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Forecasting
Flat Market Range Pro [CHE]Flat Market Range Pro Indicator
Introduction
Hey there! 👋
Welcome to our overview of the Flat Market Range Pro indicator. Whether you're new to trading or a seasoned pro, this tool is designed to help you spot those flat market conditions where prices are chilling within a certain range. By highlighting these consolidation zones and potential breakout points, it offers some pretty neat insights to boost your trading strategies. Let’s dive in and explore how this indicator can make your trading journey smoother and more informed!
How It Works
The Flat Market Range Pro indicator is all about understanding the ebb and flow of the market. Here's a simple breakdown:
Range Detection:
Range Period (range_period): This sets the number of bars (think of them as time slices) the indicator looks back to find the highest highs and lowest lows. It’s like setting the scope for your search.
Minimum Candles in Range (min_candles_in_range): Ensures that there are enough candles (price bars) within the range to make the detection meaningful. No point in highlighting a range if it’s too short, right?
Adaptive Moving Average (AMA):
Think of AMA as the indicator’s way of staying flexible. It smooths out the price data to better spot trends within those flat ranges. Don’t worry, it’s working behind the scenes and won’t clutter your chart.
Breakout Detection:
When the price decides to break free from its cozy range, the indicator flags it. It waits for confirmation to make sure it’s not just a fleeting move, adding a layer of reliability to your signals.
Visualization:
Flat Market Zones: These are shaded areas that highlight where the price has been consolidating.
Support and Resistance Lines: Automatically drawn lines that mark key price levels, helping you see where the price might bounce or break through.
Trade Signals: Arrows popping up to show potential buy or sell opportunities when breakouts occur.
Breaking It Down
1. Detecting the Range
The indicator scans through the past range_period bars to find the highest and lowest prices. This creates a dynamic range that adjusts as new data comes in. It’s like having a smart assistant keeping an eye on where the action is happening.
2. The Role of AMA
Even though you won’t see AMA on your chart, it plays a crucial role. It helps the indicator adapt to changing market conditions by smoothing out the data, making sure the breakout signals are spot-on and not just random noise.
3. Spotting Breakouts
A breakout happens when the price moves beyond the established range. The indicator marks these moments with clear arrows, so you know when it might be a good time to jump in or out of a trade. Plus, it waits for confirmation to ensure these signals are solid.
4. Visualizing Flat Markets
Shaded boxes highlight the areas where the price has been consolidating, making it easy to see when the market is flat. Support and resistance lines are drawn automatically, and you can even customize how they look to match your personal style.
Customize It Your Way
One of the best things about the Flat Market Range Pro indicator is how customizable it is. Here’s what you can tweak:
Range Settings:
Adjust the range_period to fit different timeframes.
Set the min_candles_in_range to ensure the ranges you see are meaningful.
Moving Average Settings:
Change the ma_length and ma_lookback to fine-tune how the AMA responds to price movements.
Visual Tweaks:
Pick your favorite colors and transparency levels for the shaded zones.
Choose whether to display support and resistance lines and extend them indefinitely if you like.
Toggle trade arrows and labels on or off based on what you find most helpful.
Organizing these settings into logical groups makes it super easy to customize the indicator just the way you like it.
Real-World Examples
1. Spotting Consolidation: Imagine you’re watching a stock that’s been moving sideways for a while. The indicator highlights this consolidation with shaded boxes and support/resistance lines, giving you a clear picture of where the price is hanging out.
2. Trading Breakouts: When the price finally decides to break free from the range, the indicator pops up buy or sell arrows. This helps you catch the move early, whether you’re looking to enter a new trade or exit an existing one.
3. Making Informed Decisions: With clear visual cues and reliable signals, you can make smarter trading decisions without getting overwhelmed by too much information.
Behind the Scenes: Technical Insights
For those curious about the nuts and bolts, here’s a peek into how the Flat Market Range Pro indicator is built:
Efficient Range Calculation:
Uses loops to scan through the specified range_period, ensuring accurate detection of high and low points.
Adaptive Logic with AMA:
Incorporates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) to create a threshold coefficient, making the indicator responsive to market changes.
Clear Visualization:
Utilizes box.new and label.new for intuitive visual representations of flat markets.
Employs plotshape and plot to display breakout signals clearly on your chart.
Optimized Performance:
Avoids plotting unnecessary elements like AMA, keeping your chart clean and focused on what matters.
Why You’ll Love It
The Flat Market Range Pro indicator brings a lot to the table:
Accurate Range Detection:
Pinpoints consolidation zones by analyzing historical highs and lows.
Flexible and Adaptive:
AMA ensures the indicator stays responsive to different market conditions.
User-Friendly Visuals:
Shaded zones, support/resistance lines, and clear trade signals make your chart easy to understand at a glance.
Highly Customizable:
Tailor the settings to match your trading style and preferences.
Reliable Signals:
Confirmation mechanisms help reduce false signals, giving you more confidence in your trades.
Wrapping It Up
The Flat Market Range Pro indicator is a fantastic tool for anyone looking to navigate flat or consolidating markets with ease. By combining precise range detection, adaptive logic, and clear visual cues, it helps you identify consolidation phases and seize breakout opportunities effectively. Its customizable features ensure that it fits seamlessly into your trading strategy, whether you’re just starting out or have years of experience under your belt.
For more details, a step-by-step guide on using the indicator, and access to the full Pine Script code, check out the accompanying documentation or reach out for support. Happy trading! 🌟
Questions and Further Information
Got questions or need a hand with the Flat Market Range Pro indicator? Feel free to reach out! Whether you’re curious about how it works or need tips on customizing it for your trading style, we’re here to help. Also, give the indicator a try on different charts to see how it performs in various market conditions. Let’s make your trading experience better together!
Best regards
Chervolino
This script was inspired by: Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average
and
Range Detection by HasanRifat
ADX Trend Strength Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Average Directional Index (ADX), a powerful tool used to measure the strength of market trends. It works alongside the Directional Movement Index (DMI), which breaks down the directional market pressure into bullish (+DI) and bearish (-DI) components. The purpose of the ADX is to indicate when the market is in a strong trend, without specifying the direction. This indicator can be especially useful for identifying market trends early and validating trading strategies based on trend-following systems.
The ADX component in this script is based on two key parameters:
ADX Smoothing Length (adxlen), which determines the degree of smoothing for the trend strength.
DI Length (dilen), which defines the look-back period for calculating the directional index values.
Additionally, a horizontal line is plotted at the 30 level, providing a widely used threshold that signifies when a trend is considered strong (above 30).
█ CONCEPTS
Directional Movement (DM): The core idea behind this indicator is the calculation of price movement in terms of bullish and bearish forces. By evaluating the change in highs and lows, the script distinguishes between bullish movement (+DM) and bearish movement (-DM). These values are normalized by dividing them by the True Range (TR), creating the +DI and -DI values.
True Range (TR): The True Range is calculated using the Average True Range (ATR) formula, and it serves to smooth out volatility, ensuring that short-term fluctuations don't distort the long-term trend signal.
ADX Calculation: The ADX is derived from the absolute difference between the +DI and -DI. By smoothing this difference and normalizing it, the ADX is able to measure the overall strength of the trend without regard to whether the market is moving up or down. A rising ADX indicates increasing trend strength, while a falling ADX signals weakening trends.
█ METHODOLOGY
Directional Movement Calculation: The script first determines the upward and downward price movement by comparing changes in the high and low prices. If the upward movement is greater than the downward movement, it registers a bullish signal and vice versa for bearish movement.
True Range Adjustment: The script then applies a smoothing function to normalize these movements by dividing them by the True Range (ATR). This ensures that the trend signal is based on relative, rather than absolute, price movements.
ADX Signal Generation: The final step is to calculate the ADX by applying the Relative Moving Average (RMA) to the difference between +DI and -DI. This produces the ADX value, which is plotted in red, making it easy to visualize shifts in market momentum.
Threshold Line: A blue horizontal line is plotted at 30, which serves as a key reference point. When the ADX is above this line, it indicates a strong trend, whether bullish or bearish.
