INVITE-ONLY SCRIPT
업데이트됨 OTC Seasonal forecasting tool 2.0

Seasonality Forecasting Tool – Advanced Seasonal Pattern Analysis (Inspired by Bernd Skorupinski Methodology)
📈 Description:
This script provides a structured way to analyze seasonal trends across financial markets, helping traders identify historical patterns that tend to repeat at specific times of the year. Inspired by Bernd Skorupinski’s institutional strategy, it has been refined with enhanced smoothing and customization options to improve adaptability across asset classes like commodities, forex, and indices.

👉 Core Functionality:
Analyzes historical price data over multiple lookback periods (5, 10, and 15 years) to calculate average seasonal performance.
Generates a smoothed seasonal curve that visually highlights periods of expected strength or weakness.
Allows users to customize lookback periods and adjust smoothing parameters, offering flexibility based on market type and volatility.
This tool is designed to be used as a contextual filter rather than a trade trigger—adding a layer of time-based confluence to enhance decision-making.
📊 Applied Example – Crude Oil Seasonality & Demand Zone Alignment
To demonstrate practical usage, here’s an example using Light Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) where seasonal tendencies and price structure aligned to create a high-probability setup.
Setup Steps:
1️⃣ Structural Context – Price Reaching a Demand Zone:
The market had been in a decline and approached a well-defined institutional demand area, which historically attracts buying interest.

2️⃣ Seasonality Analysis – Bullish Bias Identified:
The Seasonality Tool was applied using three distinct lookback windows:

5-year average 🟢
10-year average 🔴
15-year average 🔵
All three seasonal curves showed consistent upward trends during the late December to February period, historically signaling accumulation phases in crude oil markets.
3️⃣ Execution – Trade Setup:

With both:
Price action confirming a technical demand zone,
and seasonality indicating a strong historical bullish period,
a long position was taken targeting the next significant supply zone.

Result:
The trade unfolded as anticipated, with price rebounding strongly and delivering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:5.8—an outcome consistent with historical seasonal performance patterns.

