Bond Yield Recession Indicator

2019년 7월 14일

This model uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates to calculate the probability of a recession in the United States twelve months ahead.
By a simple gimpse, it has been correct for the last two recessions of 2000 and 2008.

newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq.html
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y3M

2019년 7월 22일

릴리즈 노트

v2