█ HOW TO USE
Trend Strength: Traders typically use the 30 level as a critical threshold. When the ADX is above 30, it signifies a strong trend, making it a favorable environment for trend-following strategies. Conversely, ADX values below 30 suggest a weak or non-trending market.
+DI and -DI Relationship: The indicator also provides insight into whether the trend is bullish or bearish. When +DI is greater than -DI, the market is considered bullish. When -DI is greater than +DI, the market is considered bearish. While this script focuses on the ADX value itself, the underlying +DI and -DI help interpret the trend direction.
Market Conditions: This indicator is effective in trending markets, but not ideal for choppy or sideways conditions. Traders can use it to determine the best entry and exit points when trends are strong, or to avoid trading in periods of low volatility.
Combining with Other Indicators: The ADX is commonly used in conjunction with oscillators like RSI or moving averages, to confirm the trend strength and avoid false signals.
█ METHOD VARIANTS
This script applies the standard approach for calculating the ADX, but could be adapted with the following variants:
Different Timeframes: The script could be modified to calculate ADX values across higher or lower timeframes, depending on the trader's strategy.
Custom Thresholds: Instead of using the default 30 threshold, traders could adjust the horizontal line to suit their own risk tolerance or market conditions.
Inamdar Wave - Winning Wave
The **"Inamdar Wave"**, also known as the **"Winning Wave"**, is a cutting-edge market indicator designed to help traders ride the waves of momentum and capitalize on high-probability opportunities. With its unique ability to adapt to market shifts, the Inamdar Wave ensures you're always in sync with the market's most profitable moves, making it an indispensable tool for traders looking for consistent success.
### Key Features of the "Inamdar Wave":
1. **Dynamic Market Movement Detection**:
- The **Inamdar Wave** tracks the market’s momentum and identifies clear waves of movement, allowing traders to catch both upswings and downswings with ease.
- This indicator dynamically adjusts based on price action and volatility, ensuring you're always aligned with the market’s natural flow.
- Whether the market is trending or ranging, the **Inamdar Wave** keeps you on the right path, helping you surf the market's waves effortlessly.
2. **Highly Profitable Buy/Sell Signals**:
- The **Inamdar Wave** generates precise buy and sell signals that guide you to the most profitable entry and exit points.
- Its built-in filters ensure you avoid market noise, focusing only on high-probability trades that maximize your potential for profit.
- You’ll confidently enter trades at the start of each new wave, ensuring you ride the momentum for maximum gains.
3. **Visual Wave Highlighting**:
- Color-coded zones help you easily spot bullish (upward) and bearish (downward) waves.
- Green highlights signal upward waves, while red zones indicate downward waves, making it visually simple to recognize the current market direction.
- This feature allows for quick decision-making and a clear understanding of the market's direction at a glance.
4. **Tailored for Any Market Condition**:
- Whether you’re trading a calm or highly volatile market, the **Inamdar Wave** adapts to the changing conditions, ensuring consistent performance across all environments.
- Its flexibility allows it to work seamlessly with any asset class—stocks, forex, crypto, or commodities—making it an all-in-one solution for traders.
- The **Inamdar Wave**'s real-time adjustments keep it relevant regardless of market conditions or timeframes.
5. **Real-Time Alerts**:
- Get instant alerts when a new wave begins, whether it's a buy, sell, or wave reversal.
- You’ll never miss out on a profitable opportunity with real-time notifications that keep you one step ahead of the market.
- These alerts help you act quickly, maximizing the potential of every market movement.
### Inputs:
- **Wave Period**: Customize the sensitivity of the wave detection with adjustable periods to suit your trading style.
- **Signal Source**: Choose from different price sources to fine-tune how the **Inamdar Wave** reacts to market movements.
- **Signal Strength**: Control the sensitivity of wave detection to focus on only the strongest and most profitable moves.
- **Buy/Sell Signals**: Easily toggle buy/sell signals on your chart for enhanced clarity.
- **Wave Highlighting**: Turn visual wave highlights on or off, depending on your preference.
### Use Case:
The **Inamdar Wave** is perfect for traders looking to capture the most profitable waves in any market. Whether you're a short-term scalper or a long-term trend follower, this indicator keeps you in sync with the market’s natural rhythm, ensuring that you're always riding the winning wave. With its powerful buy/sell signals and dynamic wave detection, you'll be better positioned to take advantage of market momentum and secure consistent profits.
In conclusion, the **"Inamdar Wave"** is not just another indicator—it’s your key to riding the market’s most profitable waves with precision and confidence. By following the signals and staying in tune with the market’s natural flow, you’ll be able to maximize your gains and minimize your risks, ensuring a successful trading journey.
US Sentiment Index [CryptoSea]The US Sentiment Index is an advanced analytical tool designed for traders seeking to uncover patterns, correlations, and potential leading signals across key market tickers. This indicator surpasses traditional sentiment measures, providing a data-driven approach that offers deeper insights compared to conventional indices like the Fear and Greed Index.
Key Features
Multi-Ticker Analysis: Integrates data from a diverse set of market indicators, including gold, S&P 500, U.S. Dollar Index, Volatility Index, and more, to create a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
Customisable Sensitivity Settings: Allows users to adjust the moving average period to fine-tune the sensitivity of sentiment calculations, adapting the tool to various market conditions and trading strategies.
Detailed Sentiment Scaling: Utilises a 0-100 scale to quantify sentiment strength, with colour gradients that visually represent bearish, neutral, and bullish conditions, aiding in quick decision-making.
Below is an example where the sentiment index can give leading signals. We see a first sign of wekaness in the index as it drops below its moving average. Shortly after we see it dip below our median 50 level, another sign of weakeness. We see the SPX price action to take a hit following the sentiment index decrease.
Tickers Used and Their Impact on Sentiment
The impact of each ticker on sentiment can be bullish or bearish, depending on their behaviour:
Gold (USGD): Typically seen as a safe-haven asset, rising gold prices often indicate increased market fear or bearish sentiment. Conversely, falling gold prices can signal reduced fear and a shift towards bullish sentiment in riskier assets.
S&P 500 (SPX): A rising S&P 500 is usually a sign of bullish sentiment, reflecting confidence in economic growth and market stability. A decline, however, suggests bearish sentiment and a potential move towards risk aversion.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A strengthening U.S. Dollar can be a sign of fear as investors seek safety in the dollar, which is bearish for risk assets. A weakening dollar, on the other hand, can signal bullish sentiment as capital flows into riskier assets.
Volatility Index (VIX): Known as the "fear gauge," a rising VIX indicates increased market fear and bearish sentiment. A falling VIX suggests a calm, bullish market environment.
Junk Bonds (JNK): Rising junk bond prices often reflect bullish sentiment as investors take on more risk for higher returns. Conversely, falling junk bond prices signal increased fear and bearish sentiment.
Long-Term Treasury Bonds (TLT): Higher prices for long-term treasuries usually indicate a flight to safety, reflecting bearish sentiment. Lower prices suggest a shift towards riskier assets, indicating bullish sentiment.
Financial Sector ETF (XLF): Strength in the financial sector is typically bullish, indicating confidence in economic conditions. Weakness in this sector can reflect bearish sentiment and concerns about financial stability.
Unemployment Rate (USUR): A rising unemployment rate is a bearish signal, indicating economic weakness. A declining unemployment rate is bullish, reflecting economic strength and job growth.
U.S. Interest Rates (USINTR, USIRYY): Higher interest rates can be bearish, as they increase borrowing costs and reduce spending. Lower rates are generally bullish, promoting economic growth and risk-taking.
How it Works
Sentiment Calculation: The US Sentiment Index combines data from multiple tickers, calculating sentiment by scaling the distance from their respective moving averages. Each asset's behaviour is interpreted within the context of market fear or greed, providing a refined sentiment reading that adjusts dynamically.
Market Strength Analysis: When the index is above 50 and also above its moving average, it indicates particularly strong or bullish market conditions, driven by greed. Conversely, when the index is below 50 and under its moving average, it signals bearish or weak market conditions, associated with fear.
Correlation and Pattern Detection: The indicator analyses correlations among the included assets to detect patterns that might signal potential market movements, giving traders a leading edge over simpler sentiment measures.
