Strategy Overview:
The “Simplified TrinityBar with VWAP Filter” strategy combines classical price pattern analysis with a custom, daily-resetting VWAP filter to refine entry signals. It’s designed to enter trades only when both a specific price action pattern and favorable market conditions relative to the volume-weighted average price are present.
Key Components:
Price Pattern Analysis:
Bar Thirds Calculation: The strategy divides a bar’s range (specifically, bar index 2 for the current pattern and bar index 3 for the previous pattern) into thirds.
Bullish Patterns:
A “1-3” bullish pattern is identified when the current bar opens in the lower third and closes in the upper third.
A “3-3” bullish pattern occurs when both the open and close fall in the upper third.
Bearish Patterns:
A “1-1” bearish pattern is confirmed when the current bar both opens and closes in the lower third.
A “3-1” bearish pattern is when the bar opens in the upper third and closes in the lower third.
Valid Signal Criteria:
For a buy signal, the current bar must display a bullish pattern, with the previous bar’s low being below the current bar’s low.
For a sell signal, the current bar must display a bearish pattern, with the previous bar’s high being above the current bar’s high.
VWAP Filter Integration:
VWAP Calculation: A custom VWAP is computed by accumulating the typical price (the average of high, low, and close) weighted by volume, resetting at the start of each trading day.
Filter Conditions:
A long signal is only valid if the previous bar’s low is below the VWAP and the current bar closes above it.
Conversely, a short signal is only valid if the previous bar’s high is above the VWAP and the current bar closes below it.
This filter helps ensure that trades are taken in the direction of the prevailing average price, aiming to improve trade quality and reduce false signals.
Trade Execution and Risk Management:
Entry and Exit Rules:
Upon a valid long signal, the strategy closes any short positions before entering a long position, and vice versa for a valid short signal.
Take Profit and Stop Loss:
Profit targets are calculated using a multiplier (defaulted to 1.618) applied to the range between the current and previous bars.
Stop losses are set at the low (for long positions) or high (for short positions) of the current bar, managing downside risk.
High-Leverage Actions:
Backtest and Optimize: Rigorously backtest the strategy under various market conditions to confirm that the VWAP filter and pattern criteria improve trade performance.
Monitor VWAP Behavior: Ensure the custom VWAP calculation resets correctly with each session and aligns with your intended market dynamics.
Iterate Based on Findings: If necessary, refine the thresholds or the multiplier for profit-taking to better suit specific market environments.
This strategy is a disciplined approach designed to capture moves that are supported by both technical patterns and the underlying market trend, as indicated by the VWAP filter.