OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
업데이트됨 Spread Trading Z-Score
Indicator: Z-Score Spread Indicator
Description
The "Z-Score Spread Indicator" is a powerful tool for traders employing mean-reversion strategies on the spread between two financial assets (e.g., futures contracts like MNQ and MES). This indicator calculates and plots the Z-score of the price spread, indicating how far the current spread deviates from its historical mean. It features customizable entry and exit thresholds with adjustable offsets, along with an estimated p-value displayed in a table to assess statistical significance.
Key Features
Asset Selection: Allows users to select two asset symbols (e.g., CME_MINI:MNQ1! and CME_MINI:MES1!) via customizable inputs.
Z-Score Calculation: Computes the Z-score based on the spread’s simple moving average and standard deviation over a user-defined lookback period.
Customizable Thresholds with Offset: Offers adjustable base entry and exit thresholds, with an optional offset to fine-tune trading levels, plotted as horizontal lines.
P-Value Estimation: Provides an approximate p-value to evaluate the statistical significance of the Z-score, displayed in a table anchored to the top-left corner.
Visual Representation: Plots the Z-score with a zero line and threshold lines for intuitive interpretation.
Adjustable Parameters
Asset A Symbol: Symbol for Asset A (default: CME_MINI:MNQ1!).
Asset B Symbol: Symbol for Asset B (default: CME_MINI:MES1!).
Z-Score Lookback: Lookback period for Z-score calculation (default: 40, minimum 2).
Base Entry Threshold: Threshold for entry signals (default: 1.8, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Base Exit Threshold: Threshold for exit signals (default: 0.5, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Threshold Offset (+/-): Offset to adjust entry and exit thresholds symmetrically (default: 0.0, range -5.0 to 5.0, step 0.1).
Usage
Add the indicator to your chart via the "Indicators" tab.
Customize the parameters based on your preferred assets and trading strategy (lookback period, thresholds, offset).
Observe the Z-score plot and threshold lines (red for short entry, green for long entry, orange dotted for exits) to identify potential trade setups.
Check the p-value table in the top-left corner to assess the statistical significance of the current Z-score.
Use this data to inform mean-reversion trading decisions, ideally in conjunction with other indicators.
Notes
A Z-score above the entry threshold (positive) or below the negative entry threshold suggests a potential short or long entry, respectively. Exits are signaled when the Z-score crosses the exit thresholds.
The p-value is an approximation based on the normal distribution; a value below 0.05 typically indicates statistical significance, but further validation is recommended.
The indicator uses a simple spread (Asset A - Asset B) without volatility adjustments; consider pairing it with a lots calculator for hedging.
Limitations
The p-value is an approximation and may not reflect advanced statistical tests (e.g., ADF) due to Pine Script constraints.
No automatic trading signals are generated; it provides data for manual analysis.
Author
Developed by grogusama, October 15, 2025, 07:29 PM CEST.
Description
The "Z-Score Spread Indicator" is a powerful tool for traders employing mean-reversion strategies on the spread between two financial assets (e.g., futures contracts like MNQ and MES). This indicator calculates and plots the Z-score of the price spread, indicating how far the current spread deviates from its historical mean. It features customizable entry and exit thresholds with adjustable offsets, along with an estimated p-value displayed in a table to assess statistical significance.
Key Features
Asset Selection: Allows users to select two asset symbols (e.g., CME_MINI:MNQ1! and CME_MINI:MES1!) via customizable inputs.
Z-Score Calculation: Computes the Z-score based on the spread’s simple moving average and standard deviation over a user-defined lookback period.
Customizable Thresholds with Offset: Offers adjustable base entry and exit thresholds, with an optional offset to fine-tune trading levels, plotted as horizontal lines.
P-Value Estimation: Provides an approximate p-value to evaluate the statistical significance of the Z-score, displayed in a table anchored to the top-left corner.
Visual Representation: Plots the Z-score with a zero line and threshold lines for intuitive interpretation.
Adjustable Parameters
Asset A Symbol: Symbol for Asset A (default: CME_MINI:MNQ1!).
Asset B Symbol: Symbol for Asset B (default: CME_MINI:MES1!).
Z-Score Lookback: Lookback period for Z-score calculation (default: 40, minimum 2).
Base Entry Threshold: Threshold for entry signals (default: 1.8, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Base Exit Threshold: Threshold for exit signals (default: 0.5, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Threshold Offset (+/-): Offset to adjust entry and exit thresholds symmetrically (default: 0.0, range -5.0 to 5.0, step 0.1).
Usage
Add the indicator to your chart via the "Indicators" tab.
Customize the parameters based on your preferred assets and trading strategy (lookback period, thresholds, offset).
Observe the Z-score plot and threshold lines (red for short entry, green for long entry, orange dotted for exits) to identify potential trade setups.
Check the p-value table in the top-left corner to assess the statistical significance of the current Z-score.
Use this data to inform mean-reversion trading decisions, ideally in conjunction with other indicators.
Notes
A Z-score above the entry threshold (positive) or below the negative entry threshold suggests a potential short or long entry, respectively. Exits are signaled when the Z-score crosses the exit thresholds.
The p-value is an approximation based on the normal distribution; a value below 0.05 typically indicates statistical significance, but further validation is recommended.
The indicator uses a simple spread (Asset A - Asset B) without volatility adjustments; consider pairing it with a lots calculator for hedging.
Limitations
The p-value is an approximation and may not reflect advanced statistical tests (e.g., ADF) due to Pine Script constraints.
No automatic trading signals are generated; it provides data for manual analysis.
Author
Developed by grogusama, October 15, 2025, 07:29 PM CEST.
릴리즈 노트
Update of spread calculation 릴리즈 노트
Update of spread calculation 릴리즈 노트
Update beta calculation릴리즈 노트
Update : Hurst exposent added릴리즈 노트
Update of the calculation method릴리즈 노트
Reduction of the table size릴리즈 노트
Update of information for a trade validation릴리즈 노트
update of the calculation method릴리즈 노트
Update of the calculation method릴리즈 노트
Update of the visuals and the final calculation method 릴리즈 노트
Garch implementation릴리즈 노트
Lot size adjusted릴리즈 노트
Update calculation method 릴리즈 노트
Added a kalman filter 릴리즈 노트
Update of the calculation and visuals 릴리즈 노트
Update of the calculation method 오픈 소스 스크립트
진정한 트레이딩뷰 정신에 따라 이 스크립트 작성자는 트레이더가 기능을 검토하고 검증할 수 있도록 오픈소스로 공개했습니다. 작성자에게 찬사를 보냅니다! 무료로 사용할 수 있지만 코드를 다시 게시할 경우 하우스 룰이 적용된다는 점을 기억하세요.
면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.
오픈 소스 스크립트
진정한 트레이딩뷰 정신에 따라 이 스크립트 작성자는 트레이더가 기능을 검토하고 검증할 수 있도록 오픈소스로 공개했습니다. 작성자에게 찬사를 보냅니다! 무료로 사용할 수 있지만 코드를 다시 게시할 경우 하우스 룰이 적용된다는 점을 기억하세요.
면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.