Adaptive Background Colouring: Utilises a colour gradient that dynamically adjusts based on sentiment values, highlighting extreme fear, neutral, and extreme greed levels directly on the chart.
Flexible Display Options: Offers settings to toggle the moving average plot and adjust its period, giving users the ability to tailor the indicator's sensitivity and display to their specific needs.
In this example below, we can see the Sentiment rise above the Moving Average (MA). Price action goes on to follow this, although there is an instance where it dips below the MA, it quickly rises back above again as a sign of strength.
Another way you can use this index is by simply using the MA, if its trending up, we know the macro sentiment is bullish.
Application
Data-Driven Insights: Offers traders a detailed, data-driven approach to sentiment analysis, incorporating a broad spectrum of market indicators to deliver actionable insights.
Pattern Recognition: Helps identify patterns and correlations that may lead to market reversals or continuations, providing a nuanced view that goes beyond simple sentiment gauges.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Equips traders with a robust tool to validate trading strategies and make informed decisions based on comprehensive sentiment analysis.
The US Sentiment Index by is an essential addition to the toolkit of any trader looking to navigate market complexities with precision and confidence. Its advanced features and data-driven approach offer unparalleled insights into market sentiment, setting it apart from conventional sentiment indicators.
Seasonal Tendency (fadi)Seasonal tendency refers to the patterns in stock market performance that tend to repeat at certain times of the year. These patterns can be influenced by various factors such as economic cycles, investor behavior, and historical trends. For example, the stock market often performs better during certain months like November to April, a phenomenon known as the “best six months” strategy. Conversely, months like September are historically weaker.
These tendencies can help investors and traders make more informed decisions by anticipating potential market movements based on historical data. However, it’s important to remember that past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
This indicator calculates the average daily move patterns over the specified number of years and then removes any outliers.
Settings
Number of years : The number of years to use in the calculation. The number needs to be large enough to create a pattern, but not so large that it may distort the price move.
Seasonality line color : The plotted line color.
Border : Show or hide the border and the color to use.
Grid : Show or hide the grid and the color to use.
Outlier Factor : The Outlier Factor is used to identify unusual price moves that are not typical and neutralize them to avoid skewing the predictions. It is the amount of deviation calculated using the total median price move.
Shifted Symbol Overlay with OffsetThe Shifted Symbol Overlay Indicator is a custom TradingView indicator designed to overlay the price data of one stock or asset over another, allowing for direct visual comparison. This is particularly useful for comparing the performance of two assets over different time periods. The indicator enables you to shift the data from one asset either forward or backward in time, making it easier to compare historical data from one stock with more recent data from another. The indicator supports shifting both to the right (future periods) and to the left (earlier periods), helping traders and analysts explore correlations or divergences between two financial instruments.
The indicator also includes a normalization option that adjusts the scale of the two assets, so you can compare them even if they have vastly different price levels. This is useful when you're interested in relative performance rather than the absolute price values.
Precision Cloud by Dr ABIRAM SIVPRASAD
Precision Cloud by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad"
The " Precision Cloud" script, created by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad, is a multi-purpose technical analysis tool designed for Forex, Bitcoin, Commodities, Stocks, and Options trading. It focuses on identifying key levels of support and resistance, combined with moving averages (EMAs) and central pivot ranges (CPR), to help traders make informed trading decisions. The script also provides a visual "light system" to highlight potential long or short positions, aiding traders in entering trades with a clear strategy.
Key Features of the Script:
Central Pivot Range (CPR):
The CPR is calculated as the average of the high, low, and close of the price, while the top and bottom pivots are derived from it. These act as dynamic support and resistance zones.
The script can plot daily CPR, support, and resistance levels (S1/R1, S2/R2, S3/R3) as well as optional weekly and monthly pivot points.
The CPR helps identify whether the price is in a bullish, bearish, or neutral zone.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Three daily support (S1, S2, S3) and resistance (R1, R2, R3) levels are plotted based on the CPR.
These levels act as potential reversal or breakout points, allowing traders to make decisions around key price points.
EMA (Exponential Moving Averages):
The script includes two customizable EMAs (default periods of 9 and 21). You can choose the source for these EMAs (open, high, low, or close).
The crossovers between EMA1 and EMA2 help identify potential trend reversals or momentum shifts.
Lagging Span:
The Lagging Span is plotted with a customizable displacement (default 26), which helps identify overall trend direction by comparing past price with the current price.
Light System:
A color-coded table provides a visual representation of market conditions:
Green indicates bullish signals (e.g., price above CPR, EMAs aligning positively).
Red indicates bearish signals (e.g., price below CPR, EMAs aligning negatively).
Yellow indicates neutral conditions, where there is no clear trend direction.
The system includes lights for CPR, EMA, Long Position, and Short Position, helping traders quickly assess whether the market is in a buying or selling opportunity.
Trading Strategies Using the Script
1. Forex Trading:
Trend-Following with EMAs: Use the EMA crossovers to capture trending markets in Forex. A green light for the EMA combined with a price above the daily or weekly pivot levels suggests a buying opportunity. Conversely, if the EMA light turns red and price falls below the CPR levels, look for shorting opportunities.
Reversal Strategy: Watch for price action near the daily S1/R1 levels. If price holds above S1 and the EMA is green, this could signal a reversal from support. The same applies to resistance levels.
2. Bitcoin Trading:
Momentum Breakouts: Bitcoin is known for its sharp moves. The script helps to identify breakouts from the CPR range. If the price breaks above the TC (Top Central Pivot) with bullish EMA alignment (green light), it could signal a strong uptrend.
Lagging Span Confirmation: Use the Lagging Span to confirm the trend direction. For Bitcoin's volatility, when the lagging span shows consistent alignment with the price and CPR, it often indicates continuation of the trend.
3. Commodities Trading:
Support/Resistance Bounce: Commodities such as gold and oil often react well to pivot levels. Look for price bouncing off S1 or R1 for potential entry points. A green CPR light along with price above the pivot range supports a bullish bias.
EMA Pullback Strategy: If price moves in a strong trend and pulls back to one of the EMAs, a green EMA light suggests re-entry on a pullback. If the EMA light is red and price breaks below the BC (Bottom Central Pivot), short positions could be considered.
4. Stocks Trading:
Long Position Strategy: For stocks, use the combination of the long position light turning green (price above TC and EMA alignment) as a signal to buy. This could be especially useful for riding bullish trends in growth stocks or during earnings seasons when volatility is high.
Short Position Strategy: If the short position light turns green, indicating price below BC and EMAs turning bearish, this could be an ideal setup for shorting overvalued stocks or during market corrections.
5. Options Trading:
Directional Bias for Options: The light system is particularly helpful for options traders. A green long position light provides a clear signal to buy call options, while a green short position light supports buying puts.
Pivot Breakout Strategy: Buy options (calls or puts) when the price breaks above resistance or below support, with confirmation from the CPR and EMA lights. This helps capture the sharp moves required for profitable options trades.
Conclusion
The S&R Precision Cloud script is a versatile tool for traders across markets, including Forex, Bitcoin, Commodities, Stocks, and Options. It combines critical technical elements like pivot ranges, support and resistance levels, EMAs, and the Lagging Span to provide a clear picture of market conditions. The intuitive light system helps traders quickly assess whether to take a long or short position, making it an excellent tool for both new and experienced traders.
The S&R Precision Cloud by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad script is a technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in making informed decisions. However, it should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. The signals generated by the script are based on historical price data and technical indicators, which are inherently subject to market fluctuations and do not guarantee future performance.
Trading in Forex, Bitcoin, Commodities, Stocks, and Options carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should be aware of the risks involved and be willing to accept them before engaging in such activities. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor or professional before making any trading decisions.
The creators of this script are not responsible for any financial losses that may occur from its use. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and the use of this script is at your own risk.
