Dynamic Adaptive Moving Average [Alpha Extract]

Dynamic Adaptive Moving Average (DAMA) 📊

The Dynamic Adaptive Moving Average (DAMA) indicator is an adaptive technical tool that automatically discovers the optimal moving average period based on forward-looking price behavior. Unlike traditional fixed-length moving averages, this indicator continuously evaluates multiple timeframes to identify which MA length most accurately predicts future price movement, creating a responsive trend line that adapts to changing market conditions.

🔶 CALCULATION

The indicator employs a dynamic optimization algorithm to select the most effective moving average:
• Period Testing: Evaluates MA lengths from 5 to 100 periods to find the optimal timeframe
• Predictive Error: Measures each MA's accuracy by comparing it to the actual price 5 bars in the future
• Trend Weighting: Incorporates Rate of Change (ROC) to give higher priority to trend-following capabilities
• Error Minimization: Selects the MA length with the lowest weighted predictive error
• Smoothing: Applies an exponential smoothing factor (0.2) to prevent erratic changes in the trend line


🔶 DETAILS

Visual Features:
• Adaptive Trend Line: A yellow line representing the smoothed optimal moving average that dynamically adjusts its period
• Color-Coded Fills: Green areas when price is above the optimal MA (bullish), red when price is below (bearish)
• Opacity Gradient: Fill transparency provides visual context for the relationship between price and the trend line
• Real-Time Optimization Display: A table in the top-right corner shows the current optimal MA length

Interpretation:
• Bullish Signal: Price above the yellow DAMA line with green fill indicates upward momentum
• Bearish Signal: Price below the yellow DAMA line with red fill suggests downward pressure
• Trend Changes: Watch for crossovers between price and the DAMA for potential trend shifts
• Optimal Length Changes: Shorter optimal lengths may indicate trending markets, while longer lengths often appear in ranging conditions

🔶 EXAMPLES

The indicator demonstrates:
• Trend Identification: The DAMA hugs price more closely during trends while maintaining enough distance to filter noise


• Dynamic Adaptation: The MA length automatically adjusts shorter during strong trends and longer during consolidations


• Forward-Looking: By optimizing based on future price projection (5 bars), the indicator anticipates price movements better than traditional MAs

• Smooth Transitions: The smoothing algorithm prevents whipsaws while still allowing the MA to adapt to changing conditions

🔶 SETTINGS

Customization Options:
• Min/Max Length: Define the range of MA periods to test (default: 5-100)
• Step Size: Set the increment for testing different MA lengths (default: 1)
• Lookahead: Adjust the number of bars to project ahead for optimization (default: 5)
• Smoothing Factor: Control how quickly the MA adapts to new optimal lengths (default: 0.2)

The Dynamic Adaptive Moving Average (DAMA) indicator offers traders a sophisticated yet intuitive trend-following tool that eliminates the need to manually select MA periods.
Its self-optimizing algorithm continuously identifies the most effective moving average length based on actual price prediction accuracy, making it valuable for various trading strategies across different market environments and timeframes.