⚙️ What Sets This Tool Apart:
Combines multi-timeframe seasonal data into a unified, easy-to-interpret visual output.
Includes custom smoothing algorithms to reduce noise, making the seasonal curves clearer and more reliable in fast-moving markets.
Offers flexibility to analyze not only commodities but also forex, indices, and other instruments influenced by recurring cycles (e.g., agricultural products, metals).
📌 Best Practices for Use:
Apply the tool alongside key technical zones (demand/supply) to find optimal trade timing.
Look for confluence across at least two of the seasonal curves (e.g., 5-year and 10-year averages agreeing on direction).
Use in combination with other market analysis tools—such as valuation indicators, COT data, or smart money flow—for full confirmation.
📈 Description:
This script provides a structured way to analyze seasonal trends across financial markets, helping traders identify historical patterns that tend to repeat at specific times of the year. Inspired by Bernd Skorupinski’s institutional strategy, it has been refined with enhanced smoothing and customization options to improve adaptability across asset classes like commodities, forex, and indices.
👉 Core Functionality:
Analyzes historical price data over multiple lookback periods (5, 10, and 15 years) to calculate average seasonal performance.
Generates a smoothed seasonal curve that visually highlights periods of expected strength or weakness.
Allows users to customize lookback periods and adjust smoothing parameters, offering flexibility based on market type and volatility.
This tool is designed to be used as a contextual filter rather than a trade trigger—adding a layer of time-based confluence to enhance decision-making.
📊 Applied Example – Crude Oil Seasonality & Demand Zone Alignment
To demonstrate practical usage, here’s an example using Light Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) where seasonal tendencies and price structure aligned to create a high-probability setup.
Setup Steps:
1️⃣ Structural Context – Price Reaching a Demand Zone:
The market had been in a decline and approached a well-defined institutional demand area, which historically attracts buying interest.
2️⃣ Seasonality Analysis – Bullish Bias Identified:
The Seasonality Tool was applied using three distinct lookback windows:
5-year average 🟢
10-year average 🔴
15-year average 🔵
All three seasonal curves showed consistent upward trends during the late December to February period, historically signaling accumulation phases in crude oil markets.
3️⃣ Execution – Trade Setup:
With both:
Price action confirming a technical demand zone,
and seasonality indicating a strong historical bullish period,
a long position was taken targeting the next significant supply zone.
Result:
The trade unfolded as anticipated, with price rebounding strongly and delivering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:5.8—an outcome consistent with historical seasonal performance patterns.
⚙️ What Sets This Tool Apart:
Combines multi-timeframe seasonal data into a unified, easy-to-interpret visual output.
Includes custom smoothing algorithms to reduce noise, making the seasonal curves clearer and more reliable in fast-moving markets.
Offers flexibility to analyze not only commodities but also forex, indices, and other instruments influenced by recurring cycles (e.g., agricultural products, metals).
📌 Best Practices for Use:
Apply the tool alongside key technical zones (demand/supply) to find optimal trade timing.
Look for confluence across at least two of the seasonal curves (e.g., 5-year and 10-year averages agreeing on direction).
Use in combination with other market analysis tools—such as valuation indicators, COT data, or smart money flow—for full confirmation.
릴리즈 노트
The Seasonality Foracsting Tool, inspired by Bernd SkorupinskiSeasonality Forecasting Tool – Advanced Seasonal Pattern Analysis (Inspired by Bernd Skorupinski Methodology)
📈 Description:
This script provides a structured way to analyze seasonal trends across financial markets, helping traders identify historical patterns that tend to repeat at specific times of the year. Inspired by Bernd Skorupinski’s institutional strategy, it has been refined with enhanced smoothing and customization options to improve adaptability across asset classes like commodities, forex, and indices.
👉 Core Functionality:
Analyzes historical price data over multiple lookback periods (5, 10, and 15 years) to calculate average seasonal performance.
Generates a smoothed seasonal curve that visually highlights periods of expected strength or weakness.
Allows users to customize lookback periods and adjust smoothing parameters, offering flexibility based on market type and volatility.
This tool is designed to be used as a contextual filter rather than a trade trigger—adding a layer of time-based confluence to enhance decision-making.
📊 Applied Example – Crude Oil Seasonality & Demand Zone Alignment
To demonstrate practical usage, here’s an example using Light Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) where seasonal tendencies and price structure aligned to create a high-probability setup.
Setup Steps:
1️⃣ Structural Context – Price Reaching a Demand Zone:
The market had been in a decline and approached a well-defined institutional demand area, which historically attracts buying interest.
2️⃣ Seasonality Analysis – Bullish Bias Identified:
The Seasonality Tool was applied using three distinct lookback windows:
5-year average 🟢
10-year average 🔴
15-year average 🔵
All three seasonal curves showed consistent upward trends during the late December to February period, historically signaling accumulation phases in crude oil markets.
3️⃣ Execution – Trade Setup:
With both:
Price action confirming a technical demand zone,
and seasonality indicating a strong historical bullish period,
a long position was taken targeting the next significant supply zone.
Result:
The trade unfolded as anticipated, with price rebounding strongly and delivering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:5.8—an outcome consistent with historical seasonal performance patterns.
⚙️ What Sets This Tool Apart:
Combines multi-timeframe seasonal data into a unified, easy-to-interpret visual output.
Includes custom smoothing algorithms to reduce noise, making the seasonal curves clearer and more reliable in fast-moving markets.
Offers flexibility to analyze not only commodities but also forex, indices, and other instruments influenced by recurring cycles (e.g., agricultural products, metals).
📌 Best Practices for Use:
Apply the tool alongside key technical zones (demand/supply) to find optimal trade timing.
Look for confluence across at least two of the seasonal curves (e.g., 5-year and 10-year averages agreeing on direction).
Use in combination with other market analysis tools—such as valuation indicators, COT data, or smart money flow—for full confirmation.
릴리즈 노트
Use it with other tools like: valuation, smart money index and Supply and demand levels.초대 전용 스크립트
이 스크립트는 작성자가 승인한 사용자만 접근할 수 있습니다. 사용하려면 요청을 보내고 승인을 받아야 합니다. 일반적으로 결제 후에 승인이 이루어집니다. 자세한 내용은 아래 작성자의 지침을 따르거나 Nikhichuanhal655에게 직접 문의하세요.
트레이딩뷰는 스크립트 작성자를 완전히 신뢰하고 스크립트 작동 방식을 이해하지 않는 한 스크립트 비용을 지불하거나 사용하지 않는 것을 권장하지 않습니다. 무료 오픈소스 대체 스크립트는 커뮤니티 스크립트에서 찾을 수 있습니다.
작성자 지시 사항
If you want access click the link, you will also find more info about the indicators: https://linktr.ee/Thomasloophole
면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.
초대 전용 스크립트
이 스크립트는 작성자가 승인한 사용자만 접근할 수 있습니다. 사용하려면 요청을 보내고 승인을 받아야 합니다. 일반적으로 결제 후에 승인이 이루어집니다. 자세한 내용은 아래 작성자의 지침을 따르거나 Nikhichuanhal655에게 직접 문의하세요.
트레이딩뷰는 스크립트 작성자를 완전히 신뢰하고 스크립트 작동 방식을 이해하지 않는 한 스크립트 비용을 지불하거나 사용하지 않는 것을 권장하지 않습니다. 무료 오픈소스 대체 스크립트는 커뮤니티 스크립트에서 찾을 수 있습니다.
작성자 지시 사항
If you want access click the link, you will also find more info about the indicators: https://linktr.ee/Thomasloophole
면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.