Cryptolabs Global Liquidity Cycle Momentum Indicator

Cryptolabs Global Liquidity Cycle Momentum Indicator (LMI-BTC)

This open-source indicator combines global central bank liquidity data with Bitcoin price movements to identify medium- to long-term market cycles and momentum phases. It is designed for traders who want to incorporate macroeconomic factors into their Bitcoin analysis.

How It Works
The script calculates a Liquidity Index using balance sheet data from four central banks (USA: ECONOMICS:USCBBS, Japan: FRED:JPNASSETS, China: ECONOMICS:CNCBBS, EU: FRED:ECBASSETSW), augmented by the Dollar Index (TVC:DXY) and Chinese 10-year bond yields (TVC:CN10Y). This index is:
- Logarithmically scaled (math.log) to better represent large values like central bank balances and Bitcoin prices.
- Normalized over a 50-period range to balance fluctuations between minimum and maximum values.
- Compared to prior-year values, with the number of bars dynamically adjusted based on the timeframe (e.g., 252 for 1D, 52 for 1W), to compute percentage changes.

The liquidity change is analyzed using a Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) (period: 24) to measure momentum trends. A Weighted Moving Average (WMA) (period: 10) acts as a signal line. The Bitcoin price is also plotted logarithmically to highlight parallels with liquidity cycles.

Usage
Traders can use the indicator to:
- Identify global liquidity cycles influencing Bitcoin price trends, such as expansive or restrictive monetary policies.
- Detect momentum phases: Values above 50 suggest overbought conditions, below -50 indicate oversold conditions.
- Anticipate trend reversals by observing CMO crossovers with the signal line.
It performs best on higher timeframes like daily (1D) or weekly (1W) charts. The visualization includes:
- CMO line (green > 50, red < -50, blue neutral), signal line (white), Bitcoin price (gray).
- Horizontal lines at 50, 0, and -50 for improved readability.

Originality
This indicator stands out from other momentum tools like RSI or basic price analysis due to:
- Unique Data Integration: Combines four central bank datasets, DXY, and CN10Y as macroeconomic proxies for Bitcoin.
- Dynamic Prior-Year Analysis: Calculates liquidity changes relative to historical values, adjustable by timeframe.
- Logarithmic Normalization: Enhances visibility of extreme values, critical for cryptocurrencies and macro data.
This combination offers a rare perspective on the interplay between global liquidity and Bitcoin, unavailable in other open-source scripts.

Settings
- CMO Period: Default 24, adjustable for faster/slower signals.
- Signal WMA: Default 10, for smoothing the CMO line.
- Normalization Window: Default 50 periods, customizable.
Users can modify these parameters in the Pine Editor to tailor the indicator to their strategy.

Note
This script is designed for medium- to long-term analysis, not scalping. For optimal results, combine it with additional analyses (e.g., on-chain data, support/resistance levels). It does not guarantee profits but supports informed decisions based on macroeconomic trends.

Data Sources
- Bitcoin: INDEX:BTCUSD
- Liquidity: ECONOMICS:USCBBS, FRED:JPNASSETS, ECONOMICS:CNCBBS, FRED:ECBASSETSW
- Additional: TVC:DXY, TVC:CN10Y