Institutional Bias Dashboard 2 [Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital]

3일 전

✅ Daily Bias Checklist (Institutional-grade)

Asian Sweep + BOS ✔
Anchored VWAP (London/NY) ✔
Daily open compass
HTF orderflow (H4/D1)
Remaining ADR room
Session liquidity sweeps
Volume profile POC alignment
News/macro filter
Goldbach/cycle confluence

👉 If at least 5–6 of these filters align in the same direction, you have an institutional-quality daily bias.
If only 2–3 line up, you’re in chop/range day → size down or skip.

Manual

Higher-Timeframe Orderflow (HTF Context)

Daily/4H Candles: Where did yesterday close relative to its open & range?
A strong daily close above midpoint often signals continuation.
Market Structure on H4/D1: Is the market in a clear bullish/bearish swing, or in distribution?
Filter rule: Only align with bias that agrees with at least one higher timeframe close (D1 or H4).

Session Range & Implied Range

Dynamic Range Projections: Compare today’s early London range to average daily range (ADR).
If London’s already filled 80% of ADR before 6 AM NY → expect mean reversion, not expansion.
Filter rule: Only take pro-bias trades if there’s sufficient range left for an expansion (London+NY combined).

Kill-Zone Liquidity Mapping

ICT principle:
London often sweeps Asia.
NY often sweeps London.
If both sweeps are in same direction → trend day bias.
If sweeps are opposite → expect chop or reversal day.

Daily Open / Midnight Open Compass

A simple but deadly filter:
Above daily open → bullish tone.
Below daily open → bearish tone.
Combine with VWAP: if VWAP and daily open both agree, bias is highly reliable.

Volume Profile / Session POCs

Plot TPO or volume profile for Asia and London.
If London builds value above Asia’s POC → bullish institutional flow.
If NY rejects that value and rotates back through it → bearish flip.
This shows where institutions are comfortable transacting.

Funding & COT / Sentiment (for FX/Indices Futures)

Funding rates (crypto / FX swaps): Extreme positive → longs crowded, easier short bias.
COT data / retail positioning: If retail is heavy long, institutions may press short.
These are slower filters but help contextualize bias.

News & Macro Calendar

8:30 AM NY news releases (CPI, NFP, GDP, FOMC) override any technical bias.
Rule: Never fade macro. If bias and macro release align → green light.
If they diverge → stand down or trade smaller.

Goldbach / Time-Cycle Levels

Institutions respect cyclic ranges and harmonic rotations.
If London BOS aligns with a Goldbach level / time cycle inflection, bias is much more credible.

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