AHR999 Bitcoin Buy/Sell Signals Indicator - Accurate Trading OppThis Pine Script indicator combines the AHR999 metric with Bitcoin's historical price trends to provide clear buy and sell signals, assisting you in making informed trading decisions at crucial moments. It calculates the AHR999 index based on Bitcoin's 200-day Geometric Moving Average (GMA) and the estimated price, offering customizable buy and sell thresholds for precise entry and exit points. Ideal for traders looking to capture long-term investment trends, this indicator helps you effectively identify Bitcoin market opportunities.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curve 2024The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve is a concept used to analyze Bitcoin's price movements over time. The idea is based on the observation that Bitcoin's price tends to grow exponentially, particularly during bull markets. It attempts to give a long-term perspective on the Bitcoin price movements.
The curve includes an upper and lower band. These bands often represent zones where Bitcoin's price is overextended (upper band) or undervalued (lower band) relative to its historical growth trajectory. When the price touches or exceeds the upper band, it may indicate a speculative bubble, while prices near the lower band may suggest a buying opportunity.
Unlike most Bitcoin growth curve indicators, this one includes a logarithmic growth curve optimized using the latest 2024 price data, making it, in our view, superior to previous models. Additionally, it features statistical confidence intervals derived from linear regression, compatible across all timeframes, and extrapolates the data far into the future. Finally, this model allows users the flexibility to manually adjust the function parameters to suit their preferences.
The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve has the following function:
y = 10^(a * log10(x) - b)
In the context of this formula, the y value represents the Bitcoin price, while the x value corresponds to the time, specifically indicated by the weekly bar number on the chart.
How is it made (You can skip this section if you’re not a fan of math):
To optimize the fit of this function and determine the optimal values of a and b, the previous weekly cycle peak values were analyzed. The corresponding x and y values were recorded as follows:
113, 18.55
240, 1004.42
451, 19128.27
655, 65502.47
The same process was applied to the bear market low values:
103, 2.48
267, 211.03
471, 3192.87
676, 16255.15
Next, these values were converted to their linear form by applying the base-10 logarithm. This transformation allows the function to be expressed in a linear state: y = a * x − b. This step is essential for enabling linear regression on these values.
For the cycle peak (x,y) values:
2.053, 1.268
2.380, 3.002
2.654, 4.282
2.816, 4.816
And for the bear market low (x,y) values:
2.013, 0.394
2.427, 2.324
2.673, 3.504
2.830, 4.211
Next, linear regression was performed on both these datasets. (Numerous tools are available online for linear regression calculations, making manual computations unnecessary).
Linear regression is a method used to find a straight line that best represents the relationship between two variables. It looks at how changes in one variable affect another and tries to predict values based on that relationship.
The goal is to minimize the differences between the actual data points and the points predicted by the line. Essentially, it aims to optimize for the highest R-Square value.
Below are the results:
It is important to note that both the slope (a-value) and the y-intercept (b-value) have associated standard errors. These standard errors can be used to calculate confidence intervals by multiplying them by the t-values (two degrees of freedom) from the linear regression.
These t-values can be found in a t-distribution table. For the top cycle confidence intervals, we used t10% (0.133), t25% (0.323), and t33% (0.414). For the bottom cycle confidence intervals, the t-values used were t10% (0.133), t25% (0.323), t33% (0.414), t50% (0.765), and t67% (1.063).
The final bull cycle function is:
y = 10^(4.058 ± 0.133 * log10(x) – 6.44 ± 0.324)
The final bear cycle function is:
y = 10^(4.684 ± 0.025 * log10(x) – -9.034 ± 0.063)
The main Criticisms of growth curve models:
The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve model faces several general criticisms that we’d like to highlight briefly. The most significant, in our view, is its heavy reliance on past price data, which may not accurately forecast future trends. For instance, previous growth curve models from 2020 on TradingView were overly optimistic in predicting the last cycle’s peak.
This is why we aimed to present our process for deriving the final functions in a transparent, step-by-step scientific manner, including statistical confidence intervals. It's important to note that the bull cycle function is less reliable than the bear cycle function, as the top band is significantly wider than the bottom band.
Even so, we still believe that the Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve presented in this script is overly optimistic since it goes parly against the concept of diminishing returns which we discussed in this post:
This is why we also propose alternative parameter settings that align more closely with the theory of diminishing returns.
Our recommendations:
Drawing on the concept of diminishing returns, we propose alternative settings for this model that we believe provide a more realistic forecast aligned with this theory. The adjusted parameters apply only to the top band: a-value: 3.637 ± 0.2343 and b-parameter: -5.369 ± 0.6264. However, please note that these values are highly subjective, and you should be aware of the model's limitations.
Conservative bull cycle model:
y = 10^(3.637 ± 0.2343 * log10(x) - 5.369 ± 0.6264)
Birdies [LuxAlgo]The Birdies indicator uses a unique technique to provide support/resistance curves based on a circle connecting the last swing high/low.
A specific, customizable part of this circle acts as a curve of interest, which can trigger visual breakout signals.
🔶 USAGE
The script projects a bird-like pattern when a valid Swing point is found. Multiple customization options are included.
🔹 Trend & Support/Resistance Tool
The color fill patterns and the wing boundaries can give insights into the current trend direction as well as serve as potential support/resistance areas.
In the example above, "Birdies" coincide with pullback and support/resistance zones.
🔹 Swing Length & Buffer
Besides the "Swing Length", with higher values returning longer-term Swing Levels, the script's behavior can be fine-tuned with filters ("Settings" - "Validation").
🔹 Validation
To minimize clutter, three filters are included:
Minimum X-Distance: The minimum amount of bars between subsequent Swings
Minimum Y-Distance: The minimum amount of bars between subsequent Swings
Buffer (Multiple of ATR)
The "Minimum X/Y-Distance" creates a zone where a new Swing is considered invalid. Only when the Swing is out of the zone, can it be considered valid.
In other words, in the example above, a Swing High can only be valid when enough bars/time have passed, and the difference between the last Swing and the previous is more than the ATR multiplied by the "Minimum Y-Distance" factor.
The "Buffer" creates a line above/below the "Birdy", derived from the measured ATR at the conception of the "Birdy" multiplied with a factor ("Buffer").
When the closing price crosses the "Birdy", it must also surpass this buffer line to produce a valid signal, lowering the risk of clutter as a result.
🔶 DETAILS
Birdies are derived from a circle that connects two Swing points. The left-wing curve originates from the most recent "Swing point" to the last value on the circle before crossing its midline. The mirror image of the left wing creates the right wing.
Enabling "Origine" will draw a line from the last Swing to the first.
🔹 Style
The publication includes a style setting with four options.
The first, "Birdy," shows a bird-like shape derived from a circle connecting the last Swing High and Swing Low.
The second option holds everything from the first option but connects both wingtips, providing potential horizontal levels of interest.
When setting "Birdy" to "None", the visual breakout signals will not defer from previous settings, but the focus is shifted towards the fill color, which can help detect potential trend shift.
A fourth setting, "Left Wing", will only show the left part of the "Birdy" pattern, removing the right part from the equation. This will change the visual breakout signals, providing alternative signals.
🔶 SETTINGS
Swing Length: The period used for swing detection, with higher values returning longer-term Swing Levels.
🔹 Validation
Minimum X-Distance: The minimum amount of bars between subsequent Swings
Minimum Y-Distance: The minimum amount of bars between subsequent Swings
Buffer (Multiple of ATR)
🔹 Style
Bullish Patterns: Enable / color
Bearish Patterns: Enable / color
Buffer Zone: Show / Color
Color Fill: Show color fill between two Birdies (if available)
Origine: Show the line between both Swing Points
🔹 Calculation
Calculated Bars: Allows the usage of fewer bars for performance/speed improvement
Standard Deviation based Upper Lower RangeThis script makes use of historical data for finding the standard deviation on daily returns. Based on the mean and standard deviation, the upper and lower range for the stock is shown upto 2x standard deviation. These bounds can be treated as volatility range for the next n trading sessions. This volatility is based on historical data. Users can change the lookback historical period, and can also set the time period (days) for upcoming trading sessions.
This indicator can be useful in determining stoploss and target levels along with the traditional support/resistance levels. It can also be useful in option trading where one needs to determine a range beyond which it is safe to sell an option.
A range of 1 SD has around 65% to 68% probability that it will not be breached. A range of 2 SD has around 95% probability that it will not be breached.
