Strategy Myth-Busting #9 - HullSuite+LSMA - [MYN]

2023년 1월 28일

This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.

Our 9th one is an automated version of the "I Tested The Best 1 Minute Scalping Strategy That Will Blow Your Mind 100 Times" strategy from "Profit Now" who claims to have achieved 36.7% profit scalping XRPUSDT on the 1 minute timeframe in only 15 days. As you can see from the backtest results below, I was unable to substantiate anything remotely close to that that claim on any timeframe or symbol. Myth 10000% busted.

This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators: Hull Suite by InSilico and Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA)

The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a faster version of the traditional moving average and is designed to reduce lag and improve the responsiveness of the average to price changes. In this strategy the HMA is used as a trend-following indicator, When the HMA is rising it is indicative of an upwards trend and when its falling its indicative of a downtrend.

The Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) used in this strategy is similar to the HMA in that it is designed to reduce lag and improve the responsiveness of the average to price changes. In this strategy the LSMA is used to also not only identify trends but also confirm signals, it also is used to identify possible changes in the trend and market conditions.

When we use these together, the Hull Suite and LSMA indicators provide a complimentary confirmation of trend direction and trend swings. The Hull Suite helps to identify and confirm trends, while the LSMA aids to confirm signals and identify potential changes in market conditions.

The way this strategy is designed is when the Hull Suite HMA is trending up and the LSMA crosses above the HMA, we enter a long condition. When the Hull Suite is trending down and the LSMA crosses below the HMA we take a short position. Because of the low latency of these two indicators this strategy can be used on lower time frames down to 1 minute. On high volatility crypto on the lowest time frames, a 1:4 Risk Ratio should be used. A lower less risk ratio should be used on less volatile archetypes of securities.

If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me