Gould 10Y + 4Y pattern

Description:
Overview This indicator is a comprehensive tool for macro-market analysis, designed to visualize historical market cycles on your chart. It combines Edson Gould’s famous Decennial Pattern with a Customizable 4-Year Cycle (e.g., 2002 base) to help traders identify long-term trends, potential market bottoms, and strong bullish years.

This tool is ideal for long-term investors and analysts looking for cyclical confluence on monthly or yearly timeframes (e.g., SPX, NDX).

Key Concepts

Edson Gould’s Decennial Pattern (10-Year Cycle)

Based on the theory that the stock market follows a psychological cycle determined by the last digit of the year.

5 (Strongest Bull): Historically the strongest performance years.

7 (Panic/Crash): Years often associated with market panic or crashes.

2 (Bottom/Buy): Years that often mark major lows.

Custom 4-Year Cycle (Target Year Strategy)

Identify recurring 4-year opportunities based on a user-defined base year.

Default Setting (Base 2002): Highlights years like 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022... which have historically been significant market bottoms or excellent buying opportunities.

When a "Target Year" arrives, the indicator highlights the background and displays a distinct Green "Target Year" Label.

Features

Real-time Dashboard: A table in the top-right corner displays the current year's status for both the 10-Year and 4-Year cycles, including a countdown to the next target year.

Dynamic Labels: Automatically marks every year on the chart with its Decennial status (e.g., "Strong Bull (5)", "Panic (7)").

Visual Highlighting:

Target Years: Distinct green background and labels for easy identification of the 4-year cycle.

Significant Decennial Years: Special small markers for years ending in 5 and 7.

Fully Customizable: You can change the base year for the 4-year cycle, toggle the dashboard, and adjust colors via the settings menu.

How to Use

Apply this indicator to high-timeframe charts (Weekly or Monthly) of major indices like S&P 500 or Nasdaq.

Look for confluence between the 10-Year Pattern (e.g., Year 6 - Bullish) and the 4-Year Cycle (Target Year) to confirm long-term bias.

Disclaimer This tool is for educational and research purposes only based on historical cycle theories. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage your risk.