The indicator is based on Normal distribution theory. In future editions, I envision to also calculate the skewness and kurtosis so that we can determine if a stock is properly following Normal Distribution theory. That may further favor the calculated range.
Winning and Losing StreaksThe Pine Script indicator "Winning and Losing Streaks" tracks and visualizes the length of consecutive winning and losing streaks in a financial series, such as stock prices. Here’s a detailed description of the indicator, including the relevance of statistical analysis and streak tracking.
Indicator Description
The "Winning and Losing Streaks" indicator in Pine Script is designed to analyze and display streaks of consecutive winning and losing days in trading data. It helps traders and analysts understand the persistence of trends in price movements.
Here’s how it functions:
Streak Calculation:
Winning Streak: A series of consecutive days where the closing price is higher than the previous day's closing price.
Losing Streak: A series of consecutive days where the closing price is lower than the previous day's closing price.
Doji Candles: The indicator also considers Doji candles, where the difference between the opening and closing prices is minimal relative to the high-low range, and excludes these from being counted as winning or losing days.
Statistical Analysis:
The indicator computes the maximum and average lengths of winning and losing streaks.
It also tracks the current streak lengths and maintains arrays to store the historical streak data.
Visualization:
Histograms: Winning and losing streaks are visualized using histograms, which provide a clear graphical representation of streak lengths over time.
Relevance of Statistical Analysis and Streak Tracking
1. Statistical Significance of Streaks
Tracking winning and losing streaks has significant statistical implications for trading strategies and risk management:
Autocorrelation: Streaks in financial time series can reveal autocorrelation, where past returns influence future returns. Studies have shown that financial time series often exhibit autocorrelation, which can be used to forecast future price movements (Lo, 1991; Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). Understanding streaks helps in identifying and leveraging these patterns.
Behavioral Finance: Streak analysis aligns with concepts from behavioral finance, such as the "hot-hand fallacy," where investors may perceive trends as more persistent than they are (Gilovich, Vallone, & Tversky, 1985). Statistical streak analysis provides a more objective view of trend persistence, helping to avoid biases.
2. Risk Management and Strategy Development
Risk Assessment: Identifying the length and frequency of losing streaks is crucial for managing risk and adjusting trading strategies. Long losing streaks can indicate potential strategy weaknesses or market regime changes, prompting a reassessment of trading rules and risk management practices (Brock, Lakonishok, & LeBaron, 1992).
Strategy Optimization: Statistical analysis of streaks can aid in optimizing trading strategies. For example, understanding the average length of winning and losing streaks can help in setting more effective stop-loss and take-profit levels, as well as in determining the optimal position sizing (Fama & French, 1993).
Scientific References:
Lo, A. W. (1991). "Long-Term Memory in Stock Market Prices." Econometrica, 59(5), 1279-1313. This paper discusses the presence of long-term memory in stock prices, which is relevant for understanding the persistence of streaks.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency." Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91. This study explores momentum and reversal strategies, which are related to the concept of streaks.
Gilovich, T., Vallone, R., & Tversky, A. (1985). "The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences." Cognitive Psychology, 17(3), 295-314. This paper provides insight into the psychological aspects of streaks and persistence.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764. This research examines the effectiveness of technical trading rules, relevant for streak-based strategies.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993). "Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds." Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56. This paper provides a foundation for understanding risk factors and strategy performance.
By analyzing streaks, traders can gain valuable insights into market dynamics and refine their trading strategies based on empirical evidence.
PERFECT PIVOT RANGE DR ABIRAM SIVPRASAD (PPR)PERFECT PIVOT RANGE (PPR) by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad
The Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of key support and resistance levels based on pivot points across different timeframes. This versatile tool allows users to visualize daily, weekly, and monthly pivots along with high and low levels from previous periods, helping traders identify potential areas of price reversals or breakouts.
Features:
Multi-Timeframe Pivots:
Daily, weekly, and monthly pivot levels (Pivot Point, Support 1 & 2, Resistance 1 & 2).
Helps traders understand price levels across various timeframes, from short-term (daily) to long-term (monthly).
Previous High-Low Levels:
Displays the previous week, month, and day high-low levels to highlight key zones of historical support and resistance.
Traders can easily see areas of price action from prior periods, giving context for future price movements.
Customizable Options:
Users can choose which pivot levels and high-lows to display, allowing for flexibility based on trading preferences.
Visual settings can be toggled on and off to suit different trading strategies and timeframes.
Real-Time Data:
All pivot points and levels are dynamically calculated based on real-time price data, ensuring accurate and up-to-date information for decision-making.
How to Use:
Pivot Points: Use daily, weekly, or monthly pivot points to find potential support or resistance levels. Prices above the pivot suggest bullish sentiment, while prices below indicate bearishness.
Previous High-Low: The high-low levels from previous days, weeks, or months can serve as critical zones where price may reverse or break through, indicating potential trade entries or exits.
Confluence: When pivot points or high-low levels overlap across multiple timeframes, they become even stronger levels of support or resistance.
This indicator is suitable for all types of traders (scalpers, swing traders, and long-term investors) looking to enhance their technical analysis and make more informed trading decisions.
Here are three detailed trading strategies for using the Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator for options, stocks, and commodities:
1. Options Buying Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Buying Call and Put Options Based on Pivot Breakouts
Objective: To capitalize on sharp price movements when key pivot levels are breached, leading to high returns with limited risk in options trading.
Timeframe: 15-minute to 1-hour chart for intraday option trading.
Steps:
Identify the Key Levels:
Use weekly pivots for intraday trading, as they provide more significant levels for options.
Enable the "Previous Week High-Low" to gauge support and resistance from the previous week.
Call Option Setup (Bullish Breakout):
Condition: If the price breaks above the weekly pivot point (PP) with high momentum (indicated by a strong bullish candle), it signifies potential bullishness.
Action: Buy Call Options at the breakout of the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Check if the price is sustaining above the pivot with a minimum of 1-2 candles (depending on timeframe) and the first resistance (R1) isn’t too far away.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous week’s high can be your target for exiting the trade.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the pivot point (PP) to limit risk.
Put Option Setup (Bearish Breakdown):
Condition: If the price breaks below the weekly pivot (PP) with strong bearish momentum, it’s a signal to expect a downward move.
Action: Buy Put Options on a breakdown below the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Ensure that the price is closing below the pivot, and check for declining volumes or bearish candles.
Target: The first support (S1) or the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just above the pivot point (PP).
Example:
Let’s say the weekly pivot point (PP) is at 1500, the price breaks above and sustains at 1510. You buy a Call Option with a strike price near 1500, and the target will be the first resistance (R1) at 1530.
2. Stock Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Swing Trading Using Pivot Points and Previous High-Low Levels
Objective: To capture mid-term stock price movements using pivot points and historical high-low levels for better trade entries and exits.
Timeframe: 1-day or 4-hour chart for swing trading.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Start by determining the overall trend of the stock using the weekly pivots. If the price is consistently above the pivot point (PP), the trend is bullish; if below, the trend is bearish.
Buy Setup (Bullish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the stock bounces off the weekly pivot point (PP) or previous week’s low, it signals a bullish reversal.
Action: Enter a long position near the pivot or previous week’s low.
Confirmation: Look for a bullish candle pattern or increasing volumes.
Target: Set your first target at the first resistance (R1) or the previous week’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss just below the previous week’s low or support (S1).
Sell Setup (Bearish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the price hits the weekly resistance (R1) or previous week’s high and starts to reverse downwards, it’s an opportunity to short-sell the stock.
Action: Enter a short position near the resistance.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volume at the resistance.
Target: Your first target would be the weekly pivot point (PP), with the second target as the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just above the resistance (R1).
Use Previous High-Low Levels:
The previous week’s high and low are key levels where price reversals often occur, so use them as reference points for potential entry and exit.
Example:
Stock XYZ is trading at 200. The previous week’s low is 195, and it bounces off that level. You enter a long position with a target of 210 (previous week’s high) and place a stop-loss at 193.
3. Commodity Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Trend Continuation and Reversal in Commodities
Objective: To capitalize on the strong trends in commodities by using pivot points as key support and resistance levels for trend continuation and reversal.
