directly on the price chart as a step line with breaks. This step line style is chosen to represent changes in intrinsic value clearly, with breaks indicating periods where the calculated value is not valid (e.g., negative intrinsic value). Only positive intrinsic values are displayed, helping you focus on meaningful data.
You can easily customize the stocks analyzed by entering the ticker symbols of your choice. Additionally, the indicator allows you to adjust the timeframe for EPS data, giving you flexibility depending on whether you are focused on long-term trends or shorter financial periods.
How to Use:
Compare the current stock price to the plotted intrinsic value. If the current price is below the intrinsic value, the stock may be undervalued. Conversely, if the price is above the intrinsic value, the stock might be overvalued. By comparing your stock against major market players, you can gauge whether it's trading at a premium or discount relative to other key companies in the sector. Use the period selection (FY, FQ, TTM) to adapt your analysis to different market conditions or earnings cycles, giving you more control over your valuation assessment.
Ideal For:
Long-term Investors looking to assess the intrinsic value of a stock based on comparative analysis.
Fundamental Analysts who want to combine multiple stocks' PE ratios to estimate a fair valuation.
Value Investors interested in finding undervalued opportunities by comparing the market price to intrinsic value.
Intrinsic
True Bitcoin Value USD - Mario MThe average mining costs of one bitcoin equals to the true intrinsic value
Globally, the Bitcoin network uses around 0.5% of the world’s electrical power supply.
The sheer amount of electrical power and complex hardware required to operate a mining farm has intrinsic value.
This gives bitcoin a fundamental cost to create, and thus intrinsic value.
OGT Intrinsic Value IndicatorOGT Intrinsic Value Indicator
This indicator will show you visually the intrinsic value of a stock. Intrinsic value aims to measure of what an asset is worth. There are a number of intrinsic valuation models where this TradingView indicator uses an earnings valuation model.
There are 4 inputs to the model:
1) EPS trailing 12 months (ttm) - the first step is to know what the current EPS is for a stock. The indicator calculates this for you
2) Annual EPS Growth Next 5 Years - You need to input what you think the annual growth rate is going to be for the stock. You can use you annual estimates which you can obtain by searching "stock name - eps growth forecast"
3) Earnings Multiple (PE Ratio) - The next step is to input the earnings multiple in year 5. You can get this from analyst estimates or looking at the average PE ratio of the asset over the past 3 / 5 / 10 years.
4) Desired Rate Of Return - The last input is your rate of return. I personally use 12.5% as you can invest in an S&P ETF and get 8-10% return. So I prefer a higher rate of return for the risk I am taking.
You will need to input your low, medium and high assumptions so you can see the different price ranges.
Intrinsic value calculation Intrinsic value calculator based on Warren Buffet's and Ben Graham's work
In value investing determing the true value of a COMPANY instead of a stock price is crucial.
This little indicator shows the "Intrinsic value" of the choosen stock meaning the value of the stock in 10 years time. Calculation is based on historical book value's average annual growth rate and dividends paid.
Since this is about long therm investing, use monthly charts.
"Intrinsic value can be defined simply: It is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life.”
– Warren Buffett
One way to calculate that is by the growth in per share book value and dividends taken in the forseeable future (10 years) than discount it with the prevailing 10 year note's rate.
In the inputs you have to set 2 variables:
1. How many years back you have the first data for book value per share available?
2. What was the per share book value that year?
(Bookvalue is ploted in olive colour and you can get the oldest one if you move your cursor over the latest data on the left)
CAUTION! You have to reenter it for every stock you analyse as this is stock-specific data!
After setting the input data, you will see the "Intrinsic Value"'s pink curve ploted over the price chart.
If the price is well below the pink line, the company is undervalued and can be a possible applicant for long therm investment.
Margin of safety: when the current price is 50% below the intrinsic value that means a 10% yearly growth potential (100% growth in 10 years) or a 100% margin of safety.
I am a beginer in Pine so please excuse my coding...
If anybody knows hot to extract historical data from 15 years ago, please share it with me, so I can automate the whole calculation without inputs necessary.
