[Bybit BTCUSD.P] 7Years Backtest Results. 2,609% +Non-Repainting

📊 I. Strategy Overview: Trust Backed by Numbers
The ADX Sniper v12 strategy has been rigorously tested over 7 years, from November 14, 2018 to November 8, 2025, spanning every major cycle of the Bitcoin BTCUSD.P futures market. This strategy successfully balances two often-conflicting goals: maximizing profitability while minimizing volatility, all supported by objective performance data.
This strategy has been validated across all Bitcoin (BTCUSD.P) futures market cycles over a 7-year period.



■ Visual Proof: Bar Replay Simulation
The chart above demonstrates actual entry and exit points captured via TradingView's Bar Replay feature. The green rectangle highlights the core profitable trading zone, showing where the strategy successfully captured sustained uptrends. This visual evidence confirms:

1) Confirmed buy/sell signals with exact execution prices (marked in red and blue)
2) No repainting or signal distortion after candle close
3) Consistent performance across multiple market cycles within the highlighted zone

💰 Core Performance Metrics:
Cumulative Return: 2,609.14% (compounded growth over 7 years)
Maximum Drawdown (MDD): 6.999% (preserving over 93% of capital)
Average Profit/Loss Ratio: 8.003 (industry-leading risk-reward efficiency)
Total Trades: 24 (focused exclusively on high-conviction opportunities)
Sortino Ratio: 11.486 (mathematically proving robustness and stability)
✅ This strategy has been validated across all Bitcoin BTCUSD.P futures market cycles over a 7-year period.

🛡️ II. Core Philosophy: Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run

Why MDD Stays Below 7% in a Volatile Market

The crypto futures market typically experiences daily volatility exceeding 10%, with most strategies enduring drawdowns between 30% and 50%. In stark contrast, this strategy has never exceeded a 7% account loss over seven years. This exceptional low MDD is achieved through deliberate design mechanisms, not luck:

🎯 Entry Filtering: The 'ADX Pop-up Filter' is the core component. It enables the strategy to strictly avoid trading when market conditions indicate major reversals or consolidation phases, thereby minimizing exposure to high-risk zones.

🏛️ Capital Preservation Priority: The strategy prioritizes investor psychological stability and capital preservation over pursuing maximum potential returns.

The Power of an 8.003 Profit Factor
The Profit Factor measures the ratio of total profitable trades to total losing trades. It's the most critical metric for assessing risk-adjusted returns.

A Profit Factor of 8.003 means that for every dollar lost, the strategy earns an average of eight dollars. This demonstrates the efficiency of a true trend-following strategy:
Cutting losses quickly (averaging $177,419 USD loss per trade)
Riding winners for maximum extension (averaging $1,419,920 USD profit per trade)

🎯 III. Strategy Reliability and Structural Edge

The Secret of 24 Trades in 7 Years

Only 24 trades over 7 years signifies that this strategy ignores 99% of market volatility and targets only the 1% of 'most certain buying cycles'. This approach eliminates the drag from excessive trading:
❌ No commission bleed
❌ No slippage erosion
❌ No psychological wear from overtrading

📈 Long-Term Trend Following: The strategy analyzes Bitcoin's long-term price cycles to capture the onset of massive trends while remaining undisturbed by short-term market noise.

Non-Repainting Structure: Alignment of Reality and Simulation

🎬 Non-Repainting Proof Video Available

※↑ "If you wish, I can also show you a video as evidence of the non-repainting throughout the 7 years."
✅ Real-Time Trading Reliability: This strategy is built with a non-repainting structure, generating buy/sell signals only after each candle's closing price is confirmed.
✅ Preventing Data Exaggeration: This design ensures that backtest results do not 'repaint' or distort past performance, guaranteeing high correlation between simulated results and actual live trading environments.
✅ Live Trading Advantage: While simulations use closing prices, live trading may allow entry at more favorable prices before candle close, potentially yielding even better execution than backtest results.

📈 IV. Performance Summary (November 14, 2018 - November 8, 2025)

|| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Initial Capital | $1,000,000 |
| Net Profit | +$26,091,383.74 |
| Cumulative Return | +2,609.14% |
| Maximum Drawdown | -6.999% |
| Total Trades | 24 |
| Winning Trades | 19 (79.17%) |
| Losing Trades | 5 (20.83%) |
| Avg Winning Trade | +$1,419,920.16 |
| Avg Losing Trade | -$177,419.86 |
| Profit Factor | 8.003 |
| Sortino Ratio | 11.486 |
| Win/Loss Ratio | 8.003 |

⚙️ Default Settings:

Slippage: 0 ticks
Commission: 0.333% (Bybit standard)

👥 V. Who Is This Strategy For?

✅ Long-term Bitcoin investors seeking stable, low-drawdown returns

✅ Traders tired of overtrading who prefer surgical, sniper-style precision entries

✅ Investors seeking psychological stability by avoiding large account swings

✅ Data-driven decision makers who value proven performance over marketing claims

🔒 VI. Access & Disclaimer

🔐 Access Type: Invite-Only (Protected Source Code)

💬 How to Get Access: Send a private message or leave a comment below

⚠️ Important Disclaimer:

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency and futures trading involve substantial risk of loss. This strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Users should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred from using this strategy.

🏷️ VII. Tags

Bitcoin |Bitcoin | BTCUSD | BTCUSD.P | Bybit | DailyChart | LongTerm | TrendFollowing | ADX | NonRepainting | Strategy | BacktestProven | SevenYears | LowDrawdown | HighProfitFactor | StableReturns | CapitalPreservation | Ichimoku | DMI | SuperTrend | TechnicalAnalysis | Volatility | RiskManagement | AutoTrading | Futures | PerpetualFutures | AlgorithmicTrading | SystematicTrading | DataDriven | InviteOnly | ProtectedScript | SnipperTrading | HighConviction | MDD | SortinoRatio

📌 Note: This strategy is designed exclusively for Bybit BTCUSD.P perpetual futures on the 1-day (daily) timeframe. Performance may vary significantly on other symbols or timeframes.