Timeframe: 1-hour to 4-hour charts for commodities like Gold, Crude Oil, Silver, etc.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Use monthly pivots for long-term commodities trading since commodities often follow macroeconomic trends.
The monthly pivot point (PP) will give an idea of the long-term trend direction.
Trend Continuation Setup (Bullish Commodity):
Condition: If the price is consistently trading above the monthly pivot and pulling back towards the pivot without breaking below it, it indicates a bullish continuation.
Action: Enter a long position when the price tests the monthly pivot (PP) and starts moving up again.
Confirmation: Look for a strong bullish candle or an increase in volume to confirm the continuation.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous month’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below the monthly pivot (PP).
Trend Reversal Setup (Bearish Commodity):
Condition: When the price reverses from the monthly resistance (R1) or previous month’s high, it’s a signal for a bearish reversal.
Action: Enter a short position at the resistance level.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volumes at the resistance.
Target: Set your first target as the monthly pivot (PP) or the first support (S1).
Stop-Loss: Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance level.
Using Previous High-Low for Swing Trades:
The previous month’s high and low are important in commodities. They often act as barriers to price movement, so traders should look for breakouts or reversals near these levels.
Example:
Gold is trading at $1800, with a monthly pivot at $1780 and the previous month’s high at $1830. If the price pulls back to $1780 and starts moving up again, you enter a long trade with a target of $1830, placing your stop-loss below $1770.
Key Points Across All Strategies:
Multiple Timeframes: Always use a combination of timeframes for confirmation. For example, a daily chart may show a bullish setup, but the weekly pivot levels can provide a larger trend context.
Volume: Volume is key in confirming the strength of price movement. Always confirm breakouts or reversals with rising or declining volume.
Risk Management: Set tight stop-loss levels just below support or above resistance to minimize risk and lock in profits at pivot points.
Each of these strategies leverages the powerful pivot and high-low levels provided by the PPR indicator to give traders clear entry, exit, and risk management points across different markets
Auto Signal Buy/SellAuto Signal Buy/Sell with Time Filter and Dynamic ZLEMA (GMT+2) 🌟
Are you looking for an indicator that combines efficiency and simplicity while integrating advanced elements like SuperTrend, ZLEMA (Zero Lag EMA), and a MACD DEMA for clear and precise buy/sell signals? 📈 Introducing Auto Signal Buy/Sell, the ultimate indicator designed for intraday and swing traders, optimized for market hours in GMT+2.
🛠️ Key Features:
- **Advanced SuperTrend**: Follow the dominant trend with a robust SuperTrend, adjustable to your preferences (customizable multiplier and period).
- **Dynamic ZLEMA**: Get a zero-lag EMA curve with a visual signal. Additionally, the ZLEMA turns blue when it’s nearly flat, helping you easily spot market consolidation phases.
- **MACD DEMA**: An enhanced version of the traditional MACD, using the Double EMA to capture more responsive buy/sell cross signals. 📊
- **Buy/Sell Signals**: Visual arrows clearly indicate potential entry and exit points on your chart, filtered by MACD crossovers and the SuperTrend trend.
- **Smart Time Filter (GMT+2)**: This script adapts to trading hours (customizable) and only displays signals during trading hours. The background turns light blue when the market is closed, preventing confusion during inactivity periods. 🕒
⚙️ Full Customization:
- Adjustable trading hours (default 9 AM to 5 PM in GMT+2) with dynamic background indicating when markets are closed.
- Flexible settings for SuperTrend, ZLEMA, and MACD DEMA to suit any strategy.
🎯 Why Choose This Indicator?
- Optimized for maximum precision with advanced algorithms like ZLEMA and DEMA.
- Easy to use: it provides clear, visual signals directly on the chart—no need to decipher complex indicators.
- A complete intraday and swing indicator that combines trend analysis and signal filtering with precise market hours.
🚀 Boost Your Trading!
Add this indicator to your toolkit and enhance your decision-making. Thanks to its intuitive interface and clear visual signals, you can trade with confidence. 💡
Don't forget to like 👍 and comment if you find this indicator useful! Your feedback helps us continue improving such tools. 🚀
📌 How to Use:
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Adjust the SuperTrend and ZLEMA settings to suit your needs.
3. Follow the buy/sell signals and watch for the light blue background outside of trading hours.
4. Trade effectively and stay in control, even during consolidation phases.
Reflected ema Difference (RED) This script, titled "Reflected EMA Difference (RED)," is based on the logic of evaluating the percentage of convergence and divergence between two moving averages, specifically the Hull Moving Averages (HMA), to make price-related decisions. The Hull Moving Average, created by Alan Hull, is used as the foundation of this strategy, offering a faster and more accurate way to analyze market trends. In this script, the concept is employed to measure and reflect price variations.
Script Functionality Overview:
Hull Moving Averages (HMA): The script utilizes two HMAs, one short-term and one long-term. The main idea is to compute the Delta Difference between these two moving averages, which represents how much they are converging or diverging from each other. This difference is key to identifying potential market trend changes.
Reflected HMA Value: Using the Delta Difference between the HMAs, the value of the short-term HMA is reflected, creating a visual reference point that helps traders see the relationship between price and HMAs on the chart.
Percentage Change Index: The second key parameter is the percentage change index. This determines when a trend is reversing, allowing buy or sell orders to be established based on significant changes in the relationship between the HMAs and the price.
Delta Multiplier: The script comes with a default Delta multiplier of 2 for calculating the difference between HMAs, allowing traders to adjust the sensitivity of the analysis based on the time frame being analyzed.
Trend Reversal Signals: When the price crosses the thresholds defined by the percentage change index, buy or sell signals are triggered, based on the detection of a potential trend reversal.
Visual Cues with Boxes: Boxes are drawn on the chart when the HullMA crosses the reflected HMA value, providing a visual aid to identify critical moments where risk should be evaluated.
Alerts for Receiving Signals:
This script allows you to set up buy and sell alerts via TradingView's alert system. These alerts are triggered when trend changes are detected based on the conditions coded in the script. Traders can receive instant notifications, allowing them to make decisions without needing to constantly monitor the chart.
Additional Considerations:
The percentage change parameter is adjustable and should be configured based on the time frame you are trading on. For longer time frames, it's advisable to use a larger percentage change to avoid false signals.
The use of Hull Moving Averages (HMA) provides a faster and more reactive approach to trend evaluation compared to other moving averages, making it a powerful tool for traders seeking quick reversal signals.
This approach combines the power of Hull Moving Averages with an alert system to improve the trader’s response to trend changes.
Spanish
Este script, titulado "Reflected EMA Difference (RED)", está fundamentado en la lógica de evaluar el porcentaje de acercamiento y distancia entre dos medias móviles, específicamente las medias móviles de Hull (HMA), para tomar decisiones sobre el valor del precio. El creador de la media móvil de Hull, Alan Hull, diseñó este indicador para ofrecer una forma más rápida y precisa de analizar tendencias de mercado, y en este script se utiliza su concepto como base para medir y reflejar las variaciones de precio.
Descripción del funcionamiento:
Medias Móviles de Hull (HMA): Se utilizan dos HMAs, una de corto plazo y otra de largo plazo. La idea principal es calcular la diferencia Delta entre estas dos medias móviles, que representa cuánto se están alejando o acercando entre sí. Esta diferencia es clave para identificar cambios potenciales en la tendencia del mercado.
Valor Reflejado de la HMA: Con la diferencia Delta calculada entre las HMAs, se refleja el valor de la HMA corta, creando un punto de referencia visual que ayuda a los traders a observar la relación entre el precio y las HMAs en el gráfico.
Índice de Cambio de Porcentaje: El segundo parámetro clave del script es el índice de cambio porcentual. Este define el momento en que una tendencia está revirtiendo, permitiendo establecer órdenes de compra o venta en función de un cambio significativo en la relación entre las HMAs y el precio.
Multiplicador Delta: El script tiene un multiplicador predeterminado de 2 para el cálculo de la diferencia Delta, lo que permite ajustar la sensibilidad del análisis según la temporalidad del gráfico.
Señales de Reversión de Tendencia: Cuando el precio cruza los límites definidos por el índice de cambio porcentual, se emiten señales para comprar o vender, basadas en la detección de una posible reversión de tendencia.
