Equity Curve Trading with EMA

2023년 5월 31일

What Is Equity Curve Trading?

In equity curve trading, traders apply a moving average to the curve. The idea is when the equity curve drops below the moving average, the strategy is put on hold. This is done to stop losses when either the hopes of the plan working start dimming or when the trader knows he cannot afford more losses on a strategy. The trader can resume trading this particular strategy when the equity curve is above the moving average.
Equity Curve Trading puts an investor at the ease of knowing that his investment is covered even when he is not actively tracking his strategy. When the equity curve dips below a level investor is comfortable with, it can be paused until such time that the equity curve is back above the determined moving average.
Example:
Equity Curve Trading Example


Trading Strategy
I choosed the SuperTrend strategy for BTCUSDT on 4 hour time frame. That shows nice equity curve with default settings. Let's find out and check can we improve the equity curve with this modern money management trade method?
Some shift is exist in original equity curve relatively to filtered equity curve, because of array usage, but it is not affected on calculations.

Conclusion
I tested a different time frames, settings and equity curves shapes, but it not gives advantages in equity curve. You can look at the table on the top right corner of the strategy with equity curve and you will see some statistic information for the original strategy and for the modified equity curve trade strategy. In most cases we have lower Win Rate and lower Net Profit after turning on Equity curve trading method. In some cases this can be help if you have the equity curve looks like at the picture above, but this equity curve is really bad for choosing this strategy to trade. I found that EMA works better than SMA, and RMA works better then EMA applied to Equity Curve. You can test your strategy with this trade method if you want, I make the source code opened for it. Please share your results, I hope it will helps.

Conclusion 2
Equity Curve Trading definitely has its proponents in the industry, some of them quite vocal. But, the overall efficacy of the approach is certainly not crystal clear. In fact, what is clear is that it is relatively easy to take a good strategy, and significantly degrade its performance by employing equity curve trading. While the overall objective of equity curve trading is unquestionable – cease trading poor performing strategies - it is probable that there are better ways of accomplishing that goal. From this study, the conclusion is equity curve trading with simple indicators has more downside than upside.

2023년 6월 1일

릴리즈 노트

fix