Visualización con Cajas: Se dibujan cajas en el gráfico cuando el indicador HullMA cruza el valor reflejado de la HMA, ayudando a identificar visualmente los momentos críticos en los que se debe evaluar el riesgo de las operaciones.
Alertas para Recibir Señales:
Este script permite configurar alertas de compra y venta desde el apartado de alertas de TradingView. Estas alertas se activan cuando se detectan cambios de tendencia en función de las condiciones establecidas en el código. El trader puede recibir notificaciones instantáneas, lo que facilita la toma de decisiones sin necesidad de estar constantemente observando el gráfico.
Consideraciones adicionales:
El porcentaje de cambio es un parámetro ajustable y debe configurarse según la temporalidad que se esté operando. En temporalidades más largas, es recomendable usar un porcentaje de cambio mayor para evitar señales falsas.
La utilización de las medias móviles de Hull (HMA) proporciona un enfoque más rápido y reactivo para evaluar tendencias en comparación con otras medias móviles, lo que lo convierte en una herramienta poderosa para traders que buscan señales rápidas de reversión.
Este enfoque combina la potencia de las medias móviles de Hull con un sistema de alertas que mejora la reactividad a cambios de tendencia.
Stochastic RSI Average Overlay Stochastic Average Overlay is an advanced technical indicator designed to enhance your trading strategy by combining the power of stochastic averages with multiple smoothing techniques. This overlay indicator provides a comprehensive view of market momentum and potential reversal points, integrating features for both trend analysis and signal generation.
Key Features:
Stochastic Average:
Customizable Length: Adjust the length parameter to define the period over which the stochastic average is calculated. This flexibility allows you to tailor the indicator to different market conditions and trading styles.
Pre-Smoothing and Post-Smoothing: The indicator offers pre-smoothing and post-smoothing options to reduce noise and enhance signal clarity. Choose from various smoothing methods, including Simple Moving Average (SMA), Triangular Moving Average (TMA), and Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA).
Normalized Average Calculation:
Normalized Values: The stochastic average is calculated using normalized values to provide a clear view of market extremes. This approach helps in identifying overbought and oversold conditions more effectively.
Trend Detection:
Dynamic Coloring: The indicator uses color-coded plots to indicate bullish or bearish trends. The plot color changes dynamically based on whether the stochastic average is rising (bullish) or falling (bearish).
Upper and Lower Bounds: Includes horizontal lines at the upper (95) and lower (5) bounds to visually represent extreme levels and potential reversal zones.
Signal Generation:
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Circles are plotted above or below the bars to highlight overbought (crossunder 95) and oversold (crossover 5) conditions.
Buy/Sell Labels: Buy and sell signals are plotted directly on the price chart. A "BUY" label appears below the bar when the stochastic average crosses above the lower bound, and a "SELL" label appears above the bar when it crosses below the upper bound.
Overlay Functionality:
Price Chart Integration: As an overlay indicator, it is plotted on the price chart, allowing you to analyze market conditions in conjunction with price movements.
Usage Tips:
Combine with Other Indicators: Use the Multi-Length Stochastic Average in conjunction with other technical indicators to confirm signals and enhance decision-making.
Adjust Parameters: Tailor the length and smoothing options to fit your trading style and market conditions.
Monitor Signal Strength: Pay attention to the strength of buy and sell signals in conjunction with the trend direction indicated by the color of the plot.
The Stochastic Average Overlay provides traders with a powerful tool to analyze market momentum, identify potential reversal points, and make informed trading decisions based on comprehensive technical analysis.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is designed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always perform your own research and consider your individual financial situation before making trading decisions.
VSA Impulse with JOC and SC Forecast BoxesEnglish Description
**Script Title:** VSA Impulse with JOC and SC Forecast Boxes
**Description:**
This Pine Script™ indicator integrates Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) with impulse signals and forecast boxes to help traders visualize key market conditions and potential price movements.
**Features:**
1. **Impulse Movements**: Identifies bullish and bearish impulse movements based on price and volume changes.
- **Impulse Up**: Price is higher and volume is greater than the previous bar.
- **Impulse Down**: Price is lower and volume is greater than the previous bar.
2. **VSA Signals**: Detects specific VSA signals for analysis:
- **Stopping Action (SA)**: Bullish impulse with higher volume and price increase.
- **Spring (SP)**: Bullish impulse with lower volume and price drop.
- **No Demand (ND)**: Bearish impulse with lower volume and price increase.
- **Last Point of Support (LPS)**: Bullish impulse with higher volume and price drop.
- **Jump Over Creek (JOC)**: Bullish impulse with higher volume and price increase.
- **Selling Climax (SC)**: Bearish impulse with higher volume and price drop.
3. **Forecast Boxes**:
- **Jump Over Creek (JOC) Forecast Box**: Displays a green forecast box when a JOC signal is detected, projecting potential bullish movement.
- **Selling Climax (SC) Forecast Box**: Displays a red forecast box when an SC signal is detected, projecting potential bearish movement.
4. **Anomalous Volume Detection**: Highlights significant volume spikes above a set multiplier of the average volume with colored boxes and labels.
**Settings:**
- **Length**: Defines the period for calculating the average volume.
- **Anomalous Volume Multiplier**: Sets the threshold for identifying anomalous volumes.
- **Forecast Period**: Determines the duration for the forecast boxes.
**Visuals:**
- Colored forecast boxes for JOC (green) and SC (red) with corresponding labels.
- Signals for VSA with colored shapes and labels.
- Highlighted anomalous volumes with colored boxes and labels.
Русское описание
**Название скрипта:** Импульс VSA с прогнозными боксами JOC и SC
**Описание:**
Этот Pine Script™ индикатор интегрирует анализ объема и спреда (VSA) с импульсными сигналами и прогнозными боксами, чтобы помочь трейдерам визуализировать ключевые рыночные условия и потенциальные движения цен.
**Функции:**
1. **Импульсные движения**: Определяет бычьи и медвежьи импульсные движения на основе изменений цены и объема.
- **Импульс вверх**: Цена выше и объем больше предыдущего бара.
- **Импульс вниз**: Цена ниже и объем больше предыдущего бара.
2. **Сигналы VSA**: Обнаруживает специфические сигналы VSA для анализа:
- **Stopping Action (SA)**: Бычий импульс с увеличением объема и цены.
- **Spring (SP)**: Бычий импульс с уменьшением объема и падением цены.
- **No Demand (ND)**: Медвежий импульс с уменьшением объема и ростом цены.
- **Last Point of Support (LPS)**: Бычий импульс с увеличением объема и падением цены.
- **Jump Over Creek (JOC)**: Бычий импульс с увеличением объема и ростом цены.
- **Selling Climax (SC)**: Медвежий импульс с увеличением объема и падением цены.
3. **Прогнозные боксы**:
- **Прогнозный бокс Jump Over Creek (JOC)**: Показывает зеленый прогнозный бокс при обнаружении сигнала JOC, проецируя потенциальное бычье движение.
- **Прогнозный бокс Selling Climax (SC)**: Показывает красный прогнозный бокс при обнаружении сигнала SC, проецируя потенциальное медвежье движение.
4. **Обнаружение аномального объема**: Подчеркивает значительные всплески объема выше заданного множителя среднего объема с помощью цветных боксов и меток.
**Настройки:**
- **Length**: Определяет период для расчета среднего объема.
- **Множитель аномального объема**: Устанавливает порог для идентификации аномального объема.
- **Период прогноза**: Определяет продолжительность прогнозных боксов.
**Визуализация:**
- Цветные прогнозные боксы для JOC (зеленые) и SC (красные) с соответствующими метками.
- Сигналы VSA с цветными фигурами и метками.
- Подсвеченные аномальные объемы с цветными боксами и метками.
[DarkTrader] Range Level ProbabilityThis indicator calculates and visualizes significant price levels, such as swing highs, swing lows, and mid-price levels, using advanced mathematical functions and statistical methods. It aims to provide traders with insights into potential support and resistance areas by analyzing past price swings and their statistical properties.
Usage :
Identifying Support and Resistance: The projected swing high and swing low levels can act as potential support and resistance zones. Traders can use these levels to anticipate where the price might reverse or experience a pause in its movement.
Trend Analysis: By analyzing the mid-price level and its relationship to the swing high and low, traders can gain insights into the current market trend and potential price direction.
Customizing for Different Periods: Traders can adjust the input parameters, such as the period for calculating the mean and standard deviation, to tailor the indicator to different timeframes and market conditions.
Enhancing Trading Decisions: The indicator provides additional context for trading decisions by combining statistical analysis with visual projections, helping traders make more informed choices and manage risk effectively.
Key Features :
Statistical Analysis: The indicator utilizes statistical techniques to estimate the probability of future price movements. It calculates the likelihood of price reaching certain levels based on historical data, providing a probabilistic view of potential price targets.
Dynamic Range Calculation: It dynamically calculates important price levels based on a defined period. This period is adjustable, allowing traders to customize the indicator to fit different market conditions and trading strategies.
Customizable Appearance: Traders can customize the colors of the projected lines and labels, making it easier to distinguish between different levels and adjust the visual representation to their preferences.
Real-Time Updates: The indicator updates in real time with each new price bar, ensuring that the projected levels reflect the most current market conditions.
The indicator projects key price levels on the chart, including :
Swing High: The highest price level within a specified period.
Swing Low: The lowest price level within the same period.
Mid-Price: The average price between the swing high and swing low.
These levels are drawn as horizontal lines on the chart, extending into the future, which helps traders anticipate potential support and resistance zones.
Super Trend ReversalsMain Concept
The core idea behind the Super Trend Reversals indicator is to assess the momentum of automated trading bots (often referred to as 'Supertrend bots') that enter the market during critical turning points. Specifically, the indicator is tuned to identify when the market is nearing bottoms or peaks, but just before it shifts direction based on the triggered Supertrend signals. This approach helps traders engage with the market right as the reversal momentum builds up, allowing for entry just as conditions become favorable and exit before momentum wanes.
How It Works
The Super Trend Reversals uses multiple Supertrend calculations, each with different period and multiplier settings, to form a comprehensive view of the trend. The total trend score from these calculations is then analyzed using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to gauge the strength and sustainability of the trend.
A key feature of this indicator is the isCurrentRangeSmaller() function, which evaluates if the current price range is lower than the average over the recent period. This function is critical as it helps determine the stability of the market environment, reducing the likelihood of entering or exiting trades based on erratic price movements that could lead to false signals.
[DarkTrader] Dynamic Level ProjectionThis indicator designed to enhance market analysis by projecting key price levels based on recent highs and lows. This script stands out by offering unique dynamic projections that are tailored to the latest market conditions, making it a valuable tool for both short-term and long-term traders.
Level Projection uses proprietary methods to dynamically project levels above and below recent price extremes. It employs two distinct scaling methods—Short Multiply (SM) and Long Multiply (LM)—to calculate these levels. The SM method is used to project resistance levels above recent highs, while the LM method projects support levels below recent lows. This approach ensures that the projected levels are responsive to current market trends and volatility.
How It Works :
The indicator analyzes recent market data to determine the highest and lowest prices over a customizable lookback period. Using the OHLC Lookback parameter, traders can set the duration for which these extreme prices are calculated. Based on these extremes, the indicator projects additional levels using the defined scaling methods. The result is a series of levels that help identify potential support and resistance zones in real time.
Customization Options :
Level Parameter: Defines the lengths for different projected levels.
OHLC Resolution: Selects the timeframe for OHLC data used in calculations.
Box Padding / Height: Controls the visual spacing of the projected levels on the chart.
Start Color and Extend Color: Customize the colors of the projected levels for better visual differentiation.
Real-Time Updates :
The indicator is designed to update in real-time, recalculating and redrawing levels with each new bar. This ensures that traders always see the most current projections and can make timely decisions based on the latest market data.
How to Use :
Traders should apply the indicator to their charts and customize the parameters according to their trading strategy. The projected levels will help in identifying potential support and resistance zones, which can be used to make informed trading decisions and manage risk effectively.
US Market Support & ResistanceUS Market Support & Resistance Indicator (For 5-30 Minute Timeframes)
This indicator plots key support and resistance levels for the US market based on the high and low of the first candle at the market open. It also shades the area between these levels with a color that dynamically changes to indicate the current trend:
* Green: Price is above the resistance level, suggesting a potential uptrend.
* Red: Price is below the support level, suggesting a potential downtrend.
* Gray: Price is trading between the support and resistance levels, suggesting a sideways trend.
Additionally, the indicator displays a small dashboard in the top right corner of the chart showing the current trend ("Upward", "Downward", or "Sideways") in the corresponding color.
Key Features:
* US Market Time Identification: Accurately identifies US market open and close times in UTC and colors candles red during these times.
* Support & Resistance Plotting: Plots support and resistance lines at the high and low of the first candle at the market open and extends them infinitely on the chart.
* Shaded Area Between Levels: Shades the area between the support and resistance lines with a color that dynamically changes based on the current price location relative to these levels.
* Trend Display: Displays a dashboard showing the current trend based on the shaded area's color.
* Open Alert: Issues an alert when the US market opens.
* Supported Timeframes: Works on timeframes less than 30 minutes and greater than 5 minutes.
* Economic News: Not recommended for use during periods of sporadic economic news releases, as sudden price fluctuations may cause false signals.
How to Use:
* Add the indicator to your chart, ensuring the timeframe is between 5 and 30 minutes.
* Wait for the US market to open.
* Observe the shaded area's color and the dashboard to identify the current trend.
* Use the support and resistance levels to make trading decisions, keeping in mind not to rely solely on it during news releases.
Caution: This indicator relies on support and resistance levels drawn at the US market open and may not always be accurate, especially during periods of high volatility. It should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to confirm the trend and make informed trading decisions.
Note: This description is designed to be compliant with TradingView's policies on indicator publishing.
Forex Macro Metrics [MacroGlide]"Forex Macro Metrics " is a powerful tool for analyzing macroeconomic metrics, designed to help traders make more informed decisions in the forex market. This indicator displays key economic indicators such as interest rates, money supply (M1 and M2), unemployment rate, and government debt for various currencies and their pairs, allowing users to assess the macroeconomic differences between the base and quote currencies.
Key Features:
• Interest Rates Display: Includes interest rates for major world currencies with the ability to show the differential between the base and quote currencies.
• Money Supply Analysis (M1 and M2): Displays the money supply for both the base and quote currencies, including differential calculations.
• Unemployment Rate: Compares the unemployment rates between currencies, showing the differences on the chart.
• Government Debt: Shows government debt levels for the base and quote currencies with differential calculations.
• Customizable Options: Enable/disable specific metrics and adjust colors for better visual clarity.
How to Use:
• Select a Currency Pair: Apply the indicator to your chart and choose the desired currency pair. The indicator will automatically load the relevant data for the base and quote currencies.
• Adjust Display Settings: Use the indicator settings to enable or disable specific metrics and their differentials.
• Analyze the Data: Compare the economic conditions of the two currencies through the charts and identify potential trading opportunities based on macroeconomic differences.
Methodology:
The indicator uses economic data available through TradingView tickers to calculate the values of the base and quote currencies. Differentials are calculated by subtracting the values of the quote currency from the base currency, allowing for a visual assessment of their differences. The displayed data includes historical changes, helping to identify trends and potential reversal points.
Originality and Usefulness:
"Forex Macro Metrics " is a unique tool that combines several key macroeconomic indicators into one comprehensive indicator. This simplifies the analysis process for traders looking to understand the fundamental differences between currencies. Using this approach provides an advantage in assessing long-term trends and potential shifts in currency pairs driven by changes in macroeconomic conditions.
Charts:
The indicator displays data in the form of lines and areas on the chart, with interest rates shown as lines for the base and quote currencies, accompanied by an area representing the differential. For money supply (M1 and M2), lines are drawn for each currency, with areas highlighting the differences. Similarly, the unemployment rate and government debt are displayed with clear visual separation of the data and their differentials, making it easy to compare and analyze the macroeconomic conditions of the currencies involved.
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